Contrarian investment strategy with data envelopment analysis concept

One of the typical issues in financial literature is that the market tends to be overly pessimistic about value stocks, many of which are past losers. Therefore, over-reactions might capture by measuring earnings surprise vary with past return levels. In this paper, we propose a new index for an effective investment strategy to capture the return-reversal effect using both Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) and Inverted DEA in order to consider the above characteristics of the market. Our investment strategy using the new index exhibits better performance than the naive return-reversal strategy that only uses past returns or earnings surprise. In addition, the correlations between our new index and commonly used value indices are insignificant, and the value indices cannot represent the over-valued (under-valued) situations perfectly. Hence, considering both proposed and value indices like book-to-price one, we could select value stocks more effectively than by using only one of these indices.     

Investment optimization on port’s development by fuzzy integer programming

In this research, the main purpose is to formulate a model to determine the optimum investment on port development from national investment prospective; on the other hand, costs and benefits are calculated from consumer and investor’s viewpoint. The formulated model is an integer-programming model. The emphasis is on how to formulate an investment optimization problem where cargo operation, investment costs, cargo-handling capacity, cargo transportation network, and the world maritime fleet constraints are included. Fuzzy numbers are used for cargo forecast study results. The output of the model is the type of design ships and design berths which are needed in each sub period, so that the port planner (the government) will find out the optimum development plan of port in each sub period when there is uncertainty in cargo handling forecast (fuzzy numbers).     

The impact of investment lags on investment decision

This paper suggests a valuation framework for an investment project through the concept of real options. Generally, in real asset world, decision time and its payment time are not identical. This so-called investment lag problem should be considered when valuing real assets. When investment lags exist, firms’ accommodation capacities play important roles. In this paper, the real effect of investment lag on investment value is tested upon various conditions. We show the valuation process of real assets under the risk-neutral world. The closed-form formula is also provided for valuing real assets, including R&D project.     

A genetic algorithm for resource investment project scheduling problem,tardiness permitted with penalty

In this paper a genetic algorithm for solving a class of project scheduling problems, called Resource Investment Problem, is presented. Tardiness of project is permitted with defined penalty. Elements of algorithm such as chromosome structure, unfitness function, crossover, mutation, immigration and local search operations are explained.     

风险项目的投资期权分析

本文讨论了风险投资家向企业主融资时的投资期权,求出了投资期权的表达式,并对其中的一些参数进行了分析.     

投资组合保险CPPI策略研究

随着期权理论应用的发展,投资组合保险在国外已成为一种盛行的资产配置策略, 常数比例投资组合保险策略(CPPI)以其模型简单、参数的设置又能充分反映投资人不同的风险偏好、而且易于实施,成为大型安全型基金的基金经理首选的投资策略.本文研究并推广了CPPI策略,找出CPPI与期权的关系,讨论了借贷限制对(CPPI策略的影响,最后对CPPI策略在中国市场的可投资性进行了评测.     

具有交易成本的证券组合投资决策研究

本文利用均值－方差模型，分析了有交易成本的证券投资组合的决策问题，给出了风险资产和无风险资产的最优投资比例与交易成本关系的一个有意义的结论。     

Capital budgeting with benders decomposition

Capital budgeting problems with different interest rates for borrowing and lending and with possible limits on borrowing are applied to dual and primal decomposition. While the former fails if a dual gap exists, the latter becomes attractive. The paper elaborates dual and primal decomposition to capital budgeting models and discusses variants of the Benders scheme. A computer implementation is described and results of extensive computer runs with different strategies are reported which give proof of the efficiency of the implemented decomposition procedure.     

Conditions for optimality in the infinite-horizon portfolio-cum-saving problem with semimartingale investments

A model of optimal accumulation of capital and portfolio choice over an infinite horizon in continuous time is formulated in which the vector process representing returns to investments isa general semimartingale. Methods of stochastic calculus and calculus of variations are used to obtain necessary and sufficient conditions for optimality involving martingale properties ofthe shadow price processes associated with alternative portfolio cum saving plans.The relationship between such conditions and portfolio equations is investigated.The results are appliedtospecial cases where the returns process has stationary independent increments and the utility function has the discounted relative risk aversion form     

Existence and uniqueness of an optimum in the infinite-horizon portfolio-cum-saving model with semimartingale investments

The model considered here is essentially that formulated in the author's previous paper Conditions for Optimality in the Infinite-Horizon Portfolio-cum-Saving Problem with Semimartingale Investments, Stochastics and Stochastics Reports 29 (1990), 133-171. In this model, the vector process representing returns to investments is a general semimartingale. Processes defining portfolio plans arc here required only to be predictable and non-negative. Existence of an optimal portfolio-cum-saving plan is proved under slight conditions of integrability imposed on the welfare functional; the proofs rely on properties of weak precompactness of portfolio and utility sequences in suitable L _p spaces together with dominated and monotone convergence arguments. Conditions are also obtained for the uniqueness of the portfolio plan generating a given returns process (i.e. for the uniqueness of the integrands generating a given sum of semimartingale integrals) and for the uniqueness of an optimal plan; here use is made of random measures associated with the jumps of a semimartingale