随机调幅Rattling系统建模

本文研究了一个随机调幅Ｒａｔｌｉｎｇ系统·代替常用的数值分析方法,采用非高斯截断技术,导出一个由三维平均映射描述的离散的随机模型·实测指出该模型能揭示浑沌随机性质,故更适于用以模拟齿轮箱噪声源     

miR-212 在乳腺浸润性导管癌 组织中的表达及效应分析

本文建立随机环境中具有随机控制函数的两性分枝过程,得到该模型概率母函数之间的关系式.当控制函数上可加时,证明配对单元平均增长率的极限是存在的,同时得到配对单元平均增长率一系列的极限性质,进而推进了前人的研究.     

树上路径过程的随机路径条件概率的极限性质

本文研究了树上路径过程的极限性质.利用构造鞅的方法得到了树上路径过程的条件概率调和平均的极限性质.所得结果推广了树上非齐次马氏链随机转移概率和任意随机变量序列随机条件概率的调和平均极限性质.     

随机映射图的连接概率

本文将计算随机映射图的给定顶点集的任意分类的连接概率及其极限性质,导出随机映射图的连通分支个数的分布与渐进分布．     

树上非齐次马氏链随机转移概率的极限性质

收稿研究树上非齐次马氏链随机转移概率的调和平均极限性质,所得结果将非齐次马氏链上随机转移概率调和平均性质推广到树图上.     

树上二重非齐次马氏链随机转移概率的极限性质

研究树上二重非齐次马氏链随机转移概率的调和平均极限性质,作为推论,得到了树上非齐次马氏链以及非齐次马氏链上的随机转移概率调和平均极限性质.     

赌博破产概率及其随机模拟试验

讨论了赌博问题中的最终破产概率,并给出了破产概率的随机模拟计算流程和一个具体例子的数值模拟结果.计算结果表明,由此方法得到破产概率的估计值与理论值的误差很小.最后,通过随机模拟给出游戏结束的平均次数.     

一类时间随机环境中随机游动

利用概率母函数方法,通过对一类时间随机环境中随机游动首中时性质的研究,得到了该随机游动的常返准则和一个强大数定律.     

随机环境下一类时序模型的伴随非常返性

提出了一个随机环境下的时间序列模型,应用马氏链的随机稳定性理论,讨论了该模型确定的序列{Xn)的概率性质,给出了{Xn}为伴随非常返的充分性条件.     

响应变量删失情况下线性模型的FIC模型选择和模型平均

本文给出了响应变量随机右删失情况下线性模型的FIC (focused information criterion) 模型选择方法和光滑FIC 模型平均估计方法, 证明了兴趣参数的FIC 模型选择估计和光滑FIC 模型平均估计的渐近正态性, 通过随机模拟研究了估计的有限样本性质, 模拟结果显示, 从均方误差和一定置信水平置信区间的经验覆盖概率看, 兴趣参数的光滑FIC 模型平均估计均优于FIC, AIC (Akaikeinformation criterion) 和BIC (Bayesian information citerion) 等模型选择估计; 而FIC 模型选择估计与AIC 和BIC 等模型选择估计相比, 也表现出了一定的优越性. 通过分析原发性胆汁性肝硬化数据集, 说明了本文方法在实际问题中的应用.     

Dynamical Analysis for a General Jerky Equation with Random Excitation

A general jerky equation with random excitation is investigated in this paper. Before introducing the random excitation term, the equation is reduced to a two-dimensional model when undergoing a Hopf bifurcation. Then the model with the parametric excitation and external excitation is converted to a stochastic differential equation with singularity based on the stochastic average theory. For the equation, its dynamical behaviors are analyzed in different parameters'' spaces, including the stability, stochastic bifurcation and stationary solution. Besides, numerical simulations are given to show the asymptotic behavior of the stationary solution.     

A stochastic recirculation system with random access

A model for a stochastic recirculation system with randomly accessed multiple heterogeneous servers, no waiting rooms, and exponentially-distributed service times is provided. In this system the units are assigned to one of the servers upon arrival by random mechanism. Units which find all servers busy recirculate and combine with the incoming arrivals and join those already in the system to initiate the next cycle. The equilibrium behavior of the internal and external stochastic processes of the system is analyzed using a two parameter approximation. A simulation model is also developed and its behavior is compared against the analytical model at the steady state. The model with randomly-accessed servers is compared to a single server model already established in the literature. The performance of the model is then examined for a wide range of parameter values to obtain conclusions about its optimal performances.     

