基于演化博弈论的行人与机动车冲突演化机理研究

行人与机动车冲突时,各自都会在经过简单判断后以一定的概率选择通过.本文根据人车冲突的实际情景提出基础收益、冲突损失、等待损失以及互让损失的概念,据此构建行人与机动车的冲突博弈矩阵,并依据演化分析范式,建立人车冲突演化的动力学模型.对不同交通情形下均衡点的位置、稳定性以及系统演化机理进行深入分析,发现不同的行人与机动车的冲突损失和等待损失相对大小,对应系统的演化方向不同,可能的演化方向包括"人让车","车让人","人让车,同时车让人"以及"人不让车,车不让人".此外,定义机会损失的交通概念,据此分析系统关于行人与机动车的互让损失以及机会损失的灵敏度,发现行人或机动车互让损失的增加对于各自通过概率有着上升促进和下降抑制作用,而机会损失的作用恰好与互让损失相反.本文建立的动力学模型可以为人车冲突演化方向的宏观调控提供理论依据.     

基于元胞自动机的行人和机动车相互干扰机理研究

在行人流量大的人行横道处,机动车和行人之间存在较为严重的干扰.通过引入行人和机动车的冲突干扰规则, 构建了能够刻画人行横道处机动车和行人相互干扰行为的元胞自动机模型.通过数值模拟研究了行人到达率、机动车到达率、 行人冒险穿越机动车道的阈值以及行人对机动车敏感系数等因素对机动车和行人流量的影响. 模拟结果显示,所提出的模型很好地反映了行人与机动车之间的干扰特性;随着行人冒险穿越机动车道的阈值的增加, 机动车流量增大,行人流量减小;随着行人对机动车敏感系数的增加,行人避让概率减小,机动车流量减小,行人流量增大. 所得结果对混合交通的控制和管理具有一定的指导意义.     

基于精细微观交通流模型的信号交叉口人-车相互干扰研究

采用微观离散模型研究信号交叉口的人-车相互干扰机理,其中车辆运动描述基于细化NaSch模型并考虑了司机对交通灯信号切换的预期效应;行人运动描述则基于多步格子气模型并考虑了过街绿灯周期内行人过街速度逐渐增加的特征.机动车与行人之间相互干扰表现为交通灯信号切换时由于车辆(行人)滞留冲突区而造成行人(车辆)运动的延误.通过数值模拟得到了车辆运动的基本图、行人等待时间以及相应的相图,并给出行人(车辆)滞留冲突区内造成车辆(行人)延迟的定量特征.模拟结果发现存在一个临界绿信比.当绿信比小于临界值时,随着密度的增大,车流出现自由流相、饱和流相和拥堵流相;而当绿信比大于临界值,则出现自由流相、共存相、饱和流相和拥堵流相.由人-车相互干扰所导致的延误与车流和行人流的运行状态密切相关.当行人到达率和绿信比都比较大时,等待区内的行人无法在行人绿灯周期内一次清空.文中详细地讨论了人-车相互干扰的定性和定量特征.发现通过合理设置绿信比,可以在保证车流运行效率的同时,减少行人过街的等待时间.     

通过博弈的室内行人疏散动力学研究

在室内行人疏散过程中,行人博弈对疏散效率有着重要的影响.本文把抵制博弈策略更新的强度定义为抵制强度. 为了研究抵制强度对疏散效率的影响, 通过在行人博弈策略更新的概率中引入抵制强度,基于元胞自动机模型数值计算在不同的行人密度, 出口宽度下疏散总时间随抵制强度变化的关系.结果表明: 室内行人疏散过程中, 抵制强度小会使得争抢行为极其容易蔓延. 当行人密度小且出口宽大时, 输入以急速疏散为主的规范信息,鼓励行人模仿优胜者更新博弈策略, 当行人密度大且出口狭小时, 输入以避让为主的规范信息抑制行人争抢,都能提高疏散效率. 最后找出不同条件下与最短疏散总时间相对应的优化抵制强度, 为提高室内行人疏散效率提供一个新的视角.     

十字路口人车相互干扰交通流的研究

基于十字路口过街行人与机动车的特点,建立十字路口过街行人和机动车相互干扰的元胞自动机交通流模型。在开放边界条件下通过计算机数值模拟,研究了有红绿灯控制时,周期、绿信比、人与车的产生概率、车消失概率对车流量、过街人数的影响。通过比较有和无红绿灯控制时的车流量与行人过街数,得到了绿信比的最佳取值范围。     

机动车协商模型与分岔特性研究

在环行交叉路口交通流中, 由于行驶目的的不同存在三种类型冲突. 为了真实模拟人类的自治性和智能性, 先将机动车建立为一个含有驾驶员模型的智能体, 再耦合环行交叉口的元胞自动机模型组成多智能体系统. 在总结每种类型交通冲突特点和规律的基础上, 提出通过优先级策略和动态协商机制消解机动车智能体相互之间的冲突问题. 以某中小城市城的典型环行交叉路口交通流量为样本数据, 对比验证模型的正确性, 并且进一步研究了交通流的分岔特性, 发现一定条件下流量的周期分岔和混沌现象. 数值模拟结果表明, 所建模型符合实际情况, 并且内环发生冲突越严重车流量越低, 随着机动车属性参数k和p的变化, 系统从稳定走向分岔再到混沌. 关键词： 多智能体 元胞自动机 协商 分岔     

