三层供应链上需求信息不对称下Newsboy型协作问题

本文主要研究单产品在单周期内由供应商、制造商、零售商组成的三层供应链上的协作订购问题,即在随机需求下供应商、制造商、零售商以利润最大化为目的的最优协作订购问题。在需求信息不对称下,零售商充分了解需求信息。在协作订购时面临四种策略,给出了在这四种策略下的四种利润模型及零售商在这四种策略下的最优订购量并比较它们的大小,最后通过需求服从正态分布的实例验证了供应商一制造商一零售商在采用数量折扣和返回措施三者完全合作时供应链上的利润最大。     

ARMA（1,1）需求下的信息延迟对供应链最优决策的影响

在假定顾客需求满足ARMA（1,1）过程的前提下,考虑了由一个零售商和一个供应商所组成的两级供应链系统最优订购决策问题.分别建立了需求信息不延迟与延迟这两种情形下零售商和供应商的最优订购决策模型,通过比较得出：当需求呈正相关时,需求信息延迟不仅可以减小牛鞭效应,而且可以降低供应链系统的平均总成本.     

基于学习效应的供应链信息共享研究

供应链中存在着广泛的信息共享,既包括上下游企业间的纵向性共享,也包括同层企业间的横向信息共享.以一个具有学习效应的供应链为研究对象,为研究信息共享对分散型供应链中零售商决策的影响,提出了一个具有横向信息共享的供应链模型.以Cournot博弈为研究手段,求解了零售商的均衡订货决策和信息共享策略.在此模型中,生产商为多个零售商提供类似的产品,每个零售商具有自己独立的终端市场.零售商面对单周期需求,该需求可以在本周期内满足或者在第二阶段延迟交货.由于学习效应的存在,第二阶段生产商的批发价格是第一阶段总订货量的减函数.零售商在观察到自身的需求之前,达成信息共享的协议.研究结果表明,当第一阶段的均衡订货数量低于需求时,零售商间无共享私有信息的动机,该结果和寡头模型信息共享的相关结果相反.除此之外,在一个总体需求稳定的市场中,信息共享的影响随着零售商数量的增加而递减.此结果对企业在不同市场情况下选择信息共享策略具有重要价值.     

收益共享的寄售契约下供应商生产成本谎报行为分析

在收益共享寄售契约下的两级供应链中,供应商向零售商报告其生产成本;零售商根据供应商报告的生产成本,决定零售商的收益分配比例;供应商决定零售价格和生产数量,并且保持产品的所有权.由于信息不对称,供应商可能谎报其生产成本.作者应用博弈论分析了供应商谎报行为对供应链及其成员决策及绩效的影响.利用解析的方法得出一些理论结果:零售价格在信息对称时小于生产成本信息不对称时;订货数量在信息对称时大于生产成本信息不对称时;零售商的利润分配比例在信息对称时大于生产成本信息不对称时.供应商的谎报行为使其自身利润增加,使零售商和供应链的利润减少.     

指数函数需求下供应链公平偏好信息动态演进研究

在指数函数需求下对零售商公平偏好信息动态演进进行了研究,并与线性需求条件下的研究结论进行了对比分析。研究发现:两种需求条件下可得到相同的结论,如批发价格和零售价格对公平偏好的敏感性分析,批发价格契约不能协调供应链,但却能缓减"双重边际效应"等.同时还发现:两种需求条件下可得到不同的结论,如当零售商为公平偏好类型且信息非对称时,零售商效用、供应链效用在指数函数下随自身公平偏好强度递增而在线性需求函数下随自身公平偏好强度递减等.需求函数的形式会影响供应链中的利润分配,在指数函数需求条件下,零售商利润肯定不比供应商少且只要零售商向供应商传递公平偏好信号,那么零售商就一定能够超过供应商利润,且超过部分随公平偏好度递增.     

突发事件下不对称信息供应链协调机制研究

针对一个由供应商和一个零售商构成的供应链,在零售商成本为私有信息条件下,假设产品的市场需求为零售价格的指数函数,研究如何协调供应链应对突发事件。首先,给出了对称信息下供应链协调模型;然后,研究了不对称信息下集权式与分权式供应链的协调机制;再次,在突发事件引起零售商成本分布函数扰动情况下,通过引入供应商由于可能需要调整生产计划而产生的偏差成本,研究了供应链的最优应对策略。 研究表明,供应链的最优生产计划、最优批发价格和最优零售价格均具有一定的鲁棒性,当突发事件造成零售商期望成本在一定范围内发生扰动时,三者可以保持不变,当零售商期望成本扰动超过一定范围内时,则需要对之加以调整,才能有效应对突发事件。最后,通过数值仿真验证了相关结论。     

