阈红利策略下Erlang(2)风险模型罚金函数的相关结果

研究了两步保费率下Erlang(2)风险过程,给出了Gerber-Shiu折现罚函数的相关结果:即给出了罚金函数的两个微积分方程及其解或更新方程.在索赔额为指数分布条件下得到了两个与破产相关的量并计算出了相应的数值结果.     

带息力和两步保费率的Erlang(2)风险模型

在常利率环境下,研究当索赔时间间隔为Erlang(2)分布且保费收取为两步保费的风险模型,推导出该模型Gerber-Shiu罚金折现期望函数所满足的微积分方程.     

带双阈值的一类更新风险模型的Gerber-Shiu折现罚函数

本文考虑一类索赔时间间隔为Erlang(2)分布的"双界限"分红模型,在这种模型中,当盈余超过上限时分红以不超过保费率的速率付出,低于下限后保费率增大,得到了关于Gerber-Shiu罚金折现期望函数满足的积分-微分方程以及更新方程,进一步讨论了更新方程的解.     

两类索赔相关风险模型的罚金折现期望函数

考虑两类索赔相关风险模型.两类索赔计数过程分别为独立的广义Poisson过程和广义Erlang(2)过程.得到了该风险模型的罚金折现期望函数满足的积分微分方程及该函数的Laplace变换的表达式,且当索赔额均服从指数分布时,给出了罚金折现期望函数及破产概率的明确表达式.     

带干扰的Erlang（2）风险模型破产概率的分解

本文研究了带干扰的Erlang(2)风险模型的破产概率.利用延迟更新方法以及全概率公式,获得了积分表达式、二次连续可微性以及微分方程,并且讨论了索赔额分布为指数分布时的情形.     

具有两类索赔相关风险过程的罚金折现函数

考虑两类索赔相关风险过程.两类索赔计数过程分别为独立的Poisson和广义Erlang(2)过程.将该过程转换为两类独立索赔风险过程,得到了该过程的罚金折现函数满足的积分微分方程及该函数的拉普拉斯变换的表达式,且当索赔额服从指数分布时,给出了罚金折现函数及破产概率的表达式.     

一类混合分红策略下的广义Erlang(n)风险模型

本文考虑混合分红策略下索赔来到间隔为广义Erlang(n)分布的更新风险模型,利用指数分布的无记忆性,分别得到破产前期望折现分红函数和折现分红的矩母函数满足的积分-微分方程及其边界条件.最后给出索赔为指数分布及索赔来到间隔为广义Erlang(2)分布的风险模型的期望折现分红函数的精确表达式.     

一类相依双险种风险模型的罚金折现期望函数

考虑索赔到达具有相依性的一类双险种风险模型,其中第一类险种的索赔计数过程为Poisson过程,第二类险种的索赔计数过程为其p-稀疏过程与广义Erlang(2)过程的和,利用更新论证得到了此风险模型的罚金折现期望函数满足的微积分方程及其Laplace变换的表达式.并就索赔额均服从指数分布的情形,给出了罚金函数及破产概率的精确表达式.     

具有常数红利边界的两类索赔相关风险模型数

研究常数红利边界下两类索赔相关的风险模型,两类索赔计数过程分别为独立的Poisson过程和广义Erlang(2)过程.利用分解Gerber-Shiu函数的方法,得到了Gerber-Shiu函数满足的积分-微分方程、边界条件、解析表达式及两类索赔额均服从指数分布时的破产概率表达式.     

一类变保费率风险模型的Gerber-Shiu惩罚函数

本文考虑变保费风险模型,假设保费率是随时间变化的,研究了其Gerber-Shiu惩罚函数.通过无穷小方法给出 Gerber-Shiu惩罚函数所满足的积分一微分方程;在指数索赔下,给出其破产时赤字的数学期望及破产时的拉普拉斯变换.     

On the decomposition of the absolute ruin probability in a perturbed compound Poisson surplus process with debit interest

We consider a compound Poisson surplus process perturbed by diffusion with debit interest. When the surplus is below zero or the company is on deficit, the company is allowed to borrow money at a debit interest rate to continue its business as long as its debt is at a reasonable level. When the surplus of a company is below a certain critical level, the company is no longer profitable, we say that absolute ruin occurs at this situation. In this risk model, absolute ruin may be caused by a claim or by oscillation. Thus, the absolute ruin probability in the model is decomposed as the sum of two absolute ruin probabilities, where one is the probability that absolute ruin is caused by a claim and the other is the probability that absolute ruin is caused by oscillation. In this paper, we first give the integro-differential equations satisfied by the absolute ruin probabilities and then derive the defective renewal equations for the absolute ruin probabilities. Using these defective renewal equations, we derive the asymptotical forms of the absolute ruin probabilities when the distributions of claim sizes are heavy-tailed and light-tailed. Finally, we derive explicit expressions for the absolute ruin probabilities when claim sizes are exponentially distributed.     

带干扰phaes-type风险模型中的最大盈余及相关分布

本文考虑了索赔时间间距为phase-type分布时带干扰更新风险模型中的破产前最大盈余、破产后赤字的分布,建立了相应的积分-微分方程.最后,讨论了当索赔时间间距为Erlang(2)分布且索赔量满足指数分布时的特殊情形.     

