具有脉冲接种的手足口病传播模型

研究具有脉冲接种的手足口病SEIR传播模型,首先得到了系统的无病周期解,其次证明了无病周期解的渐进稳定性并得到了系统渐进稳定性的条件.最后,根据已获得的数据对系统进行了数值模拟,得到了脉冲接种周期的临界值.     

一类对易感人群实施脉冲接种的传染病模型的稳定性

考虑了一类对易感人群实施脉冲接种的传染病模型,应用微分方程的初值理论得出了系统的无病周期解,进而,应用脉冲微分不等式的比较定理,证明了当R_01时,无病周期解的全局渐近稳定性.最后,研究了对易感人群实施脉冲接种在传染病预防中的效果.     

具脉冲两阶段结构的自治SIS传染病模型

讨论了具有脉冲两阶段结构的自治SIS传染病模型,得到了该模型无病周期解存在性和稳定性的充分条件,并利用分支理论研究了正周期解的存在性.     

非线性接触率SIR模型脉冲接种策略研究

建立了具有非线性接触率脉冲预防接种的SIR传染病模型,利用脉冲微分方程理论,对模型的动力学性态进行了分析,给出了模型的阀值,证明了无病周期解的存在性及全局渐近稳定性.     

具有脉冲接种的DS-I-R传染病模型的定性分析

研究了具有脉冲接种的多易感群体的DS-I-R传染病模型,分析了该模型无病周期解的存在性,给出了对疾病传播有重要影响的基本再生数,得到了无病周期解全局稳定性的充分条件.     

两类易感者具垂直传染和预防接种的SIRS传染病模型

讨论了具有连续预防接种和脉冲预防接种且具有垂直传染的双线性SIRS传染病模型,分别给出了SIRS传染病模型基本再生数.利用Liapunov函数方法和LaSalle不变原理证明了连续预防接种下无病平衡点和正平衡点的全局稳定性;利用脉冲微分方程的Floquet 乘子理论和比较定理,证明了无病周期解的存在性和全局稳定性.     

脉冲输入免疫因子的HBV模型的稳定性和持久性分析

提出了一个数学模型,用于研究脉冲投放免疫因子对HBV传染病动力学的影响.通过利用脉冲微分不等式和比较定理,证明了HBV模型的无病周期解的存在性,给出了无病周期解的全局渐近稳定性和系统的持续性的充分条件.研究结果表明:短的投放周期或适当的免疫因子投放量可以导致HBV的清除.     

脉冲输入免疫因子的HBV模型的稳定性和持久性分析

提出了一个数学模型,用于研究脉冲投放免疫因子对HBV传染病动力学的影响.通过利用脉冲微分不等式和比较定理,证明了HBV模型的无病周期解的存在性,给出了无病周期解的全局渐近稳定性和系统的持续性的充分条件.研究结果表明:短的投放周期或适当的免疫因子投放量可以导致HBV的清除.     

一类具有非线性脉冲接种的SIRS流行病模型分析（英文）

本文建立了一类具有非线性脉冲免疫接种与饱和接触率的SIRS传染病模型;利用离散动力系统的频闪映射方法得到了模型的无病周期解;利用Floquet乘子理论和脉冲微分方程比较定理证明了该周期解的全局渐近稳定性,并获得了模型持久性的充分条件;还通过数值模拟展示了数值模拟结果和理论结果的一致性.     

脉冲喷洒杀虫剂的植物病害模型的周期解

本文研究脉冲喷洒杀虫剂的植物病害模型.考虑在传染率随时间周期变化和森林树木总数保持不变的条件下,讨论具有垂直传播的一类具有单个种群的脉冲喷洒农药的SIRS模型,根据单值算子和Bohl-Brouaser不动点理论证明了无病周期解存在性,并且利用单值矩阵,Floquet理论得到其基本再生数并且给出了其无病周期解局部渐近稳定的条件.     

On Sums of Coefficients of Products of Polynomials

We study the nilpotency of the sums of all coefficients of some sorts of products of polynomials over reversible, IFP, and NI rings, and introduce an SCN ring as a generalization. We characterize SCN rings in relation with related ring properties, and also provide several useful properties and ring extensions of SCN rings.     

白骨化尸体死亡时间的推断

本文分析了15具白骨化尸体标本的股骨汞(Hg),铅(Pb),镉(Cd)元素含量数据,在三年的时间内采集了3次,一共收集到45个数据。首先将这组数据看着纵向数据,利用线性随机效应混合模型、Cox随机混合效应模型进行分析,结果显示,如果对每个白骨化尸体标本建立线性模型,可以精确预测出死亡时间,而且不需要采集铅元素含量数据。混合效应模型的预测效果也很好,最大误差不会超过1个月。其次我们对数据不作任何假设,利用机器学习中随机森林方法分析数据,并利用5折交叉验证方法来判断结果的可靠性,训练集和测试集的NMSE分别为0.1205944,0.5604286,因此可以用训练出的模型来预测死亡时间。     

Location of courts of justice: The making of the new judiciary map of Portugal

Location modeling techniques have been applied to an extremely wide variety of public facilities. However, their application to one of the most ubiquitous public facilities – courts of justice – has been very rare. In this paper, we describe a study promoted by the Ministry of Justice of Portugal to define a proposal for the country's new judiciary map – that is, the spatial organization of the judicial system. The new map aims to promote the efficiency and specialization of the justice system (leading to better and faster court decisions) and to provide a good level of accessibility to courts. We developed two optimization models addressing those goals – a districting model, to determine the borders of new, large judicial districts; and a court location model, to determine the location, type, size, and coverage area of the courts included in each new district. Both models are discrete facility location models and consider hierarchical facilities – generic courts and specialized courts of multiple types. Our study was publicly acknowledged by the Portuguese government as having contributed to the new judiciary map that has since been approved and implemented.     

