模糊事件贝叶斯公式

讨论了模糊事件的概率及其基本性质 ,并通过对经典贝叶斯公式的推广 ,提出了模糊事件的贝叶斯公式 .     

关于“贝叶斯公式”的教学研究

通过基于史实的案例分析,得出贝叶斯公式,并结合案例的流程图,揭示了贝叶斯公式的内涵,有助于应用复合型人才的培养.     

贝叶斯公式的几个应用

介绍了贝叶斯公式的一些应用实例及分析,以使在教学中能帮助学生更深入地理解该公式.     

考虑风险传导情形的供应风险评估方法

针对考虑风险传导情形的供应风险评估问题,提出了一种基于贝叶斯网络的供应风险评估方法。该方法中,通过识别引起供应链中各节点企业供应风险的关键风险因素,构建一个贝叶斯网络,并依据贝叶斯公式计算考虑风险传导情形下供应风险的发生概率,在此基础上,对考虑风险传导的供应风险进行评估。最后,通过一个算例说明了该方法的可行性和有效性。     

用贝叶斯公式解释化验结果

借助概率论中的贝叶斯公式理论和方法,对现实中人们对有关化验结果的疑惑进行了详细的解释,从而使人们能更科学地理解化验结果,深刻感知数学在解决实际问题的作用.     

分数布朗运动模型中贝叶斯估计的渐近正态性

本文研究了由分数布朗运动驱动的线性随机微分方程中贝叶斯估计的渐近趋势．利用分数布朗运动的随机积分理论和Girsanov公式，得到了在平方损失函数下贝叶斯估计的渐近正态性．     

全概率公式的推广与应用

认为全概率公式成立的条件＂事件组须为样本空间的划分＂可以减弱,给出全概率公式在有限事件组情形和无限可列事件组情形下的两种推广形式,由此对贝叶斯公式进行两种相应推广,并通过实例展示全概率公式在敏感性调查中的应用.     

概率统计教学中的几个问题分析

概率论与数理统计是高等学校理工科与经济管理类各专业的一门重要基础理论课,掌握好该门课程的重点有助于教好、学好该课程.通过具体实例对随机事件的独立性、全概率公式与贝叶斯(Bayes)公式等重点问题给出了深入系统分析和推广应用.     

用过程分解法分析概率问题

用过程分解法分析概率问题钟学军（广州解放军通信学院）一、引言及预备古典概型，条件概率，全概率公式及贝叶斯公式是概率论的基础知识，其定义简单，但运用灵活。实际问题中充满着迷人的计算过程。不少同学对这类问题感到困难，为此，笔者从教学实践中归纳了过程分解法...     

后验分布在贝叶斯统计课堂教学的延伸

本文由贝叶斯公式的事件形式和贝叶斯公式的密度函数形式(分布律形式)引出后验分布,也即是由先验信息和似然函数得到后验分布,并运用探究性教学法考虑能否由后验分布得到先验分布.文献[1-3]指出已知似然函数和后验分布也能得到先验分布,并通过例题验证.     

Affine-inscribed and affine-circumscribed polygons and polytopes

Five theorems on polygons and polytopes inscribed in (or circumscribed about) a convex compact set in the plane or space are proved by topological methods. In particular, it is proved that for every interior point O of a convex compact set in ℝ³, there exists a two-dimensional section through O circumscribed about an affine image of a regular octagon. It is also proved that every compact convex set in ℝ³ (except the cases listed below) is circumscribed about an affine image of a cube-octahedron (the convex hull of the midpoints of the edges of a cube). Possible exceptions are provided by the bodies containing a parallelogram P and contained in a cylinder with directrix P. Bibliography: 29 titles. Translated fromZapiski Nauchnykh Seminarov POMI, Vol. 231, 1995, pp. 286–298. Translated by B. M. Bekker.     

Partitions and pairwise sums and products

A seven cell partition of N is constructed with the property that no infinite set has all of its pairwise sums and products in any one cell. A related Ramsey Theory question is shown to have different answers for two and three cell partitions.     

Linear birth and death models and associated Laguerre and Meixner polynomials

We study birth and death processes with linear rates λ_n = n + α + c + 1, μ_{n + 1} = n + c, n 0 and μ₀ is either zero or c. The spectral measures of both processes are found using generating functions and the integral transforms of Laplace and Stieltjes. The corresponding orthogonal polynomials generalize Laguerre polynomials and the choice μ₀ = c generates the associated Laguerre polynomials of Askey and Wimp. We investigate the orthogonal polynomials in both cases and give alternate proofs of some of the results of Askey and Wimp on the associated Laguerre polynomials. We also identify the spectra of the associated Charlier and Meixner polynomials as zeros of certain transcendental equations.     

Distributive and Multiplication Modules and Rings

We study rings in which every ideal is a finitely generated multiplication right ideal.     

Beliefs and beyond: affect and the teaching and learning of mathematics

The importance of beliefs for the teaching and learning of mathematics is widely recognized among mathematics educators. In this special issue, we explicitly address what we call “beliefs and beyond” to indicate the larger field surrounding beliefs in mathematics education. This is done to broaden the discussion to related concepts (which may not originate in mathematics education) and to consider the interconnectedness of concepts. In particular, we present some new developments at the conceptual level, address different approaches to investigate beliefs, highlight the role of student beliefs in problem-solving activities, and discuss teacher beliefs and their significance for professional development. One specific intention is to consider expertise from colleagues in the fields of educational research and psychology, side by side with perspectives provided by researchers from mathematics education.     

Ritz and harmonic Ritz values and the convergence of FOM and GMRES

The Ritz and harmonic Ritz values are approximate eigenvalues, which can be computed cheaply within the FOM and GMRES Krylov subspace iterative methods for solving non‐symmetric linear systems. They are also the zeros of the residual polynomials of FOM and GMRES, respectively. In this paper we show that the Walker–Zhou interpretation of GMRES enables us to formulate the relation between the harmonic Ritz values and GMRES in the same way as the relation between the Ritz values and FOM. We present an upper bound for the norm of the difference between the matrices from which the Ritz and harmonic Ritz values are computed. The differences between the Ritz and harmonic Ritz values enable us to describe the breakdown of FOM and stagnation of GMRES. Copyright © 1999 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.