Sufficiency and fuzziness in random experiments

In previous papers, the consequences of the “presence of fuzziness” in the experimental information on which statistical inferences are based were discussed. Thus, the intuitive assertion «fuzziness entails a loss of information» was formalized, by comparing the information in the “exact case” with that in the “fuzzy case”. This comparison was carried out through different criteria to compare experiments (in particular, that based on the “pattern” one, Blackwell's sufficiency criterion). Our purpose now is slightly different, in the sense that we try to compare two “fuzzy cases”. More precisely, the question we are interested in is the following: how will different “degrees of fuzziness” in the experimental information affect the sufficiency? In this paper, a study of this question is carried out by constructing an alternative criterion (equivalent to sufficiency under comparability conditions), but whose interpretation is more intuitive in the fuzzy case. The study is first developed for Bernoulli experiments, and the coherence with the axiomatic requirements for measures of fuzziness is also analyzed in such a situation. Then it is generalized to other random experiments and a simple example is examined.     

Fuzzy Entropy： Axiomatic Definition and Neural Networks Model

The measure of uncertainty is adopted as a measure of information. The measures of fuzziness are known as fuzzy information measures. The measure of a quantity of fuzzy information gained from a fuzzy set or fuzzy system is known as fuzzy entropy. Fuzzy entropy has been focused and studied by many researchers in various fields. In this paper, firstly, the axiomatic definition of fuzzy entropy is discussed. Then, neural networks model of fuzzy entropy is proposed, based on the computing capability of neural networks. In the end, two examples are discussed to show the efficiency of the model.     

自然灾害情境下的终端供电设施应急抢修决策规划

自然灾害情境造成部分决策信息模糊和应急决策者的消极情绪。考虑消极情绪在自然灾害应急决策的影响,构建了考虑情绪下的前景理论的价值函数。运用反函数原理,根据应急决策者对模糊信息的心理感知价值,构建了其实际值的估计函数,用于解决决策信息模糊下的终端供电设施应急抢修决策规划问题,提出了相应的决策模型和求解算法。采用自主开发的在线实验系统,完成了信息模糊下的电网应急抢修决策实验,验证了决策模型和消极情绪下基于决策者心理感知对模糊信息估值方法的有效性。     

基于多目标属性权重优化的犹豫模糊语言TOPSIS决策方法

犹豫模糊语言术语集作为一种有效的信息表达形式,能够很好的反映出人们的定性且犹豫的决策信息。传统的距离测度会导致犹豫模糊语言信息的流失,因此,本文首先提出了一种新的犹豫模糊语言距离测度,并研究了该距离测度的性质。其次,针对属性权重完全未知的犹豫模糊语言多属性决策问题,考虑方案和属性两个层面,构建了多目标优化的属性权重确定模型。进而,基于多目标权重优化模型和犹豫模糊语言距离测度,提出了一种改进的犹豫模糊语言TOPSIS法。最后通过实例说明了所提出的TOPSIS法的实用性和有效性,并进行了灵敏度和比较分析。     

An intuitionistic fuzzy projection-based approach for partner selection

The partner selection is an important decision problem in the formation of a new virtual enterprise. Using the projection technique, this study introduces an approach to partner selection with linguistic values and intuitionistic fuzzy information under a group decision-making environment. To avoid information loss, there is no aggregations of decision information in this model except ideal decisions as auxiliary decision tools. Comparisons of the suggested methodology with other methods are also made. A numerical example and an experimental analysis are proposed to illustrate the application of the proposed model.     

不完全信息下军事冲突态势的模糊过程分析

本文以军事冲突决策为研究背景 ,给出了在不完全信息下 ,局中人处在冲突态势改变过程是一个模糊集上的马尔柯夫过程时状态转移的预测模型 ,并且探讨了当状态转移的无后效应是模糊概念时模糊马尔柯夫链状态转移的预测模型     

模糊熵与距离测度的相互诱导及其应用

模糊信息论就是利用模糊数学这一工具来研究带有模糊不确定性的信息的．模糊熵和距离测度是模糊信息论中两个重要的度量方法．本文主要讨论模糊熵和距离测度之间的相互关系,由此得到几个由模糊熵诱导的距离测度公式和几个由距离测度诱导出的模糊熵公式,说明了模糊熵和距离测度是可以相互诱导的．最后,举例说明距离测度公式在模式识别中的应用．     

