北海航道班轮运输排班模型的构建与求解

首先,以拟开通的大连港至鹿特丹港北海航道班轮航线为研究对象,以油耗和运营成本最小化为优化目标,将官方已有记载的北海航道通过的货船航速数据输入Eureqa软件,得到航行最高速度f(x)与进入北海航道时间t的拟合度最好的函数公式.在此基础上,构建了北海航道班轮运输排班的数学模型;其次,在仿真实例分析中,选用了5000TEU的集装箱船作为计算参数,将捕食搜索算法运用到数学模型求解之中,并且运用MATLAB软件进行求解,在最快航速受限的前提下,得到单艘班轮最佳往返时间和相同型号班轮的最低配置数目以及在服务周期内班轮公司所要付出的最低运营成本;最后,通过比较研究,得出结论是:最快航速的提高,对于降低北海航线班轮运输的运营成本将起较大作用.     

一线救治伤员后送资源配置策略研究

参考国内外历史案例和数据,构建战场伤员产生的仿真模型。基于该模型,利用综合评价、资源配置优化算法,研究探讨连抢救组及营救护站的救治、后送运力配置及路径规划策略。利用假设战例验证模型,基于减员预计模型计算减员情况,分析了相应的营、连救治策略。结果验证一线伤员收拢后送运力配置及路径优化模型可靠,可为一线救治信息化、自动化、智能化发展提供技术支撑。本研究为一线伤员救治、收拢、后送力量配置及路径规划提供理论方法。     

基于排队模型的电动汽车充电桩数量优化设计

通过对电动汽车充电行为的分析,采用顾客带有不耐烦和止步行为的有限容量M/M/C/N排队模型对充电场所充电服务系统进行建模.通过求解模型的平衡方程,获得系统稳态下的队长分布及其它多项性能指标.以系统性能指标为基础,从经济效益与社会效益的角度提出了充电服务系统优化设计的目标函数,并通过数字例子对优化模型进行了说明.分析了模型参数对系统充电桩最优配置数的影响,从中可看出,系统容量、顾客的不耐烦率及顾客的止步概率等参数对充电桩数量的优化设计都会产生不可忽视的影响.     

网络优化模型在图书馆中的应用

通过对图书馆运行机理与信息管理中网络关系的分析 ,结合局域网设计要求 ,把网络优化模型应用到图书馆管理中 ,建立了集图书馆管理、服务、文献优化配置、资金预算、资金分配、事务调查和咨询于一体的、系统的网络管理优化模型 .经过在图书馆中的实际应用 ,获得了好的效果 .     

机队运力配置和USApHMP问题的联合决策模型与算法

针对USApHMP (无容量限制的单分配枢纽网络设计)方法忽略了航空公司航线运力配置决策对单位客流量成本的影响问题,以枢纽机场选址、确定枢纽与非枢纽连接关系、航线机型及其频次选择为决策变量,综合考虑各城市对市场需求量、航线最大飞行频次、机队可用飞行时间等限制因素,以实现航线运力配置成本和枢纽设置成本最小化为目标函数,建立航线机型匹配及频次选择问题和USApHMP问题的联合决策优化模型,设计遗传算法进行求解.算例分析表明:考虑4种机型、10个城市和90个城市对的情况,与传统枢纽网络设计方法相比,联合决策模型的网络总成本降低了9.39%,且航线最大飞行频次是影响枢纽网络设计方案的重要因素.     

多货种多供需地海陆联运格局及对世界能源运输的预判

为优化国际货运规划方案,对可兼容配载的多种货物、多供需地、双港节点直达海运的海陆联运问题进行研究,由其运输关系结构研究其运输系统整体经济性组织的航线分布与货流路径模型.设定相关各量后,以营运期内所有供需地间陆运和海运总成本为目标,以供需能力、港口通过能力、船队收益及船舶停时等约束建立模型,并改进传统盈利航速的计算,模型可实现船舶航速和运输总成本的双重优化.以世界原油和致密油供需为例,划分各国主要产销地区和油港,应用模型结果显示出未来各贸易国间的基本经济航线及一定能力约束产生的航线分布、运力配置及物流路径,表明远距离航线的最优航速偏高,且海运段成本具有支配性影响.     

航线优化的随机动态规划模型

航空公司在给定的运力和机队配置条件下,如何适应航线需求的不断变化而合理地分配运力,使航空公司的经营效益最大化是我国航空经营管理的一个重大课题.根据航班效益分析,在一定的经营时间,航行班次的条件下,建立一个航线贡献最大化的含有随机变量的动态规划模型.求解方法是先用M ON TE C ARLO方法计算机仿真把模型转化为非线性的整数规划.再用动态规划中资源分配算法求出模型的最优解,编排最优各航线规划.     

网格环境下制造资源优化配置的区间规划模型

针对网格环境下影响制造资源优化配置的关键参数具有区间性的特点,基于区间数建立了资源优化配置模型,以任务完工的总成本最低为目标,将资源的价格及任务的成本限制转换为区间数,并充分考虑了资源工作时间限制以及任务时间要求,给出线性区间规划模型及其解法,并通过算例分析表明该方法的可行性与有效性.该模型在反映市场需求以及应对市场变化基础上,可得出合理的优化配置方案.     

