带保修期产品的预防维修建模分析

本文研究权衡了保修产品预防维修所节省的成本开支和同时增加的维修费用,以产品的长期平均成本率最低为决策依据,讨论了一个最优预防维修策略,给出了求解最优维修策略的有效算法.     

带有一个冷贮备部件的两部件串联系统机会维修策略

针对带有一个冷贮备部件的两部件串联系统,本文首先提出一种预防维修与机会维修相结合的维修策略,运用更新报酬定理求得长期运行情况下的单位时间期望维修成本函数的表达式,然后研究最优的机会维修阀值,运用微分学理论求解最优解,最后用实例验证理论的正确性,从实际例子说明本文提出的维修策略可明显节约维修成本,为相应的带有冷贮备的多部件串联系统的维修策略分析提供参考,对企业设备的维修有实际指导意义。     

基于修理设备的冷贮备可修系统的维修策略

本文研究了两同型部件,一个修理设备组成的冷贮备可修系统.在故障部件不能"修复如新"的条件下,分别以系统中部件1故障次数N,工作时间T和(N,T)为维修策略,利用更新过程和几何过程,求出修理设备经长期运行单位时间内平均停工时间表达式.并在部件寿命的分布函数和修理时间的分布函数已知的情况下,以部件1故障次数N为策略证明存在最优N*使修理设备经长期运行单位时间内平均停工时间最长.最后,通过数值例子验证最优策略的存在性.     

有延迟修理的两部件串联系统的预防维修策略

研究由两个部件串联组成的系统的预防维修策略, 当系统的工作时间达到T时进行预防维修, 预防维修使部件恢复到上一次故障维修后的状态. 当部件发生故障后进行故障维修, 因为各种原因可能会延迟修理. 部件在每次故障维修后的工作时间形成随机递减的几何过程, 且每次故障后的维修时间形成随机递增的几何过程. 以部件进行预防维修的间隔T和更换前的故障次数N组成的二维策略(T,N)为策略, 利用更新过程和几何过程理论求出了系统经长期运行单位时间内期望费用的表达式, 并给出了具体例子和数值分析.     

基于休假时间和基准可靠度的冷贮备二维预防维修策略

研究由两个不同型部件和一个修理工组成的冷贮备可修系统,其中部件1具有优先使用权.为了延长系统的工作时间,考虑对部件1进行非定期预防维修和故障维修相结合的维修策略,并以部件1的故障次数N和预防维修间隔T为二元维修策略(N,T),利用几何过程和更新过程等数学理论,建立以修理工单位时间内平均休假时间为目标函数、以费用率和平均停机时间为约束条件的优化模型,最后运用实例验证了模型的有效性.     

有两种故障状态的两部件串联系统的预防维修策略

本文研究的是由两个部件串联组成且有两种故障状态的系统的预防维修策略, 当系统的工作时间达到T时进行预防维修, 预防维修使部件恢复到上一次故障维修后的状态。每个部件发生故障都有两种状态, 可维修和不可维修。当部件的故障为可维修故障时, 修理工对其进行故障维修, 且每次故障维修后的工作时间形成随机递减的几何过程, 每次故障后的维修时间形成随机递增的几何过程。当部件发生N次可维修故障或一次不可维修故障时进行更换。以部件进行预防维修的间隔和更换前的可维修故障次数N组成的二维策略(T, N) 为策略, 利用更新过程和几何过程理论求出了系统经长期运行单位时间内期望费用的表达式, 并给出了具体例子和数值分析。     

基于成本优先级的部件维修策略分析

现实中,系统由于任务、环境等因素,无法实时对故障部件进行维修。因此需要在任务间隔期间或对故障部件进行维修的同时对系统各部件进行预防性机会维修。本文考虑系统期望维修成本,提出了基于部件维修优先级的预防性维修策略。首先把系统期望维修成本分为失效部件维修成本、失效部件导致系统故障的成本和预防性维修其他部件的成本,提出了基于成本的二态和多态系统部件维修优先级度量方法,并在两种场景下分析了如何选择预防性维修部件。其次针对多态系统,研究了基于成本重要度的部件最佳维修水平,并讨论了成本约束下的部件预防性维修策略。最后以某型预警机系统为例进行验证,结果表明,基于成本的预防性维修策略不仅与故障部件位置和相关成本有关,而且还与可用于预防性维修的其他部件重要性有关。     

基于遗传算法和非线性规划的设备预防维修周期优化模型

本文通过建立预防性维修前后故障率的关系,给出了带约束的非线性设备预防性维修策略模型.该模型通过综合考虑故障维修成本、预防性维修成本、以及生产损失成本,在有限的生产运行时间内使得系统总成本最小化.模型利用遗传算法的全局搜索能力和非线性规划的局部搜索能力进行求解.计算结果表明,遗传算法结合非线性规划可以以较快的收敛速度达到全局最优.     

