半参数空间变系数模型的局部线性二阶段估计

针对半参数空间变系数模型,利用二阶段估计方法借助于局部线性拟合技术给出了模型中常值系数估计量的精确表达式;同时给出了实验设计方法,用于验证所提出的估计方法对估计常值系数具有满意的精度和稳定性.     

半变系数模型的Back-Fitting估计

针对半变系数回归模型给出了一种后向拟合方法,该方法可得到模型中常值系数估计量的精确表达式;同时给出了实验设计方法和数值模拟结果,用于验证所提出的估计方法对估计常值系数具有满意的精度和稳定性.     

部分线性变系数模型Backfitting估计的渐近性质

作为部分线性模型与变系数模型的推广,部分线性变系数模型是一类应用广泛的数据分析模型.利用Backfitting方法拟合这类特殊的可加模型,可得到模型中常值系数估计量的精确解析表达式,该估计量被证明是n~(1/2)相合的.最后通过数值模拟考察了所提估计方法的有效性.     

半变系数模型改进的轮廓最小二乘估计

针对半变系数模型,在局部线性拟合轮廓最小二乘估计方法的基础上将关于变系数函数的局部线性拟合改进为局部非线性拟合,得到半变系数模型改进的轮廓最小二乘估计,进一步讨论了常值系数的渐进正态性.     

删失数据下的变系数回归模型

研究了删失数据下的变系数回归模型．通过数据变换,利用局部多项式方法,给出了系数函数的局部加权最小二乘估计．证明了该估计的渐近偏差和渐近方差,同时获得了该估计的渐近正态性．     

系数为LR-型模糊数的模糊线性最小二乘回归

针对输入、输出以及系数为LR-型模糊数的情况,建立模糊线性回归模型,提出该模型的最小二乘估计以及模型性能评价方法。当输入、输出以及系数都退化为精确值时,该估计退化为经典的最小二乘估计。该方法不仅适用于三角模糊数,也适用于其它LR-型模糊数(如指数型模糊数)。数值模拟表明,该方法的拟合效果较好。     

时变自回归模型系数的估计及预测

本文对一般时变自回归模型(TVAR)的时变系数提出一种估计方法,即建立一个关于时变系数的向量自回归时间序列模型,利用最小二乘方法计算其系数矩阵,在此基础上预测时变系数,从而得到时变自回归序列的点预测,另外给出了点预测和区间预测的方法.     

基于张量分解的张量响应回归模型及其参数估计

文章研究张量响应回归模型及其系数张量的最小二乘估计.为了提高该模型系数张量的估计精度,首先对模型的系数张量进行张量的CP分解和Tucker分解,构建两个新的张量响应回归模型.这两个模型不仅可以捕捉张量数据内部的空间结构信息,还可以大大减少待估参数的个数.然后,给出模型对应的参数估计算法.最后,通过Monte Carlo...     

基于众数回归的变系数部分非线性模型的稳健估计

针对变系数部分非线性模型,提出了一种稳健的基于众数回归的两阶段估计方法.首先,基于B-样条函数近似系数函数,利用QR正交分解技术构造了非线性模型,得到了参数的非线性最小二乘估计.其次,提出了变系数函数的众数回归估计量.在一定条件下,证明了估计量的渐近性质.通过数值模拟和实际数据分析,说明了所提估计方法的有效性.     

部分函数线性变系数模型的样条估计及其应用

本文针对Tecator数据介绍一种新的模型一部分函数线性变系数模型,并基于样条估计方法得到了模型中未知系数函数的估计,同时在适当的条件下给出了系数函数估计及模型均方预测误差的收敛速度。通过数值模拟说明本文所提估计方法的有效性。最后基于该模型对Tecator数据进行了统计分析。     

Detection of the jump points of a heteroscedastic regression model by wavelets

1. IntroductionDetection of jump points often arises in many practical problems such as signal analysis,.... fimage processing, seismic exploratioll and phonetic identification. FOr examPle, financialeconollilsts often wad to know if abrupt changes occur in an exchange rate series sincethese changes edicted, are affecting or will affect fin-ancial market; engineers concern abolltwhether there exist jumps in a seismic signal in oil exploration bacause these jumps maypredict that there exists br…     