具有非线性传染率和时滞的随机SIQR计算机病毒模型的渐近行为

研究了一类具有非线性发生率和时滞的随机SIQR计算机病毒模型.首先证明了该系统具有唯一的全局正解,然后通过构造适当的Lyapunov函数并利用伊藤公式,分析了该模型的解在无病平衡点附近及地方病平衡点附近的渐近行为,最后通过数值模拟对随机系统解的渐近行为做了进一步的分析并给出了结论.     

具有标准发生率的随机SIR传染病模型的建立及平稳分布与疾病灭绝研究

研究了一类具有标准发生率以及考虑随机扰动与系统变量成正比的随机SIR传染病模型.首先,对于任意的正的初值,系统存在唯一的全局正解以及通过构造合适的随机李雅普诺夫函数,得到了模型遍历平稳分布存在的充分条件.其次,给出了疾病灭绝的充分条件,并与模型遍历平稳分布存在的充分条件作对比,得出了在特定条件下随机SIR模型的阈值.最后通过数值模拟验证了结果的正确性.     

谐和与随机噪声联合作用下的粘弹系统

研究了粘弹系统在谐和与随机噪声联合作用下的响应和稳定性问题.用谐波平衡法和随机平均法分析了系统在确定性谐和激励和随机激励联合作用下的响应,讨论了粘弹项、随机扰动项对系统响应的影响.结果表明,在一定条件下,系统具有两个均方响应值和跳跃现象.数值模拟表明,谐波平衡法与随机平均法相结合的研究方法是有效的.     

随机能源Logistic反馈控制系统的分岔研究

建立了非线性随机动力模型—带噪声的能源Logistic反馈控制模型,应用随机平均法对随机动力模型进行了简化,得到了一个二维的扩散过程.二维过程满足Ito型随机微分方程,应用不变测度理论研究了该模型的随机分岔.最后,给出了数值实验验证了相应的结论.     

Numerical comparison of three stochastic methods for nonlinear PN junction problems

We apply the Monte Carlo, stochastic Galerkin, and stochastic collocation methods to solving the drift-diffusion equations coupled with the Poisson equation arising in semiconductor devices with random rough surfaces. Instead of dividing the rough surface into slices, we use stochastic mapping to transform the original deterministic equations in a random domain into stochastic equations in the corresponding deterministic domain. A finite element discretization with the help of AFEPack is applied to the physical space, and the equations obtained are solved by the approximate Newton iterative method. Comparison of the three stochastic methods through numerical experiment on different PN junctions are given. The numerical results show that, for such a complicated nonlinear problem, the stochastic Galerkin method has no obvious advantages on efficiency except accuracy over the other two methods, and the stochastic collocation method combines the accuracy of the stochastic Galerkin method and the easy implementation of the Monte Carlo method.     

带加法白噪声的随机Boussinesq方程组的解的渐近行为

考虑速度和温度同时在加法白噪声扰动下的随机Boussinesq方程组的解的渐近特征.可以接轨道得到该随机方程组的唯一解,并可以验证该解生成随机动力系统,进而证明了该随机动力系统存在随机吸引子.     

交通网络下的多厂商两阶段随机非合作博弈问题——基于随机变分不等式

研究集生产、运输和销售为一体的多个制造商在随机市场环境下的两阶段随机非合作博弈问题.首先,建立了该两阶段随机非合作博弈问题的模型,然后将其转化为两阶段随机变分不等式(Stochastic Variational Inequality,简称SVI).在温和的假设条件下,证明了该问题存在均衡解,并通过Progressive Hedging Method(简称PHM)进行求解.最后,通过改变模型中随机变量的分布和成本参数,分析与研究厂商的市场行为.     

The asymptotic behaviors of a stochastic social epidemics model with multi-perturbation

Alcohol abuse is a major social problem, which is often called social epidemic, for the some similarities to the classical infectious diseases. In this paper, we formulated a new stochastic alcoholism model based on the deterministic model proposed in \cite{Wangxy}, with the mortalities of all populations as well as the contact infected coefficient are all perturbed. Based on this model, we investigate the long-term stochastic dynamics behaviors of two equilibria of the corresponding deterministic model and point out the effect of random disturbance on the stability of the system. Finally, we carry out numerical simulations to support our theoretical results.