Consistency and asymptotic normality of profilekernel and backfitting estimators in semiparametric reproductive dispersion nonlinear models

Semiparametric reproductive dispersion nonlinear model (SRDNM) is an extension of nonlinear reproductive dispersion models and semiparametric nonlinear regression models, and includes semiparametric nonlinear model and semiparametric generalized linear model as its special cases. Based on the local kernel estimate of nonparametric component, profile-kernel and backfitting estimators of parameters of interest are proposed in SRDNM, and theoretical comparison of both estimators is also investigated in this paper. Under some regularity conditions, strong consistency and asymptotic normality of two estimators are proved. It is shown that the backfitting method produces a larger asymptotic variance than that for the profile-kernel method. A simulation study and a real example are used to illustrate the proposed methodologies. This work was supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant Nos. 10561008, 10761011), Natural Science Foundation of Department of Education of Zhejiang Province (Grant No. Y200805073), PhD Special Scientific Research Foundation of Chinese University (Grant No. 20060673002) and Program for New Century Excellent Talents in University (Grant No. NCET-07-0737)     

带有不可忽略缺失数据的半参数再生散度模型的贝叶斯分析

半参数再生散度模型是再生散度模型和半参数回归模型的推广,包括了半参数广义线性模型和广义部分线性模型等特殊类型.讨论的是该模型在响应变量和协变量均存在非随机缺失数据情形下参数的Bayes估计和基于Bayes因子的模型选择问题.在分析中,采用了惩罚样条来估计模型中的非参数成分,并建立了Bayes层次模型;为了解决Gibbs抽样过程中因参数高度相关带来的混合性差以及因维数增加导致出现不稳定性的问题,引入了潜变量做为添加数据并应用了压缩Gibbs抽样方法,改进了收敛性;同时,为了避免计算多重积分,利用了M-H算法估计边缘密度函数后计算Bayes因子,为模型的选择比较提供了一种准则.最后,通过模拟和实例验证了所给方法的有效性.     

非线性再生散度随机效应模型参数置信域的曲率表示

该文基于Laplace逼近建立了非线性再生散度随机效应模型在Euclid空间中的几何结构, 并在此基础上研究了此模型参数和子集参数的置信域, 进一步推广和发展了 Hamilton, Watts 和 Bates^[1]关于正态非线性回归模型, Wei^[2,3]关于嵌入模型和指数族非线性模型, Zhu, Tang 和 Wei^[4]关于半参数非线性模型,唐年胜、韦博成和王学仁^[5]关于非线性再生散度模型, Tang 和 Wang^[6]关于拟似然非线性模型等的结果.     

非线性再生散度模型的诊断

Abstract. This article discusses the problem of the detection of influential cases in nonlinear re-productive dispersion models (NRDM). A diagnostic based on case-deletion approach in esti-mating equations is proposed. The relationships between the generalized leverage defined byWei et al. in 1998, statistical curvature, and the local influence of the response vector perturba-tions are investigated in NRDM. Two numerical examples are given to illustrate the results.     

非线性再生散度模型的Bayes估计

非线性再生散度模型是指数族非线性模型、广义线性模型和正态非线性回归模型的推广和发展,唐年胜等人研究了该模型参数的极大似然估计及其统计诊断。本文基于Gibbs抽样和MH抽样算法讨论非线性再生散度模型参数的Bayes估计。模拟研究和实例分析被用来说明该方法的有效性。     

非线性再生散度随机效应模型似然函数的Laplace逼近

首先提出用Lap lace逼近方法对非线性再生散度随机效应模型的边缘对数似然函数进行近似,然后基于近似的边缘对数似然函数利用F isher'sscoring迭代算法得到了模型参数的极大似然估计.模拟研究和实例分析表明了该算法的可行性.     

非线性再生散度随机效应模型的贝叶斯分析

非线性再生散度随机效应模型是一类非常广泛的统计模型，包括了线性随机效应模型、非线性随机效应模型、广义线性随机效应模型和指数族非线性随机效应模型等．本文研究非线性再生散度随机效应模型的贝叶斯分析．通过视随机效应为缺失数据以及应用结合Gibbs抽样技术和Metropolis-Hastings算法（简称MH算法）的混合算法获得了模型参数与随机效应的同时贝叶斯估计．最后，用一个模拟研究和一个实际例子说明上述算法的可行眭．     

非线性再生散度随机效应模型的渐近性质

对非线性再生散度随机效应模型, 该文给出了类似于Barndroff-Nielson, Cox (1989)和Severin, Wong (1992)的正则条件, 基于这些正则条件和Laplace近似, 证明了该模型参数极大似然估计的存在性、强相合性和渐近正态性.     

