基于有限元的金属基短纤维复合材料MMC的一种统计蠕变模型

在有限元分析的基础上建立了一个单向应力状态下金属基短纤维复合材料(MMC)的统计蠕变模型.首先建立细胞模型并进行有限元分析,得到了单向应力状态下材料细观尺寸及载荷方向对宏观蠕变响应的影响规律.通过在细胞模型中增加一界面层(考虑材料特性和厚度)来研究基体和纤维的界面对MMC宏观蠕变响应的影响.基于细胞模型的数值结果,提出了一适用于纤维平面随机分布的随机统计模型,该模型考虑了纤维的断裂.通过试验获得纤维的统计分布规律.分析结果表明随机统计模型可以满意地描述试验结果.进一步讨论了材料细观尺寸,纤维的断裂特性以及界面层的材料特性和厚度对MMC宏观蠕变响应的影响.     

碳纤维-不锈钢层板热载条件下冲击动态响应及层间损伤仿真研究

为了研究碳纤维不锈钢层板的冲击动态响应以及热载荷条件下的冲击性能,采用ABAQUS/Explicit,编写基于复合材料渐进损伤用户子程序VUMAT;引入Johnson-Cook模型,仿真计算了碳纤维增强环氧树脂基复合材料-SS304不锈钢层板热载条件下冲击动态响应过程;分析了其冲击动态响应及渐进损伤,着重讨论了热载荷条件对碳纤维金属层板的冲击能量吸收、接触力等抗冲击性能及失效模式的影响.结果显示,高速冲击载荷作用下,纤维层的脆性断裂、金属层的塑性变形以及纤维层与金属层之间的脱层是碳纤维不锈钢层板的主要失效形式.热载荷的存在直接影响了冲头的接触力,随环境温度升高,接触力总体上降低,子弹的速度衰减越慢,剩余速度增大.结果表明,热载荷降低了纤维金属板的冲击动能吸收特性,弱化了碳纤维金属板的抗冲击性能.无论是纤维金属层板的整体破坏,还是纤维失效、基体失效和脱层失效,热载荷都产生了重要影响.     

具有随机效应的Wiener加速退化模型的可靠性研究

研究了有随机效应的Wiener退化模型基于加速退化数据的统计推断问题.利用广义枢轴量方法得到了模型参数和感兴趣可靠性指标的广义置信区间.说明了不含随机效应的Wiener退化模型的统计推断问题是有随机效应的Wiener退化模型的特殊情况.蒙特卡罗模拟结果显示文中提出的区间估计有较好的覆盖比例.最后利用LED加速退化数据说明文中提供的方法的有效性.     

供应链网络可靠性的多层Bayes估计模型

对供应链网络可靠性进行界定和分析,以节点企业间的协同为基础,得到可靠度计算模型,以此为依据采集实证样本无失效运行的数据.根据供应链网络可靠性统计特性,建立一种多层Bayes估计方法,应用于样本可靠性评估中.在估计失效率的基础上,对供应链网络可靠度进行估计,对仿真结果进行分析,显示多层Bayes估计方法应用效果较好,精确度高,反映了参数不确定性对供应链网络可靠性的影响,能够较好地解决依据无失效数据判定供应链网络可靠性水平的问题.     

线性混合效应模型的有效稳健经验似然推断

本文考虑线性混合效应模型的有效稳健经验似然统计推断问题. 通过结合众数回归方法和矩阵的QR分解技术, 提出了一种基于众数回归的正交经验似然统计推断过程. 证明提出的关于固定效应的经验对数似然比函数渐近服从中心卡方分布, 进而构造了模型固定效应的置信区间. 所提出的估计过程不需要对随机效应和模型误差的分布施加任何假定, 并且关于固定效应的估计过程不受随机效应的影响, 因此具有较好的稳健性和有效性.     

ASV-T模型研究及其在中国创业板市场中的应用

本文提出了T分布的带杠杆效应的随机波动模型,该模型同时兼顾了股票市场的杠杆效应和厚尾效应,并对模型进行了统计结构分析,证明了模型的有效性,基于贝叶斯分析,给出了对ASV-T模型的MCMC估计方法,其中对参数采取Gibbs抽样。利用该模型,通过对中国创业板指数的实证研究,证明了ASV-T模型对创业板市场的回报和波动性特征有更好的拟合效果,并且模型能够较好地描述金融数据的杠杆效应和厚尾效应。     

非线性再生散度随机效应模型的贝叶斯分析

非线性再生散度随机效应模型是一类非常广泛的统计模型，包括了线性随机效应模型、非线性随机效应模型、广义线性随机效应模型和指数族非线性随机效应模型等．本文研究非线性再生散度随机效应模型的贝叶斯分析．通过视随机效应为缺失数据以及应用结合Gibbs抽样技术和Metropolis-Hastings算法（简称MH算法）的混合算法获得了模型参数与随机效应的同时贝叶斯估计．最后，用一个模拟研究和一个实际例子说明上述算法的可行眭．     

基于不同分布EGARCH模型的EU ETS价格波动和风险研究

分别基于正态分布、t分布、GED分布假设下的EGARCH模型,考察EUA和CER期货价格收益率的波动特征,并估算期货市场的风险VaR值,利用LR统计量检验VaR,估计值的准确程度.实证结果表明:碳期货收益率存在明显的"尖峰厚尾"特性;碳期货市场存在负的"杠杆效应","利多"的影响小于"利空"的影响;EUA期货市场相比CER期货市场具有更高的风险;EGARCH-GED模型对碳期货市场的风险刻画能力最强,其次是EGARCH-N模型,EGARCH-t模型刻画能力最差.     

