基于混合神经网络和注意力机制的混沌时间序列预测

为提高混沌时间序列的预测精度,提出一种基于混合神经网络和注意力机制的预测模型(Att-CNNLSTM),首先对混沌时间序列进行相空间重构和数据归一化,然后利用卷积神经网络(CNN)对时间序列的重构相空间进行空间特征提取,再将CNN提取的特征和原时间序列组合,用长短期记忆网络(LSTM)根据空间特征提取时间特征,最后通过注意力机制捕获时间序列的关键时空特征,给出最终预测结果.将该模型对Logistic,Lorenz和太阳黑子混沌时间序列进行预测实验,并与未引入注意力机制的CNN-LSTM模型、单一的CNN和LSTM网络模型、以及传统的机器学习算法最小二乘支持向量机(LSSVM)的预测性能进行比较.实验结果显示本文提出的预测模型预测误差低于其他模型,预测精度更高.     

基于改进教学优化算法的Hermite正交基神经网络混沌时间序列预测

针对传统预测模型对混沌时间序列预测精度低、收敛速度慢及模型结构复杂的问题, 提出了基于改进教学优化算法的Hermite正交基神经网络预测模型. 首先, 将自相关法和Cao方法相结合对混沌时间序列进行相空间重构, 以获得重构延迟时间向量; 其次, 以Hermite正交基函数为激励函数构成Hermite正交基神经网络, 作为预测模型; 最后, 将模型参数优化问题转化为多维空间上的函数优化问题, 利用改进教学优化算法对预测模型进行参数优化, 以建立预测模型并进行预测分析. 分别以Lorenz 系统和Liu系统为模型, 通过四阶Runge-Kutta法产生混沌时间序列作为仿真对象, 并进行单步及多步预测对比实验. 仿真结果表明, 与径向基函数神经网络、回声状态网络、最小二乘支持向量机及基于教学优化算法的Hermite正交基神经网络预测模型相比, 所提预测模型具有更高的预测精度、更快的收敛速度和更简单的模型结构, 验证了该模型的高效性, 便于推广和应用.     

短期风速时间序列混沌特性分析及预测

针对短期风速时间序列的预测问题进行了研究. 首先通过0-1混沌测试法确定短期风速时间序列具有混沌特性. 采用相空间重构技术, 利用C-C算法确定延迟时间, G-P 算法确定嵌入维数. 然后提出一种参数在线修正的最小二乘支持向量机预测模型, 采用改进的粒子群算法进行预测模型中参数的优化. 最后通过仿真对比实验表明提出的预测方法在预测精度、预测误差、预测效果方面都要优于其他常见的预测方法, 证明该预测方法是有效的.     

粒子群算法优化相空间重构参数的网络流量预测模型

在网络流量预测过程中,相空间重构参数是影响预测性能的重要方面,传统参数分开优化,为了提高网络流量的预测精度,提出一种粒子群算法优化相空间重构参数的网络流量预测模型(PSO-BPNN);首先将BP神经网络作为学习算法,然后采用粒子群算法对相空间重构参数—延迟时间和嵌入维进行联合优化,并重构网络流量序列,最后以小波BP神经网络建立最优络流量预测模型,并采用仿真实验对模型性能进行分析,结果表明,PSO-BPNN提高了网络流量的预测精度。     

基于极端学习机的多变量混沌时间序列预测

针对多变量混沌时间序列预测问题, 提出了一种基于输入变量选择和极端学习机的预测模型. 其基本思想是 对多变量混沌时间序列进行相空间重构后, 采用互信息方法选择与预测输出统计相关最高的重构输入变量, 借助极端学习机的通用逼近能力建立多变量混沌时间序列的预测模型. 为进一步提高预测精度, 采用模型选择算法选择具有最小期望风险的极端学习机预测模型. 基于Lorenz, Rössler多变量混沌时间序列及Rössler超混沌时间序列的仿 真结果证明所提方法的有效性.     

基于混合交叉差分进化的相机空间操控系统参数优化

为了提高相机空间操控(CSM)系统的预测精度, 提出一种基于混合交叉操作的差分进化算法.该方法将CSM系统的视觉参数初值和平化距离参数Zo进行组合作为混合交叉差分进化算法的个体, 以CSM系统对目标点位置的预测精度作为个体的适应度函数, 通过进化迭代获得最优的参数组合.使用了实际机器人视觉系统获取的数据进行实验, 结果表明使用优化后的参数组合可以提高系统的预测精度.     

