Compact Matrix Expressions for Generalized Wald Tests of Equality of Moment Vectors

Asymptotic chi-squared test statistics for testing the equality of moment vectors are developed. The test statistics proposed are generalized Wald test statistics that specialize for different settings by inserting an appropriate asymptotic variance matrix of sample moments. Scaled test statistics are also considered for dealing with nonstandard conditions. The specialization will be carried out for testing the equality of multinomial populations, and the equality of variance and correlation matrices for both normal and nonnormal data. When testing the equality of correlation matrices, a scaled version of the normal theory chi-squared statistic is proven to be an asymptotically exact chi-squared statistic in the case of elliptical data.     

Testing for serial correlation of unknown form in cointegrated time series models

Portmanteau test statistics are useful for checking the adequacy of many time series models. Here we generalized the omnibus procedure proposed by Duchesne and Roy (2004,Journal of Multivariate Analysis,89, 148–180) for multivariate stationary autoregressive models with exogenous variables (VARX) to the case of cointegrated (or partially nonstationary) VARX models. We show that for cointegrated VARX time series, the test statistic obtained by comparing the spectral density of the errors under the null hypothesis of non-correlation with a kernel-based spectral density estimator, is asymptotically standard normal. The parameters of the model can be estimated by conditional maximum likelihood or by asymptotically equivalent estimation procedures. The procedure relies on a truncation point or a smoothing parameter. We state conditions under which the asymptotic distribution of the test statistic is unaffected by a data-dependent method. The finite sample properties of the test statistics are studied via a small simulation study.     

基于纵向数据的半参数变系数部分线性回归模型

纵向数据是数理统计研究中的复杂数据类型之一0,在生物、医学和经济学中具有广泛的应用．在实际中经常需要对纵向数据进行统计分析和建模．文章讨论了纵向数据下的半参数变系数部分线性回归模型,这里的纵向数据的在纵向观察在时间上可以是不均等的,也可看成是按某一随机过程来发生．所研究的半参数变系数模型包括了许多半参数模型,比如部分线性模型和变系数模型等．利用计数过程理论和局部线性回归方法,对于纵向数据下半参数变系数进行了统计推断,给出了参数分量和非参数分量的profile最小二乘估计,研究了这些估计的渐近性质,获得这些估计的相合性和渐近正态性．     

Strong Domain of Attraction of Extreme Generalized Order Statistics

It is a well-known result in extreme value theory that the von Mises conditions imply the strong convergence of extreme order statistics. We extend this result to extreme generalized order statistics. A characterization of strong domains of attraction of joint distributions of a fixed number of extreme generalized order statistics by means of the corresponding result for generalized maxima is given. In particular, we determine the asymptotic joint distribution of (upper and lower) extreme generalized order statistics. Finally, we show that the Hill estimator based on extreme generalized order statistics is asymptotic normal.     

Heteroscedasticity and/or Autocorrelation Checks in Longitudinal Nonlinear Models with Elliptical and AR（1） Errors

The aim of this paper is to study the tests for variance heterogeneity and/or autocorrelation in nonlinear regression models with elliptical and AR(1) errors. The elliptical class includes several symmetric multivariate distributions such as normal, Student-t, power exponential, among others. Several diagnostic tests using score statistics and their adjustment are constructed. The asymptotic properties, including asymptotic chi-square and approximate powers under local alternatives of the score statistics, are studied. The properties of test statistics are investigated through Monte Carlo simulations. A data set previously analyzed under normal errors is reanalyzed under elliptical models to illustrate our test methods.     

The Asymptotic and Numerical Inversion of the Marcum Q‐Function

The generalized Marcum functions appear in problems of technical and scientific areas such as, for example, radar detection and communications. In mathematical statistics and probability theory these functions are called the noncentral gamma or the noncentral chi‐squared cumulative distribution functions. In this paper, we describe a new asymptotic method for inverting the generalized Marcum Q‐function and for the complementary Marcum P‐function. Also, we show how monotonicity and convexity properties of these functions can be used to find initial values for reliable Newton or secant methods to invert the function. We present details of numerical computations that show the reliability of the asymptotic approximations.     

部分函数线性模型的经验似然推断

本文考虑部分函数线性回归模型,研究了回归系数的经验似然推断,证明了所提出的经验对数似然比渐近于χ~2分布,此结果可以用来构造了相应兴趣参数的置信域.另外,本文也给出了系数函数的极大经验似然估计,并在适当条件下给出了所提出估计量的收敛速度.仅就置信域精度及其覆盖概率大小方面,通过模拟研究和实例分析比较了经验似然方法与最小二乘方法的优劣.     

On the calculation of cumulants of estimators arising from a linear time series regression model

Bounds for higher-order cumulants of statistics arising from a linear time series regression model are investigated. A result given in Brillinger is proved and extended. The bounds permit derivation of asymptotic moments and asymptotic normality for estimators of parameters in the model. Two examples are given as illustrations.     

Asymptotic relative Pitman efficiency in group models

The notion of asymptotic efficacy due to Hannan for multivariate statistics in a location problem is reformulated for manifolds. The matrices used in Hannan's definition are reformulated as Riemannian metrics on a manifold and hence are seen not to depend upon the particular parameterization of the manifold used to make the calculations. Conditions under which that efficacy does not depend upon basepoint and direction are derived. This leads to the extension of Pitman asymptotic relative efficiency to location parameters in group models. Under stronger conditions, that of a two-point homogeneous space, we introduce a notion of rank and sign and show that, under the null distribution, the sign is uniformly distributed on a suitably defined sphere and that the rank is independent of the sign. This work generalizes previous definitions of Neeman and Chang, Hössjer and Croux. For group models, a definition of a regression group model is given. Unlike the usual linear model, a location model is not a subcase of a regression group model. Nevertheless, it is shown that the Riemannian metrics for the regression model can be derived from those of the location model and hence, in many cases, the asymptotic relative efficiencies coincide for group and location models. As examples, rank score statistics for spherical and Procrustes regressions are derived. The Procrustes regression model arises in problems of image registration.     

