基于混合效应模型的医保费用测算及监控

近几年医改的一个核心内容就是医保支付方式的改革。2012年12月,人力资源和社会保障部、财政部、卫生部三部门联合出台了《关于开展基本医疗保险付费总额控制的意见》,提出在未来两年里,在所有医疗保险统筹地区实行总额预付工作。实行总额预付制的关键是如何科学合理的测算每家医院的预算总额。本文利用线性混合效应模型分别对某市684家医院的病人数,平均费用进行建模,给出每一家医院来年医保费用的合理参考,并且利用模型中的随机效应项自动识别医保费用和病人数异常的医院,为医保监管机构的监管提供科学依据。     

电路过渡过程的计算机辅助分析

电路过渡过程所列方程是微分方程，本文中采用的是方框图模型分析法，即将微分方程的复杂示解分解成最基本的加（减）、乘（除）、积分（微分）、增益等运算，采用VB设计用户界面产进行计算，并给出了一算例。     

随机发展方程适度解的存在唯一性(Ⅱ)

讨论如下Hilbert空间中的半线性随机发展方程的Cauchy问题 dy(t)=[Ay(t) f(t,y(t))]dt G(t,y(t))dw(t) y(O)=V_u的适度解的存在唯一性,在更一般的条件下,得到了该问题的适度解的存在唯一性。     

随机收缩偶,随机收缩与随机算子方程的解

本文引入随机收缩偶,讨论具有随机定义域的随机集值(单值)算子方程公共随机解的存在性,建立随机收缩理论与公共随机不动点理论的联系,统一和推广了这两个方向的主要结果。 关健词:随机算子;方程;公共不动点。     

一类生化反应数学模型的分析

本文讨论了生化反应中一类可逆两分子饱和反应,它的数学模型可近似表达为应用常微分方程定性和稳定性的方法分析了参数的所有情况,得到了正初值的正半轨线的有界性、正平衡点的稳定性及极限环的存在唯一性等结论。     

利用杨辉三角形对称性推导高阶运动微分方程

利用Mathematica数学软件计算函数r=r(q(t),t)各变量之间偏导和高阶导数的关系，发现具有杨辉三角形对称性.结合杨辉三角形的对称性规律和牛顿第二定律推导出了高阶运动微分方程，并讨论了理想约束系统下的高阶运动微分方程. 关键词： 杨辉三角形 牛顿第二定律 高阶运动微分方程 高阶力变率 高阶速度能量 理想约束     

Second-order random wave solutions for interfacial internal waves in N-layer density-stratified fluid

This paper studies the random internal wave equations describing the density interface displacements and the velocity potentials of N-layer stratified fluid contained between two rigid walls at the top and bottom. The density interface displacements and the velocity potentials were solved to the second-order by an expansion approach used by Longuet-Higgins （1963） and Dean （1979） in the study of random surface waves and by Song （2004） in the study of second- order random wave solutions for internal waves in a two-layer fluid. The obtained results indicate that the first-order solutions are a linear superposition of many wave components with different amplitudes, wave numbers and frequencies, and that the amplitudes of first-order wave components with the same wave numbers and frequencies between the adjacent density interfaces are modulated by each other. They also show that the second-order solutions consist of two parts： the first one is the first-order solutions, and the second one is the solutions of the second-order asymptotic equations, which describe the second-order nonlinear modification and the second-order wave-wave interactions not only among the wave components on same density interfaces but also among the wave components between the adjacent density interfaces. Both the first-order and second-order solutions depend on the density and depth of each layer. It is also deduced that the results of the present work include those derived by Song （2004） for second-order random wave solutions for internal waves in a two-layer fluid as a particular case.     

SINGULAR PERTURBATION OF BOUNDARY VALUE PROBLEM FOR NONLINEAR HIGHER ORDER ORDINARY DIFFERENTIAL EQUATIONS INVOLVING TWO SMALL PARAMETERS

The singularly perturbed boundary value problem for nonlinear higher order ordinary differential equation involving two small parameters has been considered. Under appropriate assumptions, for the three cases:ε/μ2→0(μ→0),μ2/ε→0 (ε→0) andε=μ2, the uniformly valid asymptotic solution is obtained by using the expansion method of two small parameters and the theory of differential inequality.