具有分段感染率的传染病模型的研究

由于媒体报道对传染率的影响有着重要作用,建立了一个受媒体影响且具有分段感染率的传染病模型的研究.首先通过运用LambertW函数解出了系统的所有平衡态;其次,分析了各平衡态的稳定性;最后,利用排除极限环的存在性证明了各平衡态的全局稳定性.     

带有媒体影响上限的传染病模型研究

媒体报道对传染病的传播有着一定的影响,但它并不是影响其传播的本质因素.通过建立一个具有分段感染率的传染病模型来刻画媒体报道对传染病传播影响的饱和性.分析了系统各平衡态的局部稳定性,同时利用排除极限环的存在性证明了各平衡态的全局稳定性.最后,通过模拟来验证我们的理论分析.     

带有免疫和传染年龄的传染病模型

建立了带有免疫和传染年龄的传染病模型,这种传染病带有病原体Ⅰ或Ⅱ,病原体Ⅰ可发展为病原体Ⅱ,得到了无病平衡态全局稳定和局部稳定的条件.当病原体Ⅰ不发展为病原体Ⅱ时,得到了病原体Ⅰ类平衡态的稳定性依赖于病原体Ⅱ类的基本再生指数.     

一类具有时滞和空间扩散的SIR传染病模型的行波解

研究了一类具有时滞和空间扩散的SIR传染病模型,通过分析相应的特征方程,讨论了系统每个平衡态的局部稳定性,通过运用交叉迭代方法和Schauder不动点定理,把行波解的存在性转化为一对上下解的存在性,通过构造一对上下解,得到了连接无病平衡态和地方病平衡态的行波解的存在性.     

年龄结构的致命性传染病控制模型

本文在Ｂｒａｕｅｒ［１３］的基础上建立了一个致命性大范围传染病的年龄结构分布控制模型（这是一个具有非局部边界条件的偏微分方程组），证明了解的存在唯一性并分析了定常系统的非负平衡态的存在性，建立了相应的稳定性及其收敛性定理．     

一类具有两阶段结构的自治SIS传染病系统

讨论了具有两阶段结构的自治SIS传染病系统,证明了该系统的边界平衡态和正平衡态的全局渐近稳定性,得到了使其渐近稳定的阈值.     

年龄结构乙肝传染病模型及稳定性

本文讨论一年龄结构乙肝传染病模型,得出基本再生数■的表达式,证明:当■1时,无病平衡态局部渐近稳定且全局渐近稳定;当■ 1时,存在唯一的地方病平衡态,并给出地方病平衡态的局部渐近稳定性条件,这些条件对于控制疾病的传播具有重要的理论及实际意义.     

一类具有不同感染率的SIR模型的稳定性分析

建立了一类具有不同感染率且出生和死亡具有密度制约的SIR传染病模型,应用极限系统理论以及Liapunov稳定性定理得到该系统平衡点的稳定性.     

具有媒体饱和效应影响的时滞SIS模型研究

媒体报道对疾病的预防和控制有着重要的作用,其可以减少人们感染疾病的机会.通过建立具有媒体饱和的传染病时滞模型来刻画媒体报道对感染率的影响,首先计算出无病平衡点和当R_01时存在唯一的地方病平衡点;其次,分析了平衡点的稳定性,并得到当参数满足一定条件时,时滞τ超过临界值τ_0,地方病平衡点处会出现Hopf分支;最后,通过数值模拟来验证理论分析.     

考虑媒体播报效应的双时滞传染病模型

在疾病控制过程中, 媒体的重要性举足轻重.该文旨在建立并分析一个含有媒体效应的多时滞传染病模型, 研究模型的稳定性, 并通过分析相应特征方程根, 分别研究在时滞不同的5种情况下, 系统的稳定性发生变化, 以及产生Hopf分支的条件.再利用持续性理论, 证明模型的持续生存性.最后将时滞模型研究结果应用于苏格兰小儿肺炎中, 验证媒体效应对疫情控制起到的重要作用以及时滞大小对模型稳定性的影响.     

一类具有常数输入和垂直传染的SIRI传染病模型

建立了一类易感者及染病者均有常数输入,疾病具有垂直传染以及一般形式饱和接触率的SIRI传染病模型,分别研究了p=0,0相似文献   

Stability of stochastic SIRS epidemic models with saturated incidence rates and delay

In this article, we consider stochastic susceptible-infected-removed-susceptible (SIRS) epidemic models with saturated incidence rates and delay. We investigate the stochastic stability in probability of the disease-free and endemic equilibria for the stochastic dynamic model with variability in the natural death rate, and the stochastic stability in probability of the endemic equilibrium for the dynamic model when the variability in the environment is proportional to a deviation between the state of the system and the endemic equilibrium. The numerical experiments are provided to support our theoretical results.     

