Surviving particles for subcritical branching processes in random environment

The asymptotic behavior of a subcritical Branching Process in Random Environment (BPRE) starting with several particles depends on whether the BPRE is strongly subcritical (SS), intermediate subcritical (IS) or weakly subcritical (WS). In the (SS+IS) case, the asymptotic probability of survival is proportional to the initial number of particles, and conditionally on the survival of the population, only one initial particle survives a.s$a.s$. These two properties do not hold in the (WS) case and different asymptotics are established, which require new results on random walks with negative drift. We provide an interpretation of these results by characterizing the sequence of environments selected when we condition on the survival of particles. This also raises the problem of the dependence of the Yaglom quasistationary distributions on the initial number of particles and the asymptotic behavior of the Q-process associated with a subcritical BPRE.     

Quasi-stationary distributions and Yaglom limits of self-similar Markov processes

We discuss the existence and characterization of quasi-stationary distributions and Yaglom limits of self-similar Markov processes that reach 0 in finite time. By Yaglom limit, we mean the existence of a deterministic function g$g$ and a non-trivial probability measure ν$\nu$ such that the process rescaled by g$g$ and conditioned on non-extinction converges in distribution towards ν$\nu$. We will see that a Yaglom limit exists if and only if the extinction time at 0$0$ of the process is in the domain of attraction of an extreme law and we will then treat separately three cases, according to whether the extinction time is in the domain of attraction of a Gumbel, Weibull or Fréchet law. In each of these cases, necessary and sufficient conditions on the parameters of the underlying Lévy process are given for the extinction time to be in the required domain of attraction. The limit of the process conditioned to be positive is then characterized by a multiplicative equation which is connected to a factorization of the exponential distribution in the Gumbel case, a factorization of a Beta distribution in the Weibull case and a factorization of a Pareto distribution in the Fréchet case.     

平稳遍历马氏链部分和序列最小值分布的渐近估计及其应用

本文给出了有限状态平稳遍历Markov链部分和序列最小值分布的一个渐近估计式并利用它对一类Athreya-KarlinBPRE．灭种概率的渐近行为作出估计．     

A continuous-state polynomial branching process

A continuous-state polynomial branching process is constructed as the pathwise unique solution of a stochastic integral equation with absorbing boundary condition. The process can also be obtained from a spectrally positive Lévy process through Lamperti type transformations. The extinction and explosion probabilities and the mean extinction and explosion times are computed explicitly. Some of those are also new for the classical linear branching process. We present necessary and sufficient conditions for the process to extinguish or explode in finite times. In the critical or subcritical case, we give a construction of the process coming down from infinity. Finally, it is shown that the continuous-state polynomial branching process arises naturally as the rescaled limit of a sequence of discrete-state processes.     

Random variables as pathwise integrals with respect to fractional Brownian motion

We give both necessary and sufficient conditions for a random variable to be represented as a pathwise stochastic integral with respect to fractional Brownian motion with an adapted integrand. We also show that any random variable is a value of such integral in an improper sense and that such integral can have any prescribed distribution. We discuss some applications of these results, in particular, to fractional Black–Scholes model of financial market.     

独立随机序列加权和的强收敛性

本文研究独立随机变量序列加权和的强收敛性,利用截尾法和Borel-Cantelli引理,证明了加权系数ank为列阵情形的强收敛性,在一般双下标加权系数的加权部分和的强收敛性,并对Jamison型加权部分和情形证明了其强收敛的充要条件,推广了Chow与Teicher(1971)[3]的相应结果.     

