Nonparametric estimation for contamination distribution

In the paper, for the contamination distribution model F（x） = （1-α）F1（x）＋αF2（x）, the estimates of α and F1 （x） are studied using two different ways when F2 （x） is known and the strong consistency of the two estimates is proved. At the same time the consistency rate of estimate α is also given.     

Reweighted Nadaraya-Watson estimation of jump-diffusion models

In this paper,we study the nonparametric estimation of the second infinitesimal moment by using the reweighted Nadaraya-Watson (RNW) approach of the underlying jump diffusion model.We establish strong consistency and asymptotic normality for the estimate of the second infinitesimal moment of continuous time models using the reweighted Nadaraya-Watson estimator to the true function.     

HAZARD REGRESSION WITH PENALIZED SPLINE: THE SMOOTHING PARAMETER CHOICE AND ASYMPTOTICS

In this article, we use penalized spline to estimate the hazard function from a set of censored failure time data. A new approach to estimate the amount of smoothing is provided. Under regularity conditions we establish the consistency and the asymptotic normality of the penalized likelihood estimators. Numerical studies and an example are conducted to evaluate the performances of the new procedure.     

The asymptotic limit for a combustion model in regard to infinite reaction rate

The Zeldovich-von Neumann-Doring model and the Chapman-Jouguet model for a simplified combustion model-Majda＇s model is studied.The author proves a uniform maximum norm estimate,then proves that as the rate of chemical reaction tends to infinity the solutions to the Zeldovich-von Neumann-Doring model tend to that of the Chapman-Jouguet model.The type of combustion waves is studied.This result is compared with the result of the projection and finite difference method for the same model.     

BOOTSTRAP WAVELET IN THE NONPARAMETRIC REGRESSION MODEL WITH WEAKLY DEPENDENT PROCESSES

This paper introduces a method of bootstrap wavelet estimation in a nonparametric regression model with weakly dependent processes for both fixed and random designs. The asymptotic bounds for the bias and variance of the bootstrap wavelet estimators are given in the fixed design model. The conditional normality for a modified version of the bootstrap wavelet estimators is obtained in the fixed model. The consistency for the bootstrap wavelet estimator is also proved in the random design model. These results show that the bootstrap wavelet method is valid for the model with weakly dependent processes.     

Random weighting method for Cox’s proportional hazards model

Variance of parameter estimate in Cox’s proportional hazards model is based on asymptotic variance. When sample size is small, variance can be estimated by bootstrap method. However, if censoring rate in a survival data set is high, bootstrap method may fail to work properly. This is because bootstrap samples may be even more heavily censored due to repeated sampling of the censored observations. This paper proposes a random weighting method for variance estimation and confidence interval estimation for proportional hazards model. This method, unlike the bootstrap method, does not lead to more severe censoring than the original sample does. Its large sample properties are studied and the consistency and asymptotic normality are proved under mild conditions. Simulation studies show that the random weighting method is not as sensitive to heavy censoring as bootstrap method is and can produce good variance estimates or confidence intervals.     

Asymptotic Normality of LS Estimate in Simple Linear EV Regression Model

Though EV model is theoretically more appropriate for applications in which measurement errors exist, people are still more inclined to use the ordinary regression models and the traditional LS method owing to the difficulties of statistical inference and computation. So it is meaningful to study the performance of LS estimate in EV model. In this article we obtain general conditions guaranteeing the asymptotic normality of the estimates of regression coefficients in the linear EV model. It is noticeable that the result is in some way different from the corresponding result in the ordinary regression model.     

Consistent nonnegative estimates of variance components

In this paper, the estimation of variance components in the linear mixed model with two random effects is investigated. The class of combination estimates based on the quadratic invariant statistics and consistent nonnegative estimates are obtained. Furthermore, it is shown that the consistent nonnegative estimate dominates ANOVA estimate under some conditions.     

Robust estimation for partially linear models with large-dimensional covariates

We are concerned with robust estimation procedures to estimate the parameters in partially linear models with large-dimensional covariates. To enhance the interpretability, we suggest implementing a nonconcave regularization method in the robust estimation procedure to select important covariates from the linear component. We establish the consistency for both the linear and the nonlinear components when the covariate dimension diverges at the rate of o(n1/2), where n is the sample size. We show that the robust estimate of linear component performs asymptotically as well as its oracle counterpart which assumes the baseline function and the unimportant covariates were known a priori. With a consistent estimator of the linear component, we estimate the nonparametric component by a robust local linear regression. It is proved that the robust estimate of nonlinear component performs asymptotically as well as if the linear component were known in advance.Comprehensive simulation studies are carried out and an application is presented to examine the fnite-sample performance of the proposed procedures.     

