基于重复测量数据的Poisson回归模型的偏大离差的Score检验

Poisson回归模型广泛应用于分析计数型数据 ,Dean&Lawless(1989)和Dean(1992 )讨论了非重复测量得到的计数型数据的偏大离差存在性的检验问题 .本文分别利用随机系数模型和对数非线性模型讨论了基于重复测量得到的计数型数据的偏大离差的检验问题 ,得到了检验的score统计量 .     

上海基础房价相关指标及走势的分析与研究

基础房价的相关指标及其走势一直是大众关心的热门话题．本文通过对上海基础房价相关指标的分析，建立了市场房价走势的两个数学模型．模型一：在相关性分析的基础上利用主成分分析消除指标间的共线性，再用回归拟合房价模型并进行预测；模型二：在相关性分析的基础上利用核估计方法预测出房价．继呵对2005年下半年的房价走势进行了预测，得出的结果与实际情况相吻合．     

Bayesian Prediction Analysis for Growth Curve Model Using Noninformative Priors

We apply a Bayesian approach to the problem of prediction in an unbalanced growth curve model using noninformative priors. Due to the complexity of the model, no analytic forms of the predictive densities are available. We propose both approximations and a prediction-oriented Metropolis-Hastings sampling algorithm for two types of prediction, namely the prediction of future observations for a new subject and the prediction of future values for a partially observed subject. They are illustrated and compared through real data and simulation studies. Two of the approximations compare favorably with the approximation in Fearn (1975, Biometrika, 62, 89–100) and are very comparable to the more accurate Rao-Blackwellization from Metropolis-Hastings sampling algorithm.     

Temperature effect on deposition rate of silicon nitride films

Temperature effects on deposition rate of silicon nitride films were characterized by building a neural network prediction model. The silicon nitride films were deposited by using a plasma enhanced chemical vapor deposition system and process parameter effects were systematically characterized by 2⁶⁻¹ fractional factorial experiment. The process parameters involved include a radio frequency power, pressure, temperature, SiH₄, N₂, and NH₃ flow rates. The prediction performance of generalized regression neural network was drastically improved by optimizing multi-valued training factors using a genetic algorithm. Several 3D plots were generated to investigate parameter effects at various temperatures. Predicted variations were experimentally validated. The temperature effect on the deposition rate was a complex function of parameters but N₂ flow rate. Larger decreases in the deposition rate with the temperature were only noticed at lower SiH₄ (or higher NH₃) flow rates. Typical effects of SiH₄ or NH₃ flow rate were only observed at higher or lower temperatures. A comparison with the refractive index model facilitated a selective choice of either SiH₄ or NH₃ for process optimization.     

多元线性回归法在互联网网间结算中的应用

本文建立一个理论模型研究互联网互联结算的问题。文章利用多元线性回归法对互联网骨干网运营商(IBPs:Internet Backbone Providers)的网络价值进行评估,利用IBPs各自的网络价值对其交换速率进行加权,从而得出网络价值加权速率,依据这个速率进行结算既可以反映了每个网络对互联的贡献程度,又反映了在互联中对网络资源的被占用程度。     

遥感器CCD驱动器热设计及其在摄像过程中的温度变化

CCD驱动器是航天成像遥感器摄像过程中的主要热源之一。防止CCD驱动器过热是保证其正常工作的重要方面。介绍了遥感器的工作模式和对CCD驱动器采取的热控制措施。通过热平衡试验,利用回归的方法,对CCD驱动器在摄像过程中的温度变化规律进行了分析,同时对热控制效果进行了评估。CCD驱动器工作时升温速率在0.85℃/min左右,整个摄像过程中最高温度约为26℃,所实施的热控制措施效果理想。     

Local polynomial fitting under association

We consider the estimation of multivariate regression functions r(x₁,…,x_d) and their partial derivatives up to a total order p1 using high-order local polynomial fitting. The processes {Y_i,X_i} are assumed to be (jointly) associated. Joint asymptotic normality is established for the estimates of the regression function r and all its partial derivatives up to the total order p. Expressions for the bias and variance/covariance matrix (of the asymptotic distribution) are given.     

服装主观热感觉的统计分析

本文用多因子方差分析模型和多重比较分析了服装穿着时的主观热感觉与服装品种、环境条件、穿着者的活动状态与籍贯之间的关系。通过主成分回归建立了用生理指标预测主观热感觉的模型，从而得出一种定量地评价服装属性的方法。     

BAHADUR ASYMPTOTIC EFFICIENCY IN A SEMIPARAMETRIC REGRESSION MODEL

ＢＡＨＡＤＵＲＡＳＹＭＰＴＯＴＩＣＥＦＦＩＣＩＥＮＣＹＩＮＡＳＥＭＩＰＡＲＡＭＥＴＲＩＣＲＥＧＲＥＳＳＩＯＮＭＯＤＥＬ￥ＬＩＡＮＧＨＵＡ；ＣＨＥＮＧＰＩＮＧＡｂｓｔｒａｃｔ：ＴｈｅａｕｔｈｏｒＳｇｉｖｅＭＬＥθ１ＭＬｏｆθ１ｉｎｔｈｅｍｏｄｅｌＹ＝θ...