Semi-selfdecomposable distributions and a new class of limit theorems

Self-decomposable distributions are given as limits of normalized sums of independent random variables. We define semi-selfdecomposable distributions as limits of subsequences of normalized sums. More generally, we introduce a way of making a new class of limiting distributions derived from a class of distributions by taking the limits through subsequences of normalized sums, and define the class of semi-selfdecomposable distributions and a decreasing sequence of subclasses of it. We give two kinds of necessary and sufficient conditions for distributions belonging to those classes, one is in terms of the decomposability of random variables and another is in terms of Lévy measures. Received: 1 May 1997 / Revised version: 5 February 1998     

Weak convergence to a Markov process: The martingale approach

Summary In this article, we obtain some sufficient conditions for weak convergence of a sequence of processes {X _n } toX, whenX arises as a solution to a well posed martingale problem. These conditions are tailored for application to the case when the state space for the processesX _n ,X is infinite dimensional. The usefulness of these conditions is illustrated by deriving Donsker's invariance principle for Hilbert space valued random variables. Also, continuous dependence of Hilbert space valued diffusions on diffusion and drift coefficients is proved.Research supported by National Board for Higher Mathematics, Bombay, IndiaPart of the work was done at University of California, Santa Barbara, USA     

A pathwise approach to the extinction of branching processes with countably many types

We consider the extinction events of Galton–Watson processes with countably infinitely many types. In particular, we construct truncated and augmented Galton–Watson processes with finite but increasing sets of types. A pathwise approach is then used to show that, under some sufficient conditions, the corresponding sequence of extinction probability vectors converges to the global extinction probability vector of the Galton–Watson process with countably infinitely many types. Besides giving rise to a family of new iterative methods for computing the global extinction probability vector, our approach paves the way to new global extinction criteria for branching processes with countably infinitely many types.     

Study of chemostat model with impulsive input and nutrient recycling in a polluted environment

In this paper, we introduce and study a Monod type chemostat model with nutrient recycling and impulsive input in a polluted environment. The sufficient and necessary conditions on the permanence and extinction of the microorganism are obtained. Two examples are given in the last section to verify our mathematical results. The numerical analysis show that if only the system is permanent, then it also is globally attractive.     

Prokhorov Blocks and Strong Law of Large Numbers Under Rearrangements

We find conditions on a sequence of random variables to satisfy the strong law of large numbers (SLLN) under a rearrangement. It turns out that these conditions are necessary and sufficient for the permutational SLLN (PSLLN). By PSLLN we mean that the SLLN holds under almost all simple permutations within blocks the lengths of which grow exponentially (Prokhorov blocks). In the case of orthogonal random variables it is shown that Kolmogorov's condition, that is known not to be sufficient for SLLN, is actually sufficient for PSLLN. It is also shown that PSLLN holds for sequences that are strictly stationary with finite first moments. In the case of weakly stationary sequences a Gaposhkin result implies that SLLN and PSLLN are equivalent. Finally we consider the case of general norming and generalization of the Nikishin theorem. The methods of proof uses on the one hand the idea of Prokhorov blocks and Garsia's construction of product measure on the space of simple permutations, and on the other hand, a maximal inequality for permutations.     

Coupling and convergence of random elements,processes, and regenerative processes

The paper starts by proving that a sequence of random elements can be coupled in such a way that the random elements eventually coincide if and only if liminf of their densities is a density. It continues with a survey of some general coupling theory for stochastic processes and applications to wide sense regenerative processes and Palm theory. Finally, a successful coupling and -coupling of wide sense regenerative processes is constructed without assuming that the inter-regeneration times have finite mean.     

Stability of random attractors under perturbation and approximation

The comparison of the long-time behaviour of dynamical systems and their numerical approximations is not straightforward since in general such methods only converge on bounded time intervals. However, one can still compare their asymptotic behaviour using the global attractor, and this is now standard in the deterministic autonomous case. For random dynamical systems there is an additional problem, since the convergence of numerical methods for such systems is usually given only on average. In this paper the deterministic approach is extended to cover stochastic differential equations, giving necessary and sufficient conditions for the random attractor arising from a random dynamical system to be upper semi-continuous with respect to a given family of perturbations or approximations.     

