高层建筑火灾安全评价的模糊最优归类模型

将模糊数学中的综合评判模型、最优归类模型与高层建筑中对火灾风险有影响的因子相结合，建立了高层建筑火灾风险评价的模糊最优归类模型。并对高层建筑火灾风险评价进行了实例分析。     

权重信息未知对方案有偏好的vague集多指标决策

就指标权重未知,且对方案有偏好的vague集多指标决策问题,提出了通过使决策者的主观偏好值与属性值的相离度最小来建立最优化模型,从而获得指标的权重.通过将vague值转化为模糊值来建立模糊值矩阵,由模糊值矩阵按各指标对应值的大小对方案进行排序,形成多个线性序,进而由线性序来构造模糊优先矩阵,对其进行截割,得到最优方案.最后通过一个实例说明此方法的具体决策过程.     

基于可信性理论的模糊熵权的MADM模型研究

针对属性值以模糊变量形式给出的特点,运用2004年基础数学领域完成的研究模糊现象数量规律的一个新的数学分支——可信性理论的原理,提出了基于可信性测度的模糊变量的熵的权重求解公式,结合模糊变量之间的距离,构造了属性值与理想点之间距离的加权算术平均算子,并以其算子的计算值的大小获得最优方案和排序的一种模糊熵权的多属性决策模型.结合一实例进行分析和计算,显示该模型较为贴近实际,体现了模型的正确性.     

径流中长期预报模糊识别优化模型及应用

对水文中长期预报模糊识别方法进一步研究,基于模糊环境下的目标函数,提出了具有主观监督因子和稳定系数的模糊识别预报模型.根据已知样本的最优模糊划分建立预报模型,利用已知样本的指标和样本的最优模糊划分计算预报模型的参数,给定模型的稳定系数,再通过调整主观监督因子对预报模型参数进行优化.径流中长期预报实例的模型检验平均相对误差为7.84%.     

一种三角模糊数型多准则决策的拓展VIKOR方法

针对准则值和准则权重均为三角模糊数的多准则决策问题,提出了一种拓展VIKOR的决策方法.首先,分析了含有三角模糊数的VIKOR方法中群体效用值、个体遗憾值等计算过程中可能存在不满足除法法则的情形;其次,分析了去模糊化参数的选择对于妥协解的影响,提出了确定最优参数的优化模型;最后,通过实例说明了方法有效性和可行性.     

需求为三角模糊数的联合订货模型及其成本分摊方法

研究需求不确定的多销售商企业联合订购同种产品的库存管理问题.首先,构建允许缺货的需求用三角模糊数表示的联合订货EOQ模型,解得各销售商的三角模糊数订货量及各联盟的订货周期和三角模糊数平均成本.其次,根据定义的类联盟单调性条件,提出计算三角模糊数合作博弈的三角模糊数比例剩余分配值的一种方法,利用该方法得出三角模糊数比例剩余分配值的下界值、平均值和上界值可分别直接由相关联盟值三角模糊数的下界值、平均值和上界值计算得到,证明了三角模糊数比例剩余分配值满足的一些重要性质.最后,将三角模糊数比例剩余分配值用于分摊联合订货成本,用一个数值算例说明所提出的模型和成本分摊方法的有效性及实用性.研究工作可为解决复杂库存管理问题提供新途径与新方法.     

基于中智犹豫模糊灰关联投影的动态多属性决策方法及应用

构建了基于灰关联投影的中智犹豫模糊多属性决策模型.针对评价值为中智模糊数且属性和时序权重均未知的动态多属性决策问题,根据中智模糊集的距离测度构建决策矩阵,计算各时段的方案指标数列与理想方案数列对应元素间的距离.构建基于灰关联度总偏差最小的非线性规划模型,确定属性权重,从而求得灰关联投影值.应用指数衰减模型计算时序权重,对方案各时段灰关联投影值进行加权集成,得到综合灰关联投影值,并据此对方案排序择优.应用该模型对四个中国大学评价体系的稳定性进行了分析,证明了模型的有效性.     

基于TOPSIS的属性关联直觉模糊多属性决策方法

针对属性值为直觉模糊数,已知部分属性偏好关系及属性交互类型的属性关联多属性决策问题给出决策方法.首先定义方案到正(负)理想方案的距离及各方案与正理想方案相对贴近度.然后以极大化各方案与相对贴近度为目标建立优化模型,确定出属性集的模糊测度.进而基于直觉模糊Choquet积分算子计算各方案的直觉模糊综合评价值,再根据直觉模糊数的得分值及精确度得到方案的排序.最后通过实例验证了方法的有效可行性.     

