An integrated pest management model with delayed responses to pesticide applications and its threshold dynamics

Pulse-like pest management actions such as spraying pesticides and killing a pest instantly and the release of natural enemies at critical times can be modelled with impulsive differential equations. In practice, many pesticides have long-term residual effects and, also, both pest and natural enemy populations may have delayed responses to pesticide applications. In order to evaluate the effects of the duration of the residual effectiveness of pesticides and of delayed responses to pesticides on a pest management strategy, we developed novel mathematical models. These combine piecewise-continuous periodic functions for chemical control with pulse actions for releasing natural enemies in terms of fixed pulse-type actions and unfixed pulse-type actions. For the fixed pulse-type model, the stability threshold conditions for the pest eradication periodic solution and permanence of the model are derived, and the effects of key parameters including killing efficiency rate, decay rate, delayed response rate, number of pesticide applications and number of natural enemy releases on the threshold values are discussed in detail. The results indicate that there exists an optimal releasing period or an optimal number of pesticide applications which maximizes the threshold value. For unfixed pulse-type models, the effects of the killing efficiency rate, decay rate and delayed response rate on the pest outbreak period, and the frequency of control actions are also investigated numerically.     

Models for determining how many natural enemies to release inoculatively in combinations of biological and chemical control with pesticide resistance

Combining biological and chemical control has been an efficient strategy to combat the evolution of pesticide resistance. Continuous releases of natural enemies could reduce the impact of a pesticide on them and the number to be released should be adapted to the development of pesticide resistance. To provide some insights towards this adaptation strategy, we developed a novel pest–natural enemy model considering both resistance development and inoculative releases of natural enemies. Three releasing functions which ensure the extinction of the pest population are proposed and their corresponding threshold conditions obtained. Aiming to eradicate the pest population, an analytic formula for the number of natural enemies to be released was obtained for each of the three different releasing functions, with emphasis on their biological implications. The results can assist in the design of appropriate control strategies and decision-making in pest management.     

非线性脉冲状态依赖捕食-被捕食模型的定性分析

由于资源的有限性以及害虫群体对杀虫剂的抗性发展等因素,使得杀虫剂对害虫的杀死率具有饱和效应．因此,当害虫的数量达到经济阈值时, 杀虫剂对害虫的杀死率与经济阈值有关．为了刻画上述饱和效应,建立了一类非线性脉冲状态依赖捕食被捕食模型．利用Lambert W函数和脉冲半动力系统的相关技巧,分析了模型阶1正周期解的存在性和稳定性, 得到了相应的充分条件．进而讨论了非线性脉冲与线性脉冲对阶1周期解存在性的影响.     

The dynamics of pest control pollution model with age structure and time delay

In this paper, by using pollution model and impulsive delay differential equation, we investigate the dynamics of a pest control model with age structure for pest by introducing a constant periodic pesticide input and releasing natural enemies at different fixed moment. We assume only the pests are affected by pesticide. We show that there exists a global attractive pest-extinction periodic solution when the periodic natural enemies release amount μ₁ and pesticide input amount μ₂ are larger than some critical value. Further, the condition for the permanence of the system is also given. By numerical analyses, we also show that constant maturation time delay, pulse pesticide input and pulse releasing of the natural enemies can bring obvious effects on the dynamics of system. We believe that the results will provide reliable tactic basis for the practical pest management.     

Hybrid approach for pest control with impulsive releasing of natural enemies and chemical pesticides: A plant–pest–natural enemy model

The agricultural pests can be controlled effectively by simultaneous use (i.e., hybrid approach) of biological and chemical control methods. Also, many insect natural enemies have two major life stages, immature and mature. According to this biological background, in this paper, we propose a three tropic level plant–pest–natural enemy food chain model with stage structure in natural enemy. Moreover, impulsive releasing of natural enemies and harvesting of pests are also considered. We obtain that the system has two types of periodic solutions: plant–pest-extinction and pest-extinction using stroboscopic maps. The local stability for both periodic solutions is studied using the Floquet theory of the impulsive equation and small amplitude perturbation techniques. The sufficient conditions for the global attractivity of a pest-extinction periodic solution are determined by the comparison technique of impulsive differential equations. We analyze that the global attractivity of a pest-extinction periodic solution and permanence of the system are evidenced by a threshold limit of an impulsive period depending on pulse releasing and harvesting amounts. Finally, numerical simulations are given in support of validation of the theoretical findings.     

