纵向数据均值和协方差矩阵的有效稳健估计（英文）

本文提出一种针对纵向数据回归模型下的均值和协方差矩阵同时进行的有效稳健估计.基于对协方差矩阵的Cholesky分解和对模型的改写,我们提出一个加权最小二乘估计,其中权重是通过广义经验似然方法估计出来的.所提估计的有效性得益于经验似然方法的优势,稳健性则是通过限制残差平方和的上界来达到.模拟研究表明,和已有的针对纵向数据的稳健估计相比,所提估计具有更高的效率和可比的稳健性.最后,我们把所提估计方法用来分析一组实际数据.     

纵向数据部分线性测量误差模型的二次推断函数估计

基于纵向数据部分线性测量误差模型, 研究了模型中兴趣参数部分回归系数的估计问题. 首先采用B样条方法逼近模型中的非参数函数, 然后提出修正的二次推断函数(QIF)方法对模型中参数部分的回归系数进行估计, 所提方法可以提高估计的效率. 在一定的正则条件下, 证明了所得到的估计量具有相合性和渐近正态性. 最后, 通过模拟研究和实例分析验证了所提出估计方法的有限大样本性质.     

长记忆模型的Bayes估计及其在汇率波动中的应用

本文介绍了长记忆模型及其检验方法,根据Bayes原理,提出了记忆参数的一种新的估计方法.在运用Teverovsky/Taqqu(1997)年提出的一种基于样本方差的直观方法的初步检验基础上,运用新的检验方法,以美元对人民币汇率为研究对象,说明了我国汇率波动的长记忆性.然后,将经典的GPH-估计与新方法所得出的Bayes-估计相比较,可以看出这种新的估计方法较之经典的GPH-估计要稳定.     

半参数可加测量误差模型的白噪声检验

当模型误差不是白噪声时,通常的估计方法无效,特别是当回归因子包含后延变量时,估计不相合.因此,文章研究了半参数可加测量误差模型的白噪声检验.提出了一个白噪声检验统计量,并在模型误差是白噪声的零假设下证明了所提检验统计量服从渐近正态分布.随机模拟表明所提出的检验统计量具有良好的检验功效和水平.     

竞争风险数据和协变量相依权重下可加可乘的子分布风险率模型

本文在竞争风险数据下提出一种灵活的含变系数的可加可乘的子分布风险率模型.通过对删失时间的风险函数建立Cox比例风险模型,得到调整后的与协变量相依的权重,在新权重下建立估计方程来估计模型参数,并获得了估计的大样本性质,同时提出了模型中协变量的时变效应的检验方法.通过数值模拟验证了所提方法的有限样本性质,结果表明所提方法可以大大降低估计偏差.最后,分析了一组淋巴滤泡细胞的竞争风险数据集来展示所提方法的实际应用效果.     

基于变系数模型的纵向数据相关结构选择和估计

本文针对基于变系数模型的纵向数据提出 选择和估计其个体内部相关结构的方法, 给出变系数模型中系数函数曲线的有效估计, 并建立相应的大样本渐近性质. 模拟结果和实例分析表明, 即使在有限样本下, 本文所提方法在选择和估计真实相关结构方面具有相合性, 并能够提高系数函数曲线的估计效率.     

非参数协方差分析基于变系数模型的统计推断

对于一类协方差分析模型,本文基于变系数模型的角度,提出了约束局部加权核估计方法,并构造了相应的检验统计量,给出了计算检验p-值的精确方法.最后通过数值模拟验证了所提检验方法的有效性.     

纵向数据部分线性模型的广义经验似然推断

考虑纵向数据部分线性模型,针对纵向数据个体内的相关性特点,通过引入估计的作业协方差矩阵,构造了模型中未知参数的三种经验对数似然比统计量.在适当条件下,证明了所提出的统计量依分布收敛于χ~2分布,所得结果可以构造未知参数的置信域.最后通过模拟研究对所提方法进行了说明.     