On the expected discounted penalty function for the compound Poisson risk model with delayed claims

In this paper, we consider an extension to the compound Poisson risk model for which the occurrence of the claim may be delayed. Two kinds of dependent claims, main claims and by-claims, are defined, where every by-claim is induced by the main claim and may be delayed with a certain probability. Both the expected discounted penalty functions with zero initial surplus and the Laplace transforms of the expected discounted penalty functions are obtained from an integro-differential equations system. We prove that the expected discounted penalty function satisfies a defective renewal equation. An exact representation for the solution of this equation is derived through an associated compound geometric distribution, and an analytic expression for this quantity is given for when the claim amounts from both classes are exponentially distributed. Moreover, the closed form expressions for the ruin probability and the distribution function of the surplus before ruin are obtained. We prove that the ruin probability for this risk model decreases as the probability of the delay of by-claims increases. Finally, numerical results are also provided to illustrate the applicability of our main result and the impact of the delay of by-claims on the expected discounted penalty functions.     

Risk model with fuzzy random individual claim amount

In this paper, we consider a risk model in which individual claim amount is assumed to be a fuzzy random variable and the claim number process is characterized as a Poisson process. The mean chance of the ultimate ruin is researched. Particularly, the expressions of the mean chance of the ultimate ruin are obtained for zero initial surplus and arbitrary initial surplus if individual claim amount is an exponentially distributed fuzzy random variable. The results obtained in this paper coincide with those in stochastic case when the fuzzy random variables degenerate to random variables. Finally, two numerical examples are presented.     

具有Vasicek利率的风险过程的破产概率的分解(英文)

In this paper, it is assumed that an insurer with a jump-diffusion risk process would invest its surplus in a bond market, and the interest structure of the bond market is assumed to follow the Vasicek interest model. This paper focuses on the studying of the ruin problems in the above compounded process. In this compounded risk model, ruin may be caused by a claim or oscillation. We decompose the ruin probability for the compounded risk process into two probabilities： the probability that ruin caused by a claim and the probability that ruin caused by oscillation. Integro-differential equations for these ruin probabilities are derived. When the claim sizes are exponentially distributed, the above-mentioned integro-differential equations can be reduced into a three-order partial differential equation.     

On the analysis of the Gerber-Shiu discounted penalty function for risk processes with Markovian arrivals

In this paper, we consider an insurance risk model governed by a Markovian arrival claim process and by phase-type distributed claim amounts, which also allows for claim sizes to be correlated with the inter-claim times. A defective renewal equation of matrix form is derived for the Gerber-Shiu discounted penalty function and solved using matrix analytic methods. The use of the busy period distribution for the canonical fluid flow model is a key factor in our analysis, allowing us to obtain an explicit form of the Gerber-Shiu discounted penalty function avoiding thus the use of Lundberg’s fundamental equation roots. As a special case, we derive the triple Laplace transform of the time to ruin, surplus prior to ruin, and deficit at ruin in explicit form, further obtaining the discounted joint and marginal moments of the surplus prior to ruin and the deficit at ruin.     

二元复合Poisson风险模型的几个结果

本文研究具有相依关系的一类风险模型.得到了由不同类别的索赔产生的破产时赤字分布的渐近结果以及指数索赔下的精确结果.同时研究了带伽玛过程干扰的古典风险过程.     

Uniform asymptotic estimates for ruin probabilities of renewal risk models with exponential Lévy process investment returns and dependent claims

This paper investigates the ruin probabilities of a renewal risk model with stochastic investment returns and dependent claim sizes. The investment is described as a portfolio of one risk‐free asset and one risky asset whose price process is an exponential Lévy process. The claim sizes are assumed to follow a one‐sided linear process with independent and identically distributed step sizes. When the step‐size distribution is heavy tailed, we establish some uniform asymptotic estimates for the ruin probabilities of this renewal risk model. Copyright © 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

On a correlated aggregate claims model with Poisson and Erlang risk processes

In this paper we consider a risk model with two dependent classes of insurance business. In this model the two claim number processes are correlated. Claim occurrences of both classes relate to Poisson and Erlang processes. We derive explicit expressions for the ultimate survival probabilities under the assumed model when the claim sizes are exponentially distributed. We also examine the asymptotic property of the ruin probability for this special risk process with general claim size distributions.     

Ruin probability and time of ruin with a proportional reinsurance threshold strategy

In this paper, we present a threshold proportional reinsurance strategy and we analyze the effect on some solvency measures: ruin probability and time of ruin. This dynamic reinsurance strategy assumes a retention level that is not constant and depends on the level of the surplus. In a model with inter-occurrence times being generalized Erlang(n)-distributed, we obtain the integro-differential equation for the Gerber?CShiu function. Then, we present the solution for inter-occurrence times exponentially distributed and claim amount phase-type(N). Some examples for exponential and phase-type(2) claim amount are presented. Finally, we show some comparisons between threshold reinsurance and proportional reinsurance.