Optimal order-replacement policy for a phase-type geometric process model with extreme shocks

A system is subject to random shocks that arrive according to a phase-type (PH) renewal process. As soon as an individual shock exceeds some given level the system will break down. The failed system can be repaired immediately. With the increasing number of repairs, the maximum shock level that the system can withstand will be decreasing, while the consecutive repair times after failure will become longer and longer. Undergoing a specified number of repairs, the existing system will be replaced by a new and identical one. The spare system for the replacement is available only by sending a purchase order to a supplier, and the duration of spare system procurement lead time also follows a PH distribution. Based on the number of system failures, a new order-replacement policy (also called $(K\text{,}N)$ policy) is proposed in this paper. Using the closure property of the PH distribution, the long-run average cost rate for the system is given by the renewal reward theorem. Finally, through numerical calculation, it is determined an optimal order-replacement policy such that the long-run expected cost rate is minimum.     

The GI/M/1 queue with phase-type working vacations and vacation interruption

Consider a GI/M/1 queue with phase-type working vacations and vacation interruption where the vacation time follows a phase-type distribution. The server takes the original work at the lower rate during the vacation period. And, the server can come back to the normal working level at a service completion instant if there are customers at this instant, and not accomplish a complete vacation. From the PH renewal process theory, we obtain the transition probability matrix. Using the matrix-analytic method, we obtain the steady-state distributions for the queue length at arrival epochs, and waiting time of an arbitrary customer. Meanwhile, we obtain the stochastic decomposition structures of the queue length and waiting time. Two numerical examples are presented lastly.     

修理工带休假的两同型部件冷贮备可修系统

假定部件工作寿命,修理时间和修理工休假时间均服从一般分布,利用马尔可夫骨架过程理论,研究了修理工带休假的两同型部件冷贮备可修系统的可靠性。     

专职修理工多重休假且修理设备可更换的k/n(G)表决系统研究

讨论专职修理工多重休假,修理设备可发生失效且可更换的k/n（G）表决可修系统.当系统中没有故障部件时,专职修理工开始一次休假,在此期间,若有工作部件发生故障,则立即指派普通修理工修理故障部件,一直持续到系统中无故障部件或专职修理工休假回来.利用马尔可夫过程理论和矩阵解法,给出了系统瞬态和稳态下的可用度和故障频度、可靠度、系统首次故障前的平均时间、修理设备处于更换状态的概率等指标的表达式.在此基础上,基于不同的初始条件研究了相关指标随时间的变化情况.最后,特殊情形的讨论验证了所得结果的正确性.     

一种新型的N部件串联可修系统及其可靠性分析

本文研究一种Ⅳ部件串联可修系统的一个新模型，该模型在经典。部件串联可修系统中引入了修理工可多重延误休假的概念，并且考虑了修理工使用修理设备在修理失效部件过程中可能因修理设备失效而立即更换修理设备对整个系统可靠性造成的影响,假定修理工的延误休假时间、部件的寿命和修理设备的寿命均服从指数分布，部件的修理时间、修理设备的更换时间和修理工的休假时间均服从一般连续型分布，通过使用补充变量法和广义马尔可夫过程方法得到了系统和修理设备的一些重要可靠性指标．     

具有单重休假和修复不如新的两部件并联系统

为了解决由"修复非新"部件组成的具有休假的可修型系统,运用几何过程理论、补充变量法和拉普拉斯变换工具,研究了由两个不同型部件和一个修理工组成的可修型并联系统.假设两个部件的工作寿命和修理时间均服从不同的指数分布,修理工可休假,对部件1的修理是几何修理而对部件2的修理则是修复如新,得到了系统的可用度、可靠度和系统首次故障前平均时间等可靠性指标.成果具有一定的理论和实际意义.     

Stationary Distributions of GI/M/c Queue with PH Type Vacations

We study a GI/M/c type queueing system with vacations in which all servers take vacations together when the system becomes empty. These servers keep taking synchronous vacations until they find waiting customers in the system at a vacation completion instant.The vacation time is a phase-type (PH) distributed random variable. Using embedded Markov chain modeling and the matrix geometric solution methods, we obtain explicit expressions for the stationary probability distributions of the queue length at arrivals and the waiting time. To compare the vacation model with the classical GI/M/c queue without vacations, we prove conditional stochastic decomposition properties for the queue length and the waiting time when all servers are busy. Our model is a generalization of several previous studies.     

