纵向数据下均值协方差联合建模中的ARMA Cholesky因子模型

在广义估计方程框架下,发展了一类灵活的回归模型来参数化协方差结构.通过合并广泛使用的修正的Cholesky分解和滑动平均Cholesky分解,得到自回归滑动平均Cholesky分解.该分解能够参数化更一般的协方差结构,且其输入具有清晰的统计解释.对这些输入建立回归模型,并利用拟Fisher迭代算法估计回归系数.均值和协方差模型中的参数估计皆具有相合性和渐近正态性.最后通过模拟研究考察了所提方法的有限样本表现.     

正态总体均值与标准差比在序约束下的广义p值检验

本文利用广义$p$\,-值和U-I检验法研究了多个正态总体均值与标准差比在简单半序和树序约束下的检验问题. 提出了广义检验变量, 得到了多个正态总体均值与标准差比在简单半序和树序约束下检验问题的广义$p$\,-值. 同时运用Monte Carlo方法给出了模拟结果.     

正态总体均值与标准差比在序约束下的广p-值检验

本文利用广义p-值和U-I检验法研究了多个正态总体均值与标准差比在简单半序和树序约束下的检验问题．提出了广义检验变量,得到了多个正态总体均值与标准差比在简单半序和树序约束下检验问题的广义p-值．同时运用Monte Carlo方法给出了模拟结果．     

多个正态总体均值相等的VDR检验

本文将随机估计由一维参数扩展至多维参数,基于随机估计的密度函数提出VDR检验.在总体方差已知和未知的两种情形下,本文讨论多个正态总体均值是否相同的VDR检验过程,而且得到精确的检验.单因素方差分析是VDR检验的特例.模拟研究表明,VDR检验是一个普遍适用的方法.     

线性混合模型中方差分量的广义推断

本文考虑了线性混合模型中方差分量的假设检验和区间估计问题.基于广义P-值和广义置信区间的概念,构造了对应于随机效应的单个方差分量的精确检验和置信区间.所构造的广义p-值和广义置信区间是最小充分统计量的函数.对于两个独立线性混合模型中对应于随机效应的方差分量的比较,建立了精确检验和置信区间.进-步,研究了所给检验和置信区间的统计性质,给出了这些检验方法与文献中已有方法的功效比较的模拟结果.模拟结果表明,新检验在功效方面有显著的改进.最后,通过-个实例来演示本文方怯.     

纵向数据均值和协方差矩阵的有效稳健估计（英文）

本文提出一种针对纵向数据回归模型下的均值和协方差矩阵同时进行的有效稳健估计.基于对协方差矩阵的Cholesky分解和对模型的改写,我们提出一个加权最小二乘估计,其中权重是通过广义经验似然方法估计出来的.所提估计的有效性得益于经验似然方法的优势,稳健性则是通过限制残差平方和的上界来达到.模拟研究表明,和已有的针对纵向数据的稳健估计相比,所提估计具有更高的效率和可比的稳健性.最后,我们把所提估计方法用来分析一组实际数据.     

广义p-值与panel数据模型的精确检验

在panel模型中,如果方差分量已知,对回归系数的检验,存在一致最优功效检验.但往往方差分量未知,这时采用的方法就是用它们的估计代替它们.不同的方差分量的估计,就得到不同的检验统计量.这些检验统计量的分布都是未知的,在小样本情况下,很难控制它们的检验水平.本文采用广义p值的方法,给出了一种精确的检验.模拟结果显示,这种检验能很好的控制检验水平,并且有更高的检验功效.同时,本文利用广义置信域的方法给出了回归系数的广义置信球.     

偏正态非平衡面板单因素随机效应模型的Bootstrap推断

针对偏正态非平衡面板单因素随机效应模型,文章研究了回归系数和方差分量函数的假设检验和区间估计问题.首先,基于矩阵分解技术,给出回归系数的精确检验方法.其次,利用Bootstrap方法和广义方法,构造单个方差分量、方差分量之和的检验统计量和置信区间.再次,建立方差分量之比的精确检验和近似检验.文章证明了所给检验方法和置信区间的变换不变性等理论性质.Monte Carlo结果表明,对于所设参数和样本量,文章所给方法在犯第一类错误的概率和功效意义下,具有统计优良性.最后,将上述方法应用于汽油消耗量的案例分析.     