基于基准可靠度和预防维修次数上限的两参数预防维修策略

本文研究了一类修旧非新的两参数预防维修策略.在预防维修依赖于基准可靠度R的条件下,利用系统的相关可靠性指标建立了平均费用关于R和N(预防维修次数上限)的函数关系.进一步找到了该函数的最小值点,即得到了最优策略(R,N)*.同时通过实例说明了本文的维修策略优于文献[8].     

基于休假时间的贮备系统的二维更换策略模型

研究两个不同型部件和一个修理工组成的冷贮备可修系统,在考虑了预防修和使用的优先权的条件下,以部件1的故障次数N及预防维修时长T为策略,利用几何过程和更新过程理论,建立了以修理工休假时间为目标函数,以费用率和停机时间为约束条件的优化模型.在部件1寿命分布函数已知的情况下,证明了系统经长期运行修理工平均休假时间随T是单调增加的,最后通过数值例子验证了最优的策略(T~*,N~*)的存在性.     

考虑不完全检测的冲击模型最优维修策略

针对制造系统中设备检测不完全的情形,研究基于不完全检测的冲击模型的周期检测、维修联合策略．通过定期检测获知系统的劣化状态以进行必要的预防性维修．在假设系统是退化的且有k个不同故障状态的条件下,以最小化系统运行成本为目标,以检测周期T、系统更换前故障次数Ⅳ为联合决策变量,利用更新过程理论建立了系统平均费用率C（T,N）的数学模型,并且给出最优联合策略的数值算法．最后借助数值例子演示了该模型,分析了检测水平对系统运行成本的影响．     

A condition based maintenance model for a two-unit series system

This paper discusses a condition based maintenance model with exponential failures and fixed inspection intervals for a two-unit system in series. The condition of each unit, such as vibration or heat, is monitored at equidistant time intervals. The condition indicator variables for each unit are used to decide whether to repair an individual unit or to overhaul the whole system. After a maintenance action is performed the monitored condition indicator variable takes on its initial value. Each unit can fail only once within an inspection interval and when one or both units fail the system fails. The probability of failure is exponential and the failure rate is dependent on the condition. The cost to be minimized is the long-run average cost of maintenance actions and failures. We study the optimal solution to this problem obtained via dynamic programming.     

Hybrid block replacement and inspection policies for a multi-component system with heterogeneous component lives

Novel replacement policies that are hybrids of inspection maintenance and block replacement are developed for an n identical component series system in which the component parts used at successive replacements arise from a heterogeneous population. The heterogeneous nature of components implies a mixed distribution for time to failure. In these circumstances, a hybrid policy comprising two phases, an early inspection phase and a later wear-out replacement phase, may be appropriate. The policy has some similarity to burn-in maintenance. The simplest policy described is such a hybrid and comprises a block-type or periodic replacement policy with an embedded block or periodic inspection policy. We use a three state failure model, in which a component may be good, defective or failed, in order to consider inspection maintenance. Hybrid block replacement and age-based inspection, and opportunistic hybrid policies will also arise naturally in these circumstances and these are briefly investigated. For the simplest policy, an approximation is used to determine the long-run cost and the system reliability. The policies have the interesting property that the system reliability may be a maximum when the long-run cost is close to its minimum. The failure model implies that the effect of maintenance is heterogeneous. The policies themselves imply that maintenance is carried out more prudently to newer than to older systems. The maintenance of traction motor bearings on underground trains is used to illustrate the ideas in the paper.     