变系数混合模型的光滑样条推断

为了拟合纵向数据和其他相关数据,本文提出了变系数混合效应模型(VCMM).该模型运用变系数线性部分来表示协变量对响应变量的影响,而用随机效应来描述纵向数据组内的相关性, 因此,该模型允许协变量和响应变量之间存在十分灵活的泛函关系.文中运用光滑样条来估计均值部分的系数函数,而用限制最大似然的方法同时估计出光滑参数和方差成分,我们还得到了所提估计的计算方法.大量的模拟研究表明对于具有各种协方差结构的变系数混合效应模型,运用本文所提出的方法都能够十分有效地估计出模型中的系数函数和方差成分.     

面板数据交互固定效应模型的协方差矩阵检验

本文研究了面板数据交互固定效应模型中协方差矩阵的检验问题.首先依据模型协方差矩阵迹的估计构造检验统计量,检验协方差矩阵是否为单位矩阵,或是单位矩阵的常数倍.然后在一定正则条件下,证明了检验统计量的渐近性质,并说明所提出的检验方法不依赖于误差分布.最后,通过模拟研究对本文的检验方法进行评价,说明所提检验方法在高维面板数据下仍然有效.     

Lower Rank Approximation of Matrices Based on Fast and Robust Alternating Regression

We introduce fast and robust algorithms for lower rank approximation to given matrices based on robust alternating regression. The alternating least squares regression, also called criss-cross regression, was used for lower rank approximation of matrices, but it lacks robustness against outliers in these matrices. We use robust regression estimators and address some of the complications arising from this approach. We find it helpful to use high breakdown estimators in the initial iterations, followed by M estimators with monotone score functions in later iterations towards convergence. In addition to robustness, the computational speed is another important consideration in the development of our proposed algorithm, because alternating robust regression can be computationally intensive for large matrices. Based on a mix of the least trimmed squares (LTS) and Huber's M estimators, we demonstrate that fast and robust lower rank approximations are possible for modestly large matrices.     

Efficient parameter estimation via modified Cholesky decomposition for quantile regression with longitudinal data

It is well known that specifying a covariance matrix is difficult in the quantile regression with longitudinal data. This paper develops a two step estimation procedure to improve estimation efficiency based on the modified Cholesky decomposition. Specifically, in the first step, we obtain the initial estimators of regression coefficients by ignoring the possible correlations between repeated measures. Then, we apply the modified Cholesky decomposition to construct the covariance models and obtain the estimator of within-subject covariance matrix. In the second step, we construct unbiased estimating functions to obtain more efficient estimators of regression coefficients. However, the proposed estimating functions are discrete and non-convex. We utilize the induced smoothing method to achieve the fast and accurate estimates of parameters and their asymptotic covariance. Under some regularity conditions, we establish the asymptotically normal distributions for the resulting estimators. Simulation studies and the longitudinal progesterone data analysis show that the proposed approach yields highly efficient estimators.     

A moving average Cholesky factor model in joint mean-covariance modeling for longitudinal data

Modeling the mean and covariance simultaneously is a common strategy to efciently estimate the mean parameters when applying generalized estimating equation techniques to longitudinal data.In this article,using generalized estimation equation techniques,we propose a new kind of regression models for parameterizing covariance structures.Using a novel Cholesky factor,the entries in this decomposition have moving average and log innovation interpretation and are modeled as linear functions of covariates.The resulting estimators for the regression coefcients in both the mean and the covariance are shown to be consistent and asymptotically normally distributed.Simulation studies and a real data analysis show that the proposed approach yields highly efcient estimators for the parameters in the mean,and provides parsimonious estimation for the covariance structure.     

Quantile estimations via modified Cholesky decomposition for longitudinal single-index models

Quantile regression is a powerful complement to the usual mean regression and becomes increasingly popular due to its desirable properties. In longitudinal studies, it is necessary to consider the intra-subject correlation among repeated measures over time to improve the estimation efficiency. In this paper, we focus on longitudinal single-index models. Firstly, we apply the modified Cholesky decomposition to parameterize the intra-subject covariance matrix and develop a regression approach to estimate the parameters of the covariance matrix. Secondly, we propose efficient quantile estimating equations for the index coefficients and the link function based on the estimated covariance matrix. Since the proposed estimating equations include a discrete indicator function, we propose smoothed estimating equations for fast and accurate computation of the index coefficients, as well as their asymptotic covariances. Thirdly, we establish the asymptotic properties of the proposed estimators. Finally, simulation studies and a real data analysis have illustrated the efficiency of the proposed approach.

