A posteriori error analysis for the normal compliance problem

In this work, a contact problem between a linear elastic material and a deformable obstacle is numerically analyzed. The contact is modeled using the well-known normal compliance contact condition. The weak formulation leads to a nonlinear variational equation which is approximated by using the finite element method. A priori error estimates are recalled. Then, we define an a posteriori error estimator of residual type to evaluate the accuracy of the finite element approximation of the problem. Upper and lower bounds of the discretization error are proved for this estimator.     

A posterior error analysis for the nonconforming discretization of Stokes eigenvalue problem

In this paper, we present a posteriori error estimator for the nonconforming finite element approximation, including using Crouzeix–Raviart element and extended Crouzeix–Raviart element, of the Stokes eigenvalue problem. With the technique of Helmholtz decomposition, we first give out a posteriori error estimator and prove it as the global upper bound and local lower bound of the approximation error. Then, by deleting a jump term in the indicator, another simpler but equivalent indicator is obtained. Some numerical experiments are provided to verify our analysis.     

A Quasilinear Hierarchical Size-Structured Model: Well-Posedness and Approximation

A finite difference approximation to a hierarchical size-structured model with nonlinear growth, mortality and reproduction rates is developed. Existence-uniqueness of the weak solution to the model is established and convergence of the finite-difference approximation is proved. Simulations indicate that the monotonicity assumption on the growth rate is crucial for the global existence of weak solutions. Numerical results testing the efficiency of this method in approximating the long-time behavior of the model are presented.     

线性模型中回归系数和误差方差的同时Bayes估计的优良性

在线性模型中回归系数与误差方差具有正态-逆Gamma先验时,导出了回归系数与误差方差的同时Bayes估计.在均方误差矩阵准则和Bayes Pitman closeness准则下,研究了回归系数的Bayes估计相对于最小二乘(LS)估计的优良性,还讨论了误差方差的Bayes估计在均方误差准则下相对于LS估计的优良性.     

�̶�ЧӦ������ݲ�������ģ�͵ļ�Ȩ����LSDV����

This paper concerns with the estimation of a fixed effects panel data partially linear regression model with the idiosyncratic errors being an autoregressive process. For fixed effects short time series panel data, the commonly used autoregressive error structure fitting method will not result in a consistent estimator of the autoregressive coefficients. Here we propose an alternative estimation and show that the resulting estimator of the autoregressive coefficients is consistent and this method is workable for any order autoregressive error structure. Moreover, combining the B-spline approximation, profile least squares dummy variable (PLSDV) technique and consistently estimated the autoregressive error structure, we develop a weighted PLSDV estimator for the parametric component and a weighted B-spline series (BS) estimator for the nonparametric component. The weighted PLSDV estimator is shown to be asymptotically normal and more asymptotically efficient than the one which ignores the error autoregressive structure. In addition, this paper derives the asymptotic bias of the weighted BS estimator and establish its asymptotic normality as well. Simulation studies and an example of application are conducted to illustrate the finite sample performance of the proposed procedures.     

Locally Adaptive Wavelet Empirical Bayes Estimation of a Location Parameter

The traditional empirical Bayes (EB) model is considered with the parameter being a location parameter, in the situation when the Bayes estimator has a finite degree of smoothness and, possibly, jump discontinuities at several points. A nonlinear wavelet EB estimator based on wavelets with bounded supports is constructed, and it is shown that a finite number of jump discontinuities in the Bayes estimator do not affect the rate of convergence of the prior risk of the EB estimator to zero. It is also demonstrated that the estimator adjusts to the degree of smoothness of the Bayes estimator, locally, so that outside the neighborhoods of the points of discontinuities, the posterior risk has a high rate of convergence to zero. Hence, the technique suggested in the paper provides estimators which are significantly superior in several respects to those constructed earlier.     

