Portfolio selection based on fuzzy cross-entropy

In this paper, the Kapur cross-entropy minimization model for portfolio selection problem is discussed under fuzzy environment, which minimizes the divergence of the fuzzy investment return from a priori one. First, three mathematical models are proposed by defining divergence as cross-entropy, average return as expected value and risk as variance, semivariance and chance of bad outcome, respectively. In order to solve these models under fuzzy environment, a hybrid intelligent algorithm is designed by integrating numerical integration, fuzzy simulation and genetic algorithm. Finally, several numerical examples are given to illustrate the modeling idea and the effectiveness of the proposed algorithm.     

Fuzzy facility location-allocation problem under the Hurwicz criterion

Facility location-allocation (FLA) problem has been widely studied by operational researchers due to its many practical applications. Many researchers have studied the FLA problem in a deterministic environment. However, the models they proposed cannot accommodate satisfactorily various customer demands in the real world. Thus, we consider the FLA problem with uncertainties. In this paper, a new model named α-cost model under the Hurwicz criterion is presented with fuzzy demands. In order to solve this model, the simplex algorithm, fuzzy simulations and a genetic algorithm are integrated to produce a hybrid intelligent algorithm. Finally, some numerical examples are presented to illustrate the effectiveness of the proposed algorithm.     

A class of multiobjective linear programming model with fuzzy random coefficients

The aim of this paper is to deal with a multiobjective linear programming problem with fuzzy random coefficients. Some crisp equivalent models are presented and a traditional algorithm based on an interactive fuzzy satisfying method is proposed to obtain the decision maker’s satisfying solution. In addition, the technique of fuzzy random simulation is adopted to handle general fuzzy random objective functions and fuzzy random constraints which are usually hard to be converted into their crisp equivalents. Furthermore, combined with the techniques of fuzzy random simulation, a genetic algorithm using the compromise approach is designed for solving a fuzzy random multiobjective programming problem. Finally, illustrative examples are given in order to show the application of the proposed models and algorithms.     

Logistics network design for product recovery in fuzzy environment

The design of product recovery network is one of the important and challenging problems in the field of reverse logistics. Some models have been formatted by researchers under deterministic environment. However, uncertainty is inherent during the process of the practical product recovery. In order to deal with uncertainty, this paper employs a fuzzy programming tool to design the product recovery network. Based on different criteria, three types of optimization models are proposed and some properties of them are investigated. To solve the proposed models, we design a hybrid intelligent algorithm which integrates fuzzy simulation and genetic algorithm. Finally, several numerical examples are presented to illustrate the effectiveness of the proposed models and algorithm.     

Chance-constrained programming models for capital budgeting with NPV as fuzzy parameters

In an uncertain economic environment, experts’ knowledge about outlays and cash inflows of available projects consists of much vagueness instead of randomness. Investment outlays and annual net cash flows of a project are usually predicted by using experts’ knowledge. Fuzzy variables can overcome the difficulties in predicting these parameters. In this paper, capital budgeting problem with fuzzy investment outlays and fuzzy annual net cash flows is studied based on credibility measure. Net present value (NPV) method is employed, and two fuzzy chance-constrained programming models for capital budgeting problem are provided. A fuzzy simulation-based genetic algorithm is provided for solving the proposed model problems. Two numerical examples are also presented to illustrate the modelling idea and the effectiveness of the proposed algorithm.     

Evaluation of fuzzy regression models by fuzzy neural network

In this paper, a novel hybrid method based on fuzzy neural network for approximate fuzzy coefficients (parameters) of fuzzy linear and nonlinear regression models with fuzzy output and crisp inputs, is presented. Here a neural network is considered as a part of a large field called neural computing or soft computing. Moreover, in order to find the approximate parameters, a simple algorithm from the cost function of the fuzzy neural network is proposed. Finally, we illustrate our approach by some numerical examples.     

Mean-variance-skewness model for portfolio selection with fuzzy returns

Numerous empirical studies show that portfolio returns are generally asymmetric, and investors would prefer a portfolio return with larger degree of asymmetry when the mean value and variance are same. In order to measure the asymmetry of fuzzy portfolio return, a concept of skewness is defined as the third central moment in this paper, and its mathematical properties are studied. As an extension of the fuzzy mean-variance model, a mean-variance-skewness model is presented and the corresponding variations are also considered. In order to solve the proposed models, a genetic algorithm integrating fuzzy simulation is designed. Finally, several numerical examples are given to illustrate the modelling idea and the effectiveness of the proposed algorithm.     

