刻度指数族参数的经验Bayes估计及收敛速度

本文在刻度平方误差损失函数下导出了刻度指数族分布中参数的Bayes估计.利用核估计的方法构造了参数的经验Bayes估计,在适当条件下得到了经验Bayes估计的收敛速度,推广了文献中的相关结果.     

刻度指数族参数的经验Bayes估计及收敛速度

本文在刻度平方误差损失函数下导出了刻度指数族分布中参数的Bayes 估计. 利用核估计的方法构造了参数的经验Bayes 估计, 在适当条件下得到了经验Bayes 估计的收敛速度, 推广了文献中的相关结果.     

双指数分布位置参数的经验Bayes估计问题

本文在平方损失下导出了双指数分布位置参数的Bayes估计，利用非参数方法构造了位置参数的经验Bayes(EB)估计．在适当的条件下，获得了EB估计的收敛速度．最后，给出了一个例子说明适合定理条件的先验分布是存在的．     

NA样本下截断型分布族参数的经验Bayes估计

运用NA样本密度函数核估计构造了一类截断型分布族参数的经验Bayes估计，建立了它的收敛速度，证明了在适当条件下该收敛速度可以任意接近于1，文中还给出了适合定理条件的例子。     

PA样本下刻度指数族参数的EB估计的收敛速度

在同分布正相协（PA）样本下，对刻度指数族在加权平方损失下获得了刻度参数的Bayes估计．并构造了相应的经验Bayes（E·B）估计，证明了所提出的EB估计是渐近最优的并且获得了E·B估计的收敛速度．最后，给出一个满足主要结果的例子。     

Burr Ⅻ分布参数的经验Bayes估计的渐近最优性

本文研究了Burr Ⅻ分布参数的经验Bayes估计问题.利用密度函数的递归核估计,构造了参数的经验Bayes(EB)估计,在适当的条件下证明了所提出的EB估计是渐近最优的,并获得了它的收敛速度.     

NA样本下Pareto分布参数的经验Bayes估计

讨论了Pareto分布在平方损失下参数的Bayes估计,采用同分布负相协样本的核估计方法讨论了参数的经验Bayes(EB)估计问题,并计算了给定条件下参数的经验Bayes估计的收敛速度。最后,对我国高收入阶层的财富分布情况进行了实证分析,实证分析表明我国高收入阶层的财富分布是可以用Pareto分布来描述的。     

非指数分布数族参数的经验Bayes估计的收敛速度

在“平方损失”下,研究了非指数分布族参数θ的经验Bayes估计,首先利用概率密度函数的核估计,构造了位置参数的经验Bayes（EB）估计量,在适当的条件下获得了它的收敛速度．     

伽玛分布族г[θ，1／2]参数的经验Bayes估计的收敛速度

本构造了伽玛分布族г[θ，1／2]参数的经验Bayes估计，并给出了该估计的收敛速度。在适当的条件下，该速度可以分别充分接近于１／２和１。     

Linex损失下二维单边截断型分布族参数的经验Bayes估计

在linex损失函数下,讨论边二维单边截断型分布族参数的经验Bayes(EB)估计问题,文中构造了参数的EB估计,在适当的条件下给出了该估计的收敛速度。并说明在较强条件下收敛速度可充分接近1。     

不等式约束条件下部分线性回归模型的参数估计

本文研究了不等式约束条件下部分线性回归模型的参数估计问题，利用最优化方法和贝叶斯方法，给出了不等式约束条件下部分线性回归模型的最小二乘核估计和最佳贝叶斯估计，并且证明了在一定条件下，带约束条件的最小二乘核估计在均方误差意义下要优于无约束条件的最小二乘核估计。     

熵损失函数下两参数Lomax分布形状参数的Bayes估计

在熵损失函数下,讨论了两参数Lomax分布形状参数的Bayes估计和可容许估计.并讨论了一类(cT+d)~(-1)形式估计的可容许性和不可容许性.     

对称熵损失下成功概率P的E—Bayes估计

研究对称熵损失下成功概率P的Bayes估计和E—Bayes估计,证明了前者的存在性及唯一性．模拟结果表明E-Bayes估计优于极大似然估计和Bayes估计．并将E—Bayes方法应用在证券投资预测之中,预测效果较好．     

Bayesian Estimation for the Order of INAR(q) Mo del

In this paper, we consider the problem of determining the order of INAR(q) model on the basis of the Bayesian estimation theory. The Bayesian es-timator for the order is given with respect to a squared-error loss function. The consistency of the estimator is discussed. The results of a simulation study for the estimation method are presented.     

A COMPOUND POISSON MODEL FOR LEARNING DISCRETE BAYESIAN NETWORKS

We introduce here the concept of Bayesian networks, in compound Poisson model, which provides a graphical modeling framework that encodes the joint probability distribution for a set of random variables within a directed acyclic graph. We suggest an approach proposal which offers a new mixed implicit estimator. We show that the implicit approach applied in compound Poisson model is very attractive for its ability to understand data and does not require any prior information. A comparative study between learned estimates given by implicit and by standard Bayesian approaches is established. Under some conditions and based on minimal squared error calculations, we show that the mixed implicit estimator is better than the standard Bayesian and the maximum likelihood estimators. We illustrate our approach by considering a simulation study in the context of mobile communication networks.     

Asymptotics of Bayesian median loss estimation

We establish the consistency, asymptotic normality, and efficiency for estimators derived by minimizing the median of a loss function in a Bayesian context. We contrast this procedure with the behavior of two Frequentist procedures, the least median of squares (LMS) and the least trimmed squares (LTS) estimators, in regression problems. The LMS estimator is the Frequentist version of our estimator, and the LTS estimator approaches a median-based estimator as the trimming approaches 50% on each side. We argue that the Bayesian median-based method is a good tradeoff between the two Frequentist estimators.     

线性模型参数向量的近似贝叶斯估计

用线性贝叶斯方法去同时估计线性模型中回归系数和误差方差,并在不知道先验分布具体形式的情况下,得到了线性贝叶斯估计的表达式.在均方误差矩阵准则下,证明了其优于最小二乘估计和极大似然估计.与利用MCMC算法得到的贝叶斯估计相比,线性贝叶斯估计具有显式表达式并且更方便使用.对于几种不同的先验分布,数值模拟结果表明线性贝叶斯估...     

Bayesian estimation and inference for log-ACD models

This paper adapts Bayesian Markov chain Monte Carlo methods for application to some auto-regressive conditional duration models. Subsequently, the properties of these estimators are examined and assessed across a range of possible conditional error distributions and dynamic specifications, including under error mis-specification. A novel model error distribution, employing a truncated skewed Student-t distribution is proposed and the Bayesian estimator assessed for it. The results of an extensive simulation study reveal that favourable estimation properties are achieved under a range of possible error distributions, but that the generalised gamma distribution assumption is most robust and best preserves these properties, including when it is incorrectly specified. The results indicate that the powerful numerical methods underlying the Bayesian estimator allow more efficiency than the (quasi-) maximum likelihood estimator for the cases considered.