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1.
孙歆  方世祖  段誉 《经济数学》2010,27(4):73-80
考虑保费随机收取的复合二项模型.得到了其Gerber-shiu折现罚金函数满足的递推公式,瑕疵更新方程及其渐近解,并且通过构造一个相关的复合几何分布函数,得到了这个更新方程的解析解.相应的也得到了一些相关精算量的渐近表示和分布函数,如破产前瞬时盈余分布的渐近解,导致破产的索赔额的分布函数.  相似文献   

2.
本文研究了离散的三项分布风险模型,在调节系数存在的前提下,借助于离散更新方程的一个极限定理,对于充分大的初始盈余给出了最终破产概率、破产前一刻的盈余和破产时赤字的概率的渐近解.其结果可以在离散的多项分布风险模型中得到推广.  相似文献   

3.
具有随机保费风险模型破产概率的下界及渐近表示   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
本文研究一类推广的风险模型,其保费收入过程不再是时间的线性函数.利用寿命分布类D-NBU我们获得了破产概率的一些下界.利用破产概率所满足的一个更新方程,我们还得到了关于破产概率的一个渐近表达式.  相似文献   

4.
完全离散经典风险模型中的渐近解和Lundberg型不等式   总被引:26,自引:0,他引:26  
研究完全离散经典风险模型,在调节系数存在前提下,借助离散更新方程的一个极限定理,对于充分大的初始盈余导出了最终破产概率,破产前一刻的盈余和破产时赤字的概率规律的渐近解,此外,还对任意的初始盈余值,利用鞅论技巧导出了最母破产概率的一个Lundberg型上界。  相似文献   

5.
本文考虑复合二项风险模型破产概率问题,首先通过研究Gerber-Shiu折现惩罚函数,运用概率论的分析方法得到了其所满足的瑕疵更新方程,再结合离散更新方程理论研究了其渐近性质,最后,运用概率母函数的方法得到了与经典的Gramer-Lundberg模型类似的破产概率Pollazek-Khinchin公式.  相似文献   

6.
本文考虑复合二项风险模型破产概率问题,首先通过研究Gerber-Shiu折现惩罚函数,运用概率论的分析方法得到了其所满足的瑕疵更新方程,再结合离散更新方程理论研究了其渐近性质,最后,运用概率母函数的方法得到了与经典的Gramér-Lundberg模型类似的破产概率Pollazek-Khinchin公式.  相似文献   

7.
本文首先研究了分布族S(v)(v≥0)和分布族S*(v)(v≥0)的一些相关性质,然后研究了经典风险模型在调节系数不存在而且索赔分布F∈S*(v)(v>0)的情况下破产概率的-个渐近结果以及破产概率局部解的渐近结果.  相似文献   

8.
一类随机利率下的破产时罚金折现期望   总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2       下载免费PDF全文
本文在经典风险模型下, 引进带有一种随机利率的破产时罚金折现期望的概念, 其利率的随机性通过标准Wiener过程和Poisson过程来描述. 给出破产时罚金折现期望所满足的更新方程, 并利用这个更新方程给出破产时罚金折现期望的渐近公式.  相似文献   

9.
复合Poisson-Geometric风险模型Gerber-Shiu折现惩罚函数   总被引:11,自引:0,他引:11  
本文研究赔付为复合Poisson-Geometric过程的风险模型,首先得到了Gerber-Shiu折现惩罚期望函数所满足的更新方程,然后在此基础上推导出了破产概率和破产即刻前赢余分布等所满足的更新方程,再运用Laplace方法得出了破产概率的Pollazek-Khinchin公式,最后根据Pollazek-Khinchin公式,直接得出了当索赔分布服从指数分布的情形下破产概率的显示表达式.  相似文献   

10.
本文考虑了索赔时间间距为指数分布与Errang(2)分布混合时的平均折现罚函数,建立了该函数所满足的积分一微分方程及更新方程,讨论r其Laplace解.最后得出了破产概率所满足的Beekman卷积公式及索赔茸分布分别为Phase-type分布和Pareto分布时破产概率的明确表达式和近似表达式.  相似文献   

11.
In this paper, we consider a renewal risk model with stochastic premiums income. We assume that the premium number process and the claim number process are a Poisson process and a generalized Erlang (n) processes, respectively. When the individual stochastic premium sizes are exponentially distributed, the Laplace transform and a defective renewal equation for the Gerber-Shiu discounted penalty function are obtained. Furthermore, the discounted joint distribution of the surplus just before ruin and the deficit at ruin is given. When the claim size distributions belong to the rational family, the explicit expression of the Gerber-Shiu discounted penalty function is derived. Finally, a specific example is provided.  相似文献   

12.
In this paper we consider the discrete time stationary renewal risk model. We express the Gerber-Shiu discounted penalty function in the stationary renewal risk model in terms of the corresponding Gerber-Shiu function in the ordinary model. In particular, we obtain a defective renewal equation for the probability generating function of ruin time. The solution of the renewal equation is then given. The explicit formulas for the discounted survival distribution of the deficit at ruin are also derived.  相似文献   

13.
The defective renewal equation satisfied by the Gerber-Shiu discounted penalty function in the renewal risk model with arbitrary interclaim times is analyzed. The ladder height distribution is shown to be a mixture of residual lifetime claim severity distributions, which results in an invariance property satisfied by a large class of claim amount models. The class of exponential claim size distributions is considered, and the Laplace transform of the (discounted) defective density of the surplus immediately prior to ruin is obtained. The mixed Erlang claim size class is also examined. The simplified defective renewal equation which results when the penalty function only involves the deficit is used to obtain moments of the discounted deficit.  相似文献   

14.
In this paper, we investigate a renewal risk model in which the distribution of the interclaim times is a mixture of two Erlang distributions. First, the Laplace transform and the defective renewal equation for the Gerber-Shiu function are derived. Then, two asymptotic results for the Laplace transform of the time of ruin are given when the initial surplus tends to infinity for the light-tailed claims and heavy-tailed claims, respectively. Finally, an explicit expression for the Gerber-Shiu function is given.  相似文献   

15.
该文研究了一类带利率的更新风险模型, 给出了Gerber-Shiu折现罚金函数所满足的积分方程, 并用无穷级数给出了其解的精确表达式; 推广了 Gerber-Shiu公式(见文献[4]); 最后利用递推技巧给出了破产概率的指数型上界.  相似文献   

16.
This paper considers a class of delayed renewal risk processes with a threshold dividend strategy. The main result is an expression of the Gerber-Shiu expected discounted penalty function in the delayed renewal risk model in terms of the corresponding Cerber-Shiu function in the ordinary renewal model. Subsequently, this relationship is considered in more detail in both the stationary renewal risk model and the ruin probability.  相似文献   

17.
We study the asymptotic behavior of the Gerber-Shiu expected discounted penalty function in the renewal risk model. Under the assumption that the claim-size distribution has a convolution-equivalent density function, which allows both heavy-tailed and light-tailed cases, we establish some asymptotic formulas for the Gerber-Shiu function with a fairly general penalty function. These formulas become completely transparent in the compound Poisson risk model or for certain choices of the penalty function in the renewal risk model. A by-product of this work is an extension of the Wiener-Hopf factorization to include the times of ascending and descending ladders in the continuous-time renewal risk model.  相似文献   

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