Risk model with fuzzy random individual claim amount

In this paper, we consider a risk model in which individual claim amount is assumed to be a fuzzy random variable and the claim number process is characterized as a Poisson process. The mean chance of the ultimate ruin is researched. Particularly, the expressions of the mean chance of the ultimate ruin are obtained for zero initial surplus and arbitrary initial surplus if individual claim amount is an exponentially distributed fuzzy random variable. The results obtained in this paper coincide with those in stochastic case when the fuzzy random variables degenerate to random variables. Finally, two numerical examples are presented.     

自组织结构的变论域模糊控制

针对变论域模糊控制,提出一种新的自组织结构的变论域模糊控制方法。自组织结构算法可以调整变论域模糊系统结构以及动态获得模糊规则,进一步减小变论域模糊控制项的稳态逼近误差。通过进一步理论分析可知,自组织结构算法仅仅保证了系统瞬时的切换是平稳的,但不能保证系统的闭环稳定性。给出了所提出控制方法的适用条件。通过与固定模糊系统结构的变论域模糊控制比较,仿真结果表明,所提出控制方法不仅使得系统的稳态跟踪误差更平稳,而且使得输入控制信号更加平滑。     

Numerical simulation based on fuzzy stochastic analysis

In this paper mathematical methods for fuzzy stochastic analysis in engineering applications are presented. Fuzzy stochastic analysis maps uncertain input data in the form of fuzzy random variables onto fuzzy random result variables. The operator of the mapping can be any desired deterministic algorithm, e.g. the dynamic analysis of structures. Two different approaches for processing the fuzzy random input data are discussed. For these purposes two types of fuzzy probability distribution functions for describing fuzzy random variables are introduced. On the basis of these two types of fuzzy probability distribution functions two appropriate algorithms for fuzzy stochastic analysis are developed. Both algorithms are demonstrated and compared by way of an example.     

New models for shortest path problem with fuzzy arc lengths

This paper considers the shortest path problem with fuzzy arc lengths. According to different decision criteria, the concepts of expected shortest path, α-shortest path and the most shortest path in fuzzy environment are originally proposed, and three types of models are formulated. In order to solve these models, a hybrid intelligent algorithm integrating simulation and genetic algorithm is provided and some numerous examples are given to illustrate its effectiveness.     

An identification algorithm in fuzzy relational systems

The paper presents an effective identification method in fuzzy relational systems. We propose an algorithm for constructing models on the basis of fuzzy and nonfuzzy data with the aid of fuzzy discretization and clustering techniques. The usefulness of the method provided is demonstrated by means of two numerical examples. Also a possible way of generating a linguistic decision-making algorithm is discussed.     

Fuzzy project scheduling problem and its hybrid intelligent algorithm

Project scheduling problem is to determine the schedule of allocating resources so as to balance the total cost and the completion time. This paper considers a type of project scheduling problem with fuzzy activity duration times. According to some management goals, three types of fuzzy models are built to solve the project scheduling problem. Moreover, the technique of fuzzy simulation and genetic algorithm are integrated to design a hybrid intelligent algorithm to solve the fuzzy models. Finally, some numerical examples are given to illustrate the effectiveness of the algorithm.     

ETSK模糊模型辨识及模糊控制算法

本文提出一种基于扩张原理的ＥＴＳＫ（ＥｘｔｅｎｄｅｄＴＳＫ）模型,导出了该模型的输入输出解析式,给出了辨识这种模型的方法。本文还导出了ＥＴＳＫ模型的一种等价形式——变权ＴＳＫ模型,从而将ＥＴＳＫ模型规则后件中的模糊数及其扩展运算转化为普通数的运算,使基于ＥＴＳＫ模型的模糊控制算法ＭＢＦＣ（Ｍｏｄｅｌ－ＢａｓｅｄＦｕｚｚｙＣｏｎｔｒｏｌ）易于实现。仿真辨识结果表明,ＥＴＳＫ模型的辨识效果和预报精度优于ＴＳＫ和ＬＭ模型;ＭＢＦＣ算法的控制效果优于通常模型ＰＩ控制算法     

A possibilistic mean-semivariance-entropy model for multi-period portfolio selection with transaction costs