不确定箱量下内河集装箱班轮航线动态配载决策

内河集装箱班轮运输中海关抽检可导致外贸箱箱量不断发生变化,班轮航线配载需要动态决策。基于滚动调度策略,将当前港口的配载决策按随机事件划分为多个阶段,以最小化班轮堆栈占用数量和相邻阶段间配载计划偏差为目标,构建单港口单阶段的配载决策模型,进而滚动实现班轮航线动态配载决策。基于大邻域搜索思想设计一种包含整数规划、破坏器与修复器的精确启发式算法,实现港口多阶段滚动配载。基于真实场景的算例研究表明,在优化堆栈占用数量方面,模型与算法之间差异不大,但在考虑相邻阶段间配载计划偏差时,算法的求解结果要优于模型。因此,模型与算法可用来辅助实现不确定箱量下内河集装箱班轮航线动态配载决策,且算法表现更优,可实现配载计划对不确定箱量的鲁棒吸收。     

基于蚁群优化的企业技术创新资源配置问题研究

为探索更高效的企业技术创新资源优化配置算法,提出了基于蚁群优化算法的求解方法.针对企业技术创新的流程,构建了以时间、成本和应用性为目标的企业技术创新资源优化配置模型,设计了模型求解的蚁群算法,并通过具体算例验证了算法的可行性和有效性.     

考虑横纵向一体化的港航联盟的收益模型

随着港航业竞争的加剧,港口间的联盟与合作、港口与航运企业纵向一体化不断发展。尤其是,航运企业以收购或投资模式参与港口间的资源整合,形成了更为复杂的港航混合联盟。针对港口间的资源整合与竞争、航运企业与港口一体化等因素,构建港航混合联盟模式的收益模型,对比分析在区域港口竞争模式和港航混合联盟模式下港口和航运企业的收益变化,揭示地理位置、内陆运输成本、航运企业投资效果等因素的作用。结果表明,港航混合联盟模式能够实现整合港口和航运企业的双赢。同时,当港口与内陆的集疏运基础设施薄弱、航运企业的影响力较大时,非合作港口也会受益,此时港航横纵向混合联盟模式有利于推动整个区域港口经济的发展。     

突破性创新研发联盟最优伙伴组合方案研究

突破性创新研发联盟的研究已成为国内外学术界共同关注的重大课题,而伙伴选择是研发联盟中一个十分重要的问题,伙伴挑选的成功与否直接关系到研发联盟的合作效果和成败.在分析Bernardo方法缺陷的基础上,提出改进的Bernardo方法,进而建立具有资源约束的伙伴选择的改进Bernardo模型,并将其应用到突破性创新研发联盟最优伙伴的选择中,不仅可以求得资源约束下候选伙伴的优劣排序,还能求得参与研发联盟的最优伙伴数量和最优伙伴组合方案.     

A multi-methodological approach for shipping registry selection in maritime transportation industry

Selecting the most suitable registry alternative for shipping fleets has become a highly complex strategic activity for ship owners in the maritime transportation industry, and necessitates consideration of both internal and external environmental factors, which can be both qualitative and quantitative. The aim of this paper is to propose an originally structured multi-methodological approach based on the systematic application of the SWOT analysis, the AHP and the TOPSIS methods to support the critical decision process on shipping registry selection under multiple criteria. In the proposed approach, the SWOT analysis is utilized to determine the key assessment factors on the shipping registry decision and to structure the decision hierarchy. While the AHP is used to measure the relative importance of evaluation criteria in this decision hierarchy, the TOPSIS is applied to rank the shipping registry alternatives. As a case study, major open registries are analyzed to select the most suitable of them for the fleet that is operated by a worldwide ship owner. The results show that the proposed multi-methodological approach takes the advantages of the SWOT analysis, the AHP and the TOPSIS to select the most suitable shipping registry. The proposed approach also provides a relatively simple and very well suited decision-making tool for this type of strategic decision making problem.     

A column generation approach for determining optimal fleet mix,schedules, and transshipment facility locations for a vessel transportation problem

This paper presents a column generation approach for a storage replenishment transportation-scheduling problem. The problem is concerned with determining an optimal combination of multiple-vessel schedules to transport a product from multiple sources to different destinations based on demand and storage information at the destinations, along with cost-effective optimal strategic locations for temporary transshipment storage facilities. Such problems are faced by oil/trucking companies that own a fleet of vessels (oil tankers or trucks) and have the option of chartering additional vessels to transport a product (crude oil or gasoline) to customers (storage facilities or gas stations) based on agreed upon contracts. An integer-programing model that determines a minimum-cost operation of vessels based on implicitly representing feasible shipping schedules is developed in this paper. Due to the moderate number of constraints but an overwhelming number of columns in the model, a column generation approach is devised to solve the continuous relaxation of the model, which is then coordinated with a sequential fixing heuristic in order to solve the discrete problem. Computational results are presented for a range of test problems to demonstrate the efficacy of the proposed approach.     