区间二次规划在确定模糊评价因素权向量中的应用

利用区间二次规划方法确定模糊综合评判中评价因素的模糊权向量，它的原理是：以区间的概念为基础。利用区问相离度公式计算使主观偏好值与客观偏好值的总差距最小的权向量就是所求的评价因素的模糊权向量。     

一类模糊线性规划模型的模糊最优区间值

讨论一类既有模糊不等式约束又有模糊等式约束的全模糊系数线性规划问题。在给定的模糊隶属度水平下 ,将模型转化为区间数线性规划模型 ,通过确定区间模型的最佳目标函数和最大可行域以及最劣目标函数和最小可行域 ,求出目标函数的模糊最优区间值 ,从而为决策者提供更多的决策信息。最后给出一个数值例子。     

Assortment and inventory decisions with multiple quality levels

We consider the assortment and inventory decisions of a retailer under a locational consumer choice model where products can be differentiated both horizontally (e.g., color of a product) and vertically (e.g., quality of a product). The assortment and quantity decisions affect customer choice and, hence, the demand and sales for each product. In this paper, we investigate two different environments where product availability and assortment affect consumer choice and demand in different ways: make-to-order (MTO) and make-to-stock (MTS). In the MTO environment, customers order and purchase their most preferred product; that is, stockouts do not occur. In the MTS model, customers buy their most preferred product if it is in stock or do not buy if it is out of stock. In both environments we find conditions under which it is optimal to carry assortments of only a single quality level. In the MTS case, we show that an assortment of mixed quality levels can be optimal only within a narrow range of parameters.     

An algorithm for the two-dimensional assortment problem

In this paper we consider the two-dimensional assortment problem. This is the problem of choosing from a set of stock rectangles a subset which can be used for cutting into a number of smaller rectangular pieces. Constraints are imposed upon the number of such pieces which result from the cutting.A heuristic algorithm for the guillotine cutting version of the problem is developed based on a greedy procedure for generating two-dimensional cutting patterns, a linear program for choosing the cutting patterns to use and an interchange procedure to decide the best subset of stock rectangles to cut.Computational results are presented for a number of test problems which indicate that the algorithm developed produces good quality results both for assortment problems and for two-dimensional cutting problems.     

Optimizing product assortment under customer-driven demand substitution

The problem of product assortment and inventory planning under customer-driven demand substitution is analyzed and a mathematical model for this problem is provided in this paper. Realistic issues in a retail context such as supplier selection, shelf space constraints, and poor quality procurement are also taken into account. The performance of three modified models, one that neglects customers’ substitution behavior, another that excludes supplier selection decision, and one that ignores shelf space limitations, are analyzed separately with computational experiments. The results of the analysis demonstrate that neglecting customer-driven substitution or excluding supplier selection or ignoring shelf space limitations may lead to significantly inefficient assortments. The effects of demand variability and substitution cost on optimal assortment and supplier selection decisions as well as on the optimal revenue are also investigated. The main contribution of this paper is the development of a practical and flexible model to aid retailers in finding optimal assortments to maximize the expected profit.     

Evaluating mixed-integer programming models over multiple right-hand sides

A critical measure of model quality for a mixed-integer program (MIP) is the difference, or gap, between its optimal objective value and that of its linear programming relaxation. In some cases, the right-hand side is not known exactly; however, there is no consensus metric for evaluating a MIP model when considering multiple right-hand sides. In this paper, we provide model formulations for the expectation and extrema of absolute and relative MIP gap functions over finite discrete sets.     

基于Logit离散选择模型的品类优化问题综述

品类优化问题(Assortment Optimization Problem)是收益管理的经典问题.它研究零售商在满足运营约束的前提下,应如何从给定产品集合中选择一个子集提供给消费者,以最大化预期收益.该问题的核心在于如何准确地刻画消费者在面对细分产品时的选择行为、建立相应的优化模型并设计高效率的求解算法.基于Logit离散选择模型的品类优化问题:首先,介绍了基于Multinomial Logit模型的品类优化问题.然后介绍了两个更复杂的变种:第一个是基于两层以及多层Nested Logit模型的品类优化问题,这类问题可合理刻画细分产品之间的"替代效应";第二个是基于Mixtures of Multinomial Logits模型的品类优化问题,这类问题可充分考虑消费者群体的异质性.随后,介绍了数据驱动的品类优化问题的相关进展.最后,指出该问题未来可能的若干研究方向.     

