变保费率Cox风险模型的研究

研究了当保费率随理赔强度的变化而变化时C ox风险模型的折现罚金函数,利用后向差分法得到了折现罚金函数所满足的积分方程,进而得到了破产概率,破产前瞬时盈余、破产时赤字的各阶矩所满足的积分方程.最后给出当理赔额服从指数分布,理赔强度为两状态的马氏过程时破产概率的拉普拉斯变换,对一些具体数值计算出了破产概率的表达式.     

具有马氏调制费率的复合Poisson风险模型的破产概率

对于给定的初始状态和初始分布 ,本文分别给出了条件破产概率 Ψi(u)和最终破产概率 Ψ(u)所满足的积分方程 ,并给出了零初始资产时破产概率 Ψ(0 )的明确表达式 .     

一类推广负风险和模型的破产概率

本文研究了带干扰的两险种负风险和模型的破产问题.利用无穷小方法,给出了该风险模型破产概率所满足的微分-积分方程,并推导出破产概率满足的Lundberg型不等式.最后指出了当索赔服从负指数分布时破产概率的上界,推广了经典风险模型的结果.     

一类相依索赔离散风险模型研究

研究了一类相依索赔的离散风险模型,得到了利率为0时模型的最终破产概率所满足的积分方程,以及破产持续n期的概率所满足的表达式.进而,得到了利率不为0时该模型的最终破产概率所满足的积分方程,并利用鞅论技巧导出了最终破产概率的一个Lundberg型上界,最后运用Matlab软件随机模拟破产概率并与Lundberg型上界作比较.     

一类马氏调制费率的双险种风险模型的破产概率

给出一类具有费率均为马氏调制的双险种风险模型,对于给定的初始状态,求出了条件破产概率满足的积分方程,并推导出具有平稳初始分布的破产概率的递归不等式和零初始资产时的破产概率的简洁估计式.     

索赔为稀疏过程的双复合 Poisson风险模型

研究了一类风险过程,其中保费收入为复合Poisson过程,而描述索赔发生的计数过程为保单到达过程的p-稀疏过程.给出了生存概率满足的积分方程及其在指数分布下的具体表达式,得到了破产概率满足的Lundberg不等式、最终破产概率及有限时间内破产概率的一个上界和生存概率的积分-微分方程,且通过数值例子,分析了初始准备金、保费收入、索赔支付及保单的平均索赔比例对保险公司破产概率的影响.     

常利率下的Cox模型的破产概率

讨论了常利率下的Cox模型的破产概率 ,分别得到了条件破产概率和最终破产概率所满足的积分方程 .     

索赔次数为复合Poisson-Geometric过程的常利率风险模型的罚金函数

讨论了常利率下索赔次数为复合Poisson-Geometric过程的风险模型的罚金函数,得到了罚金函数的期望所满足的积分方程,并由所得到的积分方程推出了破产概率所满足的积分方程,初始盈余为0时,得到了罚金函数的期望及破产概率的精确解.     

一类推广的双险种复合Poisson风险模型的破产概率

本文研究了一类索赔计数过程相关的双险种Poisson风险模型.利用模型转化首先将该复杂模型转化为经典的风险模型,获得该模型破产概率所满足的积分方程,Lundberg上界表达式,及Cramér-Lundberg渐近估计式.当个体索赔具有指数分布时,推得了破产概率所满足的方程,并给出了具体的数值计算的实例.     

随机利率下的Erlang(2)风险模型

本文主要对索赔记数过程是Erlang(2)过程,随机利率为一个L啨vy过程的风险模型进行了讨论.首先导出了破产概率满足的积分方程,估计了其上下界,然后针对随机利率为布朗运动以及漂移布朗运动的情况导出了破产概率满足的具体积分方程,最后讨论了罚金函数,并写出了罚金函数满足的积分方程以及在特殊情况下满足的积分微分方程.     

带干扰的Erlang(2)过程

本篇论文主要讨论带干扰的E rlang(2)过程,首先通过指数分布的可加性来推得生存概率所满足的积分微分方程,进而得到破产概率(由干扰引起和由索赔引起)所满足的积分微分方程,最后得到破产概率的拉氏变换所满足的方程.     

