我国几类主要物价指数的综合因子提炼分析

我国现行编制的几类主要物价指数在宏观经济监控中起着重要的作用,它们各自反映从投资、生产到消费等不同环节价格总水平的变动,但由于现实经济的联动效应,这些指数间又呈现出很强的同升同降态势.针对此现象,运用多元统计中的因子分析方法建立模型,提炼数据中潜在的共同因子,并用主轴因子分析法求解因子载荷系数,用回归法计算因子得分.根据1990到2015年统计资料的实证结果显示,模型能从我国现行主要物价指数中提炼出意义很强的潜在因子,它能全面综合经济各领域的物价波动状况,从而为宏观物价监控提供更科学、丰富的信息.     

基于Topsis改进的因子分析模型在面板数据中的应用研究——以中国经济为例

针对传统因子分析只限于对截面数据进行分析研究存在的不足作了改进.通过建立基于Topsis法改进的因子分析模型对面板数据进行研究分析.以每一年的横截面数据因子综合得分最高和最低分别作为最优和最劣向量,通过Topsis法求出每个样本因子综合得分与最优因子方案接近程度.以中国加入WTO后的经济增长为例,用模型的最优因子方案接近程度来刻画各个省份2004年-2012年的经济发展状况,研究得到的结论是大部分省份与最优因子方案接近度较大.     

基于因子和聚类分析的县域经济发展研究——以河南省18个县(市)为例

建立县域经济发展评价指标体系,以河南省18个县(市)作为样本,运用因子分析方法进行实证分析,提取出综合经济实力因子、农业发展实力因子、生活质量因子、投资因子和第三产业发展因子5个主因子,并基于主因子得分矩阵对18个县(市)进行聚类分析.结果表明:反映经济发展整体水平和工业生产规模的综合经济实力因子处于主导地位,同时农业发展实力因子的作用也不可忽视.论文认为利用因子分析和聚类分析相结合的方法研究县域经济,所得结论客观、可信,能够较好地反映影响县域经济发展的主要因素.     

基于灰色理论的因子分析模型在实际应用中的研究:以服务业发展为例

基于灰色理论的因子分析模型,应用于解决面板数据的因子分析和研究.以中国服务业发展为例建立模型,用每个省份每年的因子综合得分作为元素,构造1行10列的因子综合得分向量,通过灰色理论的技术方法,计算每个省份的因子综合得分向量与最优因子综合得分向量的接近程度,来刻画各省份的服务业发展情况.研究表明大部分省份服务业发展的最优因子灰关联度都还比较低.     

因子分析在京杭大运河水质评价中的应用

用主成分分析的方法找出影响京杭大运河淮安段水质的主因子,求出因子得分函数,计算各样本的因子得分及水质综合评分,据此对京杭大运河淮安段各监测断面的水质进行评价.     

因子分析在证券市场股票评价中的应用

通过因特网获取了沪市792家上市公司2003年财务报表,并选取报表中的十个主要财务指标进行因子分析,并将十个主要财务指标归结为三个因子.经过因子旋转,我们解释了每个因子具有的特定含义.最后,我们计算了因子得分,并根据每个股票的三个因子得分情况对该股做出综合评价.     

稳健性因子分析在城镇居民家庭现金消费支出中的应用

利用面向对象的稳健性因子分析R软件包Robustfa,对2011年全国除港、澳、湾以外的31个省、市、自治区的城镇居民家庭现金消费支出的8个指标进行了因子分析.通过使残差矩阵的元素平方和达到最小,发现了一个组合一主因子法与稳健性Mve估计量.通过由稳健性Mve估计量计算的马氏距离大于临界值,我们发现共有10个异常点.用经典估计量和稳健性Mve估计量计算的样本相关阵、旋转后的因子载荷矩阵、因子对原始变量的贡献、贡献率、累积贡献率、样本相关阵的特征值的碎石图、前两个因子得分的散点图、因子得分、按因子得分排序等结果均有较大的不同.最后通过组合主因子法与稳健性Mve估计量将8个指标归结为两个因子:基础消费因子和消费倾向因子,根据每个省份的两个因子得分情况对该省份的家庭现金消费支出情况作出综合评价,并根据稳健性因子分析的结果给出了相应建议.     

基于多元分析的股票评价方法

对上市公司钢铁板块2004年财务报表中的八个主要指标应用多元分析法进行了总体评价,得出上市公司的业绩主要受三个具有一定含义的因子的影响,并对上市公司各因子的得分情况及综合得分情况给出了相应分析.     

因子分析法在区县经济综合指标评析中的应用

本文运用因子分析法对重庆市2000年各区县经济的综合指标进行评价,通过使用SPSS统计软件计算和分析,提出了以综合因子和第一主因子的得分大小作为经济发展的综合实力的度量,给出了重庆市2000年的各区县经济综合实力的排名次序,并对各主因子的得分情况给出了相应评价。     

因子分析在企业竞争力评价中的应用

根据因子分析原理,建立了企业竞争力的规模因子、效益因子和成长因子得分模型。通过现实竞争力和潜在竞争力分析,实现了企业竞争力和可持续发展的评价。     

马氏距离聚类分析中协方差矩阵估算的改进

本文考虑了变量权重和样本类别的影响,建立了马氏距离聚类过程中评估协方差矩阵的迭代法。以Fisher的iris数据为样本,运用欧氏距离一般聚类、主成分聚类、改进前后的马氏距离聚类方法,进行实证分析和比较,结果表明本文所提出的新方法准确率至少提高了6.63%。最后,运用该方法对35个国家的相关指标数据进行聚类分析,确定了各国的卫生保健状况等级。     