外部市场存在替代产品的VMI系统研究

供应商管理用户库存(VMI)作为一种有效的补货机制,能对购买渠道的需求信息做出积极正确的反应.现在对VMI的研究往往集中于单个零售商和单个供应商组成的系统,不考虑VMI系统受市场上其他零售商或供应商的影响.假设市场上多个零售商出售相互之间可替代的产品,某个零售商与其供应商之间应用VMI系统.我们的研究主要有两方面:1)VMI系统是否有助于零售商和供应商组成的供应链在差异产品市场上获得更大的收益;2)供应商和零售商如何决策是否应用VMI系统。     

需求信息泄露条件下供应链零售商订货策略研究

针对供应链订货过程中的需求信息泄露现象,通过对比供应商在泄露信息和不泄露信息情况下的收益,研究了供应链需求信息泄露的产生机理。建立了需求信息泄露条件下订货过程中零售商之间的信号博弈模型,通过模型求解得到了分离均衡和混同均衡的存在条件,并对不同均衡状态下零售商的最优订货策略和最优收益进行了分析。在此基础上,进一步讨论了零售商的订货策略选择问题。最后,通过一个数值算例说明了有关结论的有效性。     

回购契约下双资源渠道供应链协调

分析了零售商既可以从供应商处采购产品同时也可以自己生产的供应链协调问题.提出了回购契约协调该供应链.研究发现,协调回购契约的结构与零售商的需求和产量的随机特征无关,零售商生产和不生产两种情况下的协调回购契约的结构也相同.进一步在假设零售商的需求和产量均为均匀分布下,分析了协调回购契约下零售商的随机产量的价值、零售商的利润和供应商的利润关于批发价和供应商的单位生产成本的变化趋势.     

两层次广告博弈中供应商的一种批发价协调策略

研究了在包含一个供应商和两个零售商的供应链中的广告博弈协调问题.将该问题构造为一个两层次的博弈:供应商与零售商之间的Stackelberg博弈以及零售商之间的合作博弈.供应商作为整个供应链上的主导者,拥有产品批发价和零售价的决策权,而零售商则通过在当地市场上的广告促销投入来影响需求,进而影响整个供应链的收益.研究发现,供应商可以通过简单地设定适当的批发价来影响零售商的广告促销投入,从而使得整个供应链实现最大收益.     

The impact of forecasting model selection on the value of information sharing in a supply chain

This paper presents a study on the impact of forecasting model selection on the value of information sharing in a supply chain with one capacitated supplier and multiple retailers. Using a computer simulation model, this study examines demand forecasting and inventory replenishment decisions by the retailers, and production decisions by the supplier under different demand patterns and capacity tightness. Analyses of the simulation output indicate that the selection of the forecasting model significantly influences the performance of the supply chain and the value of information sharing. Furthermore, demand patterns faced by retailers and capacity tightness faced by the supplier also significantly influence the value of information sharing. The result also shows that substantial cost savings can be realized through information sharing and thus help to motivate trading partners to share information in the supply chain. The findings can also help supply chain managers select suitable forecasting models to improve supply chain performance.     

Risk pooling strategy in a multi-echelon supply chain with price-sensitive demand

This paper studies a nonstationary inventory and pricing problem. We consider a two-echelon supply chain with one supplier and two retailers, in which the supplier carries all inventory to supply the retailers. Both the reserved and pooled inventory systems are analyzed. Results with normally distributed demands are compared. Assuming the random demand at each retailer is price-sensitive, we further consider the cases when the retailers have and do not have service level requirements. We start with analyzing inventory and pricing strategies for the supplier in a one-period scenario. Then we extend our analysis to both the backlogging and lost-sale scenarios in an infinite planning horizon. The first author’s research is sponsored by Grant No. 70502009 and No. 70432001 of the Chinese National Natural Science Foundation and the second author’s research is sponsored by Grant #W911NF-04-D-0003 of the US Army Research Office and Grant #DMI-0553310 of the US National Science Foundation.     

供需不确定条件下考虑双边努力的供应链组合契约设计

本文研究供需同时不确定条件下考虑双边努力的供应链契约设计问题,在一个供应商和一个零售商组成的二级供应链系统中,供应商的努力影响产量的不确定性,零售商的努力影响市场需求的不确定性。首先,利用Stackerberg主从博弈模型计算了分散决策时零售商、供应商的最优期望利润,并将计算结果与集中决策时供应链整体的最优期望利润进行对比。由于双重边际效应的存在,分散决策时供应链的最优期望利润小于集中决策时供应链的最优期望利润。基于此,本文设计了回购和成本分担组合契约来协调该供应链,计算了回购价格和成本分担系数的表达式,得到了回购和成本分担契约下供应商和零售商的最优期望利润。结果表明,在特定条件下,该组合契约不仅可以协调供应链,还可以实现供应链利润的任意分配。最后,通过数值计算,分析了供需双方的决策变量和期望利润随契约参数的变化情况。     

