违约风险的交换期权的定价模型与解法

含交易对手违约风险的交换期权采用混合模型定价,借助公司价值模型中的补偿率,同时采用以强度为基础的违约函数来确定违约的发生.假定违约强度遵从均值回复的重随机Poisson过程：且违约强度过程与标的资产,企业价值都相关.利用等价鞅测度变换方法导出含有违约风险的交换期权的价格闭解.     

Hedging of the European option in discrete time under proportional transaction costs

In the paper hedging of the European option in a discrete time financial market with proportional transaction costs is studied. It is shown that for a certain class of options the set of portfolios which allow to hedge an option in a discrete time model with a bounded set of possible changes in a stock price is the same as the set of such portfolios, under assumption that the stock price evolution is given by a suitable CRR model.     

Robust option pricing

In this paper, we combine robust optimization and the idea of ?$?$-arbitrage to propose a tractable approach to price a wide variety of options. Rather than assuming a probabilistic model for the stock price dynamics, we assume that the conclusions of probability theory, such as the central limit theorem, hold deterministically on the underlying returns. This gives rise to an uncertainty set that the underlying asset returns satisfy. We then formulate the option pricing problem as a robust optimization problem that identifies the portfolio which minimizes the worst case replication error for a given uncertainty set defined on the underlying asset returns. The most significant benefits of our approach are (a) computational tractability illustrated by our ability to price multi-asset, American and Asian options using linear optimization; and thus the computational complexity of our approach scales polynomially with the number of assets and with time to expiry and (b) modeling flexibility illustrated by our ability to model different kinds of options, various levels of risk aversion among investors, transaction costs, shorting constraints and replication via option portfolios.     

分形布朗运动下有交易成本的外汇期权定价

研究了有交易成本的分形Black-Scholes外汇期权定价问题.基于汇率的分形布朗运动分布假设,运用分形布朗运动的性质和随机微积分方法,得到了欧式外汇期权价格所满足的偏微分方程.最后,建立离散时间条件下的非线性期权定价模型,并且通过解期权价格的偏微分方程给出了有交易成本的欧式外汇期权定价公式.     

Computational methods for incentive option valuation

Employing stochastic programming, we provide a general framework for option pricing based on marginal bid/ask price valuation. It is applied to numerical analysis of options with European and American style exercise using a double binary tree. Incentive options are valued considering hedging restrictions and other market frictions, such as transaction and short position costs, and different borrowing and lending rates. The framework also includes correlated labor income. The possibility of partial sales is analyzed using ask price functions. Without friction costs and labor income, our model is the discrete-time equivalent of Ingersoll (J Bus 79:453–487, 2006). When labor income and/or market frictions are present, or a fraction of options is sold, the option values are materially different compared to Ingersoll (J Bus 79:453–487, 2006).

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FOREIGN CURRENCY OPTION PRICING WITH PROPORTIONAL TRANSACTION COSTS

The purpose of present work is to examine the financial problem of finding the universal reservation prices of a European call option written on exchange rate when there is proportional transaction costs of trading foreign currency in the market. An approach is suggested to compute the reservation bid-ask price of foreign currency call option based on maximizing the investor＇s expected utility. Option prices are determined from the investor＇s basic portfolio selection problem, without the need to solve a more complex optimization problem involving the insertion of the option payoffs into the terminal value function. Option prices are computed numerically in a Markov chain approximation for the case of exponential utility. Numerical results show that the option price bounds are almost independent of the alternative risk aversion parameter, but the bounds of NT region becomes narrower and the range of values of the initial holding for which the fair price lies within the bid-ask spread is shifted to a lower value when the risk aversion parameter increases.     

面对成比例交易成本的情况下外汇期权的定价

The purpose of present work is to examine the financial problem of finding the universal reservation prices of a European call option written on exchange rate when there is proportional transaction costs of trading foreign currency in the market. An approach is suggested to compute the reservation bid-ask price of foreign currency call option based on maximizing the investor's expected utility. Option prices are determined from the investor's basic portfolio selection problem, without the need to solve a more complex optimization problem involving the insertion of the option payoffs into the terminal value function. Option prices are computed numerically in a Markov chain approximation for the case of exponential utility.Numerical results show that the option price bounds are almost independent of the alternative risk aversion parameter, but the bounds of NT region becomes narrower and the range of values of the initial holding for which the fair price lies within the bid-ask spread is shifted to a lower value when the risk aversion parameter increases.     