WAVELET ESTIMATION FOR JUMPS IN A HETEROSCEDASTIC REGRESSION MODEL

11砒roductlonAnalysis ofjumps Is very important Inpractlce．Thejumps often predicts that the in－vestlgated objects are subject to sudden山auges In山aractenstlcs．刊r exaxnple,the jumps ofn 6Xchs,lxge fat6 ill illAnC6 OftCh ShOW th6 lllfiU6DC6 of th6 11POTts;llt 6y6llts h th6 WOTld Oil6nance markt;thejumps ofa seismic signal In oil exploration m叫 imply that there eistsbroken stratum In the expfored strata．It is hot 6My to d6t6Ct th6 JllthPS SlllC6 th6 llld6Ylying Signal Is Oft6l…     

Model detection and variable selection for varying coefficient models with longitudinal data

In this paper, we consider the problem of variable selection and model detection in varying coefficient models with longitudinal data. We propose a combined penalization procedure to select the significant variables, detect the true structure of the model and estimate the unknown regression coefficients simultaneously. With appropriate selection of the tuning parameters, we show that the proposed procedure is consistent in both variable selection and the separation of varying and constant coefficients, and the penalized estimators have the oracle property. Finite sample performances of the proposed method are illustrated by some simulation studies and the real data analysis.     

Estimation and model selection in a class of semiparametric models for cluster data

Stimulated by a study in Bangladesh about the first birth interval, we propose a semivarying-coefficient model for cluster data analysis. We consider the estimation procedure for the proposed model and establish the asymptotic results of the proposed estimators. Furthermore, we employ the cross-validation (CV) to identify the constant coefficients. The associated asymptotic properties are rigorously examined. Simulation studies are conducted to investigate the performance of the proposed estimation and the CV-based model selection procedure for finite sample size. Finally, our methods are used to analyse the aforementioned data set to explore how several factors affect the first birth interval in Bangladesh.     

Multivariate Locally Weighted Polynomial Fitting and Partial Derivative Estimation

Nonparametric regression estimator based on locally weighted least squares fitting has been studied by Fan and Ruppert and Wand. The latter paper also studies, in the univariate case, nonparametric derivative estimators given by a locally weighted polynomial fitting. Compared with traditional kernel estimators, these estimators are often of simpler form and possess some better properties. In this paper, we develop current work on locally weighted regression and generalize locally weighted polynomial fitting to the estimation of partial derivatives in a multivariate regression context. Specifically, for both the regression and partial derivative estimators we prove joint asymptotic normality and derive explicit asymptotic expansions for their conditional bias and conditional convariance matrix (given observations of predictor variables) in each of the two important cases of local linear fit and local quadratic fit.     

VARIABLE SELECTION BY PSEUDO WAVELETS IN HETEROSCEDASTIC REGRESSION MODELS INVOLVING TIME SERIES

A simple but efficient method has been proposed to select variables in het-eroscedastic regression models. It is shown that the pseudo empirical wavelet coefficients corresponding to the significant explanatory variables in the regression models are clearly larger than those nonsignificant ones, on the basis of which a procedure is developed to select variables in regression models. The coefficients of the models are also estimated. All estimators are proved to be consistent.     

Efficient estimation of functional-coefficient regression models with different smoothing variables

In this article,a procedure for estimating the coefficient functions on the functional-coefficient regression models with different smoothing variables in different coefficient functions is defined.First step,by the local linear technique and the averaged method,the initial estimates of the coefficient functions are given.Second step,based on the initial estimates,the efficient estimates of the coefficient functions are proposed by a one-step back-fitting procedure.The efficient estimators share the same asymptotic normalities as the local linear estimators for the functional-coefficient models with a single smoothing variable in different functions.Two simulated examples show that the procedure is effective.     

Asymptotically Efficient Sequential Kernel Estimates of the Drift Coefficient in Ergodic Diffusion Processes

A sequential asymptotically efficient procedure is constructed for estimating the drift coefficient at a given state point in ergodic diffusion processes. Sequential kernel estimators are used. The optimal convergence rate with the sharp constant is given for a local minimax risk.