战略采购中供应商选择的AHP—PROMETHEE方法研究

在供应链环境下,战略采购的出现给供应商群体的优化设计提出了一些新问题,并且多准则决策理论(MCDM)在供应商选择中并没有得到充分运用;本文结合战略采购的特点,选择指标着重体现供应商的合作性和长期性,选择方法上结合了层次分析法(AHP)和偏好顺序结构评估法(PROMETHEE),并进行了算例分析;旨在对战略采购中的供应商选择进行合理、客观的判断.     

基于层次分析的主成分分析法及其应用

在分析了传统的层次分析法和主成分分析法的优缺点的基础上,扬长避短的将两种方法结合在一起,讨论了基于层次分析的主成分分析法.与新兴的决策评估方法相比,例如直觉模糊层次分析法,基于层次分析的主成分分析法更具有简洁性和直观性.最后,将方法应用于登陆作战的目标选择,得到了与实战结果相同的结论,验证了方法的可行性.     

基于粒子群算法的模糊层次分析法改进及其应用研究

提出了基于粒子群算法(Particle Swarm Optimization)的模糊层次分析法(Fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process)模型,简称PSO-FAHP,将模糊判断矩阵一致性的检验、修正及各元素权重值的计算过程转化成非线性带约束系统优化问题,并利用粒子群算法实现了该问题的求解。构建了制造企业供应商选择评价指标体系,最后将该模型应用于制造企业供应商选择评价,结果表明,此模型能有效帮助企业选择较佳的供应商,对供应链构建有一定的指导意义。     

投资项目选择的风险评价AHP模型及其应用

论述了投资项目选择问题的重要性 ,对常用的投资项目选择方法进行了综述分析 ,探讨了投资项目选择的风险评价指标体系和层次分析法的基本原理 ,提出了投资项目选择的风险评价层次分析模型 ,并以实例说明了如何将层次分析法应用于投资项目选择的风险评价问题 .     

基于模糊综合层次分析法的唐山市可再生能源开发决策评价

为了准确地反映可再生能源开发决策评价中主观判断的不确定性,运用模糊综合层次分析法将可再生能源开发决策过程中的各种指标进行定量化处理,提出了可再生能源发电产业综合评价指标体系,介绍了模糊综合层次分析法的评价步骤,并应用于唐山市可再生能源开发决策中.结果表明,唐山市应重点开发风能,其次是太阳能和生物质能,有选择地发展水能.其研究结果符合区域实际情况,能够为唐山市可再生能源发电产业的发展提供理论支持.     

企业选择SaaS 供应商的决策及实例研究

选择合适的SaaS供应商是很多企业信息化顺利进行的保障．本文建立了合理的SaaS供应商选择评价指标体系及SaaS供应商选择的多层次评估模型,阐述了基于层次分析法综合评估SaaS供应商的过程,并将该方法应用于某一企业,选择出了恰当的SaaS供应商．     

基于D-S证据理论的群决策专家意见集结方法

将D-S证据理论应用于群决策，指出其优势在于应用基本可信度分配函数描述专家意见，并能区分对所描述对象不知道和否定的差异。在专家意见集结上，Dempster证据合成规则有一定的局限性，当证据发生冲突时，会得到不合理的结果。定义了证据间的分歧度，提出一种专家意见集结方法，使得专家意见发生冲突时亦可得到合理的集结结果。     

基于粗糙集-层次分析法的制造业供应商评价选择

制造企业在确定供应商过程中,必须对供应商进行评价和选择,由于制造业的加工设备和加工工艺的复杂性,同时要确保供应商供货稳定和质量保证等多方面的因素,其评价指标体系必然有别于其它行业的评价指标.采用粗糙集属性约简的方法,对供应商评价选择指标进行约简分析,运用层次分析法对供应商进行评价选择.     