Unifying pricing formula for several stochastic volatility models with jumps

In this paper, we introduce a unifying approach to option pricing under continuous‐time stochastic volatility models with jumps. For European style options, a new semi‐closed pricing formula is derived using the generalized complex Fourier transform of the corresponding partial integro‐differential equation. This approach is successfully applied to models with different volatility diffusion and jump processes. We also discuss how to price options with different payoff functions in a similar way. In particular, we focus on a log‐normal and a log‐uniform jump diffusion stochastic volatility model, originally introduced by Bates and Yan and Hanson, respectively. The comparison of existing and newly proposed option pricing formulas with respect to time efficiency and precision is discussed. We also derive a representation of an option price under a new approximative fractional jump diffusion model that differs from the aforementioned models, especially for the out‐of‐the money contracts. Copyright © 2017 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

欧式双向期权的两种定价比较

在股票价格服从泊松跳模型下,分别利用保险精算方法与无套利定价方法给出了欧式双向期权的定价公式;通过对这两种结果的比较发现,当股票价格服从特定的泊松跳模型时两种定价公式是相同的.     

跳跃——-扩散型欧式加权几何平均价格亚式期权定价

在亚式期权定价理论的基础上, 对期权的标的资产价格引入跳跃---扩散过程进行建模, 用几何Brown运动描述其常态连续变动, 用Possion过程刻画资产价格受新信息和稀有偶发事件的冲击发生跳跃的记数过程, 用对数正态随机变量描述跳跃对应的跳跃幅度, 在模型限定下运用Ito-Skorohod微分公式和等价鞅测度变换, 导出欧式加权几何平均价格亚式期权封闭形式的解析定价公式     

A Mellin transform approach to pricing barrier options under stochastic elasticity of variance

This article considers a problem of evaluating barrier option prices when the underlying dynamics are driven by stochastic elasticity of variance (SEV). We employ asymptotic expansions and Mellin transform to evaluate the option prices. The approach is able to efficiently handle barrier options in a SEV framework and produce explicitly a semi-closed form formula for the approximate barrier option prices. The formula is an expansion of the option price in powers of the characteristic amplitude scale and variation time of the elasticity and it can be calculated easily by taking the derivatives of the Black–Scholes price for a barrier option with respect to the underlying price and computing the one-dimensional integrals of some linear combinations of the Greeks with respect to time. We confirm the accuracy of our formula via Monte-Carlo simulation and find the SEV effect on the Black–Scholes barrier option prices.     

Stochastic differential equations with diffusion and jumps modeling currency markets

An efficient currency market with zero transaction costs is considered. The dynamics of the exchange rate in this market is described by stochastic differential equations (SDEs) with diffusion and jumps; the latter are assumed to be described by a Lévy process. Adjusting theoretical arbitrage-free option prices computed within these models to market option prices requires properly choosing the coefficients in the SDEs. For this purpose, an expression for local volatility in a diffusion model is found and a relation between local and implied volatilities is determined. For a market model with diffusion and jumps, expressions for the local volatility and the local rate function are given. Moreover, in Merton’s model, where the jump component is a compound Poisson process with normal jumps, a relation between the local and the implied volatilities is determined.     

Coordination of supply chains by option contracts: A cooperative game theory approach

Manufacturer–retailer supply chains commonly adopt a wholesale price mechanism. This mechanism, however, has often led manufacturers and retailers to situations of conflicts of interest. For example, due to uncertain market demand, retailers prefer to order flexibly from manufacturers so as to avoid incurring inventory costs and to be able to respond flexibly to market changes. Manufacturers, on the other hand, prefer retailers to place full orders as early as possible so that they can hedge against the risks of over- and under-production. Such conflicts between retailers and manufacturers can result in an inefficient supply chain. Motivated by this problem, we take a cooperative game approach in this paper to consider the coordination issue in a manufacturer–retailer supply chain using option contracts. Using the wholesale price mechanism as a benchmark, we develop an option contract model. Our study demonstrates that, compared with the benchmark based on the wholesale price mechanism, option contracts can coordinate the supply chain and achieve Pareto-improvement. We also discuss scenarios in which option contracts are selected according to individual supply chain members’ risk preferences and negotiating powers.     

