寿险中的破产理论及应用

本文研究了求解寿险中破产概率的简洁方法 ,得到寿险破产模型 ,设计了求解寿险中的破产概率的一种算法 ,并得到寿险破产概率的一个上界。     

带息双二项风险模型的破产问题

本文研究了带随机利率的双二项风险模型的破产问题,得到了描述破产严重程度的破产前盈余分布,破产持续时间分布的递推公式,有限时间破产概率的递推公式及终极破产概率满足的积分方程.     

变破产下限风险模型的破产概率

近年来,很多文献对经典风险模型作了研究,并得出许多有用的结论。一般文献都是假定保险公司的破产下限为零,但在实际的保险实务中,当保险公司的盈余低于某一限度时,保险公司就要调整政策或宣布破产。本文研究了经典风险模型在假定变破产下限下的破产概率,得出了破产概率所满足的不等式,而且研究了当破产下限f(t)为某些特殊函数时,破产概率所满足的不等式或破产概率的具体表达式。最后本文给出了在推广后的风险模型中变破产下限破产概率所满足的不等式。     

带经济因素的变破产下限的双险种风险模型

考虑了带有利率与通货膨胀率等经济因素的变破产下限风险模型,即保险公司的破产下限是时间t的函数,随时间的变化而变化.并且在模型中,讨论了两类险种的索赔,在干扰条件下,分别给出了两险种独立与相依时破产概率的上界,且在破产下限为t的线性函数时,得到了破产概率满足的不等式与具体表达式.     

竞争型二元风险模型破产概率

本文研究了竞争型的二元风险模型,定义了两类破产概率以及状态过程,利用经典风险模型的已有结果和条件期望的性质,得到两类破产概率表达式,以及单个保险公司有限时间破产概率和最终破产概率,并给出两个保险公司的状态过程的概率分布列.     

相依风险模型的破产概率

本文研究了索赔额和索赔时间间隔相依的风险模型,得到了生存概率的表达式和最终破产概率表达式,并通过生存概率满足的积分微分方程求出了最终破产概率的Laplace-Stieltjes变换.     

带干扰变破产限风险模型的破产概率

近年来,许多文献对经典风险模型及推广后的风险模型作了研究,并得出许多有用的结论.一般的文献都是假定保险公司的破产限为零.但在实际的保险业务中,当保险公司的盈余低于某一限度(破产限)时,保险公司就要调整政策或宣布破产.本文研究了带干扰的双Cox风险模型和带干扰的双Poisson风险模型在变破产限下的破产概率,得出了破产概率所满足的不等式,而且研究了当破产限为某一特殊函数时,破产概率所满足的不等式和具体的解析式.     

具有马氏调制费率的复合Poisson风险模型的破产概率

对于给定的初始状态和初始分布 ,本文分别给出了条件破产概率 Ψi(u)和最终破产概率 Ψ(u)所满足的积分方程 ,并给出了零初始资产时破产概率 Ψ(0 )的明确表达式 .     

常利率下的Cox模型的破产概率

讨论了常利率下的Cox模型的破产概率 ,分别得到了条件破产概率和最终破产概率所满足的积分方程 .     

常利率下带干扰的Cox模型的破产概率

讨论了常利率下带干扰的Cox模型的破产概率,分别得到了条件破产概率和最终破产概率所满足的微积分方程.     

宏观因素影响下的系统中元件重要性研究

为研究复杂系统在工作环境中其组成元件对系统安全运行的重要性,将汪培庄先生的因素空间理论与笔者提出的空间事故树理论相结合,构造了一套元件重要性研究方法.构建系统T={U,C,D},将元件作为研究对象集合U,系统工作的宏观环境作为因素集C,元件重要性排序集作为D.对宏观环境中的工作时间a1和温度a_2进行划分形成不同的状态区域S_q,计算在S_q中元件xj的失效权重γ(AS_q(x_j))和在S_q中系统T的失效权重δ(AS_q(T))),从而得到x_j在S状态下的等效失效权重Z(AS_q(x_j)),研究状态S_q下的原件重要性排序D_η,及元件x_j失效性对a_1及a_2的敏感性.使用一个实际的电气系统维修情况统计资料,使用上述方法进行了研究,结果表明:不同工作环境下元件对系统的重要程度是不同的.元件对温度和使用时间是敏感的,并得到了在10³0°且5030°且50⁷5d环境下工作系统可靠性是最高的结论.在给定工作环境下,重要性大的元件多储备,重要性小的元件少储备,以满足系统维修需要,并指导实际工程.     

On the local semiconcavity of the solutions of the eikonal equation

We show that if the Hamiltonian is locally semiconvex with respect to the state variables and strictly convex with respect to the gradient then every viscosity solution of the eikonal equation is locally semiconcave. Furthermore, in the 1D case, we show that every viscosity solution of the eikonal equation is semiconcave if and only if the Hamiltonian is Lipschitz continuous with respect to the state variable.     