The interval-valued fuzzy TOPSIS method and experimental analysis

The purpose of this paper is to extend the TOPSIS method based on interval-valued fuzzy sets in decision analysis. Hwang and Yoon developed the technique for order preference by similarity to ideal solution (TOPSIS) in 1981. TOPSIS has been widely used to rank the preference order of alternatives and determine the optimal choice. Considering the fact that it is difficult to precisely attach the numerical measures to the relative importance of the attributes and to the impacts of the alternatives on these attributes in some cases, therefore, the TOPSIS method has been extended for interval-valued fuzzy data in this paper. In addition, a comprehensive experimental analysis to observe the interval-valued fuzzy TOPSIS results yielded by different distance measures is presented. A comparative analysis of interval-valued fuzzy TOPSIS rankings from each distance measure is illustrated with discussions on consistency rates, contradiction rates, and average Spearman correlation coefficients. Finally, a second-order regression model is provided to highlight the effects of the number of alternatives, the number of attributes, and distance measures on average Spearmen correlation coefficients.     

Crisp sets as classes of discontinuous fuzzy sets

This paper aims to show how, by using a threshold-based approach, a path from imprecise information to a crisp ‘decision’ can be developed. It deals with the problem of the logical transformation of a fuzzy set into a crisp set. Such threshold arises from the ideas of contradiction and separation, and allows us to prove that crisp sets can be structurally considered as classes of discontinuous fuzzy sets. It is also shown that continuous fuzzy sets are computationally indistinguishable from some kind of discontinuous fuzzy sets.     

Granular fuzzy models: Analysis,design, and evaluation

The study is concerned with a design of granular fuzzy models. We exploit a concept of information granularity by developing a model coming as a network of intuitively structured collection of interval information granules described in the output space and a family of induced information granules (in the form of fuzzy sets) formed in the input space. In contrast to most fuzzy models encountered in the literature, the results produced by granular models are information granules rather than plain numeric entities. The design of the model concentrates on a construction of information granules that form a backbone of the overall construct. Interval information granules positioned in the output space are built by considering intervals of equal length, equal probability, and developing an optimized version of the intervals. The induced fuzzy information granules localized in the input space are realized by running a conditional Fuzzy C-Means (FCM). The performance of the model is assessed by considering criteria of coverage and information specificity (information granularity). Further optimization of the model is proposed along the line of an optimal re-distribution of input information granules induced by the individual interval information granules located in the output space. Experimental results involve some synthetic low-dimensional data and publicly available benchmark data sets.     

基于模糊信息公理与云模型的虚拟企业合作伙伴选择

针对虚拟企业建立过程中的关键问题——合作伙伴选择,本文以合作需求为驱动,建立了一种基于模糊信息公理与云模型的合作伙伴选择方法。利用质量功能展开法将合作需求转化为决策属性及其重要度,采用模糊三角数处理展开过程中的不确定信息,并以相对偏好关系计算属性相对重要度。运用信息公理计算各候选企业的信息量,再以各候选企业信息量作为云滴,利用逆向云生成器求得评价结果的云数字特征,通过云数字特征将其转换为定性评价,并进一步分析评价结果。最后,通过实例分析验证了该方法的可行性和有效性。     

The fuzzy decision problem: An approach to the point estimation problem with fuzzy information

This paper is devoted to the extension of the Bayesian method for the point estimation, when the available information is ‘vague’.In the nonfuzzy case, the parametric estimation can be approached as a particularization in the statistical decision problem. This motivates us to accomplish the mentioned extension by looking at the parametric estimation in the fuzzy case as a special situation in the fuzzy decision problem (defined by Tanaka, Okuda and Asia).In this way, concepts in the fuzzy decision problem are first ‘expressed’ in the estimation terminology. Then, on the basis of these concepts, we shall introduce some notions and state some interesting results. Finally, several illustrative examples will be exposed.     

基于直觉模糊熵权和CC-OWA算子的雷达目标识别模型

为更完整的描述和表达雷达目标类型识别中的目标特征和目标类型之间的关系复杂性和知识缺乏性,通过直觉模糊关系描述,进而将目标识别特征信息转化为直觉模糊集信息.分析了基于直觉模糊集理论的雷达目标类型识别知识建模,揭示了直觉模糊信息的价值可以通过直觉模糊熵刻画,进而提出应用直觉模糊集的熵构造特征直觉模糊信息的权重(直觉模糊熵权),充分利用了目标类型识别知识中隐含的权重信息,并结合CC-OWA算子建立雷达目标类型识别模型与识别步骤,利用一个雷达目标识别实例说明了模型的有效性.     