有限状态Q过程波动率与跳组合情形的期权定价

引入了有限状态Q过程随机波动率与复合Poisson过程组合的资产价格动态模型,得到了该组合模型下欧式看涨期权定价的一般公式,推广了Hull和White的结论.最后通过数值模拟,充分体现了期权价格对初始时刻波动率大小的依赖.     

跳跃扩散型汇率过程的外汇期权定价

在完全外汇市场环境下 ,讨论了外汇汇率过程受 Brown运动和 Poisson过程共同驱动时外汇欧式未定权益的定价问题 ,并在常系数情形下获得了欧式外汇期权 Black- Scholes定价公式及其套期保值策略 ,最后给出了一种多汇率过程的线性组合式未定权益的定价     

随机利率下奇异期权的定价公式

在随机利率条件下,借助于测度变换获得了复合看涨期权的一般的定价公式,同时利用鞅理论和Girsanov定理,在利率服从于扩展的Vasicek利率模型时,得到了复合看涨期权精确的定价公式.用同样的方法,考虑了预设日期的重置看涨期权的定价问题,在利率服从同样的利率模型时,获得了重置看涨期权的定价公式.数值化的结果进一步说明了当利率遵循扩展的Vasicek利率模型时,B-S看涨期权的价格关于标的资产的价格是严格单调递增的,复合看涨期权的Geske公式是可以推广到随机利率的情况.     

Latent variable modelling of price‐change in 295 manufacturing industries

In contrast to traditional regression analysis, latent variable modelling (LVM) can explicitly differentiate between measurement errors and other random disturbances in the specification and estimation of econometric models. This paper argues that LVM could be a promising approach to test economic theories because applied research in business and economics is based on statistical information, which is frequently inaccurately measured. Considering the theory of industry‐price determination, where the price variables involved are known to include a large measurement error, a latent variable, structural‐equations model is constructed and applied to data on 7381 product categories classified into 295 manufacturing industries of the USA economy. The obtained estimates, compared and evaluated against a traditional regression model fitted to the same data, show the advantages of the LVM analytical framework, which could lead a long drawn‐out conflict between empirical results and theory to a satisfactory reconciliation. Copyright © 2003 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

A Control Variate Method for Monte Carlo Simulations of Heath–Jarrow–Morton Models with Jumps

This paper examines the pricing of interest rate derivatives when the interest rate dynamics experience infrequent jump shocks modelled as a Poisson process. The pricing framework adapted was developed by Chiarella and Nikitopoulos to provide an extension of the Heath, Jarrow and Morton model to jump‐diffusions and achieves Markovian structures under certain volatility specifications. Fourier Transform solutions for the price of a bond option under deterministic volatility specifications are derived and a control variate numerical method is developed under a more general state dependent volatility structure, a case in which closed form solutions are generally not possible. In doing so, a novel perspective is provided on control variate methods by going outside a given complex model to a simpler more tractable setting to provide the control variates.     

Integrated sales and operations planning with multiple products: Jointly optimizing the number and timing of promotions and production decisions

This paper presents a modelling framework for sales and operations planning (S&OP) that considers the integration of price promotion and production planning for multiple products. Such a modelling framework takes into account the potential competition and cannibalization between products, as well as the allocation of shared production resources. The demand model that we adopt combines purchase incidence, consumer choice and purchase quantity in a sequential framework to obtain the dynamics and heterogeneity of consumer response to promotions. Due to large problem sizes, we develop a heuristic approach for solving the resulting joint optimization problem. The results of our numerical study show interesting findings on the optimal number and timing of promotions that take into account the mutual dependence of marketing and production related factors.