On the numerical approach of the enthalpy method for the Stefan problem

In this article an error bound is derived for a piecewise linear finite element approximation of an enthalpy formulation of the Stefan problem; we have analyzed a semidiscrete Galerkin approximation and completely discrete scheme based on the backward Euler method and a linearized scheme is given and its convergence is also proved. A second‐order error estimates are derived for the Crank‐Nicolson Galerkin method. In the second part, a new class of finite difference schemes is proposed. Our approach is to introduce a new variable and transform the given equation into an equivalent system of equations. Then, we prove that the difference scheme is second order convergent. © 2004 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Numer Methods Partial Differential Eq, 2004     

On the analyticity and the almost periodicity of the solution to the Euler equations with non-decaying initial velocity

The Cauchy problem of the Euler equations in the whole space is considered with non-decaying initial velocity in the frame work of . It is proved that if the initial velocity is real analytic then the solution is also real analytic in spatial variables. Furthermore, a new estimate for the size of the radius of convergence of Taylor's expansion is established. The key of the proof is to derive the suitable estimates for the higher order derivatives of the bilinear terms. It is also shown the propagation of the almost periodicity in spatial variables.     

Acceleration of the convergence of the Laguerre series in the problem of inverting the Laplace transform

When the Laplace transform is inverted numerically, the original function is sought in the form of a series in the Laguerre polynomials. To accelerate the convergence of this series, the Euler-Knopp method is used. The techniques for selecting the optimal value of the parameter of the transform on the real axis and in the complex plane are proposed.     

On the determination of the control parameters of the optimal can-order policy

This paper considers the well-known class of can-order policies. This type of coordinated replenishment policies accounts for a joint set-up cost structure, where a major set-up cost is incurred for any order and an individual minor set-up cost is charged for each item in the replenishment. Recent comparative studies have pointed out that the performance of the optimal can-order policy is poor, compared to other coordinated replenishment strategies, when the major set-up cost is high. This paper shows that it is the approximate decomposition method to calculate the optimal canorder parameters which performs bad in such situations and not the policy itself. Attention is focused to a subclass of can-order policies, which is close to the optimal can-order policy for high major set-up costs. A solution procedure is developed to calculate the optimal control parameters of this policy. It is shown that a properly chosen combination of the solution procedures to calculate can-order parameters leads to a can-order strategy which performs as well as other coordinated replenishment policies.     

On the algorithm of the solution of the signorini problem

An algorithm is proposed for solving the Signorini problem /1/ in the formulation of a unilateral variational problem for the boundary functional in the zone of possible contact /2/. The algorithm is based on a dual formulation of Lagrange maximin problems for whose solution a decomposition approach is used in the following sense: a Ritz process in the basis functions that satisfy the linear constraint of the problem, the differential equation in the domain, is used in solving the minimum problem (with fixed Lagrange multipliers); the maximum problem is solved by the method of descent (a generalization of the Frank-Wolf method) under convexity constraints on the Lagrange multipliers. The algorithm constructed can be conisidered as a modification of the well-known algorithm to find the Udzawa-Arrow-Hurwitz saddle points /3, 4/. The convergence of the algorithm is investigated. A numerical analysis of the algorithm is performed in the example of a classical contact problem about the insertion of a stamp in an elastic half-plane under approximation of the contact boundary by isoparametric boundary elements. The comparative efficiency of the algorithm is associated with the reduction in the dimensionality of the boundary value problem being solved and the possibility of utilizing the calculation apparatus of the method of boundary elements to realize the solution.     

不忽略一次项损失时望大特性质量损失函数设计

田口先生提出的质量特性损失函数是用二次项来表示的,对于望大特性而言,质量特性实际上不可能达到无穷大。讨论了不能忽略一次项损失时,望大特性质量损失函数应采用二次式表示。研究了二次式损失函数中一次项损失系数和二次项损失系数确定的方法。比较分析了二次式损失函数中一次项损失和二次项损失的大小。本文的研究结果显示,田口先生经典的二次项损失函数是二次式损失函数的一种形式。实际问题也验证了本文的研究成果。     

On the fallacy of the likelihood principle

By using the direct and inverse binomial experiments it is shown that there is a situation where Birnbaum's basic axiom of mathematical equivalence and the likelihood principle is a tautology. This observation disqualifies Birnbaum's proof of the likelihood principle based on the axioms of mathematical equivalence and conditionality. The implication of this disproof of Birnbaum's argument for Bayesian statistics is briefly discussed.     

ON THE SPACES OF THE MAXIMAL POINTS

For a continuous domain D, some characterization that the convex powerdomain CD is a domain hull of Max(CD) is given in terms of compact subsets of D. And in this case, it is proved that the set of the maximal points Max(CD) of CD with the relative Scott topology is homeomorphic to the set of all Scott compact subsets of Max(.D) with the topology induced by the Hausdorff metric derived from a metric on Max(D) when Max(D) is metrizable.