Stability and bifurcation analysis of a viral infection model with delayed immune response

In this paper, we study a viral infection model with an immunity time delay accounting for the time between the immune system touching antigenic stimulation and generating CTLs. By calculation, we derive two thresholds to determine the global dynamics of the model, i.e., the reproduction number for viral infection $R_{0}$ and for CTL immune response $R_{1}$. By analyzing the characteristic equation, the local stability of each feasible equilibrium is discussed. Furthermore, the existence of Hopf bifurcation at the CTL-activated infection equilibrium is also studied. By constructing suitable Lyapunov functionals, we prove that when $R_{0}\leq1$, the infection-free equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable; when $R_{0}>1$ and $R_{1}\leq1$, the CTL-inactivated infection equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable; Numerical simulation is carried out to illustrate the main results in the end.     

具有种群Logistic增长及饱和传染率的SIS模型的稳定性和Hopf分支

该文研究一类具有种群Logistic增长及饱和传染率的SIS传染病模型,讨论了平衡点的存在性及全局渐近稳定性,得到疾病消除的阈值就是基本再生数$R_{0}=1$. 证明了,当$R_{0}<1$ 时,无病平衡点全局渐近稳定;当$R_{0}>1$ 且$\alpha K\leq 1$ 时,正平衡点全局渐近稳定;当$R_{0}>1$ 且$\Delta ={0}$ 时,系统在正平衡点附近发生Hopf分支;当$R_{0}>1$ 且$\Delta <{0}$ 时,系统在正平衡点外围附近存在唯一稳定的极限环.     

The dynamic behavior of deterministic and stochastic delayed SIQS model

In this paper, we present the deterministic and stochastic delayed SIQS epidemic models. For the deterministic model, the basic reproductive number $R_{0}$ is given. Moreover, when $R_{0}<1$, the disease-free equilibrium is globally asymptotical stable. When $R_{0}>1$ and additional conditions hold, the endemic equilibrium is globally asymptotical stable. For the stochastic model, a sharp threshold $\overset{\wedge }{R}_{0}$ which determines the extinction or persistence in the mean of the disease is presented. Sufficient conditions for extinction and persistence in the mean of the epidemic are established. Numerical simulations are also conducted in the analytic results.     

具常数输入及饱和发生率的脉冲接种SIQRS传染病模型

研究了具有常数输入及饱和发生率的脉冲接种SIQRS传染病模型,得到了疾病消除与否的阈值R_0=1.证明了当R_01时,系统存在全局渐近稳定的无病周期解;当R_01时,系统一致持久.     

Birds movement impact on the transmission of West Nile virus between patches

Spatial heterogeneity plays an important role in the distribution and persistence of many infectious disease. In the paper, a multi-patch model for the spread of West Nile virus among $n$ discrete geographic regions is presented that incorporates a mobility process. In the mobility process, we assume that the birds can move among regions, but not the mosquitoes based on scale-space. We show that the movement of birds between patches is sufficient to maintain disease persistence in patches. We compute the basic reproduction number $R_{0}$. We prove that if $R_{0}<1$, then the disease-free equilibrium of the model is globally asymptotically stable. When $R_{0}>1$, we prove that there exists a unique endemic equilibrium, which is globally asymptotically stable on the biological domain. Finally, numerical simulations demonstrate that the disease becomes endemic in both patches when birds move back and forth between two regions.     

Dynamics Analysis of an SIS Epidemic Model with the Effects of Awareness

In this paper, an SIS model incorporating the effects of awareness spreading on epidemic is analyzed. Four kinds of equilibria of the model are given, and a new method is used to prove the stability of the equilibria. The threshold of awareness is $R_{1}^{a}$, which measures whether awareness spreads. When awareness does not spread, the basic reproduction number of disease is $R_{1}^{d}$, it is $R_{2}^{d}$ when awareness spreads. The relationship among the three kinds of thresholds is discussed in details. Specially, the effects of various awareness parameters on epidemic are analyzed. Our theoretical results suggest that raising awareness can effectively reduce the basic reproduction number of disease and reduce the spread of disease. Furthermore, numerical simulations are performed to illustrate our results.     

基于完备BR0-代数的全蕴涵三I算法

研究了基础$BR_0$-代数的性质和基于完备基础$BR_0$-代数的全蕴涵三I算法,对一般蕴涵算子给出了三I算法解存在的一个充分条件,并将结果应用于$R_0$-单位区间$\overline{W}$,不但极大的简化了$R_0$-单位区间$\overline{W}$的$R_0$-型$\alpha$-三I算法结果的证明,而且使其证明过程与相应的模糊命题演算系统结合起来,说明了$R_0$-型三I算法是与$B{\cal L}^*$系统相匹配的模糊推理方法.     