基于随机矩阵理论的高维数据球形检验

本文基于随机矩阵理论,研究了一般总体的高维协方差矩阵的球形检验.当样本量小于数据维数时,经典的似然比检验方法在球形检验中已无法使用.通过引入样本协方差矩阵谱分布的高阶矩,构造出一个新的检验统计量,并给出其在零假设下的渐近分布.模拟实验表明所提出的统计量在控制第一类错误概率的基础上能有效提高检验功效,对于Spiked模型效果尤为显著.     

纵向数据的有效秩推断基于修正的Cholesky分解

本文基于修正的Cholesky分解提出新的方法估计纵向秩回归的组内协方差矩阵,进而提出新的无偏估计函数改善不平衡纵向数据的估计效率.在一些正则条件下,建立了所提估计的渐近正态性.进一步,提出稳健的秩得分检验统计量对回归系数做假设检验.模拟研究和实证分析表明所提方法能够获得高度有效的估计以及所提检验方法比存在的方法更好.     

Likelihood ratio tests of correlated multivariate samples

We develop methods to compare multiple multivariate normally distributed samples which may be correlated. The methods are new in the context that no assumption is made about the correlations among the samples. Three types of null hypotheses are considered: equality of mean vectors, homogeneity of covariance matrices, and equality of both mean vectors and covariance matrices. We demonstrate that the likelihood ratio test statistics have finite-sample distributions that are functions of two independent Wishart variables and dependent on the covariance matrix of the combined multiple populations. Asymptotic calculations show that the likelihood ratio test statistics converge in distribution to central Chi-squared distributions under the null hypotheses regardless of how the populations are correlated. Following these theoretical findings, we propose a resampling procedure for the implementation of the likelihood ratio tests in which no restrictive assumption is imposed on the structures of the covariance matrices. The empirical size and power of the test procedure are investigated for various sample sizes via simulations. Two examples are provided for illustration. The results show good performance of the methods in terms of test validity and power.     

Sample Covariance Matrix for Random Vectors with Heavy Tails

We compute the asymptotic distribution of the sample covariance matrix for independent and identically distributed random vectors with regularly varying tails. If the tails of the random vectors are sufficiently heavy so that the fourth moments do not exist, then the sample covariance matrix is asymptotically operator stable as a random element of the vector space of symmetric matrices.     

Bayesian modeling of several covariance matrices and some results on propriety of the posterior for linear regression with correlated and/or heterogeneous errors

We explore simultaneous modeling of several covariance matrices across groups using the spectral (eigenvalue) decomposition and modified Cholesky decomposition. We introduce several models for covariance matrices under different assumptions about the mean structure. We consider ‘dependence’ matrices, which tend to have many parameters, as constant across groups and/or parsimoniously modeled via a regression formulation. For ‘variances’, we consider both unrestricted across groups and more parsimoniously modeled via log-linear models. In all these models, we explore the propriety of the posterior when improper priors are used on the mean and ‘variance’ parameters (and in some cases, on components of the ‘dependence’ matrices). The models examined include several common Bayesian regression models, whose propriety has not been previously explored, as special cases. We propose a simple approach to weaken the assumption of constant dependence matrices in an automated fashion and describe how to compute Bayes factors to test the hypothesis of constant ‘dependence’ across groups. The models are applied to data from two longitudinal clinical studies.     

Testing for Covariance Matrices in Panel Data Models with Interactive Fixed Effect

In this paper, we focus on the tests for covariance matrices in panel data model with interactive fixed effects. For the problem of testing identity and sphericity of covariance matrices, we first propose test statistics based on the estimators of the trace of covariance matrices. Under both the null hypothesis and the alternatives, we establish the asymptotic distributions of the proposed test statistics under some regularity conditions, and we further show that the proposed tests are distribution free. Subsequently simulation studies suggest that the proposed tests perform well under the high dimensional panel data.     