The availability model and parameters estimation method for the delay time model with imperfect maintenance at inspection

The delay time model (DTM) is widely used to model the two-stage failure process and is helpful for developing cost-effective inspection/maintenance plans. Imperfect maintenance is common in practice, but seldom considered in DTM. An improved DTM with imperfect maintenance at inspection has been developed based on the assumption of imperfect inspection maintenance and perfect failure maintenance. The model of the long-run availability for the improved DTM is established. Parameters estimation method and the test for goodness of fit method are given. Numerical simulations are performed to study the influence of imperfect maintenance on the long-run availability and to validate the credibility of the parameters estimation method. The results show that imperfect maintenance will decrease the long-run availability. The existence of the optimal inspection interval regarding the maximum long-run availability is tightly related to the improvement factor, which denotes the maintenance effect. The parameters estimation method proves credible. The maximum likelihood estimations of the reliability parameters can be easily achieved by the Genetic Algorithms (GAs) searching tool.     

Economic and economic-statistical design of a chi-square chart for CBM

In this paper, the economic and economic-statistical design of a χ² chart for a maintenance application is considered. The machine deterioration process is described by a three-state continuous time Markov chain. The machine state is unobservable, except for the failure state. To avoid costly failures, the system is monitored by a χ² chart. The observation process stochastically related to the machine condition is assumed to be multivariate, normally distributed. When the chart signals, full inspection is performed to determine the actual machine condition. The system can be preventively replaced at a sampling epoch and must be replaced upon failure; preventive replacement costs less than failure replacement. The objective is to find the optimal control chart parameters that minimize the long-run average maintenance cost per unit time. For the economic-statistical design, an additional constraint guaranteeing the occurrence of the true alarm signal on the chart before failure with given probability is considered. For both designs, the objective function is derived using renewal theory.     

Coordinated maintenance in a multi-component system with compound Poisson deterioration

This paper proposes a coordinated maintenance model in a multi-component system with compound Poisson deterioration. The main contribution is a policy-iteration approach for Semi-Markov processes that optimizes the threshold at which the component is eligible for preventive maintenance if another component requires corrective maintenance. The methodology is novel as we develop explicit expressions for the policy evaluation and prove these expressions to satisfy the set of linear equations which characterize traditional policy evaluation. By doing so, long-run average cost savings are achieved, since setup costs can be shared.     

Optimal inspection policies for a storage system with degradation at periodic tests

A system such as missiles and spare parts of aircrafts is in storage for a long time from transportation to usage. The reliability of a system in storage will go down with time, and so, it should be inspected and maintained at suitable times to hold a high reliability. However, we do not wish to inspect a system too often because each inspection involves a cost and sometimes might degrade some parts of a system during the test interval.This paper considers a periodic inspection policy for a storage system which has to hold a higher reliability. A system has two types of units, where Unit 1 is maintained at each test, however, Unit 2 is degraded with time and at each test. A system is also overhauled, if the reliability becomes lower than a prespecified value q. The reliability of a system is derived, and using this result, the time and the average cost until overhaul is obtained. The optimal policies which maximize the time to overhaul and minimize the average cost are discussed. Finally, numerical examples are given.     

Optimal preventive maintenance policy for electric power distribution systems based on the fuzzy AHP methods

In power distribution systems, with their great vastness and various outage causes, one of the most important problems of power distribution companies is to select a suitable maintenance strategy of system elements and method of financial planning for the maintenance of system elements with the two objectives of decrease in outage costs and improvement of system reliability. In this article, a practical method is introduced for the selection of a suitable system elements maintenance strategy; moreover, to plan the preventive maintenance budget for the system elements, two methods are offered: the cost optimization method and the fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) method. In the former method, a new model of system maintenance cost is offered. This model, based on system outage information, the elements maintenance costs are determined as functions of system reliability indices and preventive maintenance budget. The latter method, too, a new guideline is introduced for considering the cost and reliability criteria in the trend of preventive maintenance budget planning. In this method, the preventive maintenance budget for the elements is determined based on relative priority of elements with reliability criteria. © 2015 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Complexity 21: 70–88, 2016     

Quantifying the risk in age and block replacement policies

Preventive maintenance policies have been studied in the literature without considering the risk due to the cost variability. In this paper, we consider the two most popular preventive replacement policies, namely, age and block replacement policies under long-run average cost and expected unit time cost criteria. To quantify the risk in the preventive maintenance policies, we use the long-run variance of the accumulated cost over a time interval. We numerically derive the Risk-sensitive preventive replacement policies and study the impact of the Risk-sensitive optimality criterion on the managerial decisions. We also examine the performance of the expected unit time cost criterion as an alternative to the traditional long-run average cost criterion.