Analysis of a predator–prey model with Holling II functional response concerning impulsive control strategy

According to biological and chemical control strategy for pest control, we investigate the dynamic behavior of a Holling II functional response predator–prey system concerning impulsive control strategy-periodic releasing natural enemies and spraying pesticide at different fixed times. By using Floquet theorem and small amplitude perturbation method, we prove that there exists a stable pest-eradication periodic solution when the impulsive period is less than some critical value. Further, the condition for the permanence of the system is also given. Numerical results show that the system we consider can take on various kinds of periodic fluctuations and several types of attractor coexistence and is dominated by periodic, quasiperiodic and chaotic solutions, which implies that the presence of pulses makes the dynamic behavior more complex. Finally, we conclude that our impulsive control strategy is more effective than the classical one if we take chemical control efficiently.     

Comment on “Existence and stability of periodic solution of a Lotka-Volterra predator-prey model with state dependent impulsive effects” [J. Comput. Appl. Math. 224 (2009) 544-555]

In this paper, according to integrated pest management principles, a class of Lotka-Volterra predator-prey model with state dependent impulsive effects is presented. In this model, the control strategies by releasing natural enemies and spraying pesticide at different thresholds are considered. The sufficient conditions for the existence and stability of the positive order-1 periodic solution are given by the Poincaré map and the properties of the LambertW function.     

Modelling and analysis of an impulsive SI model with Monod-Haldane functional response

An impulsive SI model with Monod-Haldane functional response for pest control is proposed and investigated. First, we have proved that there exists an asymptotically stable pest-eradication periodic solution when the impulsive period is less than some critical value. Otherwise, the above system can be permanent. Then, influences of impulsive perturbation including impulse period, the time of spraying pesticide and the quantity of releasing infective pests on the above system have been studied. Moreover, numerical simulations show that the system has rich dynamical behaviors. Finally, it is concluded that the approach of combining impulsive infective releasing with impulsive pesticide spraying is more effective than the classical one if the chemical control is adopted rationally.     

Impulsive control for a predator-prey Gompertz system with stage structure

For pest control in agriculture, we investigate the dynamics of a stage-structured predator-prey Gompertz system with impulsive spraying pesticide and releasing of natural enemies at different fixed moment. Using the stroboscopic map and comparison theorem, we obtain the sufficient conditions for the global attractivity of the mature predator-extinction periodic solution and the permanence of the system. Numerical simulations are inserted to verify the feasibility of the theoretical results, which show that the impulsive control plays a key role on the permanence of the system and also provide tactical basis for pest control.     

具非线性传染率与生物化学控制的害虫管理S-I模型

讨论了具有非线性传染率与脉冲控制的害虫管理S-I传染病模型,此模型考虑的是脉冲投放病虫和喷洒农药.不但得到了系统的所有解的一致完全有界,而且得到了害虫灭绝的边界周期解的全局渐进稳定和系统的一致持久的条件.为实际的害虫管理提供了可靠的理论依据.     

The onset of positive periodic solutions for a biochemical pest management model

In this paper, the bifurcation of nontrivial periodic solutions for an impulsively perturbed system of ordinary differential equations which models an integrated pest management strategy is studied by means of a fixed point approach. A biological control, consisting in the periodic release of infective pests, and a chemical control, consisting in pesticide spraying, are employed to maintain susceptible pests below an acceptable level. It is assumed that the biological and chemical control act with the same periodicity, but not in the same time. It is then shown that if the constant amount of infective pests released each time reaches a certain threshold value, then the trivial susceptible pest-eradication periodic solution loses its stability, which is transferred to a newly emerging nontrivial periodic solution.     

具时滞和脉冲的捕食者-食饵模型的动力学性质

基于害虫的生物控制和化学控制策略,考虑到化学杀虫剂对天敌的影响,利用脉冲微分方程建立了在不同的固定时刻分别喷洒杀虫剂和释放天敌的具有时滞的第III功能反应的捕食者-食饵脉冲动力系统.证明了当脉冲周期小于某个临界值时,系统存在一个渐进稳定的害虫灭绝周期解,否则系统持续生存.并用Matlab软件对害虫灭绝周期解及害虫周期爆发现象进行了数值模拟.     

具有饱和反应率和阶段时滞结构的害虫生物防治模型

考虑了一个害虫和天敌都有阶段结构及具有饱和反应率的阶段时滞脉冲捕食者-食饵模型,利用人工周期定量地投放有病的害虫和天敌去治理害虫.借助脉冲时滞微分方程的相关理论和方法获得易感害虫根除周期解全局吸引的充分条件以及天敌与易感害虫可以共存且易感害虫的密度可以控制在经济危害水平之下的充分条件.我们的结论为现实的害虫管理提供了可靠的策略依据.     

