一种新的梯形模糊数间距离及在投资组合模型选择中的应用

给出一种新的模糊数间的距离公式.用新定义的距离公式来度量给定优先资产的条件下投资组合的分散度.用可能性均值度量投资组合的收益,可能性半方差度量投资组合的风险,在收益和风险满足一定的条件下构造分散度模型.通过实例分析,给出的方法不仅分散度更好,而且资产分配多元化程度更高,计算也更简单.     

Mean-variance-skewness model for portfolio selection with fuzzy returns

Numerous empirical studies show that portfolio returns are generally asymmetric, and investors would prefer a portfolio return with larger degree of asymmetry when the mean value and variance are same. In order to measure the asymmetry of fuzzy portfolio return, a concept of skewness is defined as the third central moment in this paper, and its mathematical properties are studied. As an extension of the fuzzy mean-variance model, a mean-variance-skewness model is presented and the corresponding variations are also considered. In order to solve the proposed models, a genetic algorithm integrating fuzzy simulation is designed. Finally, several numerical examples are given to illustrate the modelling idea and the effectiveness of the proposed algorithm.     

Logistics network design for product recovery in fuzzy environment

The design of product recovery network is one of the important and challenging problems in the field of reverse logistics. Some models have been formatted by researchers under deterministic environment. However, uncertainty is inherent during the process of the practical product recovery. In order to deal with uncertainty, this paper employs a fuzzy programming tool to design the product recovery network. Based on different criteria, three types of optimization models are proposed and some properties of them are investigated. To solve the proposed models, we design a hybrid intelligent algorithm which integrates fuzzy simulation and genetic algorithm. Finally, several numerical examples are presented to illustrate the effectiveness of the proposed models and algorithm.     

Mean-variance models for portfolio selection with fuzzy random returns

This paper develops two novel types of mean-variance models for portfolio selection problems, in which the security returns are assumed to be characterized by fuzzy random variables with known possibility and probability distributions. In the proposed models, we take the expected return of a portfolio as the investment return and the variance of the expected return of a portfolio as the investment risk. We assume that the security returns are triangular fuzzy random variables. To solve the proposed portfolio problems, this paper first presents the variance formulas for triangular fuzzy random variables. Then this paper applies the variance formulas to the proposed models so that the original portfolio problems can be reduced to nonlinear programming ones. Due to the reduced programming problems include standard normal distribution in the objective functions, we cannot employ the conventional solution methods to solve them. To overcome this difficulty, this paper employs genetic algorithm (GA) to solve them, and verify the obtained optimal solutions via Kuhn-Tucker (K-T) conditions. Finally, two numerical examples are presented to demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed models and methods.     

Fuzzy facility location-allocation problem under the Hurwicz criterion

Facility location-allocation (FLA) problem has been widely studied by operational researchers due to its many practical applications. Many researchers have studied the FLA problem in a deterministic environment. However, the models they proposed cannot accommodate satisfactorily various customer demands in the real world. Thus, we consider the FLA problem with uncertainties. In this paper, a new model named α-cost model under the Hurwicz criterion is presented with fuzzy demands. In order to solve this model, the simplex algorithm, fuzzy simulations and a genetic algorithm are integrated to produce a hybrid intelligent algorithm. Finally, some numerical examples are presented to illustrate the effectiveness of the proposed algorithm.     

Mean-semivariance models for fuzzy portfolio selection

This paper discusses portfolio selection problem in fuzzy environment. In the paper, semivariance is originally presented for fuzzy variable, and three properties of the semivariance are proven. Based on the concept of semivariance of fuzzy variable, two fuzzy mean-semivariance models are proposed. To solve the new models in general cases, a fuzzy simulation based genetic algorithm is presented in the paper. In addition, two numerical examples are also presented to illustrate the modelling idea and the effectiveness of the designed algorithm.     

An inventory model for a deteriorating item with displayed stock dependent demand under fuzzy inflation and time discounting over a random planning horizon

An inventory model for a deteriorating item (seasonal product) with linearly displayed stock dependent demand is developed in imprecise environment (involving both fuzzy and random parameters) under inflation and time value of money. It is assumed that time horizon, i.e., period of business is random and follows exponential distribution with a known mean. The resultant effect of inflation and time value of money is assumed as fuzzy in nature. The particular case, when resultant effect of inflation and time value is crisp in nature, is also analyzed. A genetic algorithm (GA) is developed with roulette wheel selection, arithmetic crossover, random mutation. For crisp inflation effect, the total expected profit for the planning horizon is maximized using the above GA to derive optimal inventory decision. On the other hand when inflationary effect is fuzzy then the above expected profit is fuzzy in nature too. Since optimization of fuzzy objective is not well defined, the optimistic/pessimistic return of the expected profit is obtained using possibility/necessity measure of fuzzy event. Fuzzy simulation process is proposed to determine this optimistic/pessimistic return. Finally a fuzzy simulation based GA is developed and is used to maximize the above optimistic/pessimistic return to get optimal decision. The models are illustrated with some numerical examples and some sensitivity analyses have been presented.     