Coexistence and stability of predator-prey model with Beddington-DeAngelis functional response and stage structure

We present a predator-prey model of Beddington-DeAngelis type functional response with stage structure on prey. The constant time delay is the time taken from birth to maturity about the prey. By the uniform persistence theories and monotone dynamic theories, sharp threshold conditions which are both necessary and sufficient for the permanence and extinction of the model as well as the sufficient conditions for the global stability of the coexistence equilibria are obtained. Biologically, it is proved that the variation of prey stage structure can affect the permanence of the system and drive the predator into extinction by changing the prey carrying capacity: Our results suggest that the predator coexists with prey permanently if and only if predator's recruitment rate at the peak of prey abundance is larger than its death rate; and that the predator goes extinct if and only if predator's possible highest recruitment rate is less than or equal to its death rate; furthermore, our results also show that a sufficiently large mutual interference by predators can stabilize the system.     

Convergence to Lévy stable processes under some weak dependence conditions

For a strictly stationary sequence of random vectors in R^d${\mathbb{R}}^d$ we study convergence of partial sum processes to a Lévy stable process in the Skorohod space with _J1$J_1$-topology. We identify necessary and sufficient conditions for such convergence and provide sufficient conditions when the stationary sequence is strongly mixing.     

The product representation of a locally dependent random graph

Directed graphs with random black and white colourings of edges such that the colours of edges from different vertices are mutually independent are called locally dependent random graphs. Two random graphs are equivalent if they cannot be distinguished from percolation processes on them if only the vertices are seen. A necessary and sufficient condition is given for when a locally dependent random graph is equivalent to a product random graph; that is one in which the edges can be grouped in such a way that within each group the colours of the edges are equivalent and between groups they are independent. As an application the random graph corresponding to a spatial general epidemic model is considered.     

Necessary conditions and a sufficient condition for the Fischer-Hadamard inequalities

It is well known that a matrix, all of whose principal minors are positive, satisfies the Fischer-Hadamard inequalities if and only if it is weakly sign symmetric. In this paper we consider the general case of matrices whose principal minors may be nonpositive. Necessary conditions and a sufficient condition for the Fischer-Hadamard inequalities to hold are given in the general case.     

Biased random walks on Galton–Watson trees

Summary. We consider random walks with a bias toward the root on the family tree T of a supercritical Galton–Watson branching process and show that the speed is positive whenever the walk is transient. The corresponding harmonic measures are carried by subsets of the boundary of dimension smaller than that of the whole boundary. When the bias is directed away from the root and the extinction probability is positive, the speed may be zero even though the walk is transient; the critical bias for positive speed is determined. Received: 7 July 1995 / In revised form: 9 January 1996     

All admissible linear estimators of a regression coefficient under a balanced loss function

Admissibility of linear estimators of a regression coefficient in linear models with and without the assumption that the underlying distribution is normal is discussed under a balanced loss function. In the non-normal case, a necessary and sufficient condition is given for linear estimators to be admissible in the space of homogeneous linear estimators. In the normal case, a sufficient condition is provided for restricted linear estimators to be admissible in the space of all estimators having finite risks under the balanced loss function. Furthermore, the sufficient condition is proved to be necessary in the normal case if additional conditions are assumed.     

Continuous-State Branching Processes in Lévy Random Environments

A general continuous-state branching processes in random environment (CBRE-process) is defined as the strong solution of a stochastic integral equation. The environment is determined by a Lévy process with no jump less than \(-1\). We give characterizations of the quenched and annealed transition semigroups of the process in terms of a backward stochastic integral equation driven by another Lévy process determined by the environment. The process hits zero with strictly positive probability if and only if its branching mechanism satisfies Grey’s condition. In that case, a characterization of the extinction probability is given using a random differential equation with blowup terminal condition. The strong Feller property of the CBRE-process is established by a coupling method. We also prove a necessary and sufficient condition for the ergodicity of the subcritical CBRE-process with immigration.