SARS-CoV-2 (severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2) has been causing an outbreak of a new type of pneumonia globally, and repeated outbreaks have already appeared. Among the studies on the spread of the COVID-19, few studies have investigated the repeated outbreaks in stages, and the quantitative condition of a controllable spread has not been revealed. In this paper, a brief compartmental model is developed. The effective reproduction number (ERN) of the model is interpreted by the ratio of net newly infectious individuals to net isolation infections to assess the controllability of the spread of COVID-19. It is found that the value of the ERN at the inflection point of the pandemic is equal to one. The effectiveness of the quarantine, even the treatment, is parametrized in various stages with Gompertz functions to increase modeling accuracy. The impacts of the vaccinations are discussed by adding a vaccinated compartment. The results show that the sufficient vaccinations can make the inflection point appear early and significantly reduce subsequent increases in newly confirmed cases. The analysis of the ERNs of COVID-19 in the United States, Spain, France, and Peru confirms that the condition of a repeated outbreak is to relax or lift the interventions related to isolation and quarantine interventions to a level where the ERN is greater than one.
The chaotic dynamics of nonlinear waves in the harmonic-forced fluid-conveying pipe in primary parametrical resonance, is explored analytically and numerically. The multiple scale method is applied to obtain an equivalent nonlinear wave equation from the complicated nonlinear governing equation describing the fluid conveyed in a pipe. With the Melnikov method, the persistence of a heteroclinic structure is shown to be satisfied and its condition is given in functional form. Similarly, for the heteroclinic orbit, using geometric analysis, a condition function of the stable manifold is derived for the orbit to return to the stable manifold from the saddle point. The persistent homoclinic structures and threshold of chaos in the Smale-horseshoe sense are obtained for the fluid-conveying pipe under both conditions, indicating how the external excitation amplitude can change substantially the global dynamics of the fluid conveyed in the pipe. A numerical approach was used to test the prediction from theory. The impact of the external excitation amplitude on the nonlinear wave in the fluid-conveying pipe was also studied from numerical simulations. Both theoretical predications and numerical simulations attest to the complex chaotic motion of fluid-conveying pipes. 相似文献
The Maxwell–Dirac system describes the interaction of a particle with its self-generated electromagnetic field. In this paper, we study the existence of least energy stationary solutions for non-autonomous Maxwell–Dirac system with a nonlinear term in (3+1)-Minkowski space–time via variational methods. This problem is strongly indefinite and presents a lack of compactness. To overcome these difficulties, we will use the linking and concentration compactness arguments. 相似文献
In this paper, a new simple 4D smooth autonomous system is proposed, which illustrates two interesting rare phenomena: first,
this system can generate a four-wing hyperchaotic and a four-wing chaotic attractor and second, this generation occurs under
condition that the system has only one equilibrium point at the origin. The dynamic analysis approach in the paper involves
time series, phase portraits, Lyapunov exponents, bifurcation diagram, and Poincaré maps, to investigate some basic dynamical
behaviors of the proposed 4D system. The physical existence of the four-wing hyperchaotic attractor is verified by an electronic
circuit. Finally, it is shown that the fractional-order form of the system can also generate a chaotic four-wing attractor. 相似文献