基于信息熵优化相空间重构参数的混沌时间序列预测

提出一种混沌时间序列相空间重构参数的信息熵优化方法(IEOP),该方法首先使用条件熵表示信息量,建立时间延迟和嵌入维数在相空间中的信息熵优化模型,然后利用遗传算法同时求解两个重构参数,使重构坐标间既保持了良好的独立性又保留了原系统的动力学特征.通过在Lorenz和Mackey-Glass系统上的数值实验,该方法不仅能够确定合适的嵌入维数和时间延迟,而且能在优化的相空间中获得更多的信息,提高了混沌时间序列的预测精度.     

道路交通流状态的多参数融合预测方法

针对道路交通流普遍存在的混沌特性以及单交通参数不足 以全面反映交通流状态的实际情况,考虑交通动力学系统中多个 交通参数之间的关联关系,提出一种新的多参数混沌时间序列预 测算法.该算法在相空间重构理论的基础上,借助Bayes估计将多个参数在 同一高维相空间中进行相点最优融合,从而增加重构相空间的系统信息量, 使得相空间的相点轨迹更加逼近原交通系统的动力学行为.同时借鉴单 参数混沌时间序列预测方法,从不同角度对动力学系统的运动状态进行描 述,以实现多参数时间序列的混沌预测.实验结果表明,通过融合多交通参数时 间序列,获得了更加完整的交通流状态变化特征.与单交通参数时间序列的预测 结果相比,其预测误差显著降低,均衡系数相应增大,提高了交通流状态预测的准确率.     

一种基于相关分析的局域最小二乘支持向量机小尺度网络流量预测算法

本文分析了网络流量数据的特性,针对传统预测算法在预测网络流量时的缺陷提出了一种基于相关分析的相关局域最小二乘支持向量机(LSSVM)预测算法.算法在对训练数据重构相空间后,利用相关分析同时从距离相关和时间相关的训练样本中选择最优的训练子集,结合自适应参数优化的LSSVM预测模型对小尺度网络流量进行预测.通过选用实际情况下的网络流量数据对算法进行测试验证,结果显示本文所提算法不仅优于传统的全局预测算法,同时也优于各种改进的局域预测算法.算法不仅在预测精度上取得大幅的性能提升,同时能够通过留一交叉验证法在预测之前就完成预测模型和训练子集的优化.     

用一种少参数非线性自适应滤波器自适应预测低维混沌时间序列

基于混沌动力系统的相空间延迟坐标重构,利用混沌序列固有的确定性和非线性,提出了用 于混沌时间序列预测的一种少参数非线性自适应滤波预测模型.该预测模型在Volterra自适 应滤波器的基础上引入sigmoid函数来减少待定参数.实验研究表明,这种少参数非线性自适 应滤波预测器仅需用50个样本经20次预训练后,就能有效地预测一些低维混沌序列,且这种 少参数非线性自适应滤波预测器更便于工程实现. 关键词： 混沌 非线性自适应预测 少参数非线性自适应滤波器 自适应算法     

Theoretical analysis and simulation of conjugate heights for dual-conjugate AO system in lidar

A multi-conjugate adaptive optics （MCAO） can offer a possibility of widening field of view （FOV） characterized by the isoplanatic angle, and the choose of conjugate height becomes a basic problem for MCAO, which influences the size of iosplanatic angle. Considering the application of lidar, the isoplanatic angle＇s expressions of two deformable mirrors （DMs） MCAO for uplink and downlink are deduced. The effects of conjugate heights for dual-conjugate AO are thoughtfully discussed, and the isoplanatic angles are further analyzed. The results show that the isopanatic angle varies with the conjugate height and reaches the maximum as the conjugate height is at the optimal altitude. Moreover, the optimal conjugate height changes with the propagation distance.     

Quick single-photon detector with many avalanche photo diodes working on the time division

Due to the limit of response speed of the present single-photon detector, the code rate is still too low to come into practical use for the present quantum key distribution (QKD) system.A new idea is put up to design a quick single-photon detector.This quick single-photon detector is composed of a multi-port optic-fiber splitter and many avalanche photo diodes (APDs).Au of the ports with APDs work on the time division and cooperate with a logic discriminating and deciding unit driven by the clock signal.The operation frequency lies on the number N of ports, and can reach N times of the conventional single-photon detector.The single-photon prompt detection can come true for high repetition-rate pulses.The applying of this detector will largely raise the code rate of the QKD, and boost the commercial use.     

