拟似然非线性模型的某些渐近推断:几何方法

Abstract. A modified Bates and Watts geometric framework is proposed for quasi-likelihoodnonlinear models in Euclidean inner product space. Based on the modified geometric framework,some asymptotic inference in terms of curvatures for quasi-likelihood nonlinear models is stud-ied. Several previous results for nonlinear regression models and exponential family nonlinearmodels etc. are extended to quasi-likelihood nonlinear models.     

Empirical likelihood confidence regions of the parameters in a partially linear single-index model

In this paper,a partially linear single-index model is investigated,and three empirical log-likelihood ratio statistics for the unknown parameters in the model are sug- gested.It is proved that the proposed statistics are asymptotically standard chi-square un- der some suitable conditions,and hence can be used to construct the confidence regions of the parameters.Our methods can also deal with the confidence region construction for the index in the pure single-index model.A simulation study indicates that,in terms of cov- erage probabilities and average areas of the confidence regions,the proposed methods perform better than the least-squares method.     

Empirical likelihood for AR-ARCH models based on LAD estimation

By employing the empirical likelihood method,confidence regions for the stationary AR(p)-ARCH(q) models are constructed.A self-weighted LAD estimator is proposed under weak moment conditions.An empirical log-likelihood ratio statistic is derived and its asymptotic distribution is obtained.Simulation studies show that the performance of empirical likelihood method is better than that of normal approximation of the LAD estimator in terms of the coverage accuracy,especially for relative small size of observation.     

TESTING OF CORRELATION AND HETEROSCEDASTICITY IN NONLINEAR REGRESSION MODELS WITH DBL（p,q, 1） RANDOM ERRORS

Chaos theory has taught us that a system which has both nonlinearity and random input will most likely produce irregular data. If random errors are irregular data, then random error process will raise nonlinearity （Kantz and Schreiber （1997））. Tsai （1986） introduced a composite test for autocorrelation and heteroscedasticity in linear models with AR（1） errors. Liu （2003） introduced a composite test for correlation and heteroscedasticity in nonlinear models with DBL（p, 0, 1） errors. Therefore, the important problems in regression model axe detections of bilinearity, correlation and heteroscedasticity. In this article, the authors discuss more general case of nonlinear models with DBL（p, q, 1） random errors by score test. Several statistics for the test of bilinearity, correlation, and heteroscedasticity are obtained, and expressed in simple matrix formulas. The results of regression models with linear errors are extended to those with bilinear errors. The simulation study is carried out to investigate the powers of the test statistics. All results of this article extend and develop results of Tsai （1986）, Wei, et al （1995）, and Liu, et al （2003）.     

Heteroscedasticity and/or Autocorrelation Checks in Longitudinal Nonlinear Models with Elliptical and AR（1） Errors

The aim of this paper is to study the tests for variance heterogeneity and/or autocorrelation in nonlinear regression models with elliptical and AR(1) errors. The elliptical class includes several symmetric multivariate distributions such as normal, Student-t, power exponential, among others. Several diagnostic tests using score statistics and their adjustment are constructed. The asymptotic properties, including asymptotic chi-square and approximate powers under local alternatives of the score statistics, are studied. The properties of test statistics are investigated through Monte Carlo simulations. A data set previously analyzed under normal errors is reanalyzed under elliptical models to illustrate our test methods.     

Local influence analysis for semiparametric reproductive dispersion nonlinear models

The present paper proposes a semiparametric reproductive dispersion nonlinear model (SRDNM) which is an extension of the nonlinear reproductive dispersion models and the semiparameter regression models. Maximum penalized likelihood estimates (MPLEs) of unknown parameters and nonparametric functions in SRDNM are presented. Assessment of local influence for various perturbation schemes are investigated. Some local influence diagnostics are given. A simulation study and a real example are used to illustrate the proposed methodologies.     

Generalized empirical likelihood inference in semiparametric regression model for longitudinal data

In this paper, we consider the semiparametric regression model for longitudinal data. Due to the correlation within groups, a generalized empirical log-likelihood ratio statistic for the unknown parameters in the model is suggested by introducing the working covariance matrix. It is proved that the proposed statistic is asymptotically standard chi-squared under some suitable conditions, and hence it can be used to construct the confidence regions of the parameters. A simulation study is conducted to compare the proposed method with the generalized least squares method in terms of coverage accuracy and average lengths of the confidence intervals.     

Empirical likelihood for mixed-effects error-in-variables model

This paper mainly introduces the method of empirical likelihood and its applications on two different models. We discuss the empirical likelihood inference on fixed-effect parameter in mixed-effects model with error-in-variables. We first consider a linear mixed-effects model with measurement errors in both fixed and random effects. We construct the empirical likelihood confidence regions for the fixed-effects parameters and the mean parameters of random-effects. The limiting distribution of the empirical log likelihood ratio at the true parameter is X2p＋q, where p, q are dimension of fixed and random effects respectively. Then we discuss empirical likelihood inference in a semi-linear error-in-variable mixed-effects model. Under certain conditions, it is shown that the empirical log likelihood ratio at the true parameter also converges to X2p＋q. Simulations illustrate that the proposed confidence region has a coverage probability more closer to the nominal level than normal approximation based confidence region.     