Some Properties and Improvements of the Saddlepoint Approximation in Nonlinear Regression

We summarize properties of the saddlepoint approximation of the density of the maximum likelihood estimator in nonlinear regression with normal errors: accuracy, range of validity, equivariance. We give a geometric insight into the accuracy of the saddlepoint density for finite samples. The role of the Riemannian curvature tensor in the whole investigation of the properties is demonstrated. By adding terms containing this tensor we improve the saddlepoint approximation. When this tensor is zero, or when the number of observations is large, we have pivotal, independent, and ² distributed variables, like in a linear model. Consequences for experimental design or for constructions of confidence regions are discussed.     

回归系数Stein压缩估计的小样本性质

本文在广义均方误差（GMSE）准则下给出了回归系数β的Stein估计优于最小二乘（LS）估计的充分必要条件，然后在Pitman Closeness(PC)准则下比较了Stein估计相对于LS估计的优良性，本文最后给出了一个特别的注记。     

混合系数线性模型参数的广义Liu估计

本文研究连续测量数据情况下的混合系数线性模型的参数估计问题.利用压缩估计方法给出了该模型的一类新的有偏估计-广义Liu估计,并在均方误差意义下,证明此类估计分别优于最小二乘估计、Liu估计.最后讨论参数的选取问题.     

Numerical approximation of conditional asymptotic variances using Monte Carlo simulation

We consider in this paper the use of Monte Carlo simulation to numerically approximate the asymptotic variance of an estimator of a population parameter. When the variance of an estimator does not exist in finite samples, the variance of its limiting distribution is often used for inferences. However, in this case, the numerical approximation of asymptotic variances is less straightforward, unless their analytical derivation is mathematically tractable. The method proposed does not assume the existence of variance in finite samples. If finite sample variance does exist, it provides a more efficient approximation than the one based on the convergence of finite sample variances. Furthermore, the results obtained will be potentially useful in evaluating and comparing different estimation procedures based on their asymptotic variances for various types of distributions. The method is also applicable in surveys where the sample size required to achieve a fixed margin of error is based on the asymptotic variance of the estimator. The proposed method can be routinely applied and alleviates the complex theoretical treatment usually associated with the analytical derivation of the asymptotic variance of an estimator which is often managed on a case by case basis. This is particularly appealing in view of the advance of modern computing technology. The proposed numerical approximation is based on the variances of a certain truncated statistic for two selected sample sizes, using a Richardson extrapolation type formulation. The variances of the truncated statistic for the two sample sizes are computed based on Monte Carlo simulations, and the theory for optimizing the computing resources is also given. The accuracy of the proposed method is numerically demonstrated in a classical errors-in-variables model where analytical results are available for the purpose of comparisons.     

具有大小结构的捕食系统模型解的存在唯一性

本文研究了具有大小结构的捕食系统,利用有限差分逼近的方法,获得了有界变差解的存在唯一性和有限差分逼近的收敛性结果.     

Estimating the Innovation Distribution in Nonlinear Autoregressive Models

The usual estimator for the expectation of a function under the innovation distribution of a nonlinear autoregressive model is the empirical estimator based on estimated innovations. It can be improved by exploiting that the innovation distribution has mean zero. We show that the resulting estimator is efficient if the innovations are estimated with an efficient estimator for the autoregression parameter. Efficiency of this estimator is necessary except when the expectation of the function can be estimated adaptively. Analogous results hold for heteroscedastic models.     

响应变量删失情况下线性模型的FIC模型选择和模型平均

本文给出了响应变量随机右删失情况下线性模型的FIC (focused information criterion) 模型选择方法和光滑FIC 模型平均估计方法, 证明了兴趣参数的FIC 模型选择估计和光滑FIC 模型平均估计的渐近正态性, 通过随机模拟研究了估计的有限样本性质, 模拟结果显示, 从均方误差和一定置信水平置信区间的经验覆盖概率看, 兴趣参数的光滑FIC 模型平均估计均优于FIC, AIC (Akaikeinformation criterion) 和BIC (Bayesian information citerion) 等模型选择估计; 而FIC 模型选择估计与AIC 和BIC 等模型选择估计相比, 也表现出了一定的优越性. 通过分析原发性胆汁性肝硬化数据集, 说明了本文方法在实际问题中的应用.     