基于几何过程和位相分布休假的两部件并联可修系统的可靠性分析

主要以两不同型部件组成的并联可修系统为研究对象.在系统对失效相位存在记忆的基础上,考虑了修理工可单重休假且休假时间服从位相(PH)分布.每个工作部件均有可能因受到两种不同类型的故障而失效,且均"修复非新".在假定部件的工作时间,修理时间分别服从PH分布的几何过程和负指数分布的条件下,利用马尔可夫过程和矩阵分析的方法,对可修系统进行了可靠性分析,并给出了相应可靠性指标的数值算例.     

服务系统中位相型分布的随机比较

本文运用应用概率中的随机占优研究位相型(PH)分布的随机比较问题,具体给出在一阶、二阶随机占优下比较两个离散PH分布或两个连续PH分布的充分条件及充分必要条件。研究表明,比较两个离散PH分布可变性的条件与比较两个连续PH分布可变性的条件不同,在二阶随机占优意义下比较两个连续PH分布的条件与均值无关,而比较两个离散PH分布的条件与均值有关。本文的结果可用于研究PH分布的最小变异系数问题和可变性问题,也可用于研究带有PH到达间隔或PH服务的排队系统中到达过程或服务时间可变性对系统队长或等待时间的影响。     

修理工单重定期休假可修系统更换模型研究

针对修理工带有单重休假的单部件可修系统,提出了一种新的维修更换模型.假定系统是可修的,逐次故障后的维修时间构成随机递增的几何过程,系统工作时间构成随机递增的几何过程,在修理工休假时间为定长的情况下,分别选取系统的总工作时间T和故障维修次数N为更换策略,以长期运行单位时间内的期望效益为目标函数,通过更新过程和几何过程理论建立数学模型,导出了目标函数的解析表达式,通过最大化目标函数来获取系统最优的更换策略T*和N*.并在一定条件下给出了策略N比策略T优的充分条件.最后,通过数值例子验证了方法的有效性.     

Bilevel control of degraded machining system with warm standbys, setup and vacation

In this paper, we study (N, L) switch-over policy for machine repair model with warm standbys and two repairmen. The repairman (R₁) turns on for repair only when N-failed units are accumulated and starts repair after a set up time which is assumed to be exponentially distributed. As soon as the system becomes empty, the repairman (R₁) leaves for a vacation and returns back when he finds the number of failed units in the system greater than or equal to a threshold value N. Second repairman (R₂) turns on when there are L(>N) failed units in the system and goes for a vacation if there are less than L failed units. The life time and repair time of failed units are assumed to be exponentially distributed. The steady state queue size distribution is obtained by using recursive method. Expressions for the average number of failed units in the queue and the average waiting time are established.     

Optimal replacement policy based on maximum repair time for a random shock and wear model

We study a \(\delta \) shock and wear model in which the system can fail due to the frequency of the shocks caused by external conditions, or aging and accumulated wear caused by intrinsic factors. The external shocks occur according to a Bernoulli process, i.e., the inter-arrival times between two consecutive shocks follow a geometric distribution. Once the system fails, it can be repaired immediately. If the system is not repairable in a pre-specific time D, it can be replaced by a new one to avoid the unnecessary expanses on repair. On the other hand, the system can also be replaced whenever its number of repairs exceeds N. Given that infinite operating and repair times are not commonly encountered in practical situations, both of these two random variables are supposed to obey general discrete distribution with finite support. Replacing the finite support renewal distributions with appropriate phase-type (PH) distributions and using the closure property associated with PH distribution, we formulate the maximum repair time replacement policy and obtain analytically the long-run average cost rate. Meanwhile, the optimal replacement policy is also numerically determined by implementing a two-dimensional-search process.     

PH/M/c可修排队系统

研究了一个修理工和c个服务台的可修排队系统.假设顾客的到达过程为PH更新过程,服务台在忙时与闲时具有不同的故障率.顾客的服务时间、服务台的寿命以及服务台的修理时间均服从指数分布.通过建立系统的拟生灭过程,得到了系统稳态分布存在的充要条件.利用矩阵几何解方法,给出了系统的稳态队长.在此基础上,得到了系统的某些排队论和可靠性指标.     

