非线性模型滞后相依的广义互信息检验

The general mutual information （GMI） and general conditional mutual information （GCMI） are considered to measure lag dependences in nonlinear time series. Both of the measures have the property of invariance with transform. The statistics based on GMI and GCMI are estimated using the correlation integral. Under the hypothesis of independent series, the estimators have Gaussian asymptotic distributions. Simulations applied to generated nonlinear series demonstrate that the methods appear to find frequently the correct lags.     

Quasi-likelihood estimation of average treatment effects based on model information

In this paper, the estimation of average treatment effects is considered when we have the model information of the conditional mean and conditional variance for the responses given the covariates. The quasi-likelihood method adapted to treatment effects data is developed to estimate the parameters in the conditional mean and conditional variance models. Based on the model information, we define three estimators by imputation, regression and inverse probability weighted methods. All the estimators are shown asymptotically normal. Our simulation results show that by using the model information, the substantial efficiency gains are obtained which are comparable with the existing estimators.     

A moving average Cholesky factor model in joint mean-covariance modeling for longitudinal data

Modeling the mean and covariance simultaneously is a common strategy to efciently estimate the mean parameters when applying generalized estimating equation techniques to longitudinal data.In this article,using generalized estimation equation techniques,we propose a new kind of regression models for parameterizing covariance structures.Using a novel Cholesky factor,the entries in this decomposition have moving average and log innovation interpretation and are modeled as linear functions of covariates.The resulting estimators for the regression coefcients in both the mean and the covariance are shown to be consistent and asymptotically normally distributed.Simulation studies and a real data analysis show that the proposed approach yields highly efcient estimators for the parameters in the mean,and provides parsimonious estimation for the covariance structure.     

Kernel quantile estimator with ICI adaptive bandwidth selection technique

In this article, we consider a class of kernel quantile estimators which is the linear combi- nation of order statistics. This class of kernel quantile estimators can be regarded as an extension of some existing estimators. The exact mean square error expression for this class of estimators will be provided when data are uniformly distributed. The implementation of these estimators depends mostly on the bandwidth selection. We then develop an adaptive method for bandwidth selection based on the intersection confidence intervals （ICI） principle. Monte Carlo studies demonstrate that our proposed approach is comparatively remarkable. We illustrate our method with a real data set.     

Testing Serial Correlation in Semiparametric Varying-Coefficient Partially Linear EV Models

This paper studies estimation and serial correlation test of a semiparametric varying-coefficient partially linear EV model of the form Y = X^Tβ ＋Z^Tα（T） ＋ε,ξ = X ＋ η with the identifying condition E[（ε,η^T）^T] =0, Cov[（ε,η^T）^T] = σ^2Ip＋1. The estimators of interested regression parameters /3 , and the model error variance σ2, as well as the nonparametric components α（T）, are constructed. Under some regular conditions, we show that the estimators of the unknown vector β and the unknown parameter σ2 are strongly consistent and asymptotically normal and that the estimator of α（T） achieves the optimal strong convergence rate of the usual nonparametric regression. Based on these estimators and asymptotic properties, we propose the VN,p test statistic and empirical log-likelihood ratio statistic for testing serial correlation in the model. The proposed statistics are shown to have asymptotic normal or chi-square distributions under the null hypothesis of no serial correlation. Some simulation studies are conducted to illustrate the finite sample performance of the proposed tests.     

The application of spectral distribution of product of two random matrices in the factor analysis

In the factor analysis model with large cross-section and time-series dimensions,we pro- pose a new method to estimate the number of factors.Specially if the idiosyncratic terms satisfy a linear time series model,the estimators of the parameters can be obtained in the time series model. The theoretical properties of the estimators are also explored.A simulation study and an empirical analysis are conducted.     

Performance of the（BMAP1, BMAP2 ）/（PH1, PH2 ）/N Retrial Queueing System with Finite Buffer

This paper consider the （BMAP1, BMAP2）/（PH1, PH2）/N retrial queue with finite-position buffer. The behavior of the system is described in terms of continuous time multi-dimensional Markov chain. Arriving type I calls find all servers busy and join the buffer, if the positions of the buffer are insufficient, they can go to orbit. Arriving type II calls find all servers busy and join the orbit directly. Each server can provide two types heterogeneous services with Phase-type （PH） time distribution to every arriving call （including types I and II calls）, arriving calls have an option to choose either type of services. The model is quite general enough to cover most of the systems in communication networks. We derive the ergodicity condition, the stationary distribution and the main performance characteristics of the system. The effects of various parameters on the system performance measures are illustrated numerically.     