Mathematical Modeling and Analysis of an Epidemic Model with Quarantine, Latent and Media Coverage

Epidemic models are very important in today''s analysis of diseases. In this paper, we propose and analyze an epidemic model incorporating quarantine, latent, media coverage and time delay. We analyze the local stability of either the disease-free and endemic equilibrium in terms of the basic reproduction number $\mathcal{R}_{0}$ as a threshold parameter. We prove that if $\mathcal{R}_{0}<1,$ the time delay in media coverage can not affect the stability of the disease-free equilibrium and if $\mathcal{R}_{0}>1$, the model has at least one positive endemic equilibrium, the stability will be affected by the time delay and some conditions for Hopf bifurcation around infected equilibrium to occur are obtained by using the time delay as a bifurcation parameter. We illustrate our results by some numerical simulations such that we show that a proper application of quarantine plays a critical role in the clearance of the disease, and therefore a direct contact between people plays a critical role in the transmission of the disease.     

Threshold dynamics of the stochastic epidemic model with jump-diffusion infection force

This paper formulates a stochastic SIR epidemic model by supposing that the infection force is perturbed by Brown motion and L\''{e}vy jumps. The globally positive and bounded solution is proved firstly by constructing the suitable Lyapunov function. Then, a stochastic basic reproduction number $R_0^{L}$ is derived, which is less than that for the deterministic model and the stochastic model driven by Brown motion. Analytical results show that the disease will die out if $R_0^{L}<1$, and $R_0^{L}>1$ is the necessary and sufficient condition for persistence of the disease. Theoretical results and numerical simulations indicate that the effects of L\''{e}vy jumps may lead to extinction of the disease while the deterministic model and the stochastic model driven by Brown motion both predict persistence. Additionally, the method developed in this paper can be used to investigate a class of related stochastic models driven by L\''{e}vy noise.     

整数集的加权表示的渐进基

Let k1, k2 be nonzero integers with(k1, k2) = 1 and k1k2≠-1. Let Rk1,k2(A, n)be the number of solutions of n = k1a1 + k2a2, where a1, a2 ∈ A. Recently, Xiong proved that there is a set A  Z such that Rk1,k2(A, n) = 1 for all n ∈ Z. Let f : Z-→ N0∪ {∞} be a function such that f-1(0) is finite. In this paper, we generalize Xiong's result and prove that there exist uncountably many sets A  Z such that Rk1,k2(A, n) = f(n) for all n ∈ Z.     

Dynamical Analysis of a Delayed SIQS Epidemic Model on Scale-free Networks

In this paper, we establish a novel delayed SIQS epidemic model on scale-free networks, where time delay represents the average quarantine period. Through mathematical analysis, we present the basic reproduction number $R_{0}$. Then, we provide the global asymptotical stability of the disease-free equilibrium and the local asymptotical stability of the endemic equilibrium. Finally, we perform numerical simulations to verify the correctness of the main results and analyze the sensitivity of parameters. Our research shows that when $R_0>1$, lengthening the quarantine period can slow the spread of the disease and reduce the number of infected individuals.     

Global dynamical analysis of a heroin epidemic model on complex networks

In this paper, a heroin epidemic model on complex networks is proposed. By the next generation matrix, the basic reproduction number $R_0$ is obtained. If $R_0<1$, then the drug-free equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable. If $R_0>1$, there is an unique endemic equilibrium and it is also globally asymptotically stable. Our results show that if the degree of the network is large enough, the drug transmission always spreads. Sensitivity analysis of the basic reproduction number with the various parameters in the model are carried out to verify the important effects for control the drug transmission. Some simulations illustrate our theoretical results     

Modelling and stability of epidemic model with free-living pathogens growing in the environment

To understand the impact of free-living pathogens (FLP) on the epidemics, an epidemic model with FLP is constructed. The global dynamics of our model are determined by the basic reproduction number $R_0$. If $R_0<1$, the disease free equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable, and if $R_0>1$, the endemic equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable. Some numerical simulations are also carried out to illustrate our analytical results.     

${R}_{0}$代数中的滤子格

Abstract In the present paper, some basic properties of MP filters of Ro algebra M are investigated. It is proved that（FMP（M）,包含,′∧^-∨^-,{1},M）is a bounded distributive lattice by introducing the negation operator ′, the meet operator ∧^-, the join operator ∨^- and the implicati on operator → on the set FMP（M） of all MP filters of M. Moreover, some conditions under which （FMP（M）,包含,′∨^-,→{1},M）is an Ro algebra are given. And the relationship between prime elements of FMP （M） and prime filters of M is studied. Finally, some equivalent characterizations of prime elements of .FMP （M） are obtained.     