A skew–normal mixture of joint location,scale and skewness models

Normal mixture regression models are one of the most important statistical data analysis tools in a heterogeneous population. When the data set under consideration involves asymmetric outcomes, in the last two decades, the skew normal distribution has been shown beneficial in dealing with asymmetric data in various theoretic and applied problems. In this paper, we propose and study a novel class of models: a skew–normal mixture of joint location,scale and skewness models to analyze the heteroscedastic skew–normal data coming from a heterogeneous population. The issues of maximum likelihood estimation are addressed. In particular, an Expectation–Maximization(EM) algorithm for estimating the model parameters is developed. Properties of the estimators of the regression coefficients are evaluated through Monte Carlo experiments. Results from the analysis of a real data set from the Body Mass Index(BMI) data are presented.     

ON ASYMPTOTIC NORMALITY OF PARAMETERS IN LINEAR EV MODEL

This paper studies the parameter estimation of one dimensional linear errors-in-variables (EV) models in the case that replicated observations are available in some experimental points. Asymptotic normality is established under mild conditions, and the parameters entering the asymptotic variance are consistently estimated to render the result useable in construction of large-sample confidence regions.     

误差非线性回归模型基于几何方法的若干二阶渐近性质

该文用微分几何方法对AR(q)误差非线性回归模型若干二 阶渐近性质进行了研究. 作者基于Fisher信息阵在欧氏空间定义了内积，并在期望参数空间建立了几何结构. 基于上述几何结构，给出了AR(q)误差非线性回归模型若干二阶渐近性质的曲率表示. 将前人的一些结果推广到AR(q)误差非线性回归模型.      

ON CONFIDENCE REGIONS OF SEMIPARAMETRIC NONLINEAR REGRESSION MODELS(A GEOMETRIC APPROACH)

1IntroductionSelltipaxanetricmodelsaxemodelscolltaillingbothparametricalldnonparametriccom-pOnents,wl1erethenol1parametriccomponentplaystheroleofanusianceparameter.Moreprecisely,asellliparametriclllodelisparameterizedbyaparameterofillteresttakingvaI1lesinfinite-din1el1sionajEuclidenspaceal1danusianceparantetertakingvaluesininfinite-dimellsionalspace.Tl1ismodelembodiesacolllpro11tisebetweenemployingagelleralnonparametricspeci-ficatioll.wl1ich,iftheconditiol1il1gvariablesarehighdimensional,woul…     

非线性再生散度随机效应模型参数置信域的曲率表示

该文基于Laplace逼近建立了非线性再生散度随机效应模型在Euclid空间中的几何结构, 并在此基础上研究了此模型参数和子集参数的置信域, 进一步推广和发展了 Hamilton, Watts 和 Bates^[1]关于正态非线性回归模型, Wei^[2,3]关于嵌入模型和指数族非线性模型, Zhu, Tang 和 Wei^[4]关于半参数非线性模型,唐年胜、韦博成和王学仁^[5]关于非线性再生散度模型, Tang 和 Wang^[6]关于拟似然非线性模型等的结果.     

半参数非线性回归模型渐近推断的几何

本文利用Severini和Wong^[1]提出的最佳偏差曲线的概念,对半参数非线性回归模型建立了类似于Bates和Watts^[2]的几何结构。利用这个几何结构,我们研究了与统计曲率有关的某些渐近推断。文献中的许多结果^[3-6]被推广到半参数非线性回归模型。     

SOME ASYMPTOTIC INFERENCE IN MULTINOMIAL NONLINEAR MODELS （A GEOMETRIC APPROACH）

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带寿命数据非线性随机效应模型的置信域(英文)

本文对带寿命数据非线性随机效应模型,建立了微分几何框架,推广了Bates Wates关于非线性模型几何结构.在此基础上,我们导出了关于固定效应参数和子集参数的置信域的曲率表示,这些结果是Bates and Wates(1980),Hamilton(1986)和Wei(1998)等的推广.     

非线性随机效应模型的置信域

本文对非线性随机效应模型,建立了微分几何框架,推广了Bates＆Wates关于非线性模型几何结构．在吡基础上,我们导出了关于固定效应参数和子集参数的置信域的曲率表示,这些结果是BatesandWates(1980),Hamilton(1986)与Wei(1994)等的推广．     

非线性回归模型的经验似然诊断

经验似然方法已经被广泛用于线性模型和广义线性模型.本文基于经验似然方法对非线性回归模型进行统计诊断.首先得到模型参数的极大经验似然估计;其次基于经验似然研究了三种不同的影响曲率度量;最后通过一个实际例子,说明了诊断方法的有效性.     

右删失数据下非线性回归模型的经验似然推断

考虑随机右删失数据下非线性回归模型,提出了模型中未知参数的调整的经验对数似然比统计量.在一定的条件下,证明了.所提出的的统计量具有渐近χ~2分布,由此结果构造了兴趣参数的置信域.通过模拟研究,对经典的经验似然、调整的经验似然和非线性最小二乘方法在有限样本下进行了比较,并对氯离子浓度试验数据进行了分析.