非线性再生散度模型基于统计曲率的诊断统计量

对非线性散度模型在Euclid空间建立几何结构。在此基础上，研究了均值漂移模型的曲率度量。从而导出相应Cook距离，似然距离等诊断统计量的二阶近似公式。     

非线性再生散度模型参数置信域的曲率表示

本文对非线性再生散度模型在Ｅｕｃｌｉｄ空间建立了几何结构。在此基础上,研究了该模型参数和子集参数的三种近似置信域,推广了Ｈａｍｉｌｔｏｎ和韦博成等人的工作。     

TESTING FOR VARYING DISPERSION IN DISCRETE EXPONENTIAL FAMILY NONLINEAR MODELS

§ 1　 Introduction and modelsThe general form of exponential family nonlinear models isg(μi) =f(xi,﹀) , (1 )where,g(· ) is a monotonic link function,f is a known differentiable nonlinear functionand﹀ is a p-vectoroffixed population parameters;μi=E(yi) and the density of response yiisp(yi) =exp{[yiθi -b(θi) -c(yi) ] -12 a(yi,) } ,(2 )whereθi is the natural parameter, is the dispersion parameter.From [1 1 ] ,μi=b(θi) ,Vi=Var(yi) =- 1 b(θi) .If f(xi,β) =x Ti ﹀,then mod…     

离散型指数族非线性模型的变离差检验

It is necessary to test for varying dispersion in generalized nonlinear models. Wei,et al (1998) developed a likelihood ratio test,a score test and their adjustments to test for varying dispersion in continuous exponential family nonlinear models. This type of problem in the framework of general discrete exponential family nonlinear models is discussed. Two types of varying dispersion, which are random coefficients model and random effects model, are proposed ,and corresponding score test statistics are constructed and expressed in simple ,easy to use ,matrix formulas.     

单纯形分布非线性模型的局部影响分析及其应用

讨论了单纯形分布非线性模型的局部影响分析问题.应用Cook(1986)的影响曲率方法研究了该模型关于微小扰动的局部影响,得到了局部影响分析的曲率度量.同时也应用PoonW Y和Poon Y S(1997)的保形法曲率方法研究了该模型的局部影响.对常见的扰动模型,分别进行了局部影响分析,得到了计算影响矩阵的简洁公式.最后还研究了两个实例,说明文中方法的应用价值.     

指数族广义非线性随机系数模型的变离差检验

指数族广义非线性随机系数模型是Smith &; Heitjan［１０］和 Wei et al［１１］所研究模型的推广。该文分别在模型离差 (dispersion) 的权不变和变异时，讨论了指数族 广义非线性随机系数模型的变离差的检验问题，得到了score检验统计量。并利用欧洲野兔数据，分别对正态分布模型、Γ 分布模型和 逆高斯分布模型说明检验方法的有效性。     

恰当散度非线性模型变离差的检验

本文研究了恰当散度非线性模型变离差的检验问题.基于似然比统计量和得分统计量,得到变离差的检验.并且用数值例子说明方法是有效的.     

非线性测量误差模型的影响分析

本文对非线性测量误差模型给出了统一的诊断方法,并证明了数据删除模型与均值漂移模型的等价性,由此出发得到了Cook距离、残差、杠杆值等诊断统计量.本文还讨论了非线性测量误差模型的局部影响分析,并给出了一个具体应用实例.推广了Zhao & Lee(1995)的结果.     

变系数再生散度线性模型和它的估计

本文研究了一类变系数再生散度线性模型.利用局部最大似然的方法,得到了兴趣参数的估计,同时也研究了局部权和光滑参数的确定以及统计推断,结果推广了文献[11]的工作.     

Testing for Varying Dispersion in Exponential Family Nonlinear Models

A diagnostic model and several new diagnostic statistics are proposed for testing for varying dispersion in exponential family nonlinear models. A score statistic and an adjusted score statistic based on Cox and Reid (1987, J. Roy. Statist. Soc. Ser. B, 55, 467-471) are derived in normal, inverse Gaussian, and gamma nonlinear models. An adjusted likelihood ratio statistic is also given for normal and inverse Gaussian nonlinear models. The results of simulation studies are presented, which show that the adjusted tests keep their sizes better and are more powerful than the ordinary tests.     

Multiscale Modelling of the Effective Viscoplastic Material Behaviour of Textile-Reinforced Polymers Using XFEM

In this contribution a modelling approach using numerical homogenisation techniques is applied to predict the effective nonlinear material behaviour of composites from simulations of a representative volume element (RVE). Numerical models of the heterogeneous material structure in the RVE are generated using the eXtended Finite Element Method (XFEM) which allows for a regular mesh. Suitable constitutive relations account for the material behaviour of the constituents. The influence of the nonlinear matrix material behaviour on the composite is studied in a physically nonlinear FE simulation of the local material behaviour in the RVE ­ effective stress-strain curves are computed and compared to experimental observations. The approach is currently augmented by a damage model for the fibre bundle. (© 2010 Wiley-VCH Verlag GmbH & Co. KGaA, Weinheim)     

Nonlinear stability of an axial electric field: Effect of interfacial charge relaxation

We introduce a nonlinear perturbation technique to third order, to study the stability between two cylindrical inviscid fluids, subjected to an axial electric field. The study takes into account the relaxation of electrical charges at the interface between the two fluids. At first order, a linear dispersion relation is obtained. Analytical and numerical results for the overstability and incipient instability conditions are given. For perfect dielectric fluids, the electric field has a stabilizing influence, while for leaky dielectric fluids, the electric field can have either a stabilizing or a destabilizing influence depending on the conductivity and permittivity ratios of the two fluids. At higher order, a nonlinear dispersion relation (nonlinear Ginzburg–Landau equation) is derived, describing the evolution of wave packets of the problem. For leaky dielectric fluids near the marginal state, a nonlinear diffusion equation (nonlinear incipient instability) is obtained. For perfect dielectric fluids, two cubic nonlinear Schrödinger equations are obtained. One of these equations to determine a nonlinear cutoff electric field separating stable and unstable disturbance, whereas the other is used to analyze the stability of the system. It is found that the nonlinear stability criterion depending on the ratio of permittivity, Such effects can only be explained successfully in the nonlinear sense, as the linear analysis unsuccessful to inform about them.