基于证据理论的作战群体类型建模与识别方法

作战群体的类型识别是兵力聚合中的一个重要问题,针对类型识别所处理的情报及所使用的知识的不确定性,尤其是情报与知识在观点上的不明确性,本文提出了基于证据理论的情报表示及组合方法,并给出了群体类型的模板表示方法,进而提出了基于组合情报与模板模糊匹配的作战群体类型识别方法。该方法能应用于各个层次的兵力聚合过程,以辅助各个指挥层次的军事决策,提高决策的速度及效率。     

基于灰色关联分析和证据理论的语言值群决策模型

供应商选择是复杂的决策问题,需要平衡不同专家的标准和意见。本文结合灰色关联分析和Dempster-Shafer合成规则来建立两种基于不确定语言变量的多属性决策模型。首先,就个体而言,灰色关联分析是根据关联性的大小来度量每个专家的个体偏好。其次,就决策群体而言,Dempster-Shafer合成规则是聚集决策者的个体偏好为一个集体偏好,将聚合结果进行排序,从而得到最优决策结果。将所建立的方法应用于供应商选择问题,通过实例展示了基于语言值的群决策模型可为处在全球经济市场中的企业提供一种有效的方法来评估和选择供应商。     

带有模糊系数的投资组合模型研究

在证券市场,由于各种不确定因素的存在,证券的预期收益率是难以精确估算的。本文采用模糊数来处理不确定性,提出了一种基于模糊收益率的投资组合模型。为度量投资组合的风险,将绝对偏差扩展到模糊情形。通过引入模糊数绝对值的概念和不等关系的两种占优准则,将该模型转化为相应的确定性线性规划问题,投资者可根据自己的主观态度选择参数和投资策略。最后用一个具体例子验证了模型的合理性和有效性。     

基于FAHP的择偶偏好的探讨

择偶是社会成员以婚恋为目的选择异性对象的一种行为,是婚姻过程中一个十分重要的环节,如何选择一个适合自己的配偶就成为了当今社会的一个重要问题.从解决多属性决策问题的角度来思考择偶问题,并采用了层次分析法与模糊理论相结合的方法对择偶的评价与选择进行了分析,初次提出了择偶吻合度的概念,并在此基础上建立了择偶指标评价体系模型.通过案例具体分析了择偶的评价与选择的过程,分析结果表明方法处理择偶问题是有效的.     

层次分析法权重计算方法分析及其应用研究

介绍层次分析法的基本概念,同时也分析了层次分析法权重的计算方法及应用,层次分析法的计算方法有四种方法:几何平均法、算术平均法、特征向量法、最小二乘法,以往的文献利用层次分析法解决实际问题时,都是采用其中的某一种方法求权重向量,不同的方法会导致结果有些偏差,将对一具体实例,采用四种计算方法分别得出权重向量再进行排序和综合分析,这样可以避免采用单一方法所产生的偏差,得出的结论将更全面、更有效。     

Fuzzy multi-objective vendor selection under lean procurement

This paper investigates a fuzzy multi-objective vendor selection program under lean procurement based on cost minimization, delivery schedule violation minimization, and maximizing the quality level of the purchased quantity. Specifically, the paper incorporates the vendor production capacity uncertainty into the model to identify an appropriate selection policy for vendors under practical operating conditions. The use of a soft time-window mechanism for the vendor selection model enables decision makers to further incorporate a time based performance metric for vendor evaluation, based on the degree of urgency or need for a part. A solution algorithm using fuzzy AHP is proposed. The results of a numerical example suggest that decision makers prefer vendors who can promise tighter delivery schedules rather than on cost or quality. A sensitivity analysis of the soft time-window on the achievement of the lean procurement objectives is also conducted.     

Interpolation Methods for Curve Construction

This paper surveys a wide selection of the interpolation algorithms that are in use in financial markets for construction of curves such as forward curves, basis curves, and most importantly, yield curves. In the case of yield curves the issue of bootstrapping is reviewed and how the interpolation algorithm should be intimately connected to the bootstrap itself is discussed. The criterion for inclusion in this survey is that the method has been implemented by a software vendor (or indeed an inhouse developer) as a viable option for yield curve interpolation. As will be seen, many of these methods suffer from problems: they posit unreasonable expections, or are not even necessarily arbitrage free. Moreover, many methods lead one to derive hedging strategies that are not intuitively reasonable. In the last sections, two new interpolation methods (the monotone convex method and the minimal method) are introduced, which it is believed overcome many of the problems highlighted with the other methods discussed in the earlier sections.     