基于模糊加值信息的供应链协调均衡研究

研究由一个供应商和两个零售商组成的供应链共享信息均衡问题。两个零售商具有不同的私有成本信息。当零售商不公开此成本信息时,其他的零售商和供应商只能推断出该信息的模糊分布。不同市场需求参数下,使零售商和供应商均达到最大利润的局势也有所不同。为了使供应链上的供应商和零售商达到双赢,分析了各同均衡策略存在的前提条件。     

A distributed coordination mechanism for supply networks with asymmetric information

The paper analyses the problem of coordination in supply networks of multiple retailers and a single supplier, where partners have asymmetric, private information of demand and costs. After stating generic requirements like distributedness, truthfulness, efficiency and budget balance, we use the apparatus of mechanism design to devise a coordination mechanism that guarantees the above properties in the network. The resulting protocol is a novel realisation of the widely used Vendor Managed Inventory (VMI) where the responsibility of planning is at the supplier. We prove that together with the required generic properties a fair sharing of risks and benefits cannot be guaranteed. We illustrate the general mechanism with a detailed discussion of a specialised version, assuming that inventory planning is done according to the newsvendor model, and explore the operation of this protocol through computational experiments.     

A rewarding-punishing coordination mechanism based on Trust in a divergent supply chain

Coordination of decentralized supply chains using contract design is a problem that has been widely addressed in the literature. We consider a divergent supply chain including a supplier and several retailers producing fashion products with short sale seasons. The retailers cooperate with the supplier as sales agents; i.e., they work in the framework of revenue sharing contracts. Because of their proximity to the market, retailers can provide more accurate demand forecasts to the supplier that is used to decide on issues such as capacity building and market prices with regard to retailers stiff due dates, different lead times and different price-dependent demand functions. To ensure abundant supply and cope with the demand variability, the retailers have an incentive to exaggerate their private forecast information. In this study, we propose a new rewarding-punishing coordination mechanism based on trust between supply chain tiers, considered as a differentiation factor between honest and deceptive partners. An optimization model is developed as a building block of this mechanism. An approximation method is used to simplify and solve the problem. The model is then implemented using Monte-Carlo simulation in four different situations, according to 10 different strategies for forecast information sharing. The findings from the tests show that the mechanism including trust as a decisional factor performs better than ‘No Trust’ mechanism in all situations. These results suggest that taking into account Trust in designing coordination mechanism may have significant influence on the financial performance of the supply chain.     

周期性需求的供应商配送排程优化研究

在供应商管理库存(VMI)模式中,从提高供应商服务水平的视角,研究零售商具有周期性需求,供应商采用直接配送策略情形下以最小化缺货损失为目标的供应商配送日程安排问题。根据零售商最大需求周期的特点,设计了R倍放大(RTE)策略,分别针对实际中的边际缺货损失费率、固定缺货损失费率和递增缺货损失费率,证明了RTE策略在配送周期满足不同条件下对应的近似比。通过近似比的比较和算例分析,发现RTE策略在边际缺货损失费率下表现最好,某些情形下可以达到最优。研究结果对面对周期性需求的供应商配送排程具有一定的指导意义。     

需求依赖于货架展示量的单供应商两零售商模型与协调合同设计

针对一个供应商和两个竞争的零售商组成的单产品供应链,研究零售商的货架展示量和订货决策及供应链协调问题.假定产品总需求随机依赖于两个零售商的总货架展示量,给出了每个零售商的产品需求,然后分别建立了供应链的集中式决策模型和分散式决策模型,提出了协调供应链的回购加线性补贴合同和回购加货架补贴加转移支付合同,最后的算例表明了决策模型和协调合同的有效性.     

Benefits of co-operation in a production distribution environment

We model co-operation in a typical production distribution setting that contains one capacitated supplier producing and distributing a single product to many identical retailers who are facing i.i.d. end-item demands from the consumers. We consider three inventory allocation mechanisms, representing varying degrees of co-operation, at the supplier: (1) the orders from the retailers are filled in a predetermined sequence; (2) the orders from the retailers are filled after taking into account their current inventories; and (3) the orders from the retailers are filled assuming that the product can also be shipped from one retailer to another. We estimate the benefits due to co-operation in this supply chain and study the effect of various system parameters on these benefits. An extensive computational study indicated that the benefits of co-operation in this production distribution environment decrease with increase in the supplier capacity, increase in the number of retailers, decrease in penalty cost, and decrease in consumer demand variance.