A solid transportation problem with mixed constraint in different environment

In this paper, we have introduced a Solid Transportation Problem where the constrains are mixed type. The model is developed under different environment like, crisp, fuzzy and intuitionistic fuzzy etc. Using the interval approximation method we defuzzify the fuzzy amount and for intuitionistic fuzzy set we use the ($\alpha,\beta$)-cut sets to get the corresponding crisp amount. To find the optimal transportation units a time and space based with order of convergence $O (MN^2)$ meta-heuristic Genetic Algorithm have been proposed. Also the equivalent crisp model so obtained are solved by using LINGO 13.0. The results obtained using GA treats as the best solution by comparing with LINGO results for this present study. The proposed models and techniques are finally illustrated by providing numerical examples. Degree of efficiency have been find out for both the algorithm.     

A class of possibilistic portfolio selection model with interval coefficients and its application

Because of the existence of non-stochastic factors in stock markets, several possibilistic portfolio selection models have been proposed, where the expected return rates of securities are considered as fuzzy variables with possibilistic distributions. This paper deals with a possibilistic portfolio selection model with interval center values. By using modality approach and goal attainment approach, it is converted into a nonlinear goal programming problem. Moreover, a genetic algorithm is designed to obtain a satisfactory solution to the possibilistic portfolio selection model under complicated constraints. Finally, a numerical example based on real world data is also provided to illustrate the effectiveness of the genetic algorithm.     

Fuzzy inventory model with two warehouses under possibility measure on fuzzy goal

Multi-item inventory model with stock-dependent demand and two-storage facilities is developed in fuzzy environment (purchase cost, investment amount and storehouse capacity are imprecise) under inflation and time value of money. Joint replenishment and simultaneous transfer of items from one warehouse to another is proposed using basic period (BP) policy. As some parameters are fuzzy in nature, objective (average profit) function as well as some constraints are imprecise in nature. Model is formulated as to optimize the possibility/necessity measure of the fuzzy goal of the objective function and constraints are satisfied with some pre-defined necessity. A genetic algorithm (GA) is developed with roulette wheel selection, binary crossover and mutation and is used to solve the model when the equivalent crisp form of the model is available. In other cases fuzzy simulation process is proposed to measure possibility/necessity of the fuzzy goal as well as to check the constraints of the problem and finally the model is solved using fuzzy simulation based genetic algorithm (FSGA). The models are illustrated with some numerical examples and some sensitivity analyses have been done.     

Viability of infeasible portfolio selection problems: A fuzzy approach

This paper deals with fuzzy optimization schemes for managing a portfolio in the framework of risk–return trade-off. Different models coexist to select the best portfolio according to their respective objective functions and many of them are linearly constrained. We are concerned with the infeasible instances of such models. This infeasibility, usually provoked by the conflict between the desired return and the diversification requirements proposed by the investor, can be satisfactorily avoided by using fuzzy linear programming techniques. We propose an algorithm to repair infeasibility and we illustrate its performance on a numerical example.     

Chance-constrained programming models for capital budgeting with NPV as fuzzy parameters

In an uncertain economic environment, experts’ knowledge about outlays and cash inflows of available projects consists of much vagueness instead of randomness. Investment outlays and annual net cash flows of a project are usually predicted by using experts’ knowledge. Fuzzy variables can overcome the difficulties in predicting these parameters. In this paper, capital budgeting problem with fuzzy investment outlays and fuzzy annual net cash flows is studied based on credibility measure. Net present value (NPV) method is employed, and two fuzzy chance-constrained programming models for capital budgeting problem are provided. A fuzzy simulation-based genetic algorithm is provided for solving the proposed model problems. Two numerical examples are also presented to illustrate the modelling idea and the effectiveness of the proposed algorithm.     