Characterization of PolyA and PolyC mismatches by Raman spectroscopy

A.C mismatches are studied by Raman spectral characterization of PolyA, PolyC, and their equimolar complex in solution of 0.14 mol/L Na ,pH7.0.Experimental results show that A·C mismatches occur to be A/B (mainly A) conformers, and unlike Watson-Crick base pairing, this kind of mismatches is stabilized by only one hydrogen bond involving cytosine N4H2 and adenine N7.The formation of A·C complex makes the base stacking interactions much stronger, and conformation of the backbone more ordered, which leads to obvious Raman hypochromic effect with some shifts in corresponding bands.     

Improvement of four-wave mixing-based wavelength conversion efficiency in dispersion shifted fiber by 40-GHz clock pumping

40-GHz clock modulated signal as a pump to improve the efficiency of four-wave mixing (FWM)-based wavelength conversion in a 26.5-km dispersion shifted fiber (DSF) is investigated. The experimental results demonstrate that the conjugated FWM component has higher intensity with the clock pumping than that with the continuous-wave (CW) light pumping. The improvement of FWM-based wavelength conversion efficiency is negligible when the pump power is less than Brillouin threshold. But when the pump power is greater than Brillouin threshold, the improvement becomes significant and increases with the increment of pump power. The improvement can increase up to 9 dB if pump power reaches 17 dBm.     

Multi-pulse operation of a Kerr-lens mode-locked femtosecond laser

Our experimental results show that the presence of a proper amount of negative group velocity dispersion is essential to multi-pulse operation of a Kerr-lens mode-locked femtosecond laser. We demonstrate that the pulse separations and the number of pulses contained within a cavity round trip are strongly dependent on the initial perturbations. The results allow us to get a better understanding on the influences of the convoluted self-phase modulation and intra-cavity dispersions on the stable multi-pulse oscillation in a Kerr-lens mode-locked femtosecond laser.     

Propagation of Helmholtz-Gauss beams in weak turbulent atmosphere

Based on the Rytov approximation of light propagation in weak turbulent atmosphere,the closed-form expressions of field and average irradiance of each one of the four fundamental families of Helmholtz-Gauss (HzG)beams:cosine-Gauss beams,stationary Mathieu-Gauss beams,stationary parabolic-Gauss beams,and Bessel-Gauss beams,which are propagating in weak turbulent atmosphere,are obtained.The results show that the field and average irradiance can be written as the product of four factors:complex amplitude depending on the z-coordinate only,a Ganssian beam.a factor of complex phase perturbation induced by atmospheric turbulence,and a complex scaled version of the transverse shape of the non-diffracting beam.The effect of weak atmospheric turbulence on irradiance distribution of the HzG beam can be ignored.     

An effective method for reducing speckle noise in digital holography

An effective method for reducing the speckle noise in digital holography is proposed in this paper.Different from the methods based on classical filtering technique,it utilizes the multiple holograms which are generated by rotating the illuminating light continuously.The intensity images reconstructed by a series of holograms generated by rotating the illuminating light possess different speckle patterns.Hence by properly averaging the reconstructed intensity fields,the speckle noises can be reduced greatly.Experimental results show that the proposed method is simple and effective to reduce speckle noise in digital holography.     

Influence of purity of HfO2 on reflectance of ultraviolet multilayer

The impurities in two kinds of HfO2 materials and in their corresponding single layer thin films were determined through glow discharge mass spectrum technology and secondary ion mass spectrometry(SIMS) equipment respectively.It was found that ZrO2 was the main impurity in the two kinds of HfO2 either in the original HfO2 materials or in the electron beam deposited films.In addition,the difference of Zr content in the two kinds of HfO2 single laver films was much laxger than that of the other impurities such as Ti and Fe.which showed that it was just ZrO2 that made the difference between the optical performance of the film products including the two kinds of HfO2.With these two kinds of HfO2 and the same kind of SiO2.we deposited HfO2/SiO2 multilayer reflective coatings at the wavelength of 266 nm.Experimental results showed that the reflectances of these two mirrors were about 99.85% and 99.15% respectively,which agreed well with the designed results what were based on the optical constants obtained from the corresponding single layer thin films.     

Speech enhancement by array crosstalk resistant ANC and spectrum subtraction

Microphone array-based speech enhancement has great importance for speech communications and speech recognition. To reduce the aperture of the microphone array and to increase the effect of the speech enhancement will greatly broaden the application areas of the microphone array. An array crosstalk resistant adaptive noise cancellation method is therefore presented. And then an improved spectral subtraction algorithm is further cascaded to obtain better enhancement results. Theoretic analysis and experiments indicate that the proposed scheme needs only a very small microphone array while it simultaneously achieves a higher SNR improvement. Besides, the proposed scheme can be used in many noisy environments and is easy for real-time implementation.