Measurement error in proportional hazards models for survival data with long-term survivors

This work studies a proportional hazards model for survival data with "long-term survivors",in which covariates are subject to linear measurement error.It is well known that the naive estimators from both partial and full likelihood methods are inconsistent under this measurement error model.For measurement error models,methods of unbiased estimating function and corrected likelihood have been proposed in the literature.In this paper,we apply the corrected partial and full likelihood approaches to estimate the model and obtain statistical inference from survival data with long-term survivors.The asymptotic properties of the estimators are established.Simulation results illustrate that the proposed approaches provide useful tools for the models considered.     

Asymptotics on Semiparametric Analysis of Multivariate Failure Time Data Under the Additive Hazards Model

Many survival studies record the times to two or more distinct failures on each subject. The failures may be events of different natures or may be repetitions of the same kind of event. In this article, we consider the regression analysis of such multivariate failure time data under the additive hazards model. Simple weighted estimating functions for the regression parameters are proposed, and asymptotic distribution theory of the resulting estimators are derived. In addition, a class of generalized Wald and generalized score statistics for hypothesis testing and model selection are presented, and the asymptotic properties of these statistics are examined.     

Admissibilities of linear estimator in a class of linear models with a multivariate t error variable

This paper discusses admissibilities of estimators in a class of linear models,which include the following common models:the univariate and multivariate linear models,the growth curve model,the extended growth curve model,the seemingly unrelated regression equations,the variance components model,and so on.It is proved that admissible estimators of functions of the regression coefficient β in the class of linear models with multivariate t error terms,called as Model II,are also ones in the case that error terms have multivariate normal distribution under a strictly convex loss function or a matrix loss function.It is also proved under Model II that the usual estimators of β are admissible for p 2 with a quadratic loss function,and are admissible for any p with a matrix loss function,where p is the dimension of β.     

区间数据任意阶原点矩的估计

在生存分析和可靠性研究中, 区间数据的存在常常使得传统的统计方法无法直接使用\bd 本文从无偏转换的思想出发, 对区间数据的任意阶原点矩进行了估计\bd 当截断变量的分布密度函数已知时, 得到了一批具有强相合性(收敛速度可以达到$n^{-1/2}(\log\log n)^{1/2}$)和渐近正态性的估计量, 并通过模拟计算对这种估计方法的可行性和有效性进行了验证.     

Estimating a density and its derivatives via the minimum distance method

Summary This paper deals with minimum distance (MD) estimators and minimum penalized distance (MPD) estimators which are based on the L _p distance. Rates of strong consistency of MPD density estimators are established within the family of density functions which have a bounded m-th derivative. For the case p=2, it is also proved that the MPD density estimator achieves the optimum rate of decrease of the mean integrated square error and the L ₁ error. Estimation of derivatives of the density is considered as well.In a class parametrized by entire functions, it is proved that the rate of convergence of the MD density estimator (and its derivatives) to the unknown density (its derivatives) is of order in expected L ₁ and L ₂ distances. In the same class of distributions, MD estimators of unknown density and its derivatives are proved to achieve an extraordinary rate (log log n/n)^1/2 of strong consistency.     

Simple nonparametric estimators of the bivariate survival function under random left truncation and right censoring

We consider estimating the bivariate survival function when both components are subject to random left truncation and right censoring. Using the idea of Sankran and Antony (Sankhyã 69:425–447, 2007) in the competing risks set up, we propose two types of estimators as generalizations of the Dabrowska (Ann Stat 18:1475–1489, 1988) and Campbell and Földes (Nonparametric statistical inference, North-Holland, Amsterdam 1982) estimators. The proposed estimators are easy to implement and do not require iteration. The consistency of the proposed estimators is established. Simulation results indicate that the proposed estimators can outperform the estimators of Shen and Yan (J Stat Plan Inference 138:4041–4054, 2008), which require complex iteration.     