Optimization in microbial pest control: An integrated approach

The paper deals with optimal management of agricultural pest population under integrated control arising out of viral infection and spraying of pesticide. The costs of the control measures and the profits or projected profits of the biomass of species give rise to a control theoretic optimization problem. We take a four dimensional mathematical model of pest control under viral infection and pesticide, and apply Pontryagin’s maximum principle (PMP) to find out the necessary conditions on economic as well as on ecological parameters to make the control process maximum profitable.     

The dynamics of a mutual interference age structured predator-prey model with time delay and impulsive perturbations on predators

In this paper, we introduce a mutual interference age structured predator-prey (natural enemy-pest) model with constant maturation time delay for the prey, and then propose a pest management strategy by constant periodic releasing for the predator. We show that there exists a global attractive pest-eradication periodic solution when the periodic releasing amount μ₁ and μ₂ are lager than some critical value. Further, to obtain a more effective pest control strategy, we give the conditions (involving the estimate of μ₁ and μ₂) in which the model is uniformly permanent and the pest population is under the economic threshold level. We believe that the results will provide reliable tactic basis for the practical pest management.     

Dynamics analysis of a pest management prey–predator model by means of interval state monitoring and control

In this work, a new pest management strategy by means of interval state monitoring is introduced into a prey–predator model, i.e. when the pest density exceeds the slightly harmful level but is below the damage level, the biological control is adopted in case of the predator density below a maintainable level, once the pest density exceeds the damage level, the chemical control is adopted. In order to determine the frequency of the chemical control and yield of releases of the predator, analysis on the existence of order-1 or order-2 periodic orbit is carried out by the construction of Poincaré map. The results could make the pest control strategy to be a periodic one without real-time monitoring the species. In addition, the stability and attractiveness of the periodic orbit are obtained by geometry approach, which ensures a certain robustness of control, i.e., even though the species densities are detected inaccurately or with a deviation, the system will be eventually stable at the periodic orbit under the control action. Furthermore, to obtain the optimum chemical control strength and yield releases of the predator, an optimization problem is constructed. The analytical results presented in the work are validated by numerical simulations for a specific model.     

害虫管理策略的数学模拟

研究一类食饵(害虫)具有阶段结构并带有流行病、捕食者(天敌)具脉冲放养和时滞的捕食-食饵模型,得到了害虫灭绝周期解全局吸引的充分条件,以及当脉冲周期在一定范围内,易感害虫种群的密度可以控制在经济危害水平E(EIL)之下.所得结论将为现实的害虫管理提供一定的理论依据,数值分析也进一步说明系统的动力学性质.     

One discrete dynamical model on the Wolbachia infection frequency in mosquito populations

How to prevent and control the outbreak of mosquito-borne diseases, such as malaria, dengue fever and Zika, is an urgent worldwide public health problem. The most conventional method for the control of these diseases is to directly kill mosquitoes by spraying insecticides or removing their breeding sites. However, the traditional method is not effective enough to keep the mosquito density below the epidemic risk threshold. With promising results international, the World Mosquito Program’s Wolbachia method is helping to reduce the occurrence of diseases transmitted by mosquitoes. In this paper, we introduce a generalized discrete model to study the dynamics of the Wolbachia infection frequency in mosquito populations where infected mosquitoes are impulsively released. This generalized model covers all the relevant existing models since 1959 as some special cases. After summarizing known results of discrete models deduced from the generalized one, we put forward some interesting open questions to be further investigated for the periodic impulsive releases.

     

Existence and stability of periodic solution of a Lotka–Volterra predator–prey model with state dependent impulsive effects

According to biological and chemical control strategy for pest, we investigate the dynamic behavior of a Lotka–Volterra predator–prey state-dependent impulsive system by releasing natural enemies and spraying pesticide at different thresholds. By using Poincaré map and the properties of the Lambert W$W$ function, we prove that the sufficient conditions for the existence and stability of semi-trivial solution and positive periodic solution. Numerical simulations are carried out to illustrate the feasibility of our main results.     

Time-limited pest control of a Lotka–Volterra model with impulsive harvest

A kind of time-limited pest control of a Lotka–Volterra model with impulsive harvest, described by the initial and boundary value problem of impulsive differential equation, is presented. The aim of pest control can be achieved if the model has a solution, otherwise the aim cannot be achieved. By the comparison principle, the conditions under which the model has a solution are found by a series of the upper solutions and the conditions under which the model has no solution are also given by a series of the lower solutions. Furthermore, if the other parameters are given, the times of harvesting pest in the given time is estimated. The theoretical results and the numerical simulations show that the density of the natural enemy will decrease when the pest decreases although the control measures to the pest do not directly affect the natural enemy. Finally, some discussions are given.