This paper deals with a multi-period portfolio selection problem with fuzzy returns. A possibilistic mean-semivariance-entropy model for multi-period portfolio selection is presented by taking into account four criteria viz., return, risk, transaction cost and diversification degree of portfolio. In the proposed model, the return level is quantified by the possibilistic mean value of return, the risk level is characterized by the lower possibilistic semivariance of return, and the diversification degree of portfolio is measured by the originally presented possibilistic entropy. Furthermore, a hybrid intelligent algorithm is designed to obtain the optimal portfolio strategy. Finally, the comparison analysis between the possibilistic entropy model and the proportion entropy model is provided by two numerical examples to illustrate the efficiency of the proposed approaches and the designed algorithm.     

Fuzzy random renewal process and renewal reward process

So far, there have been several concepts about fuzzy random variables and their expected values in literature. One of the concepts defined by Liu and Liu (2003a) is that the fuzzy random variable is a measurable function from a probability space to a collection of fuzzy variables and its expected value is described as a scalar number. Based on the concepts, this paper addresses two processes—fuzzy random renewal process and fuzzy random renewal reward process. In the fuzzy random renewal process, the interarrival times are characterized as fuzzy random variables and a fuzzy random elementary renewal theorem on the limit value of the expected renewal rate of the process is presented. In the fuzzy random renewal reward process, both the interarrival times and rewards are depicted as fuzzy random variables and a fuzzy random renewal reward theorem on the limit value of the long-run expected reward per unit time is provided. The results obtained in this paper coincide with those in stochastic case or in fuzzy case when the fuzzy random variables degenerate to random variables or to fuzzy variables.     

Fuzzy polynomial regression with fuzzy neural networks

Recently, fuzzy linear regression is considered by Mosleh et al. [1]. In this paper, a novel hybrid method based on fuzzy neural network for approximate fuzzy coefficients (parameters) of fuzzy polynomial regression models with fuzzy output and crisp inputs, is presented. Here a neural network is considered as a part of a large field called neural computing or soft computing. Moreover, in order to find the approximate parameters, a simple algorithm from the cost function of the fuzzy neural network is proposed. Finally, we illustrate our approach by some numerical examples.     

Entropy maximization model for the trip distribution problem with fuzzy and random parameters

Many trip distribution problems can be modeled as entropy maximization models with quadratic cost constraints. In this paper, the travel costs per unit flow between different zones are assumed to be given fuzzy variables and the trip productions at origins and trip attractions at destinations are assumed to be given random variables. For this case, an entropy maximization model with chance constraint is proposed, and is proved to be convex. In order to solve this model, fuzzy simulation, stochastic simulation and a genetic algorithm are integrated to produce a hybrid intelligent algorithm. Finally, a numerical example is presented to demonstrate the application of the model and the algorithm.     

Using the Hamming distance to extend TOPSIS in a fuzzy environment

Considering the fact that, in some cases, determining precisely the exact value of attributes is difficult and that their values can be considered as fuzzy data, this paper extends the TOPSIS method for dealing with fuzzy data, and an algorithm for determining the best choice among all possible choices when the data are fuzzy is also presented. In this approach, to identify the fuzzy ideal solution and fuzzy negative ideal solution, one of the Yager indices which is used for ordering fuzzy quantities in [0, 1] is applied. Using Yager’s index leads to a procedure for choosing fuzzy ideal and negative ideal solutions directly from the data for observed alternatives. Then, the Hamming distance is proposed for calculating the distance between two triangular fuzzy numbers. Finally, an application is given, to clarify the main results developed in the paper.     

Fuzzy data envelopment analysis (DEA): Model and ranking method

Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) is a very effective method to evaluate the relative efficiency of decision-making units (DMUs). Since the data of production processes cannot be precisely measured in some cases, the uncertain theory has played an important role in DEA. This paper attempts to extend the traditional DEA models to a fuzzy framework, thus producing a fuzzy DEA model based on credibility measure. Following is a method of ranking all the DMUs. In order to solve the fuzzy model, we have designed the hybrid algorithm combined with fuzzy simulation and genetic algorithm. When the inputs and outputs are all trapezoidal or triangular fuzzy variables, the model can be transformed to linear programming. Finally, a numerical example is presented to illustrate the fuzzy DEA model and the method of ranking all the DMUs.