L－fuzzy集网的R－收敛性质

本文在ＬＦ拓扑空间中建立了Ｌ－ｆｕｚｚｙ集网的弱收敛（Ｒ－收敛）概念，应用文［４］中的Ｒ－闭包，系统讨论了它们的性质，证明了等式ＲｌｉｍＡ＿ｎ＝∧（∨Ａ＿ｍ）＿Ｒ和ＲｌｉｍＡ＿ｎ＝Ａ＿ｎ＝∧（∨Ａ＿ｍ）＿Ｒ并且给出了Ｌ－ｆｕｚｚｙ集网与其子网之间的关系。     

Admissibility of estimators of the probability of unobserved outcomes

The problem of estimating the probability of unobserved outcomes or, as it is sometimes called, the conditional probability of a new species, is studied. Good's estimator, which is essentially the same as Robbins' estimator, namely the number of singleton species observed divided by the sample size, is studied from a decision theory point of view. The results obtained are as follows: (1) When the total number of different species is assumed bounded by some known number, Good's and Robbins' estimators are inadmissible for squared error loss. (2) If the number of different species can be infinite, Good's and Robbins' estimators are admissible for squared error loss. (3) Whereas Robbins' estimator is a UMVUE for theunconditional probability of a new species obtained in one extra sample point, Robbins' estimator is not a uniformly minimum mean squared error unbiased estimator of the conditional probability of a new species. This answers a question raised by Robbins. (4) It is shown that for Robbins' model and squared error loss, there are admissible Bayes estimators which do not depend only on a minimal sufficient statistic. A discussion of interpretations and significance of the results is offered. Research supported by NSF Grant DMS-88-22622.     

Analytic description of statistics of spectra of quantum graphs

We discuss how to obtain exact and approximate distributions for various statistical characteristics of the spectra of quantum graphs using previously found exact solutions of the spectral problem. We indicate the relation between the appearing spectral decompositions and the theory of weakly dependent random variables and indicate the relation between the known limit theorems for trigonometric sums and the universal statistical properties of the spectra of quantum chaotic systems. __________ Translated from Teoreticheskaya i Matematicheskaya Fizika, Vol. 156, No. 1, pp. 38–66, July, 2008.     

Convergence of densities of some functionals of Gaussian processes

The aim of this paper is to establish the uniform convergence of the densities of a sequence of random variables, which are functionals of an underlying Gaussian process, to a normal density. Precise estimates for the uniform distance are derived by using the techniques of Malliavin calculus, combined with Stein?s method for normal approximation. We need to assume some non-degeneracy conditions. First, the study is focused on random variables in a fixed Wiener chaos, and later, the results are extended to the uniform convergence of the derivatives of the densities and to the case of random vectors in some fixed chaos, which are uniformly non-degenerate in the sense of Malliavin calculus. Explicit upper bounds for the uniform norm are obtained for random variables in the second Wiener chaos, and an application to the convergence of densities of the least square estimator for the drift parameter in Ornstein–Uhlenbeck processes is discussed.     

有资格限制的指派问题的求解方法

在实际的指派工作中，常会遇到某个人有没有资格去承担某项工作的问题，因此，本建立了有资格限制的指派问题的数学模型。在此数学模型中，将效益矩阵转化为判定矩阵，由此给出了判定此种指派问题是否有解的方法；在有解的情况下，进一步将效益矩阵转化为求解矩阵，从而将有资格限制的指派问题化为传统的指派问题来求解。最后给出了一个数值例子来说明这样的处理方法是有效的。     

函数的次微分性质

本文给出了函数的Fenchel次微分、Frechet次微分,Hadamard次微分,Gateaux次微分的一些重要性质,并对函数的性质尤其是凸性给出其次微分刻画。     

高超声速飞行器纵向动力系统平衡态集的拓扑结构研究

以高超声速飞行器纵向运动的空气动力学模型和结构动力学模型为依据,采用数值分析的方法,研究了高超声速飞行器动力系统平衡点集的拓扑结构.首先根据高超声速飞行器在巡航阶段的飞行边界的限制条件得到在给定的飞行高度和马赫数下的平衡点集,由此近似估算出了高超声速飞行器的飞行包线.然后根据得到的平衡点集,分别研究了高超声速飞行器的迎角、升降舵偏角和发动机的燃料当量比与飞行马赫数和高度的关系,并进行了数值拟合,在此基础上分别描绘了以上三个拟合关系式的曲面关系图。