On the decomposition of the absolute ruin probability in a perturbed compound Poisson surplus process with debit interest

We consider a compound Poisson surplus process perturbed by diffusion with debit interest. When the surplus is below zero or the company is on deficit, the company is allowed to borrow money at a debit interest rate to continue its business as long as its debt is at a reasonable level. When the surplus of a company is below a certain critical level, the company is no longer profitable, we say that absolute ruin occurs at this situation. In this risk model, absolute ruin may be caused by a claim or by oscillation. Thus, the absolute ruin probability in the model is decomposed as the sum of two absolute ruin probabilities, where one is the probability that absolute ruin is caused by a claim and the other is the probability that absolute ruin is caused by oscillation. In this paper, we first give the integro-differential equations satisfied by the absolute ruin probabilities and then derive the defective renewal equations for the absolute ruin probabilities. Using these defective renewal equations, we derive the asymptotical forms of the absolute ruin probabilities when the distributions of claim sizes are heavy-tailed and light-tailed. Finally, we derive explicit expressions for the absolute ruin probabilities when claim sizes are exponentially distributed.     

马氏利率下相关险种的离散风险建模和破产概率

在随机利率服从有限齐次Markov链下,建立相关险种离散风险模型,采用递推方法得到了有限时间破产概率的递推等式和最终破产概率的积分等式;给出了有限时间破产概率和最终破产概率的上界,导出了破产时刻余额分布的计算等式.     

The expected discounted penalty function for the perturbed compound Poisson risk process with constant interest

In this paper, we consider the Gerber-Shiu expected discounted penalty function for the perturbed compound Poisson risk process with constant force of interest. We decompose the Gerber-Shiu function into two parts: the expected discounted penalty at ruin that is caused by a claim and the expected discounted penalty at ruin due to oscillation. We derive the integral equations and the integro-differential equations for them. By solving the integro-differential equations we get some closed form expressions for the expected discounted penalty functions under certain assumptions.     

随机利率作用下的经典风险模型的破产概率

本文讨论了在随机利率作用下经典风险模型的破产问题,给出了导致公司破产的索赔额的L ap lace变换所满足的微分方程,给出了破产概率二次连续可微性的条件,得到了导致公司破产的所满足的积分微分方程;破产时刻公司赤字的L ap lace变换所满足的积分-微分方程.作为特例,本文给出了当索赔为指数分布地导致破产索赔额的L ap lace变换和破产时刻赤字的L ap lace变换的微分方程.     

Some Results for Classical Risk Process with Stochastic Return on Investments

In this paper, we discuss the classical risk process with stochastic return on investment. We prove some properties of the ruin probability, the supremum distribution before ruin and the surplus distribution at the time of ruin and derive the integro-differential equations satisfied by these distributions respectively.     

The Perturbed Compound Poisson Risk Process with Investment and Debit Interest

In this paper, we study absolute ruin questions for the perturbed compound Poisson risk process with investment and debit interests by the expected discounted penalty function at absolute ruin, which provides a unified means of studying the joint distribution of the absolute ruin time, the surplus immediately prior to absolute ruin time and the deficit at absolute ruin time. We first consider the stochastic Dirichlet problem and from which we derive a system of integro-differential equations and the boundary conditions satisfied by the function. Second, we derive the integral equations and a defective renewal equation under some special cases, then based on the defective renewal equation we give two asymptotic results for the expected discounted penalty function when the initial surplus tends to infinity for the light-tailed claims and heavy-tailed claims, respectively. Finally, we investigate some explicit solutions and numerical results when claim sizes are exponentially distributed.     

一类离散时间比例再保险模型的破产问题

本文研究了一类带随机利率的离散时间比例再保险模型.运用递推方法,得到了破产前盈余、破产后赤字的分布以及它们的联合分布所满足的微分积分方程,作为推论得到了破产概率所满足的积分方程,推广了无再保险情形的结果.     

折现率离散时间风险模型下最大赤字问题

在引入折现率的条件下研究离散时间风险模型,运用递推方法和全概率公式,得到了破产前盈余,破产后赤字以及它们的联合分布所满足的微分积分方程,作为推论得到了破产概率所满足的微积分方程并得出结论.