基于隐变量的有限混合模型对有序数据的Bayes聚类分析

本文基于隐变量的有限混合模型,提出了一种用于有序数据的Bayes聚类方法.我们采用EM算法获得模型参数的估计,用BIC准则确定类数,用类似于Bayes判别的方法对各观测分类.模拟研究结果表明,本文提出的方法有较好的聚类效果,对于中等规模的数据集,计算量是可以接受的.     

变量的有限混合模型对有序数据的Bayes聚类分析

本文基于隐变量的有限混合模型, 提出了一种用于有序数据的Bayes聚类方法\bd 我们采用EM算法获得模型参数的估计, 用BIC准则确定类数, 用类似于Bayes判别的方法对各观测分类\bd 模拟研究结果表明, 本文提出的方法有较好的聚类效果, 对于中等规模的数据集, 计算量是可以接受的.     

基于矩阵变换的聚类集成优化模型

聚类集成方法能够有效综合不同的聚类结果,提高聚类的精确度和稳定性.提出了一个基于矩阵变换的聚类集成优化模型,模型通过矩阵变换代替传统方法中的聚类配准模式,使得优化模型更加简洁,然后给出了求解该优化模型的叠代算法.实验表明,提出的聚类集成方法能够有效提高聚类集成的稳定性和精确度,并且在聚类数目比较少时,算法有着较低的时间复杂度.     

AR(p)模型中的变点分析

本文分别用极大似然法和Bayes方法研究了AR(p)模型中的变点问题.在数据矩阵不一定满秩的条件下,利用Moore-Penrose广义逆给出了模型参数的极大似然估计的统一表达式和变点位置的估计式.在假定自回归系数的先验分布服从多元正态,方差服从逆Γ分布的条件下,用Bayes方法给出了变点位置估计的显示表达式以及模型参数的Bayes估计.     

基于核方法的模糊对象语言概念格聚类分析

在现实生活中,存在着大量语言值数据.为了解决在语言环境中不确定信息的聚类问题,本文提出了一种新的机器学习方法,即基于核方法的模糊对象语言概念格聚类分析模型.该模型通过融合层次聚类与概念格聚类的原理,在寻找到层次聚类局部最优层次的同时优化概念格聚类中的概念选择与概念构造问题.具体地,提出模糊对象语言概念格及其相关性质,它...     

非线性模型中方差和协方差分量的Bayes估计

本文采用Bayes方法从有逆gamma先验信息出发,得到了非张性模型中方差和协方差分量的估计,本文中的方差和协方差分量包含相关系数,而其他学者提出的线性模型中方差和协方差分量的Bayes估计只是本文的特殊情况.     

指数型产品的Bayes可靠性鉴定试验

利用可靠性增长模型确定正样产品失效率的先验分布.综合考虑由弃真和存伪风险所造成的试验损失和其他试验费用,建立可靠性鉴定试验的损失评估模型.分别用两种风险准则约束两类决策风险.根据Bayes决策理论,得到失效数和总试验时间的关系,确定使得试验损失函数值最小的鉴定方案.最后通过算例体现方法的有效性,与经典方法和其他Bayes鉴定方法相比较有其优越性.     

中等稀疏条件下基因交互作用的两步Bayes方法

植物遗传与基因组学研究表明许多重要的农艺性状有影响的基因位点不是稀疏的,受到大量微效基因的影响,并且还存在基因交互项的影响.本文基于重要油料作物油菜的花期数据,研究中等稀疏条件下的基因选择问题,提出了一种两步Bayes模型选择方法.考虑基因间的交互作用,模型的维数急剧增长,加上数据结构特别,通常的变量选择方法效果不好.本文提出两步变量选择的方法:首先利用Kolmogorov特征扫描方法筛除那些明显不重要的变量,达到降维的目的;其次,在选出的位点中考虑交互作用.为了克服Bayes方法计算速度慢的问题,本文在模型中引入指示变量,通过估计指示变量的后验分布选择模型.模拟结果表明本文提出的方法在预测精度和计算稳定性上有良好的表现,与不加指示变量的Bayes方法相比,在预测精度上有很大的提高.最后,利用本文提出的方法分析一个油菜花期数据,发现了一些交互效应的基因位点.     

基于SMMC模型的数据多流形结构分析研究

采用混合多流形谱聚类模型(SMMC)对独立子空间、非独立子空间,非线性良分离及非线性交叉等流形聚类中的四种典型数据进行聚类,并与其他流形聚类方法进行比较,发现SMMC模型聚类效果良好且具有强鲁棒性和泛化能力.将SMMC模型运用于具有混合多流形结构的工件外部边缘轮廓进行聚类,结果显示SMMC模型能够很好的将其分为三类.针对SMMC模型复杂度高、选取参数困难及运行时间长的问题,提出了基于模拟退火遗传算法SMMC模型,结果发现改进后的模型能够大大缩短运行时间.     

广义非参数回归的B样本贝叶斯估计

本文主要研究广义非参数模型B样条Bayes估计 .将回归函数按照B样条基展开 ,我们不具体选择节点的个数 ,而是节点个数取均匀的无信息先验 ,样条函数系数取正态先验 ,用B样条函数的后验均值估计回归函数 .并给出了回归函数B样条Bayes估计的MCMC的模拟计算方法 .通过对Logistic非参数回归的模拟研究 ,表明B样条Bayes估计得到了很好的估计效果     

An enriched mixture model for functional clustering

There is an increasingly rich literature about Bayesian nonparametric models for clustering functional observations. Most recent proposals rely on infinite-dimensional characterizations that might lead to overly complex cluster solutions. In addition, while prior knowledge about the functional shapes is typically available, its practical exploitation might be a difficult modeling task. Motivated by an application in e-commerce, we propose a novel enriched Dirichlet mixture model for functional data. Our proposal accommodates the incorporation of functional constraints while bounding the model complexity. We characterize the prior process through a urn scheme to clarify the underlying partition mechanism. These features lead to a very interpretable clustering method compared to available techniques. Moreover, we employ a variational Bayes approximation for tractable posterior inference to overcome computational bottlenecks.     