A truncated estimation method with guaranteed accuracy

This paper presents a truncated estimation method of ratio type functionals by dependent sample of finite size. This method makes it possible to obtain estimators with guaranteed accuracy in the sense of the $L_m$ -norm, $m\ge 2$ . As an illustration, the parametric and non-parametric estimation problems on a time interval of a fixed length are considered. In particular, parameters of linear (autoregressive) and non-linear discrete-time processes are estimated. Moreover, the parameter estimation problem of non-Gaussian Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process by discrete-time observations and the estimation problem of a multivariate logarithmic derivative of a noise density of an autoregressive process with guaranteed accuracy are solved. In addition to non-asymptotic properties, the limit behavior of presented estimators is investigated. It is shown that all the truncated estimators have asymptotic properties of basic estimators. In particular, the asymptotic efficiency in the mean square sense of the truncated estimator of the dynamic parameter of a stable autoregressive process is established.     

Convergence of a stochastic approximation algorithm for the GI/G/1 queue using infinitesimal perturbation analysis

Discrete-event systems to which the technique of infinitesimal perturbation analysis (IPA) is applicable are natural candidates for optimization via a Robbins-Monro type stochastic approximation algorithm. We establish a simple framework for single-run optimization of systems with regenerative structure. The main idea is to convert the original problem into one in which unbiased estimators can be derived from strongly consistent IPA gradient estimators. Standard stochastic approximation results can then be applied. In particular, we consider the GI/G/1 queue, for which IPA gives strongly consistent estimators for the derivative of the mean system time. Convergence (w.p.1) proofs for the problem of minimizing the mean system time with respect to a scalar service time parameter are presented.     

Optimal variance estimation based on lagged second-order difference in nonparametric regression

Differenced estimators of variance bypass the estimation of regression function and thus are simple to calculate. However, there exist two problems: most differenced estimators do not achieve the asymptotic optimal rate for the mean square error; for finite samples the estimation bias is also important and not further considered. In this paper, we estimate the variance as the intercept in a linear regression with the lagged Gasser-type variance estimator as dependent variable. For the equidistant design, our estimator is not only \(n^{1/2}\)-consistent and asymptotically normal, but also achieves the optimal bound in terms of estimation variance with less asymptotic bias. Simulation studies show that our estimator has less mean square error than some existing differenced estimators, especially in the cases of immense oscillation of regression function and small-sized sample.     

平衡随机模型中方差分量的非负估计

众所周知, 对于平衡随机模型, 方差分量的方差分析估计为一致最小方差无偏估计. 本文基于方差分量的方差分析估计, 构造了一个二次不变估计类, 它包含了一些常用重要估计. 证明了该估计类在一定条件下在均方误差意义下一致优于方差分析估计, 并在此估计类基础上, 给出了方差分量的两种非负估计, 它们在均方误差意义下分别一致优于方差分析估计和限制极大似然估计, 且有显式解、容易计算.     

Frequency polygons for continuous random fields

We study the frequency polygon investigated by Scott (J Am Stat Assoc 80: 348–354, 1985) as a nonparametric density estimate for a continuous and stationary real random field \({\left( X_{\mathbf{t}},\mathbf{t}\in\mathbb{R}^{N}\right)}\). We establish the asymptotic expressions for the integrated pointwise squared bias and the integrated pointwise squared variance of the estimate when the field is observed over a rectangular domain of \({\mathbb{R}^{N}}\). Under mild mixing conditions, we show that the estimate achieves the same rate of convergence to zero of the integrated mean squared error as kernel estimators and it can also attain the optimal uniform strong rate of convergence \({\left(\widehat{\mathbf{T}}^{-1} \log \widehat{\mathbf{T}}\right)^{1/3}}\) for appropriate choices of the bin widths.     

A class of estimators with estimated optimum values in sample surveys

Srivastava and Jhajj (1981) proposed a class of estimators for population mean of a character using auxiliary information and optimum values involving unknown parameters. From the practical point of view, their results have very little utility. In view of practical utility, we propose a class of estimators with estimated optimum values. Further, it is shown that the proposed class with estimated optimum values attains the same minimum mean square error of the class of estimators based on optimum values.