基于教室人群疏散实验的行人流建模和模拟

基于教室人群疏散实验, 从中归纳出疏散过程中行人的基本运动特征. 将桌椅分别视为不可穿越和可穿越的静态障碍物, 而行人则被当成可移动的障碍物, 这将导致背景场随人群的运动而动态更新, 因此可以更好地反映前方拥挤程度对后面人群路径选择行为的影响. 采用基于动态背景场的元胞自动机模型研究了不同桌椅排列和出口宽度的教室人群疏散过程, 给出了疏散时间的空间分布以及平均和最大疏散时间, 再现了实验中人群疏散的基本特征. 数值模拟结果表明, 疏散时间取决于桌椅的排列方式和教室出口的宽度. 对于同一种排列, 出口越小则疏散时间越长; 对于给定的出口宽度, 通常随着过道数的增加, 疏散时间随之减少; 当过道数增加且过道宽度不足以两人并行, 从两侧进入过道的行人会发生冲突, 使疏散效率有所降低; 靠近出口一侧墙壁设置过道有利于人群的疏散. 文中进一步分析了模拟与实验结果存在差异的原因.     

交叉口混合交通流元胞自动机模型及仿真研究

本文以右转机动车和直行自行车为对象研究交叉口混合交通流特性.基于交叉口机非干扰特性,将机动车元胞模型和自行车元胞模型进行了耦合,建立了考虑自行车穿越机动车延时、机动车穿越自行车间隙和冲突区占据处置等规则的交叉口混合交通流元胞自动机模型(NS-BCA).对右转机动车与直行自行车混合交通流进行了仿真,从流量-车辆到达率关系、交通流相位相变、交通流相位-到达率-混合交通流状态等方面研究了交叉口混合交通流的机非干扰机理.     

通道中行人-机动车相互作用机理的建模和模拟

本文研究了通道中行人与车辆同向或反向运动时的人车相互作用.车辆运动的描述采用细化的确定性元胞自动机模型,而行人流则采用考虑背景场的格子气模型.车辆及其影响区被视为一种可移动的障碍物,形成动态变化的背景场,可以更好地反映人车之间的相互作用.通过数值模拟得到典型参数下的行人流基本图以及平均车速随行人密度的变化曲线.人车反向时行人流基本图中存在两个临界密度,其间的行人流量-密度曲线呈线性分布,曲线斜率k主要依赖于车辆宽度和行人预判时间,而平均车速近似为k,即反向车辆形成的移动瓶颈和行人拥堵向上游传播的速度是一致的.文中进一步考察了行人预判时间、车辆宽度及限速对人车混合交通流的影响.人车同向时,这三个参数的影响都不明显.人车反向时,当车辆宽度较小,即使在很高密度下,车辆仍可以前行,而更大的行人预判时间也有助于车辆的运动.     

两相流有限穿越可视图演化动力学研究

针对小管径两相流流动特性, 全新优化设计弧形对壁式电导传感器. 通过动态实验在获取传感器测量信号的基础上, 采用有限穿越可视图理论构建对应于不同流型的两相流复杂网络. 通过分析发现, 有限穿越可视图网络异速生长指数和网络平均度值的联合分布可实现对小管径两相流的流型辨识; 有限穿越可视图度分布曲线峰值可有效刻画与泡径大小分布相关的流动物理结构细节特征; 网络平均度值可表征流动结构的宏观特性; 网络异速生长指数对流体动力学复杂性十分敏感, 可揭示不同流型演化过程中的细节演化动力学特性. 两相流测量信号的有限穿越可视图分析为揭示两相流流型的形成及演化动力学机理提供了新途径. 关键词： 两相流 复杂网络 有限穿越可视图 网络异速生长指数     

Simulation study on cooperation behaviors and crowd dynamics in pedestrian evacuation

Pedestrian evacuation is actually a process of behavioral evolution. Interaction behaviors between pedestrians affect not only the evolution of their cooperation strategy, but also their evacuation paths-scheduling and dynamics features. The existence of interaction behaviors and cooperation evolution is therefore critical for pedestrian evacuation. To address this issue, an extended cellular automaton(CA) evacuation model considering the effects of interaction behaviors and cooperation evolution is proposed here. The influence mechanism of the environment factor and interaction behaviors between neighbors on the decision-making of one pedestrian to path scheduling is focused. Average payoffs interacting with neighbors are used to represent the competitive ability of one pedestrian, aiming to solve the conflicts when more than one pedestrian competes for the same position based on a new method. Influences of interaction behaviors, the panic degree and the conflict cost on the evacuation dynamics and cooperation evolution of pedestrians are discussed. Simulation results of the room evacuation show that the interaction behaviors between pedestrians to a certain extent are beneficial to the evacuation efficiency and the formation of cooperation behaviors as well. The increase of conflict cost prolongs the evacuation time. Panic emotions of pedestrians are bad for cooperation behaviors of the crowd and have complex effects on evacuation time. A new self-organization effect is also presented.     