不合格品率的一个估计方法

本提出了一种参数的估计方法——E Bayes估计法．对产品的不合格品率,给出了E Bayes估计的定义和E Bayes估计,并在此基础上给出了E Bayes估计的性质和多层Bayes估计。最后,给出了模拟计算,结果表明本提出的方法可行且便于应用。     

Learning temporal nodes Bayesian networks

Temporal Nodes Bayesian Networks (TNBNs) are an alternative to Dynamic Bayesian Networks for temporal reasoning with much simpler and efficient models in some domains. TNBNs are composed of temporal nodes, temporal intervals, and probabilistic dependencies. However, methods for learning this type of models from data have not yet been developed. In this paper, we propose a learning algorithm to obtain the structure and temporal intervals for TNBNs from data. The method consists of three phases: (i) obtain an initial approximation of the intervals, (ii) obtain a structure using a standard algorithm and (iii) refine the intervals for each temporal node based on a clustering algorithm. We evaluated the method with synthetic data from three different TNBNs of different sizes. Our method obtains the best score using a combined measure of interval quality and prediction accuracy, and a competitive structural quality with lower running times, compared to other related algorithms. We also present a real world application of the algorithm with data obtained from a combined cycle power plant in order to diagnose temporal faults.     

参数的E Bayes估计法及其应用

提出了参数的一种估计方法—— E Bayes估计法 ,对寿命服从指数分布的产品 ,在失效率的先验分布为 Gamma分布时 ,给出了失效率的 E Bayes估计和多层 Bayes估计 ,并在此基础上给出了失效率和可靠度的 E Bayes估计的性质 .结合实际问题进行了计算 ,结果表明提出的 E Bayes估计法可行且便于应用 .     

失效率的综合E-Bayes估计

该文提出了可靠性参数的一种新估计方法综合E-Bayes估计法.在无失效数据情形下给出了失效率的E-Bayes估计的定义,并给出了失效率的E-Bayes估计。在引进失效信息后，给出了失效率的E-Bayes估计，并在此基础上给出了失效率和其它参数的综合E-Bayes估计。最后，结合实际问题进行计算，结果表明该文提出的方法可行且便于应用。     

A “Density-Based” Algorithm for Cluster Analysis Using Species Sampling Gaussian Mixture Models

We propose a new model for cluster analysis in a Bayesian nonparametric framework. Our model combines two ingredients, species sampling mixture models of Gaussian distributions on one hand, and a deterministic clustering procedure (DBSCAN) on the other. Here, two observations from the underlying species sampling mixture model share the same cluster if the distance between the densities corresponding to their latent parameters is smaller than a threshold; this yields a random partition which is coarser than the one induced by the species sampling mixture. Since this procedure depends on the value of the threshold, we suggest a strategy to fix it. In addition, we discuss implementation and applications of the model; comparison with more standard clustering algorithms will be given as well. Supplementary materials for the article are available online.     

A Bayesian algorithm for global optimization

A crucial step in global optimization algorithms based on random sampling in the search domain is decision about the achievement of a prescribed accuracy. In order to overcome the difficulties related to such a decision, the Bayesian Nonparametric Approach has been introduced. The aim of this paper is to show the effectiveness of the approach when an ad hoc clustering technique is used for obtaining promising starting points for a local search algorithm. Several test problems are considered.     

An optimization-based approach for the design of Bayesian networks

Bayesian networks model conditional dependencies among the domain variables, and provide a way to deduce their interrelationships as well as a method for the classification of new instances. One of the most challenging problems in using Bayesian networks, in the absence of a domain expert who can dictate the model, is inducing the structure of the network from a large, multivariate data set. We propose a new methodology for the design of the structure of a Bayesian network based on concepts of graph theory and nonlinear integer optimization techniques.     

Bayesian inference for clustered extremes

We consider Bayesian inference for the extremes of dependent stationary series. We discuss the virtues of the Bayesian approach to inference for the extremal index, and for related characteristics of clustering behaviour. We develop an inference procedure based on an automatic declustering scheme, and using simulated data we implement and assess this procedure, making inferences for the extremal index, and for two cluster functionals. We then apply our procedure to a set of real data, specifically a time series of wind-speed measurements, where the clusters correspond to storms. Here the two cluster functionals selected previously correspond to the mean storm length and the mean inter-storm interval. We also consider inference for long-period return levels, advocating the posterior predictive distribution as being most representative of the information required by engineers interested in design level specifications.      

Bayesian Variable Selection for Median Regression

When the data has heavy tail feature or contains outliers, conventional variable selection methods based on penalized least squares or likelihood functions perform poorly. Based on Bayesian inference method, we study the Bayesian variable selection problem for median linear models. The Bayesian estimation method is proposed by using Bayesian model selection theory and Bayesian estimation method through selecting the Spike and Slab prior for regression coefficients, and the effective posterior Gibbs sampling procedure is also given. Extensive numerical simulations and Boston house price data analysis are used to illustrate the effectiveness of the proposed method.