突破性技术创新研发联盟伙伴选择研究

突破性技术创新研发联盟的研究已成为国内外学术界共同关注的重大理论和实践课题,而伙伴选择是研发联盟中一个十分重要的问题,伙伴挑选的成功与否直接关系到研发联盟的合作效果和成败.在分析Bernardo方法缺陷的基础上,提出改进的Bernardo方法,并将改进的Bernardo方法运用到突破性技术创新研发联盟的选择中,得到了候选伙伴的优劣排序.     

Performance evaluation of distribution strategies for the inventory routing problem

Direct shipping strategy is an easy-to-implement distribution strategy frequently used in industrial distribution systems. In this paper, an analytic method is developed for performance evaluation of the strategy for the infinite horizon inventory routing problem with delivery frequency constraint. With the method, the effectiveness of direct shipping strategy can be represented as a function of some system parameters. We demonstrate that the effectiveness of direct shipping is at least the square root of the smallest utilization ratio of vehicle capacity. This implies that the effectiveness of the strategy can reach 100% (respectively, 94.86%) whenever the demand rate of each retailer is 100% (respectively, 90%) of the vehicle capacity multiplied by the upper bound of the delivery frequency. This insight can help a firm answer questions such as: under what conditions direct shipping strategy is effective and why, and how effective the strategy is under a specific condition? In case direct shipping strategy is proven ineffective, a more general Fixed Partition Policy (FPP) that combines direct shipping strategy and multiple-stop shipping strategy must be used. An analytic method is also developed for performance evaluation of general FPPs. We demonstrate that the effectiveness of an FPP depends on the total demand rate of the retailers in each partition (each retailer set) and their closeness level. This insight provides a useful guideline to the design of effective FPPs. The analytic methods make the performance improvement of a distribution system possible through adjusting its system parameters.     

干散货运价波动的杠杆效应特征研究——基于非对称随机波动模型

由信息冲击引起的干散货运价的剧烈波动给航运实体市场带来巨大风险,同等强度的利空消息通常要比利好消息引起更大的市场波动,本文对干散货航运市场运价波动存在的杠杆效应特征进行研究,为航运企业和租船人等把握市场态势、规避风险提供重要依据。考虑运价收益分布的厚尾特征,改变传统的非对称随机波动模型中随机误差项的正态分布假定,建立基于student-t分布的改进的非对称随机波动模型,在贝叶斯分析的基础上通过MCMC方法进行参数估计。通过实证研究发现,在考虑了极端风险情况后,改进的厚尾分布的非对称随机波动模型对干散货运价波动的杠杆效应特征刻画更加准确和优越。     

TPL介入的产运销供应链联盟决策及运作效率评价

在生产商批发价格为内生变量且TPL物流服务水平影响零售商市场需求的情形下,研究了整体联盟、分散决策、产运联盟和运销联盟四种模式下产运销供应链系统内各决策主体的决策行为以及系统的运作效率。分别构建了各决策模式下的数学模型,并证明了系统最优解或博弈均衡解的存在性和唯一性。通过对上述四种模式下的运算结果进行两两比较,发现:较之整体联盟,其他三种决策模式下系统利润均出现损失;其他三种模式下的最优订购量、物流服务水平和二者的比值大小均取决于某些特定的条件,这导致TPL介入的供应链内部联盟并非一定能使系统整体运作效率获得提高。进一步通过数值算例对零售价格和可变物流服务成本进行了灵敏度分析,发现在大多数情形下,运销联盟模式下的系统运作效率是上述三种决策模式中最高的。     

Interactive multiobjective programming in airline network design for international airline code-share alliance

This study presents an interactive airline network design procedure to facilitate bargaining interactions necessitated by international code-share alliance agreements. Code sharing involves partner airlines individually maximizing their own profits, while mutually considering overall profitability, traffic gains, and quality benefits for the markets in which they cooperate with their partners. This study uses a reference point method to solve the interactive multiobjective programming model, to support the bargaining interactions between two partner-airlines in an alliance negotiation. The impact of the code-share alliance network on market demand, alliance partners’ costs and profits, and levels of service are also discussed. A case study demonstrates the feasibility of applying the proposed models and elucidates how interactive multiobjective programming models may be applied to determine flight frequencies for airline code-share alliance networks. The results of this study provide ways by which alliance airlines can evaluate iteratively the output and profits of the alliance members under code-share alliance agreements.     

基于熵值Topsis和博弈动力学的空港联盟决策研究

针对空港在面临联盟选择时的决策问题进行了研究,认为众空港在博弈中的收益为不等值,从区域发展、生产要素、需求状况、支撑产业和环境影响五方面建立空港联盟收益的指标体系,将空港网络抽象成小世界网络,结合熵值Topsis和小世界网络博弈动力学建立空港联盟决策算法,并且运用2010年我国25大空港的实证数据进行研究。结论显示空港联盟只能解决空港发展的一时问题,提升自身能力才是重中之重,研究结论具有实际应用意义。