一种模糊优化的全局算法及在三维水平井轨道设计中应用

本基于一种新的全局优化算法(EM)，提出一种求解模糊优化问题的全局优化算法。针对三维水平井轨道设计问题，提出两个模糊模型。最后把算法及模型应用到实际问题中，数值结果表明算法及模型是有效的、正确的。     

Two new models for portfolio selection with stochastic returns taking fuzzy information

This paper proposes two new models for portfolio selection in which the security returns are stochastic variables with fuzzy information. A hybrid intelligent algorithm is designed to solve the optimization problem which is otherwise hard to solve with the existing algorithms due to the complexity of the return variables. To illustrate the modelling idea and to show the effectiveness of the proposed approach, two numerical examples are provided.     

A hybrid intelligent algorithm for portfolio selection problem with fuzzy returns

Portfolio selection theory with fuzzy returns has been well developed and widely applied. Within the framework of credibility theory, several fuzzy portfolio selection models have been proposed such as mean–variance model, entropy optimization model, chance constrained programming model and so on. In order to solve these nonlinear optimization models, a hybrid intelligent algorithm is designed by integrating simulated annealing algorithm, neural network and fuzzy simulation techniques, where the neural network is used to approximate the expected value and variance for fuzzy returns and the fuzzy simulation is used to generate the training data for neural network. Since these models are used to be solved by genetic algorithm, some comparisons between the hybrid intelligent algorithm and genetic algorithm are given in terms of numerical examples, which imply that the hybrid intelligent algorithm is robust and more effective. In particular, it reduces the running time significantly for large size problems.     

Fuzzy minimum weight edge covering problem

Minimum weight edge covering problem, known as a classic problem in graph theory, is employed in many scientific and engineering applications. In the applications, the weight may denote cost, time, or opponent’s payoff, which can be vague in practice. This paper considers the edge covering problem under fuzzy environment, and formulates three models which are expected minimum weight edge cover model, α-minimum weight edge cover model, and the most minimum weight edge cover model. As an extension for the models, we respectively introduce the crisp equivalent of each model in the case that the weights are independent trapezoidal fuzzy variables. Due to the complexity of the problem, a hybrid intelligent algorithm is employed to solve the models, which can deal with the problem with any type of fuzzy weights. At last, some numerical experiments are given to show the application of the models and the robustness of the algorithm.     

Fuzzy portfolio selection model with real features and different decision behaviors

In the ever changing financial markets, investor’s decision behaviors may change from time to time. In this paper, we consider the effect of investor’s different decision behaviors on portfolio selection in fuzzy environment. We present a possibilistic mean-semivariance model for fuzzy portfolio selection by considering some real investment features including proportional transaction cost, fixed transaction cost, cardinality constraint, investment threshold constraints, decision dependency constraints and minimum transaction lots. To describe investor’s different decision behaviors, we characterize the return rates on securities by LR fuzzy numbers with different shape parameters in the left- and right-hand reference functions. Then, we design a novel hybrid differential evolution algorithm to solve the proposed model. Finally, we provide a numerical example to illustrate the application of our model and the effectiveness of the designed algorithm.     

模糊环境下批量制造业提前/拖期交货的生产计划

描述了基于客户需求为模糊量的批量生产提前/拖期交货的生产计划,并建立了模糊环境下的三个模型.为了有效求解优化模型,我们将模糊模拟和遗传算法相结合给出了混合智能算法.最后通过数值例子说明算法的有效性.     

求解全局最优问题的多重点样本水平值估计的相对熵算法

研究有界闭箱约束下的全局最优化问题,利用相对熵及广义方差函数方程的最大根与全局最小值之间的等价关系,设计求解全局最优值的积分型水平值估计算法.对采用重点样本采样技巧产生的函数值按一定规则进行聚类,从而在各聚类中产生的若干新重点样本,结合相对熵算法,构造出多重点样本进行全局搜索的新算法.该算法的优点在于每次迭代选用当前较好的函数值信息,以达到随机搜索到更好的函数值信息.同时多重点样本可有利挖掘出更好的全局信息.一系列的数值实验表明该算法是非常有效的.     

A possibilistic mean-semivariance-entropy model for multi-period portfolio selection with transaction costs

This paper deals with a multi-period portfolio selection problem with fuzzy returns. A possibilistic mean-semivariance-entropy model for multi-period portfolio selection is presented by taking into account four criteria viz., return, risk, transaction cost and diversification degree of portfolio. In the proposed model, the return level is quantified by the possibilistic mean value of return, the risk level is characterized by the lower possibilistic semivariance of return, and the diversification degree of portfolio is measured by the originally presented possibilistic entropy. Furthermore, a hybrid intelligent algorithm is designed to obtain the optimal portfolio strategy. Finally, the comparison analysis between the possibilistic entropy model and the proportion entropy model is provided by two numerical examples to illustrate the efficiency of the proposed approaches and the designed algorithm.