解可分离结构变分不等式的一种新的交替方向法

交替方向法是求解可分离结构变分不等式问题的经典方法之一, 它将一个大型的变分不等式问题分解成若干个小规模的变分不等式问题进行迭代求解. 但每步迭代过程中求解的子问题仍然摆脱不了求解变分不等式子问题的瓶颈. 从数值计算上来说, 求解一个变分不等式并不是一件容易的事情.因此, 本文提出一种新的交替方向法, 每步迭代只需要求解一个变分不等式子问题和一个强单调的非线性方程组子问题. 相对变分不等式问题而言, 我们更容易、且有更多的有效算法求解一个非线性方程组问题. 在与经典的交替方向法相同的假设条件下, 我们证明了新算法的全局收敛性. 进一步的数值试验也验证了新算法的有效性.     

DS/AHP method: A mathematical analysis,including an understanding of uncertainty

The analytic hierarchy process (AHP) was developed to aid decision makers to rank or sort information based on a number of criteria. A recent advance is the DS/AHP method which incorporates the Dempster–Shafer theory of evidence with AHP. This method allows judgements on groups of decision alternatives (DA) to be made, it also offers a measure of uncertainty in the final results. In this paper a mathematical analysis of DS/AHP is included, constructing the functional form of the preference weightings given to groups of DA. These functions allow an understanding of the appropriateness of the rating scale values used in the DS/AHP method, through evaluating the range of uncertainty able to be expressed by the decision maker.     

Vendor rating for an entrepreneur development programme: a case study using the analytic hierarchy process method

With collaborative purchasing programmes where one of the aims is to develop suppliers, vendor rating is important not only in supplier selection and in deciding how to allocate business but also to determine where scarce development effort is best applied. This paper describes a case study into vendor rating for a government sponsored Entrepreneur Development programme in Malaysia. The paper reviews current methods for vendor rating and finds them wanting. It illustrates a new approach based on the use of Saaty's Analytic Hierarchy process method, which was developed to assist in multi-criteria decision problems. The new method overcomes the difficulties associated with the categorical and simple linear weighted average criteria ranking methods. It provides a more systematic way of deriving the weights to be used and for scoring the performance of vendors.     

Optimal selection of retailers for a manufacturing vendor in a vendor managed inventory system

A Vendor Managed Inventory (VMI) system consists of a manufacturing vendor and a number of retailers. In such a system, it is essential for the vendor to optimally determine retailer selection and other related decisions, such as the product’s replenishment cycle time and the wholesale price, in order to maximize his profit. Meanwhile, each retailer’s decisions on her willingness to enter the system and retail price are simultaneously considered in the retailer selection process. However, the above interactive decision making is complex and the available studies on interactive retailer selection are scarce. In this study, we formulate the retailer selection problem as a Stackelberg game model to help the manufacturer, as a vendor, optimally select his retailers to form a VMI system. This model is non-linear, mixed-integer, game-theoretic, and analytically intractable. Therefore, we further develop a hybrid algorithm for effectively and efficiently solving the developed model. The hybrid algorithm combines dynamic programming (DP), genetic algorithm (GA) and analytical methods. As demonstrated by our numerical studies, the optimal retailer selection can increase the manufacturer’s profit by up to 90% and the selected retailers’ profits significantly compared to non-selection strategy. The proposed hybrid algorithm can solve the model within a minute for a problem with 100 candidate retailers, whereas a pure GA has to take more than 1 h to solve a small sized problem of 20 candidate retailers achieving an objective value no worse than that obtained by the hybrid algorithm.     

基于模糊DEA的ERP系统选型方法

提出了一种基于模糊数据包络分析的企业资源计划系统选型方法.以系统的实施复杂性、预计实施成本、功能匹配度和系统供应商的企业形象等作为主要评价指标,运用模糊集相关理论争方法对系统选型过程中的不确定性进行刻画和描述,对候选系统的相对有效性进行客观评价,解决了系统选型过程中的不确定性和模糊性问题.并通过实证研究说明了该方法的应用.