服务台休假的GI/Geom/1离散时间排队

本文研究了具有位相型休假、位相型启动和单重几何休假的离散时间排队,假定 顾客到达间隔服从一般分布,服务时间服从几何分布,运用矩阵解析方法我们得到了这 些排队系统中顾客在到达时刻稳态队长分布及其随机分解.     

Probabilistic analysis of a series–parallel repairable system with three units and vacation

This paper studies the steady-state availability and the mean up-time of a series–parallel repairable system consisting of one master control unit, two slave units and a single repairman who operates single vacation. Under the assumption that each unit has a constant failure rate and arbitrary repair time distribution, by using the supplementary variable method and the vector Markov process theory, we obtain the explicit expressions for the steady-state probabilities of the system, the steady-state availability and the mean up-time. A special case without vacation is given. Numerical results are provided to investigate the effects of various system parameters on the steady-state availability and the mean up-time.     

A deteriorating system with its repairman having multiple vacations

This paper considers a repairable system with a repairman, who can take multiple vacations. If the system fails and the repairman is on vacation, it will wait for repair until the repairman is available. Assume that the system cannot be repaired “as good as new” after failures. Under these assumptions, using the geometric process and the supplementary variable technique, some important reliability indexes are derived, such as the system reliability, availability, rate of occurrence of failures, etc. According to the renewal reward theorem, the explicit expression of the expected profit per unit time is obtained. Finally, a numerical example is given to illustrate that there exists an optimal replacement policy N∗, which maximizes the value of the expected profit rate after a long time run.     

Reliability analysis of two-unit cold standby repairable systems under Poisson shocks

This paper analyses the reliability of a cold standby system consisting of two repairable units, a switch and a repairman. At any time, one of the two units is operating while the other is on cold standby. The repairman may not always at the job site, or take vacation. We assume that shocks can attack the operating unit. The arrival times of the shocks follow a homogeneous Poisson process and their magnitude is a random variable following a known distribution. Time on repairing a failed unit and the length of repairman’s vacation follow general continuous probability distributions, respectively. The paper derives a number of reliability indices: system reliability, mean time to first failure, steady-state availability, and steady-state failure frequency.     

Modelling of a deteriorating system with repair satisfying general distribution

In this paper, we model a deteriorating system that cannot be repaired “as good as new” after failures, the model comes from [19, Applied Mathematics and Computation, 217(2011), 4980-4989]. Suppose that the system has one repairman who can have multiple vacations, and if the system fails when the repairman is on vacation, it will wait for repair until the repairman is available. Herein the repair time is taken into account and supposes that the repair satisfies the general distribution. Under these assumptions, by means of the geometric process and the supplementary variable techniques, we derive a complete model of the partial differential equations, which will correct an error of mathematical model in [19]. Moreover, we deduce some important reliability indices of the system such as the availability of system, the probability of the repairman working and the rate of occurrence of failures. In particular, we prove that the rate of occurrence of failures m_f is not equal to zero.     

具有位相型修理的离散时间可修排队系统

本文研究了具有一般独立输入，位相型修理的离散时间可修排队系统，假定服务台对顾客的服务时间和服务台寿命服从几何分布，运用矩阵解析方法我们给出系统嵌入在到达时刻的稳态队长分布和等待时间分布，并证明这些分布均为离散位相型分布．我们也得到在广义服务时间内服务台发生故障次数的分布，证明它服从一个修正的几何分布．我们对离散时间可修排队与连续时间可修排队进行了比较，说明这两种排队系统在一些性能指标方面的区别之处．最后我们通过一些数值例子说明在这类系统中顾客的到达过程、服务时间和服务台的故障率之间的关系．     

有优先维修权和优先使用权的冷储备系统的几何过程模型

本文研究了一个由两个部件和一个维修工组成的可修型冷储备系统.假设两个部件的工作时间和维修时间都服从指数分布,对部件2的维修是修旧如新而对部件1则是几何维修,且对部件1给予优先使用和优先维修的权利,在这些假定下,我们运用几何过程理论和补充变量方法,得到了一些重要的可靠性指标如系统可靠度、可用度、系统首次故障前平均工作时间和系统瞬时故障率等.最后还给出了维修工空闲的概率.