Dynamic characteristics of traffic flow with consideration of pedestrians’ road-crossing behavior

Pedestrians’ road-crossing behavior can often interrupt traffic flow and cause vehicle queueing. In this paper, we propose some moving rules for modeling the interaction of vehicles and pedestrians. The modified visual angle car-following model is presented for the movement of vehicles with consideration of the lateral effect of waiting pedestrians. The pedestrians’ behavior is summarized as consisting of three steps: pedestrian arrival, gap acceptance, and pedestrian crossing. Some characteristic parameters of pedestrians are introduced to characterize pedestrians’ behavior. Simulation results show that the interaction of vehicles and pedestrians lowers the traffic capacity and increases delays to both vehicles and pedestrians.     

Effect of Aspiration and Mean Gain on the Emergence of Cooperation in Unidirectional Pedestrian Flow

When more than one pedestrian want to move to the same site,conflicts appear and thus the involved pedestrians play a motion game.In order to describe the emergence of cooperation during the conflict resolving process,an evolutionary cellular automation model is established considering the effect of aspiration and mean gain.In each game,pedestrian may be gentle cooperator or aggressive defector.We propose a set of win-stay-lose-shrift WSLS like rules for updating pedestrian's strategy.These rules prescribe that if the mean gain of current strategy between some given steps is larger than aspiration the strategy keeps,otherwise the strategy changes.The simulation results show that a high level aspiration will lead to more cooperation.With the increment of the statistic length,pedestrians will be more rational in decision making.It is also found that when the aspiration level is small enough and the statistic length is large enough all the pedestrian will turn to defectors.We use the prisoner's dilemma model to explain it.At last we discuss the effect of aspiration on fundamental diagram.     

Evacuation flow of pedestrians considering compassion effect

By means of game theory, the effect of compassion mechanism on the evacuation dynamics of pedestrians from a room is studied based on a cellular automaton model. Pedestrians can choose to cooperate or defect in a snowdrift game during the movement. With the compassion mechanism, pedestrians share their payoff to the poorest peer when several pedestrians compete for the same empty cell. Simulation results show that the escape time grows with fear degree r of the snowdrift game, and the compassion mechanism will have a different effect on the system compared with the situation of a spatial game with fixed population. By payoff redistribution, the compassion can help the minor strategy to survive. When the fear degree r is large, the compassion can sustain the cooperative behavior, and spontaneously decreases the escape time. When the fear degree r is small, the compassion will decrease the cooperation frequency, and slightly increase the escape time. The phenomenon is explained by the evolution and competition of defectors and cooperators in the system.Finally, the effect of initial cooperator proportion, the effect of two exits, and the effect of "Richest-Following" strategy,and the effect of initial density are also discussed.     

Model and application of bidirectional pedestrian flows at signalized crosswalks

This research of bidirectional pedestrian flows at signalized crosswalks is divided into two parts: model and application. In the model part, a mixed survey including the questionnaire investigation and tracking investigation is conducted to gain the basic data about walking tendentiousness of a pedestrian crossing. Then, the forward, right-hand, outstripping,and influential coefficients are outlined to quantize walking tendentiousness of pedestrian crossing and estimate transition probabilities of pedestrians. At last, an improved cellular automation model is proposed to describe walking tendentiousness and crossing behaviors of pedestrians. In the application part, channelization research of bidirectional pedestrian flows is presented for real signalized crosswalk. In this process, the effects of right-side-walking and conformity behaviors on the efficiency of pedestrian crossing are thoroughly analyzed based on simulations and experiments to obtain a final channelization method to raise the efficiency of a pedestrian crossing at the crosswalk.     

Phase diagrams on an unsignalized intersection for the cases of different maximum velocities of vehicles

Using the cellular automaton traffic flow model, we investigate an unsignalized intersection which consists of two perpendicular one-lane roads. Both the roads cross at a point and the intersecting roads are cyclic. Each vehicle may pass or occupy the intersection where all the vehicles on both roads are not allowed to turn. Different from Ishibashi and Fukui’s studies in which the update is carried out for both roads in turn, the parallel update is proposed and its detailed rules are presented in our model. In this work, the cases of different maximum vehicle velocities on both roads are considered. Based on simulation results and the principle for constructing phase diagrams, phase diagrams are mapped out and their specific flow formulas for all the regions in the phase diagrams are obtained for various vehicle densities, which are seldom done in previous studies. One also finds that the topology of phase diagrams depends on the update rules of eastbound and northbound roads and their maximum velocities of vehicles.