     

纵向数据非参数混合效应模型的一个局部不变估计

非参数核回归方法近年来已被用于纵向数据的分析(Lin和Carroll,2000)．一个颇具争议性的问题是在非参数核回归中是否需要考虑纵向数据间的相关性．Lin和Carroll (2000)证明了基于独立性(即忽略相关性)的核估计在一类核GEE估计量中是(渐近)最有效的．基于混合效应模型方法作者提出了一个不同的核估计类,它自然而有效地结合了纵向数据的相关结构．估计量达到了与Lin和Carroll的估计量相同的渐近有效性,且在有限样本情形下表现更好．由此方法可以很容易地获得对于总体和个体的非参数曲线估计．所提出的估计量具有较好的统计性质,且实施方便,从而对实际工作者具有较大的吸引力．     

Statistical inference for multivariate longitudinal data with irregular auto-correlated error process

Multivariate longitudinal data arise frequently in a variety of applications, where multiple outcomes are measured repeatedly from the same subject. In this paper, we first propose a two-stage weighted least square estimation procedure for the regression coefficients when the random error follows an irregular autoregressive(AR) process, and establish asymptotic normality properties for the resulting estimators. We then apply the smoothly clipped absolute deviation(SCAD) variable selection approach to determine the order of the AR error process. We further propose a test statistic to check whether multiple responses are correlated at the same observation time, and derive the asymptotic distribution of the proposed test statistic. Several simulated examples and real data analysis are presented to illustrate the finite-sample performance of the proposed method.     

On estimation in some reduced rank extended growth curve models

The general multivariate analysis of variance model has been extensively studied in the statistical literature and successfully applied in many different fields for analyzing longitudinal data. In this article, we consider the extension of this model having two sets of regressors constituting a growth curve portion and a multivariate analysis of variance portion, respectively. Nowadays, the data collected in empirical studies have relatively complex structures though often demanding a parsimonious modeling. This can be achieved for example through imposing rank constraints on the regression coefficient matrices. The reduced rank regression structure also provides a theoretical interpretation in terms of latent variables. We derive likelihood based estimators for the mean parameters and covariance matrix in this type of models. A numerical example is provided to illustrate the obtained results.     

Robust Estimation in Partial Linear Mixed Model for Longitudinal Data

In this article, robust generalized estimating equation for the analysis of partial linear mixed model for longitudinal data is used. The authors approximate the nonparametric function by a regression spline. Under some regular conditions, the asymptotic properties of the estimators are obtained. To avoid the computation of high-dimensional integral, a robust Monte Carlo Newton-Raphson algorithm is used. Some simulations are carried out to study the performance of the proposed robust estimators. In addition, the authors also study the robustness and the efficiency of the proposed estimators by simulation. Finally, two real longitudinal data sets are analyzed.     

Variable selection in the partially linear errors-in-variables models for longitudinal data

This paper proposes a new approach for variable selection in partially linear errors-in-variables (EV) models for longitudinal data by penalizing appropriate estimating functions. We apply the SCAD penalty to simultaneously select significant variables and estimate unknown parameters. The rate of convergence and the asymptotic normality of the resulting estimators are established. Furthermore, with proper choice of regularization parameters, we show that the proposed estimators perform as well as the oracle procedure. A new algorithm is proposed for solving penalized estimating equation. The asymptotic results are augmented by a simulation study.     

Rank-based Liu regression

Due to the complicated mathematical and nonlinear nature of ridge regression estimator, Liu (Linear-Unified) estimator has been received much attention as a useful method to overcome the weakness of the least square estimator, in the presence of multicollinearity. In situations where in the linear model, errors are far away from normal or the data contain some outliers, the construction of Liu estimator can be revisited using a rank-based score test, in the line of robust regression. In this paper, we define the Liu-type rank-based and restricted Liu-type rank-based estimators when a sub-space restriction on the parameter of interest holds. Accordingly, some improved estimators are defined and their asymptotic distributional properties are investigated. The conditions of superiority of the proposed estimators for the biasing parameter are given. Some numerical computations support the findings of the paper.