一类有迁移的SIS流行病模型

研究一类种群有迁移的流行病模型,得到了这类模型的基本再生数R0,证明了R0＜1无病平衡点是局部渐近稳定的,而当R0＞1时无病平衡点是不稳定的.进一步讨论了疾病持续存在与无病平衡点和地方病平衡点全局稳定的条件.     

Global analysis of a multi-group animal epidemic model with indirect infection and time delay

The transmission mechanism of some animal diseases is complex because of the multiple transmission pathways and multiple-group interactions, which lead to the limited understanding of the dynamics of these diseases transmission. In this paper, a delay multi-group dynamic model is proposed in which time delay is caused by the latency of infection. Under the biologically motivated assumptions, the basic reproduction number $R_0$ is derived and then the global stability of the disease-free equilibrium and the endemic equilibrium is analyzed by Lyapunov functionals and a graph-theoretic approach as for time delay. The results show the global properties of equilibria only depend on the basic reproductive number $R_0$: the disease-free equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable if $R_0\leq 1$; if $R_0>1$, the endemic equilibrium exists and is globally asymptotically stable, which implies time delay span has no effect on the stability of equilibria. Finally, some specific examples are taken to illustrate the utilization of the results and then numerical simulations are used for further discussion. The numerical results show time delay model may experience periodic oscillation behaviors, implying that the spread of animal diseases depends largely on the prevention and control strategies of all sub-populations.     

$L^{p}_{[0,1]}$空间M\"{u}ntz有理逼近的Jackson型估计 (英)

设$\Lambda=\{\lambda_{n}\}_{n=1}^{\infty}$为正的实数数列, 且当$n\rightarrow\infty$时, 有$\lambda_{n}\searrow 0$.本文给出了当 $\lambda_{n}\leq Mn^{-\frac{1}{2}},\;n=1,2, \cdots ,$(其中$M>0$为一正常数)时M\"{u}ntz系统$\{x^{\lambda_n}\}$的有理函数在$ L_{[0,1]} ^{p}$空间的逼近速度,主要结论为$R_{n} (f, \Lambda )_{L^{p}}\leq C_M \omega (f, n^{-\frac{1}{2}})_{L^{p}},\;1 \leq p \leq \infty.$     

Global dynamics in a multi-group epidemic model for disease with latency spreading and nonlinear transmission rate

In this paper, we investigate a class of multi-group epidemic models with general exposed distribution and nonlinear incidence rate. Under biologically motivated assumptions, we show that the global dynamics are completely determined by the basic production number $R_0$. The disease-free equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable if $R_0\leq1$, and there exists a unique endemic equilibrium which is globally asymptotically stable if $R_0>1$. The proofs of the main results exploit the persistence theory in dynamical system and a graph-theoretical approach to the method of Lyapunov functionals. A simpler case that assumes an identical natural death rate for all groups and a gamma distribution for exposed distribution is also considered. In addition, two numerical examples are showed to illustrate the results.     

Global stability analysis and permanence for an HIV-1 dynamics model with distributed delays

This paper mainly investigates the global asymptotic stabilities of two HIV dynamics models with two distributed intracellular delays incorporating Beddington-DeAngelis functional response infection rate. An eclipse stage of infected cells (i.e. latently infected cells), not yet producing virus, is included in our models. For the first model, it is proven that if the basic reproduction number $R_0$ is less than unity, then the infection-free equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable, and if $R_0 $ is greater than unity, then the infected equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable. We also obtain that the disease is always present when $R_0 $ is greater than unity by using a permanence theorem for infinite dimensional systems. What is more, a n-stage-structured HIV model with two distributed intracellular delays, which is the extensions to the first model, is developed and analyzed. We also prove the global asymptotical stabilities of two equilibria by constructing suitable Lyapunov functionals.     

一类时滞多组传染病模型的全局稳定性分析

本文研究具有变量分离发生率的具时滞的多组传染病模型.首先,分别针对强连通和非强连通情形,得到基本再生数$R_0$. 然后运用Lyapunov泛函方法和LaSalle不变集原理分别分析了当$R_0<1$时无病平衡点$P_0$ 的全局渐近稳定性以及$R_0>1$时地方病平衡点$P^*$的全局渐近稳定性.