基于因变量抽样设计下线性回归模型的假设检验问题

在许多大型队列研究中,采用节约成本并能提高效率的抽样机制至关重要,基于因变量的抽样设计正是这样一种有偏抽样机制.这种方法最大的优点在于:能够将资源集中在那些包含有更多的协变量与因变量关系信息的研究群体上.本文研究基于因变量抽样设计下的线性模型中回归方程显著性检验以及回归系数显著性检验问题.基于一种半参数经验轮廓似然的方法,我们分别为回归方程检验与回归系数检验提出了相应的检验统计量,获得了所提出检验统计量的渐近性质.通过模拟研究评估了所提出的检验方法在有限样本下的表现,并应用提出的方法分析了一个孕妇分娩的实际数据.     

A note on self-normalized Dickey-Fuller test for unit root in autoregressive time series with GARCH errors

In this article, the unit root test for AR（p） model with GARCH errors is considered. The Dickey-Fuller test statistics are rewritten in the form of self-normalized sums, and the asymptotic distribution of the test statistics is derived under the weak conditions.     

线性回归模型Bootstrap LM-Error检验的水平扭曲

基于OLS估计残差,本文将Bootstrap方法用于空间误差相关性LM-Error检验,综合考虑Bootstrap模拟抽样次数、空间衔接结构以及样本量,研究并比较空间误差相关Bootstrap LM-Error检验与渐近检验的水平扭曲。大量Monte Carlo实验结果显示,当模型误差不满足独立正态分布的假设条件时,空间误差相关LM-Error渐近检验的水平扭曲较大,采用Bootstrap方法可以较好地降低该水平扭曲;不管模型误差是否满足独立正态分布的假设条件,Bootstrap方法均能够有效地降低LMError渐近检验的水平扭曲。     

On Rates of Uniform Convergence of Lower Extreme Generalized Order Statistics

Under a von Mises-type condition the joint distribution of suitable normalized lower extreme generalized order statistics converges w.r.t. the variational distance to the asymptotic joint distribution of lower extreme order statistics. Rates of uniform convergence are established. It turns out that the rates of uniform convergence known for ordinary extremes carry over to lower generalized extremes. Finally, models of Weibull type are concerned, where uniform rates are used in connection with model approximations in order to simplify statistical inference.AMS 2000 Subject Classification. Primary—60G70     

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在广义参数和非参数模型中, 虽然不存在异方差检验问题, 但是方差成分的检验问题仍是研究者们关心的对象. 本文利用P-样条的方法, 研究了广义单指标混合模型的方差成分检验问题. 得到了检验广义单指标混合模型是否存在由随机效应引起的偏大离差问题的Score检验统计量, 最后给出计算机模拟的例子, 证实了文中所提出方法的可行性和有效性, 推广和发展了先前的研究工作     

非线性半参数回归模型中参数的经验似然置信域

该文考虑非线性半参数回归模型,构造了模型中未知参数的经验对数似然比统计量,证明了所提出的统计量具有渐近Χ²分布,由此结果可以用来构造未知参数的置信域.另外,该文也构造了未知参数 的最小二乘估计量,并证明了它的渐近性质.仅就置信域精度及其覆盖概率大小方面,通过模拟研究比较了经验似然方法与最小二乘法的优劣.     

Local likelihood ratio tests in the normal mixture model

The test for homogeneity in the mixture normal model is difficult to study due to the breakdown of the regularity conditions under standard theory. The asymptotic optimality of the likelihood ratio test is questionable and its distributional properties are also difficult to evaluate. In this paper, we consider and compare several tests based on the local likelihood ratio which are shown to be quite competitive compared with the generalized likelihood ratio test.     

Regression type tests for parametric hypotheses based on optimally selected subsets of the order statistics

Through use of a regression framework, a general technique is developed for determining test procedures based on subsets of the order statistics for both simple and composite parametric null hypotheses. Under both the null hypothesis and sequences of local alternatives these procedures are asymptotically equivalent in distribution to the generalized likelihood ratio statistic based on the corresponding order statistics. A simple, approximate method for selecting quantiles for such tests, which endows the corresponding test statistics with optimal power properties, is also given.     

Model checking in errors-in-variables regression

This paper discusses a class of minimum distance tests for fitting a parametric regression model to a class of regression functions in the errors-in-variables model. These tests are based on certain minimized distances between a nonparametric regression function estimator and a deconvolution kernel estimator of the conditional expectation of the parametric model being fitted. The paper establishes the asymptotic normality of the proposed test statistics under the null hypothesis and that of the corresponding minimum distance estimators. We also prove the consistency of the proposed tests against a fixed alternative and obtain the asymptotic distributions for general local alternatives. Simulation studies show that the testing procedures are quite satisfactory in the preservation of the finite sample level and in terms of a power comparison.     

Beta回归模型的影响诊断

应用曲率方法研究了Beta回归模型的局部影响分析问题,分别在加权扰动、响应变量扰动和自变量扰动模式下得到了相应的影响诊断统计量.同时还讨论了模型中散度参数的齐性检验问题,得到了Score检验统计量.最后通过具体的数值实例说明了所得统计量的有效性.     

Model Specification Tests in Nonparametric Stochastic Regression Models

In this paper, we consider testing for additivity in a class of nonparametric stochastic regression models. Two test statistics are constructed and their asymptotic distributions are established. We also conduct a small sample study for one of the test statistics through a simulated example.