一般均衡模型中的最优税收体系

研究了带货币的一般均衡模型中的最优税收体系.在模型中,加入了人力资本的积累路径,假设消费者可以从持有货币的行为中获得效用,即money-in-utility.结果表明,当在一个一般均衡模型中结合了货币效用,弗里德曼法则仍然成立,并且将使税后的实际最优债券回报率归零.同时发现,在此模型的假设条件下,政府可以对劳动不收税,但要收取非常重的资本回报税(资本回报完全上缴税收),此时社会总福利最大.     

具有食饵避难的Leslie-Gower最优税收模型分析

建立了发生食饵避难的Leslie-Gower捕食与被捕食系统模型,考虑对捕食种群进行有选择捕获.通过控制税收量加以管理来保护渔业资源不被过渡开发,且讨论了系统平衡点的存在性和稳定性,运用Pontryagin最大值原理得到了达到最优税收量的最优平衡解.     

财政腐败的宏观经济分析:一个理论框架

建立了一个考虑税收腐败和公共支出腐败的经济增长模型,从理论上探讨财政腐败行为及其影响.主要结论归纳:第一,财政腐败降低私人资本的回报率,使厂商的生产力下降,就整体而言阻碍了经济增长.第二,最优税率可能大于或小于Barro的最优税率,取决于征税效率和寻租引发的行政成本,第三,两种类型的公共支出隐含着不同程度的腐败机会,以...     

具有非线性收获及食饵避难的Leslie-Gower模型的税收分析

研究了具有非线性收获及食饵避难的Leslie-Gower模型,讨论了该模型解的正性、有界性及正平衡点的存在性.通过分析特征方程并运用Routh-Hurwitz判别法,得出正平衡点局部渐近稳定的充分性条件.借助Lyapunov函数以及LaSalle不变原理,研究了正平衡点的全局稳定性.利用Pontryagin最大值原理,得到了最优税收τoptimal以及最优平衡解(xoptimal,yoptimal,Eoptimal).数值模拟与理论结果一致.     

改进了的捕食者-食饵系统的征税模型分析

探讨了Holling功能性反应的捕食者-食饵征税模型,修改了更合理的捕获函数.讨论了该系统生物经济平衡点的性态,正平衡点的局部渐近稳定性和全局渐近稳定性条件,并利用Pontrjagin最大值原理得到了最优税收策略.为可再生资源的合理开发利用提供了理论依据.     

“公司+农户”型订单农业供应链的政府税收补贴机制

基于“公司+农户”型订单农业背景,引入“随行就市,保底收购”的合约价格方式并考虑农产品流通中的数量损耗,探究了政府向公司征税并将税收收入补贴给农户对于订单农业供应链决策及运作的影响。首先,在政府对农户的补贴系数外生时,以政府征税不补贴为基准模型,对比分析了政府征税不补贴和征税补贴两种情形下的均衡结果,发现:若公司对农产品深加工,则进项税率小于销项税率,政府对农户进行税收补贴,可激励农户提高生产量并促使公司降低保底价格,进而增加双方期望收益,即征税补贴是征税不补贴的帕累托改善;若公司对农产品初加工,进项税率等于销项税率,则税收补贴带来的收益全部被公司利用其强势地位所攫取,单纯的税收补贴难以实现农户增产增收的目的。随后,在政府补贴系数内生时,证明了深加工情形下存在唯一最优的税收补贴系数使得政府社会福利最大化,且最优的税收补贴系数随各参数的变化存在上下界。最后,引入数值算例验证了上述结论,同时发现,深加工情形下政府决策的最优税收补贴系数随流通损耗率的增加而减小,随销项税率和供应链边际利润率的增大而增大;社会福利和公司的期望收益对流通损耗率的变化较之农户的期望收益对其变化更为敏感。     

税收预测模型的拟合与分析

张伦俊．税收预测模型的拟合与分析．本文对１９７８年以来我国税收资料进行拟合分析,寻求最佳模型,提供决策参考     

ON THE CRAM(E)R-LUNDBERG RISK MODEL WITH A CONSTANT FORCE OF INTEREST AND SURPLUS-DEPENDENT LOSS-CARRY-FORWARD TAX STRUCTURE

本文研究了带常数利率和盈余相依型loss-carry-forward税收系统的Cramér-Lundberg风险模型.利用无穷小分析方法及该过程具有的的强马氏性,得出了保险公司从开始运营到破产期间税收折现总额的数学期望表达式.作为例子,本文给出了指数分布索赔假定下该税收折现函数的具体表达式.     

关于带常数利率与盈余相依型loss-carry-forward税收系统的Cramr-Lundberg风险模型(英文)

本文研究了带常数利率和盈余相依型loss-carry-forward税收系统的Cramr-Lundberg风险模型.利用无穷小分析方法及该过程具有的的强马氏性,得出了保险公司从开始运营到破产期间税收折现总额的数学期望表达式.作为例子,本文给出了指数分布索赔假定下该税收折现函数的具体表达式.     

政府支出结构、扭曲性税收及内生贴现因子

在一个无穷期限模型中,假设经济主体具有完全理性,通过将常数贴现因子转换为关于效用水平的内生变量,利用跨期优化方法重新考虑了政府支出结构、扭曲性税收对宏观经济变量的影响.尤其关注这两种变量的长期和短期变化对资本积累路径的影响,理论模型表明,当贴现因子内生化后,政府支出结构和扭曲性税收对宏观经济的影响会更为复杂,尤其体现在生产性支出上.     