非线性自回归序列L1估计的渐近分布

由于时间序列数据中经常出现的厚尾特征使得通常的估计方法不再具有渐近的正态分布,在误差项二阶矩有限的条件下考虑了非线性自回归序列的L_1估计.采用局部线性近似的方法得到了具有凸样本路径的随机过程,在此基础上利用凸样本路径随机过程弱收敛的性质证明了非线性自回归序列L_1估计的渐近正态性及无偏性.     

Constructing fixed rank optimal estimators with method of best recurrent approximations

We propose a new approach which generalizes and improves principal component analysis (PCA) and its recent advances. The approach is based on the following underlying ideas. PCA can be reformulated as a technique which provides the best linear estimator of the fixed rank for random vectors. By the proposed method, the vector estimate is presented in a special quadratic form aimed to improve the error of estimation compared with customary linear estimates. The vector is first pre-estimated from the special iterative procedure such that each iterative loop consists of a solution of the unconstrained nonlinear best approximation problem. Then, the final vector estimate is obtained from a solution of the constrained best approximation problem with the quadratic approximant. We show that the combination of these techniques allows us to provide a new nonlinear estimator with a significantly better performance compared with that of PCA and its known modifications.     

Asymptotic analysis for a stochastic semidefinite programming

Stochastic semidefinite programming (SSDP) is a new class of optimization problems with a wide variety of applications. In this article, asymptotic analysis results of sample average approximation estimator for SSDP are established. Asymptotic analysis result already existing for stochastic nonlinear programming is extended to SSDP, that is, the conditions ensuring the convergence in distribution of sample average approximation estimator for SSDP to a multivariate normal are obtained and the corresponding covariance matrix is described in a closed form.     

Edgeworth expansion for the survival function estimator in the Koziol-Green model

In the Koziol-Green or proportional hazards random censorship model, the asymptotic accuracy of the estimated one-term Edgeworth expansion and the smoothed bootstrap approximation for the Studentized Abdushukurov-Cheng-Lin estimator is investigated. It is shown that both the Edgeworth expansion estimate and the bootstrap approximation are asymptotically closer to the exact distribution of the Studentized Abdushukurov-Cheng-Lin estimator than the normal approximation.     

The superiority of empirical bayes estimation of parameters in partitioned normal linear model

In this article,the empirical Bayes（EB）estimators are constructed for the estimable functions of the parameters in partitioned normal linear model.The superiorities of the EB estimators over ordinary least-squares（LS）estimator are investigated under mean square error matrix（MSEM）criterion.     

A POSTERIORI ERROR ESTIMATE OF OPTIMAL CONTROL PROBLEM OF PDE WITH INTEGRAL CONSTRAINT FOR STATE

In this paper, we study adaptive finite element discretization schemes for an optimal control problem governed by elliptic PDE with an integral constraint for the state. We derive the equivalent a posteriori error estimator for the finite element approximation, which particularly suits adaptive multi-meshes to capture different singularities of the control and the state. Numerical examples are presented to demonstrate the efficiency of a posteriori error estimator and to confirm the theoretical results.     

线性测量误差模型的平均估计

频率模型平均估计近年来受到了较大的关注,但对有测量误差的观测数据尚未见到任何研究.文章主要考虑了线性测量误差模型的平均估计问题,导出了模型平均估计的渐近分布,基于Hjort和Claeskens(2003)的思想构造了一个覆盖真实参数的概率趋于预定水平的置信区间,并证明了该置信区间与基于全模型正态逼近所构造的置信区间的渐近等价性.模拟结果表明当协变量存在测量误差时,模型平均估计能明显增加点估计的效率.