Hybrid fuzzy least-squares regression analysis in claims reserving with geometric separation method

Claims reserving is obviously necessary for representing future obligations of an insurance company and selection of an accurate method is a major component of the overall claims reserving process. However, the wide range of unquantifiable factors which increase the uncertainty should be considered when using any method to estimate the amount of outstanding claims based on past data. Unlike traditional methods in claims analysis, fuzzy set approaches can tolerate imprecision and uncertainty without loss of performance and effectiveness. In this paper, hybrid fuzzy least-squares regression, which is proposed by Chang (2001), is used to predict future claim costs by utilizing the concept of a geometric separation method. We use probabilistic confidence limits for designing triangular fuzzy numbers. Thus, it allows us to reflect variability measures contained in a data set in the prediction of future claim costs. We also propose weighted functions of fuzzy numbers as a defuzzification procedure in order to transform estimated fuzzy claim costs into a crisp real equivalent.     

基于FCM-GRNN的驾驶倾向性识别方法

为提高对驾驶倾向性的辨识准确率,进行驾驶倾向性问卷表调查、模拟驾驶、人因工程测试,考虑了驾驶员的心理、生理信息,以及环境、车辆和操作信息的基础上,提出用广义神经网络确定聚类中心,优化模糊c均值聚类算法,实现目标识别级信息融合的方法,对驾驶倾向性进行预测.利用实验数据对识别方法进行验证,结果表明,该算法对驾驶倾向性的预测准确率达到了85.83%,为进一步研究驾驶员倾向的动态特性提供了依据.     

电子中介中具有模糊信息的多属性商品交易匹配方法研究

以电子中介中买卖双方单数量同类商品交易为实际应用背景,研究了具有模糊信息的多属性商品交易优化匹配方法。首先,在给出模糊信息数学描述的基础上,从买卖双方视角提出了新的基于改进模糊信息公理的交易匹配度计算方法,由于该方法在计算中充分考虑了模糊信息情形下买卖双方对商品需求的满意程度,因而由其计算得到的交易匹配度更具有合理性和现实意义。接着,以最大化买卖双方交易匹配度为优化目标,建立了电子中介中具有模糊信息的单数量多属性商品交易匹配模型,并通过模型的求解获得最优的匹配结果。实例计算研究表明,本文提出的匹配方法是可行和实用的。     

基于证据推理的直觉模糊多属性群决策方法

针对属性值为直觉模糊数的多属性群决策问题,提出了一种证据推理的扩展方法。首先,在考虑主观因素与客观因素的基础上运用直觉模糊熵法计算出属性及专家的综合权重。其次,提出一种基于证据推理的直觉模糊信息融合方法,该方法可以避免由于评价值的隶属度为0而导致的信息丢失现象,弥补了现有直觉模糊信息融合方法存在的不足。在此基础上,集结评价信息并按照备选方案与理想方案的相对贴近度对备选方案进行比选。最后,运用实例验证了所提方法的有效性。     

On-Line Constrained Predictive Control Algorithm using Multi-Objective Fuzzy-Optimization and a Case Study

Model predictive control (MPC) has been used in process control systems with constraints, however, the constrained optimization problem involved in control systems has generally been solved in practice in a piece-meal fashion. To solve the problem systemically, in this paper, the Multi-Objective Fuzzy-Optimization (MOFO) is used in the constrained predictive control for online applications as a means of dealing with fuzzy goals and fuzzy constraints in control systems. The conventional model predictive control is integrated with the techniques from fuzzy multicriteria decision making, translating the goals and the constraints to predictive control in a transparent way. The information regarding the fuzzy goals and the fuzzy constraints of the control problem is combined by using a decision function from the fuzzy theory, so it is possible to aggregate the fuzzy goals and the fuzzy constraints using fuzzy operators, e.g. t-norms, s-norms or the convex sum. It is shown that the model predictive controller based on MOFO allows the designers a more flexible aggregation of the control objectives than the usual weighting sum of squared errors in MPC. The efficiency of the presented algorithm is validated by the visual robot path planning.     

Quantity of information; Comparison between information systems: 1. Non-fuzzy states

In statistical theory, experiments or probabilistic information systems are supposed to be informative, since they reduce the amount of uncertainty associated with the states of nature. For the case that the available information systems are vague (fuzzy information systems), H. Tanaka, T. Okuda and K. Asai have proven, using the ‘measure of information’ as provided by ‘entropy’, that the fuzzy information systems are informative too.Now, we wish to state and to study a criterion in order to compare fuzzy information systems by the ‘quantity of information of a fuzzy information system’ (defined by Tanaka et al.).In this first paper we consider the situation where we require information about the original state space (non-fuzzy state space).The second paper will deal with the situation where we require only information on certain vague states (fuzzy states).     

语言值多属性决策问题研究

指出了目前已有的语言值综合决策模型的不足,建立了一个新的语言值综合决策模型.利用三角形模糊数和扩展原理以及格贴近度和择近原则,证明了所给模型的科学性,同时分析了它的几条良好性质.最后给出一个该模型的应用实例.