Stability preserving NSFD scheme for a multi‐group SVIR epidemic model

A discrete multi‐group SVIR epidemic model with general nonlinear incidence rate and vaccination is investigated by utilizing Mickens' nonstandard finite difference scheme to a corresponding continuous model. Mathematical analysis shows that the global asymptotic stability of the equilibria is fully determined by the basic reproduction number by constructing Lyapunov functions. The results imply that the discretization scheme can efficiently preserves the global asymptotic stability of the equilibria for corresponding continuous model, and numerical simulations are carried out to illustrate the theoretical results. Copyright © 2017 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Threshold dynamics of a nonlinear multi‐group epidemic model with two infinite distributed delays

The global stability of equilibria is investigated for a nonlinear multi‐group epidemic model with latency and relapses described by two distributed delays. The results show that the global dynamics are completely determined by the basic reproduction number under certain reasonable conditions on the nonlinear incidence rate. Moreover, compared with the results in Michael Y. Li and Zhisheng Shuai, Journal Differential Equations 248 (2010) 1–20, it is found that the two distributed delays have no impact on the global behaviour of the model. Our study improves and extends some known results in recent literature. Copyright © 2016 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

An Infectious Disease Model With Media Coverage and Limited Medical Resources北大核心CSCD

该文建立和分析了一类具有媒体报道效应和有限医疗资源的传染病动力学模型,定义了疾病的基本再生数,分析了平衡点的存在性和稳定性,给出了系统发生前向分支、后向分支和Hopf分支的条件.通过数值模拟发现：提高媒体报道的信息覆盖率或医院对病人的最大容纳量,可以显著降低疾病流行的峰值或稳态时的感染人数;随着参数变化,系统不仅可能会产生后向分支或前向分支,还可能会出现鞍结点分支、Hopf分支以及地方病平衡点稳定性随参数变化而变化等动力学行为.     

On the Lyapunov stability for SIRS epidemic models with general nonlinear incidence rate

We study an epidemic model for infections with non permanent acquired immunity (SIRS). The incidence rate is assumed to be a general nonlinear function of the susceptibles and the infectious classes. By using a peculiar Lyapunov function, we obtain necessary and sufficient conditions for the local nonlinear stability of equilibria. Conditions ensuring the global stability are also obtained. Unlike the recent literature on this subject, here no restrictions are required about the monotonicity and concavity of the incidence rate with respect to the infectious class. Among the applications, the noteworthy case of a convex incidence rate is provided.     

Local and global bifurcations in an SIRS epidemic model

This paper studies the existence and stability of the disease-free equilibrium and endemic equilibria for the SIRS epidemic model with the saturated incidence rate, considering the factor of population dynamics such as the disease-related, the natural mortality and the constant recruitment of population. Analytical techniques are used to show, for some parameter values, the periodic solutions can arise through the Hopf bifurcation, which is important to carry different strategies for the controlling disease. Then the codimension-two bifurcation, i.e. BT bifurcation, is investigated by using a global qualitative method and the curves of saddle-node bifurcation, Hopf bifurcation and homoclinic bifurcation are obtained at the degenerate equilibrium. Moreover, several numerical simulations are given to support the theoretical analysis.     

Bifurcation analysis of an SIRS epidemic model with standard incidence rate and saturated treatment function

An epidemic model with standard incidence rate and saturated treatment function of infectious individuals is proposed to understand the effect of the capacity for treatment of infective individuals on the disease spread. The treatment function in this paper is a continuous and differential function which exhibits the effect of delayed treatment when the rate of treatment is lower and the number of infected individuals is getting larger. It is proved that the existence and stability of the disease-free and endemic equilibria for the model are not only related to the basic reproduction number but also to the capacity for treatment of infective individuals. And a backward bifurcation is found when the capacity is not enough. By computing the first Lyapunov coefficient, we can determine the type of Hopf bifurcation, i.e., subcritical Hopf bifurcation or supercritical Hopf bifurcation. We also show that under some conditions the model undergoes Bogdanov-Takens bifurcation. Finally, numerical simulations are given to support some of the theoretical results.     

A mathematical model of anorexia and bulimia

In this paper, we propose a mathematical model to study the dynamics of anorexic and bulimic populations. The model proposed takes into account, among other things, the effects of peers' influence, media influence, and education. We prove the existence of three possible equilibria that without media influences are disease‐free, bulimic‐endemic, and endemic. Neglecting media and education effects, we investigate the stability of such equilibria, and we prove that under the influence of media, only one of such equilibria persists and becomes a global attractor. Which of the three equilibria becomes global attractor depends on the other parameters. Copyright © 2014 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Qualitative analysis of a SIR epidemic model with saturated treatment rate

On account of the effect of limited treatment resources on the control of epidemic disease, a saturated removal rate is incorporated into Hethcote’s SIR epidemiological model (Hethcote, SIAM Rev. 42:599–653, 2000). Unlike the original model, the model has two endemic equilibria when R ₀<1. Furthermore, under some conditions, both the disease free equilibrium and one of the two endemic equilibria are asymptotically stable, i.e., the model has bistable equilibria. Therefore, disease eradication not only depends on R ₀ but also on the initial sizes of all sub-populations. By the Poincaré-Bendixson theorem, Poincaré index, center manifold theorem, Hopf bifurcation theorem and Lyapunov-Lasalle theorem, etc., the existence and asymptotical stability of the equilibria, the existence, stability and direction of Hopf bifurcation are discussed, respectively.