Directional distances and their robust versions: Computational and testing issues

Directional distance functions provide very flexible tools for investigating the performance of Decision Making Units (DMUs). Their flexibility relies on their ability to handle undesirable outputs and to account for non-discretionary inputs and/or outputs by fixing zero values in some elements of the directional vector.  and  indicate how the statistical properties of Farrell–Debreu type of radial efficiency measures can be transferred to directional distances. Moreover, robust versions of these distances are also available, for conditional and unconditional measures. B?din, Daraio, and Simar (2012) have shown how conditional radial distances are useful to investigate the effect of environmental factors on the production process. In this paper we develop the operational aspects for computing conditional and unconditional directional distances and their robust versions, in particular when some of the elements of the directional vector are fixed at zero. After that, we show how the approach of B?din et al. (2012) can be adapted in a directional distance framework, including bandwidth selection and two-stage regression of conditional efficiency scores. Finally, we suggest a procedure, based on bootstrap techniques, for testing the significance of environmental factors on directional efficiency scores. The procedure is illustrated through simulated and real data.     

黑龙江GDP预测的数学模型及其影响因素分析

运用灰色系统理论中的GM(1,1)预测模型,以黑龙江省近七年来的GDP数据为例,对其未来几年的GDP状况进行了科学预测,并对影响GDP发展的主要因素进行了系统分析,确定了各因素相对于GDP发展的关联程度,为相应的决策部门提供科学依据.     

Preference aggregation and DEA: An analysis of the methods proposed to discriminate efficient candidates

There are different ways to allow the voters to express their preferences on a set of candidates. In ranked voting systems, each voter selects a subset of the candidates and ranks them in order of preference. A well-known class of these voting systems are scoring rules, where fixed scores are assigned to the different ranks and the candidates with the highest score are the winners. One of the most important issues in this context is the choice of the scoring vector, since the winning candidate can vary according to the scores used. To avoid this problem, Cook and Kress [W.D. Cook, M. Kress, A data envelopment model for aggregating preference rankings, Management Science 36 (11) (1990) 1302–1310], using a DEA/AR model, proposed to assess each candidate with the most favorable scoring vector for him/her. However, the use of this procedure often causes several candidates to be efficient, i.e., they achieve the maximum score. For this reason, several methods to discriminate among efficient candidates have been proposed. The aim of this paper is to analyze and show some drawbacks of these methods.     

关于要素不可控条件下的DEA模型的特性分析

在 DEA模型的实际应用中 ,往往要求某些要素的投入是不能改变的 ,即这些要素对于决策者是不可控的 .1 986年 ,Banker和 Morey为了克服此类问题 ,提出了具有固定不变投入的 DEA模型 ,被称为要素不可控条件下的 DEA模型 .详细研究了要素不可控条件下的 DEA模型 ,并且建立了要素不可控条件下的DEA(弱 )有效性与 (弱 ) Pareto解的等价关系     

AN ERROR ANALYSIS METHOD SPP-BEAM AND A CONSTRUCTION GUIDELINE OF NONCONFORMING FINITE ELEMENTS FOR FOURTH ORDER ELLIPTIC PROBLEMS

Under two hypotheses of nonconforming finite elements of fourth order elliptic problems,we present a side-patchwise projection based error analysis method(SPP-BEAM for short).Such a method is able to avoid both the regularity condition of exact solutions in the classical error analysis method and the complicated bubble function technique in the recent medius error analysis method.In addition,it is universal enough to admit generalizations.Then,we propose a sufficient condition for these hypotheses by imposing a set of in some sense necessary degrees of freedom of the shape function spaces.As an application,we use the theory to design a P3 second order triangular H2 non-conforming element by enriching two P4 bubble functions and,another P4 second order triangular H2 nonconforming finite element,and a P3 second order tetrahedral H2 non-conforming element by enriching eight P4 bubble functions,adding some more degrees of freedom.     

Extracting factors for students’ motivation in studying mathematics

The purpose of this article is to identify factors that statistically explain the variation and the measures on the level of motivation of a sample of mathematics students in a university. Specifically, this analysis will identify groups of similar items and reduce the number of variables used in a study. This article explains the use of exploratory factor analysis in extracting factors of personal belief and motivational factors among students in learning mathematics. The adaptation of these factors can be used for assessing academic performance in relation to motivation level. By identifying these factors, the mathematics educators or researchers will be able to find ways to improve the condition of the factors and also to further investigate the factors based on confirmatory approaches.     

Flows over time in time-varying networks: Optimality conditions and strong duality

There has been much research on network flows over time due to their important role in real world applications. This has led to many results, but the more challenging continuous time model still lacks some of the key concepts and techniques that are the cornerstones of static network flows. The aim of this paper is to advance the state of the art for dynamic network flows by developing the continuous time analogues of the theory for static network flows. Specifically, we make use of ideas from the static case to establish a reduced cost optimality condition, a negative cycle optimality condition, and a strong duality result for a very general class of network flows over time.     

Rates of Convergence and Law of the Iterated Logarithm for U-Processes

We study in this paper some limit theorems for U-processes. We calculate rates of convergence in the central limit theorem of nondegenerate U-processes under metric entropy with bracketing condition. In application, we improve upon the law of the iterated logarithm of Arcones. All calculations use the Ossiander chaining procedure.