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??In this paper, we focus on the tests for covariance matrices in panel data model with interactive fixed effects. For the problem of testing identity and sphericity of covariance matrices, we first propose test statistics based on the estimators of the trace of covariance matrices. Under both the null hypothesis and the alternatives, we establish the asymptotic distributions of the proposed test statistics under some regularity conditions, and we further show that the proposed tests are distribution free. Subsequently simulation studies suggest that the proposed tests perform well under the high dimensional panel data.     

Two-sample inference for normal mean vectors based on monotone missing data

Inferential procedures for the difference between two multivariate normal mean vectors based on incomplete data matrices with different monotone patterns are developed. Assuming that the population covariance matrices are equal, a pivotal quantity, similar to the Hotelling T² statistic, is proposed, and its approximate distribution is derived. Hypothesis testing and confidence estimation of the difference between the mean vectors based on the approximate distribution are outlined. The validity of the approximation is investigated using Monte Carlo simulation. Monte Carlo studies indicate that the approximate method is very satisfactory even for small samples. A multiple comparison procedure is outlined and the proposed methods are illustrated using an example.     

序约束下多元正态均值的检验问题

设有k组均值有简单半序约束,协方差阵未知的p维正态分布．Sasabuchi等在2003年研究了均值是否相等的检验问题．考虑到似然比检验统计量的临界点难以获得,以致于它不容易实施,Sasabuchi提出了一个检验方法．称为Sasabuchi检验．Sasabuchi检验的一个不足之处在于,它并不优于经典的MANOVA检验．作者提出了一个新的检验方法,它比Sasabuchi检验有一致优的势,而且形式更为简单．通过模拟发现这个检验方法还优势于MANOVA．最后导出了这个检验统计量的渐近零分布．     

On a model selection problem from high-dimensional sample covariance matrices

Modern random matrix theory indicates that when the population size p is not negligible with respect to the sample size n, the sample covariance matrices demonstrate significant deviations from the population covariance matrices. In order to recover the characteristics of the population covariance matrices from the observed sample covariance matrices, several recent solutions are proposed when the order of the underlying population spectral distribution is known. In this paper, we deal with the underlying order selection problem and propose a solution based on the cross-validation principle. We prove the consistency of the proposed procedure.     

On the k-sample Behrens-Fisher problem for high-dimensional data

For several decades, much attention has been paid to the two-sample Behrens-Fisher (BF) problem which tests the equality of the means or mean vectors of two normal populations with unequal variance/covariance structures. Little work, however, has been done for the k-sample BF problem for high dimensional data which tests the equality of the mean vectors of several high-dimensional normal populations with unequal covariance structures. In this paper we study this challenging problem via extending the famous Scheffe’s transformation method, which reduces the k-sample BF problem to a one-sample problem. The induced one-sample problem can be easily tested by the classical Hotelling’s T ² test when the size of the resulting sample is very large relative to its dimensionality. For high dimensional data, however, the dimensionality of the resulting sample is often very large, and even much larger than its sample size, which makes the classical Hotelling’s T ² test not powerful or not even well defined. To overcome this difficulty, we propose and study an L ²-norm based test. The asymptotic powers of the proposed L ²-norm based test and Hotelling’s T ² test are derived and theoretically compared. Methods for implementing the L ²-norm based test are described. Simulation studies are conducted to compare the L ²-norm based test and Hotelling’s T ² test when the latter can be well defined, and to compare the proposed implementation methods for the L ²-norm based test otherwise. The methodologies are motivated and illustrated by a real data example. The work was supported by the National University of Singapore Academic Research Grant (Grant No. R-155-000-085-112)     

On the k-sample Behrens-Fisher problem for high-dimensional data

For several decades,much attention has been paid to the two-sample Behrens-Fisher(BF) problem which tests the equality of the means or mean vectors of two normal populations with unequal variance/covariance structures.Little work,however,has been done for the k-sample BF problem for high dimensional data which tests the equality of the mean vectors of several high-dimensional normal populations with unequal covariance structures.In this paper we study this challenging problem via extending the famous Scheff...