UNIFORM BOUNDEDNESS AND STABILITY OF SOLUTIONS TO A CUBIC PREDATOR-PREY SYSTEM WITH CROSS-DIFFUSION

Using the energy estimate and Gagliardo-Nirenberg-type inequalities,the existence and uniform boundedness of the global solutions to a strongly coupled reaction-diffusion system are proved. This system is a generalization of the two-species Lotka-Volterra predator-prey model with self and cross-diffusion. Suffcient condition for the global asymptotic stability of the positive equilibrium point of the model is given by constructing Lyapunov function.     

基于指数矩鞅差序列非参数回归函数的估计

本文研究了误差项是鞅差序列,且满足某种指数矩条件的非参数回归函数的估计.利用鞅的某种指数不等式,得到了其加权核估计的强相合以及在有限闭区间内一致强相合的性质,并在某种意义上推广了[5]的结果.     

有噪声场合自回归模型的参数估计及定阶

本文讨论了有噪声场合自回归模型的参数估计及定阶问题 ,还给出了噪声模型的参数估计 ,证明了它们的强相容性 ,并进行了数值模拟计算     

Abnormal behavior of the least squares estimate of multiple regression

An example is given to reveal the abnormal behavior of the least squares estimate of multiple regression. It is shown that the least squares estimate of the multiple linear regression may be “improved” in the sense of weak consistency when nuisance parameters are introduced into the model. A discussion on the implications of this finding is given.     

Asymptotic Properties of a Nonparametric Regression Function Estimator with Randomly Truncated Data

In this paper, we define a new kernel estimator of the regression function under a left truncation model. We establish the pointwise and uniform strong consistency over a compact set and give a rate of convergence of the estimate. The pointwise asymptotic normality of the estimate is also given. Some simulations are given to show the asymptotic behavior of the estimate in different cases. The distribution function and the covariable’s density are also estimated.     

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VaR风险度量在金融、保险中有重要的应用. 本文建立了贝叶斯模型, 在某种损失函数下研究了VaR风险度量的贝叶斯估计. 证明了指数-伽马分布下贝叶斯估计的强相合性和渐近正态性, 最后利用数值模拟的方法验证了不同样本容量下估计的收敛速度.     

Convergence systems and strong consistency of least squares estimates in regression models

A recent theorem of T. L. Hai, H. Robbins, and C. Z. Wei (J. Multivariate Anal.9 (1979), 343–362) is extended to a more general form which unifies previous results in the literature on the strong consistency of least squares estimates in multiple regression models with nonrandom regressors. In particular the issue of strong consistency of the least squares estimate in the Gauss-Markov model, in the i.i.d. model with infinite second moment, and in general time series models is examined. In this connection, some basic properties of convergence systems are also obtained and are applied to the strong consistency problem.     

分布自由的回归函数近邻核估计的相合性

本文获得了基于混合，α－混合样本的回归函数核估计，随机窗宽核估计，近邻核估计的强相合性，积分绝对误差的强相合性与平均相合性，所得结果对所有ｘ的分布μ均成立，其中核函数的支撑可以无界，甚至可以是不可积的。     

Conditional least squares and copulae in claims reserving for a single line of business

One of the main goals in non-life insurance is to estimate the claims reserve distribution. A generalized time series model, that allows for modeling the conditional mean and variance of the claim amounts, is proposed for the claims development. On contrary to the classical stochastic reserving techniques, the number of model parameters does not depend on the number of development periods, which leads to a more precise forecasting.Moreover, the time series innovations for the consecutive claims are not considered to be independent anymore. Conditional least squares are used to estimate model parameters and consistency of these estimates is proved. The copula approach is used for modeling the dependence structure, which improves the precision of the reserve distribution estimate as well.Real data examples are provided as an illustration of the potential benefits of the presented approach.     

The Dantzig selector for a linear model of diffusion processes

In this paper, a linear model of diffusion processes with unknown drift and diagonal diffusion matrices is discussed. We will consider the estimation problems for unknown parameters based on the discrete time observation in high-dimensional and sparse settings. To estimate drift matrices, the Dantzig selector which was proposed by Candés and Tao in 2007 will be applied. We will prove two types of consistency of the Dantzig selector for the drift matrix; one is the consistency in the sense of \(l_q\) norm for every \(q \in [1,\infty ]\) and another is the variable selection consistency. Moreover, we will construct an asymptotically normal estimator for the drift matrix by using the variable selection consistency of the Dantzig selector.