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索赔为稀疏过程的双复合 Poisson风险模型
引用本文:赵金娥,王贵红,龙瑶,杨慧章.索赔为稀疏过程的双复合 Poisson风险模型[J].经济数学,2010,27(4):86-92.
作者姓名:赵金娥  王贵红  龙瑶  杨慧章
作者单位:[1]红河学院数学学院,云南蒙自661100 [2]玉溪农业职业技术学院计科系,云南玉溪653106
基金项目:云南省教育厅科研基金,云南省科技厅自然科学研究基金
摘    要:研究了一类风险过程,其中保费收入为复合Poisson过程,而描述索赔发生的计数过程为保单到达过程的p-稀疏过程.给出了生存概率满足的积分方程及其在指数分布下的具体表达式,得到了破产概率满足的Lundberg不等式、最终破产概率及有限时间内破产概率的一个上界和生存概率的积分-微分方程,且通过数值例子,分析了初始准备金、保费收入、索赔支付及保单的平均索赔比例对保险公司破产概率的影响.

关 键 词:Poisson过程    破产概率  Lundberg不等式  稀疏过程

Two Compound Poisson Risk Model about that Claims is Thinning Process
ZHAO Jin-e,WANG Gui-hong,LONG Yao,YANG Hui-zhang.Two Compound Poisson Risk Model about that Claims is Thinning Process[J].Mathematics in Economics,2010,27(4):86-92.
Authors:ZHAO Jin-e  WANG Gui-hong  LONG Yao  YANG Hui-zhang
Institution:1.College of Mathematics,Honghe University,Mengzi,Yunnan 661100,China;2.Department of Computation and Science,Yuxi Agricultural Vocation College,Yuxi,Yunnan 653106,China)
Abstract:A risk model was studied,in which the premium income follows compound Poisson processes and the arrival of the claims is a p-thinning processes of the arrival process.The integral equation of the survival probability and the explicit formula of the survival probability in case of exponential were obtnined.And the Lundberg inequality of the ruin probability,ultimate ruin probability,a upper bound for the ruin probability and the integral-differential equation of the survival probability in finite time were obtained.Meanwhile,the effects of the initial capital,claim amounts,policy amounts and proportions of the claim on the ruin probability of insurance company were analyzed by a numerical example.
Keywords:Poisson process  martingale  ruin probability  Lundberg inequality  thinning process
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