“后配额时代”中国纺织品服装出口预测

本文利用单整自回归移动平均模型,依据2000年1月至2004年12月中国纺织品服装出口额数据,对2005年和2006年中国纺织品服装出口走势进行预测分析。     

动态光散射实验

动态光散射技术是测量纳米及亚微米颗粒粒径的有效方法．本文介绍了动态光散射实验的原理、实验装置及方法，并测量了粒径为85nm的聚苯乙烯水溶液的粒径，分析了实验产生误差的原因．     

基于自相关的激光编码解算

分析了半自主激光制导武器的激光编码规律，提出了运用自相关技术对激光编码进行解算。通过仿真试验验证，运用该技术可准确预测、精确同步复制敌方激光编码，并形成有效的激光诱饵，达到全程自适应干扰的目的。     

Comparison of the Dynamics of Water Molecules in Crystals of Proton-Ordered Ice IX and Its Proton-Disordered Analog III

A computer simulation of proton-ordered ice IX and its proton-disordered analog III (768 molecules, 90 K) was carried out by the molecular dynamics method using Poltev–Malenkov's potential. For ice IX, the differences in the dynamic characteristics of molecules with O(1) and O(2) are much wider than those in the case of ice III. The libration spectrum of ice IX has a number of distinct acute peaks, and the spectrum of ice III is strongly smoothed. These peculiarities are explained by the proton ordering of ice IX and disordering of ice III. The latter is responsible for the great differences in the short- and especially long-range environment of water molecules in ice crystals and hence for the presence of many molecules with different dynamic characteristics. Thus averaging over a large number of different vibrational spectra of molecules leads to a smoothed total spectrum in the case of the proton-disordered crystal modification of ice.     

胺、醇、醚类化合物电离能的自相关拓扑研究

原子的染色序数 fi 定义为 :fi=gi·xi,式中 gi 为原子i在分子中的序数 ,xi 为其染色系数 .基于fi 建立改进的原子序数自相关拓扑指数mF ,其中的1F对烷烃及其衍生物具有良好的结构选择性 .使用第一电离能 (Ip)与0 F ,1F的数量关系模型对 32种脂肪族胺、醇、醚进行估算、预测 ,结果令人满意     

Image analysis in the electron microscopy of cellulose protofibrils II. Digital correlation methods

Electron micrographs of parallel arrays of negatively stained ramie cellulose protofibrils were analyzed using the two-dimensional digital autocorrelation function (ACF). The method is based upon the statistical analysis of images in real space. The ACF shows strong parallel streaks of high correlation, and the lateral distance between adjacent streaks allows the mean interfibrillar distance to be estimated as 3.7 nm. The intensity profile along the streaks shows a weak modulation with peaks occurring at integral multiples of 3 or 6 nm. These results provide direct evidence that there is a regular axial texture in the protofibrils, and corroborate the conclusions previously drawn from optical diffraction analysis. Using the difference vectors found in the ACF it has been possible to reduce the picture noise level by linear integration, thereby obtaining an enhanced image. A preliminary result obtained in this way suggests that the projected protofibril morphology associated with the observed axial periodicity is a ribbon-like zigzag structure. Possible applications of the method for future work are discussed.     

Probabilistic approach to homoclinic chaos

Three-dimensional systems possessing a homoclinic orbit associated to a saddle focus with eigenvalues ±i, – and giving rise to homoclinic chaos when the Shil'nikov condition < is satisfied are studied. The 2D Poincaré map and its 1D contractions capturing the essential features of the flow are given. At homoclinicity, these 1D maps are found to be piecewise linear. This property allows one to reduce the Frobenius—Perron equation to a master equation whose solution is analytically known. The probabilistic properties such as the time autocorrelation function of the state variablex are explicitly derived.     

Diffusion in a one-dimensional gas of hard point particles

We simulate the classical diffusion of a particle of massM in an infinite one-dimensional system of hard point particles of massm in equilibrium. Each computer run corresponds to about 10⁸ collisions of the diffusive particle. We find that (t) 1/t fort large enough, and a crossover from an M m regime where=2 to=3 forM=m. The diffusion constant has a sharp maximum atM=m. We study moments x(t)² and x(t)⁴, and examine the behavior ofq ² (t)=x(t)⁴/3x(t)²². We find thatq(t)1 (consistent with a normal distribution) in theM limit (for all timest) and in the t limit for allM. On sabbatical leave from IVIC-Instituto Venezolano de Investigaciones Cientificas.     

N2,O2水溶液光谱的分子动力学模拟

用分子动力学模拟方法研究了N2和O2水溶液的光谱性质．给出了能描述分子内部运动的溶质－溶剂相互作用势．对溶质和溶剂原子的速度自相关函数（VACF）作了计算．讨论了所得VACF的性质并计算了其谱密度．溶质分子振动谱出现的红移，与液态N2，O2的Raman实验结果相吻合．模拟得出的转动谱表明了溶剂分子对溶质转动运动的阻滞，模拟结果也表明VACF计算对溶液和液体光谱的研究十分有效．     

A long-time tail for random walk in random scenery

Consider a simple random walk on ^d whose sites are colored black or white independently with probabilityq, resp. 1–q. Walk and coloring are independent. Letn _k be the number of steps by the walk between itskth and (k+1) th visits to a black site (i.e., the length of itskth white run), and let _k =E(n _k )–q ^–1. Our main result is a proof that (*) lim _k k ^d/2 _k = (1 –q)q ^{d/2 – 2}(d/2) ^d/2. Since it is known thatq ^{– 1} _k =E(n ₁ n _{k + 1} B) –E(n ₁ B)E(n _{k + 1} B), withB the event that the origin is black, (*) exhibits a long-time tail in the run length autocorrelation function. Numerical calculations of _k (1k100) ind=1, 2, and 3 show that there is an oscillatory behavior of _k for smallk. This damps exponentially fast, following which the power law sets in fairly rapidly. We prove that if the coloring is not independent, but is convex in the sense of FKG, then the decay of _k cannot be faster than (*).