基金市场监管的进化博弈分析

通过对基金市场中基金管理者和市场监管者的行为分析,引入有限理性博弈概念,建立了一个基金市场监管的动态博弈模型,并应用进化博弈方法在模型求解和参数分析的基础提出了相关政策建议:1)市场监管的比例应稍超过某个临界值则可达到最优;2)应降低基金管理者对市场监管要求的临界值;3)应关注监管者对市场中违规基金数量比例预期的临界值,并适时的调整监管力度使得基金群体中违规的比例趋向于最小.     

A neural network system for solving an assortment problem in the steel industry

A neural network model for solving an assortment problem found in the iron and steel industry is discussed in this paper. The problem arises in the yard where steel plate is cut into rectangular pieces. The neural network model can be categorized as a Hopfield model, but the model is expanded to handle inequality constraints. The idea of a penalty function is used. A large penalty is applied to the network if a constraint is not satisfied. The weights are updated based on the penalty values. A special term is added to the energy function of the network to guarantee the convergence of the neural network which has this feature. The performance of the neural network was evaluated by comparison with an existing expert system. The results showed that the neural network has the potential to identify in a short time near-optimal solutions to the assortment problem. The neural network is used as the core of a system for dealing with the assortment problem. In building the neural networks system for practical use, there were many implementation issues. Some of them are presented here, and the fundamental ideas are explained. The performance of the neural network system is compared to that of the expert system and evaluated from the practical viewpoint. The results show that the neural network system is useful in handling the assortment problem.     

基于藤结构 Copula 模型的中国股市风格资产相依结构研究

首先采用AR（1）-GJR（1,1）-SkT（73,A）模型来刻画中国股市风格资产（大盘成长、大盘价值、中盘成长、中盘价值、小盘成长、小盘价值）的边缘分布,接着结合各边缘分布的残差,引入C—VineCop—ula和r）IVineCopula模型来描述这六种风格资产之间的相依结构,然后对基于CVineCopula和I）IVineCopula模型的拟合效果进行综合比较．研究结果表明：中国股市各风格资产之间的相依性存在结构性差异,最适合用I）IVineCopula模型来刻画各风格资产之间的相依结构．同类型的风格资产之间的相依程度比不同类型风格资产之间的相依程度要高;在同一类型的风格资产中,资产规模差距越大的风格资产之间的相依系数就越小．无条件的风格资产收益系列之间的相关性要显著大于有条件的风格资产收益系列之间的相关性;最后根据研究结论提出了降低风格资产组合风险的资产配置建议．     

A fuzzy goal programming approach for mid-term assortment planning in supermarkets

We develop a fuzzy mixed integer non-linear goal programming model for the mid-term assortment planning of supermarkets in which three conflicting objectives namely profitability, customer service, and space utilization are incorporated. The items and brands in a supermarket compete to obtain more space and better shelf level. This model offers different service levels to loyal and disloyal customers, applies joint replenishment policy, and accounts for the holding time limitation of perishable items. We propose a fuzzy approach due to the imprecise nature of the goals’ target levels and priorities as well as critical data. A heuristic method inspiring by the problem-specific rules is developed to solve this complex model approximately within a reasonable time. Finally, the proposed approach is validated through several numerical examples and results are reported.     

价格与质量双重竞争下电商平台渠道模式决策研究

近年来传统电商正加速从经销商转变为连接消费者与供应商的在线市场中间商, 电商平台与供应商形成三种渠道结构:经销商模式、混合模式和在线市场模式。本文通过构建Stackelberg博弈模型讨论产品质量与价格双重竞争情境下电商平台与供应商销售合作模式最新选择问题。研究表明,当价格竞争强度适中而佣金比例较大时,混合模式是电商平台最优选择,此时产品质量差异最大;当价格竞争强度较小而佣金比例较大时,在线市场模式则是最优选择;在其他条件下,经销商模式是其最优选择。本文结论对电商平台与供应商合作模式选择、产品质量与定价决策具有参考价值。