Optimal income taxation with discrete skill distribution

This paper studies the pattern of the optimal marginal income tax rates in a discrete model allowing all forms of individual skill distribution. It derives an explicit solution to the optimal marginal income tax rates in terms of the parameters of the model, and then rigorously shows the optimal marginal tax rate can be U-shaped, inverse U-shaped, strictly increasing, or strictly decreasing in the interior of skill levels, depending crucially on skill distribution. The numerical examples indicate that the optimal marginal tax rates can be W-shaped and inverse W-shaped in the interior of skill levels. The explicit solution to the optimal marginal income tax rate derived in this discrete model can be used to find optimal marginal income tax rates for an economy with any empirical skill distribution, without the need to estimate the density function of skill.     

RECURSIVE UTILITY,PRODUCTIVE GOVERNMENT EXPENDITURE AND OPTIMAL FISCAL POLICY

This paper employs a stochastic endogenous growth model extended to the case of a recursive utility function which can disentangle intertemporal substitution from risk aversion to analyze productive government expenditure and optimal fiscal policy, particularly stresses the importance of factor income. First, the explicit solutions of the central planner＇s stochastic optimization problem are derived, the growth maximizing and welfare-maximizing government expenditure policies are obtained and their standing in conflict or coincidence depends upon intertemporal substitution. Second, the explicit solutions of the representative individual＇s stochastic optimization problem which permits to tax on capital income and labor income separately are derived ,and it is found that the effect of risk on growth crucially depends on the degree of risk aversion,the intertemporal elasticity of substitution and the capital income share. Finally, a flexible optimal tax policy which can be internally adjusted to a certain extent is derived, and it is found that the distribution of factor income plays an important role in designing the optimal tax policy.     

政府投资环保的随机增长模型

本文分析了一个带有污染的随机内生增长模型.利用随机最优化的方法,求出了最优的政府环保投资比率和最优的税收政策.并进一步得出了最优的收入税因污染的外部性指标、生产的扰动的增大而减少;而最优消费税则因这两个参数的增大而增加的结论.     

The optimal progressive income tax: The existence and the limit tax rates

The purpose of this paper is to consider the problem of optimal income taxation in the domain of a progressive (convex) income tax function. This paper proves the existence of an optimal tax function and proves that the optimal marginal and average tax rates tend asymptotically to 100 percent as the income level becomes arbitrarily high.     

纳税最优的工资奖金分配方案研究

根据我国现行的税法,个人所得税纳税采用九级累进税率.年工资和年终奖在速算扣除数个数上存在不同,使得对于相同的税前年收入,如果采用不同的年工资和年终奖分配方案会产生不同的税后实际所得.通过简化变量和缩小有效解区域,以及一系列严格的数学推导,得到了任意年收入下,月工资和年终奖的最优分配方案,使得在现有税制下,纳税额最小,税后收入最大.这个最优方案避免了税金负效应现象,保证了纳税公平性,有利于国家税务监管,企业员工薪金分配和个人纳税筹划;具有广阔的应用前景.     

Lundberg’s risk process with tax

In this paper we extend the classical Cramér–Lundberg risk model by including tax payments. The considered tax rule is to pay a certain proportion of the premium income, whenever the portfolio is in a profitable situation. It is shown that the resulting survival probability is a power of the survival probability without tax. Furthermore, an explicit expression for the expected discounted total sum of tax payments until ruin according to this taxation rule is derived and the optimal starting level for taxation is determined. Finally, numerical illustrations of the results are given for the case of exponential claim amounts.     

Optimal scheduling of income tax prepayments under stochastic incomes

This paper presents a stochastic model for the optimal scheduling of income tax prepayments (or advances) when the tax-payer has to choose his prepayments under stochastic incomes and incurs penalties for insufficient prepayments. We present an exact optimal solution and an approximate conditional decision rule. We also provide an error bound on the approximate solution. We then study various taxation laws and show that the error bound on the approximate solution is low when the taxation system tends to promote more regular prepayments.     

工薪类个税征收标准对调节居民收入分配作用的统计分析

个人所得税一直是中国老百姓最关注的话题之一,2011年个税征收标准改革的问题再次引起大家的关注,主要焦点集中在工资、薪金类的个税征收的起征点和累进税率。本文选择2001至2010年31个省份的19行业的平均工资为基础数据,运用SPSS统计分析软件分别按省份和行业作为因子对税前和税后的平均工资做方差分析,利用假设检验的P值构造统计量,定义了调节比和调节得分两个评价指标,用这两个指标衡量个人所得税征收标准对缩小工资差距的效用。本文中该模型把个税征收标准对调节居民收入分配的效果数量化,通过得分指标的变动说明过去两次个税征收标准调整的必要性以及今年审议的第四套个人所得税征收标准草案的优劣。还可以通过该模型构建的指标对某套个人所得税的征收标准是否适应当前经济发展需要起到参考作用。     

对偶理论在福利经济学中的应用

本文首先在效用函数为凹的条件下,建立了政府追求社会福利最大化和资源消耗最小化的优化模型,然后运用对偶理论证明了在政府调控下,社会福利的最大化和资源消耗的最小化能够同时实现,并给出了政府对不同收入消费者实行的个人所得税率与补贴率,最后指出社会福利最大化点是帕累托最优的,     

Optimal tax depreciation with uncertain future cash-flows

Since taxable income consists of cash-flows reduced with depreciation charges, the choice of the depreciation method affects taxable income in future periods. A manager can therefore try to minimize the present value of future tax payments by choosing a particular depreciation method among those that are accepted by the tax authorities. We focus here on the choice between the two most commonly used methods in practice, i.e. the straight line depreciation method (SDM) and an accelerated depreciation method (ADM), such as the double declining balance (DDB) method and the sum of the years–digits (SYD) method. We show how the optimal choice depends on the discount factor, the degree of uncertainty in future cash-flows, and the structure of the tax system.