具有AR(1)误差的线性随机效应模型中方差齐性和自相关性的检验

在回归分析中，方差齐性是一个很基本的假设．本文对具有AR(1)误差的线性随机效应模型，研究了方差齐性和自相关性的检验问题．我们分别讨论了随机误差异方差、随机效应异方差、多元异方差以及自相关性的检验问题，并用score检验方法给出了三种方差齐性和自相关性的检验统计量．随机模拟的结果表明，当样本容量较大时，检验的功效较好．本文还给出一个数值例子说明检验方法的实用性．另外，模型的结果也可以推广到非线性情形．     

具有线性趋势的回归信度模型中的估计和检验

研究具有线性趋势回归信度模型的参数估计和检验. 对该模型的回归系数和随机效应的方差,利用正交变换法得到了它们的极大似然估计, 并得到了参数的无偏估计. 对随机效应和是否有线性趋势采用似然比检验, 得到了似然统计量较好的近似$P$值, 并对检验的功效进行了模拟研究.     

仪表放大器中电阻变化率与噪声的关系

探讨电阻变化率对由3个运算放大器组成的仪表放大器输出端噪声的影响.把运算放大器噪声模型和电阻噪声模型代入仪表放大器电路,得到输出端噪声与电阻的关系式,通过列表分析,按不同的电阻比筛选出对输出端噪声影响显著的电阻.orCAD软件的仿真结果验证了分析是正确的.     

Stability analysis of cantilever carbon nanotubes subjected to partially distributed tangential force and viscoelastic foundation

Dynamic instability of cantilever carbon nanotubes conveying fluid embedded in viscoelastic foundation under a partially distributed tangential force is investigated based on nonlocal elasticity theory and Euler–Bernouli beam theory. The present study has incorporated the effects of nonlocal parameter, Knudsen number, surface effects and magnetic field. And two main parameters have also considered, namely partially distributed tangential force and foundation. It is assumed that viscoelastic foundation has modeled as Kelvin–Voigt, Maxwell and Standard linear solid types. The size-dependent governing equation of transverse vibration is derived using Hamilton’s variational principle and discretized by the Galerkin truncation method. A detailed parameter study is carried out, indicating the stability behavior of the nanotubes. In the light of numerical results, it is shown that variables considered in nondimensional equations have significant effects on natural frequencies and flutter velocities, especially for the foundation distribution length and model as well as the partially distributed tangential force.     

Nonlinear time domain and stability analysis of beams under partially distributed follower force

This paper aims to investigate linear and nonlinear behavior of beams subjected to externally applied partially distributed follower forces. In this investigation, the nonlinear composite beam theory of Hodges is used. The system of nonlinear equations is linearized about the equilibrium, or rest structure state, and the linear system is solved numerically. The effects of follower force position on the behavior of eigenvalues at pre- and post-instability are reported. Additionally, the contours of critical follower force are obtained by changing the position of follower force in span-wise and chord-wise directions. The effects of different parameters such as the length, and position of follower force and the ratios of stiffnesses on the critical follower force as well as the nonlinear limit cycle oscillation (LCO) are reported. The obtained results indicate that the length and the position of the partially distributed follower forces considerably affect the stability of the beam.     

Cover time and mixing time of random walks on dynamic graphs

The application of simple random walks on graphs is a powerful tool that is useful in many algorithmic settings such as network exploration, sampling, information spreading, and distributed computing. This is due to the reliance of a simple random walk on only local data, its negligible memory requirements, and its distributed nature. It is well known that for static graphs the cover time, that is, the expected time to visit every node of the graph, and the mixing time, that is, the time to sample a node according to the stationary distribution, are at most polynomial relative to the size of the graph. Motivated by real world networks, such as peer‐to‐peer and wireless networks, the conference version of this paper was the first to study random walks on arbitrary dynamic networks. We study the most general model in which an oblivious adversary is permitted to change the graph after every step of the random walk. In contrast to static graphs, and somewhat counter‐intuitively, we show that there are adversary strategies that force the expected cover time and the mixing time of the simple random walk on dynamic graphs to be exponentially long, even when at each time step the network is well connected and rapidly mixing. To resolve this, we propose a simple strategy, the lazy random walk, which guarantees, under minor conditions, polynomial cover time and polynomial mixing time regardless of the changes made by the adversary.     

Creep of Heat-Resistant Composites of an Oxide-Fiber/Ni-Matrix Family

A creep model of a composite with a creeping matrix and initially continuous elastic brittle fibers is developed. The model accounts for the fiber fragmentation in the stage of unsteady creep of the composite, which ends with a steady-state creep, where a minimum possible average length of the fiber is achieved. The model makes it possible to analyze the creep rate of the composite in relation to such parameters of its structure as the statistic characteristics of the fiber strength, the creep characteristics of the matrix, and the strength of the fiber-matrix interface, the latter being of fundamental importance. A comparison between the calculation results and the experimental ones obtained on composites with a Ni-matrix and monocrystalline and eutectic oxide fibers as well as on sapphire fiber/TiAl-matrix composites shows that the model is applicable to the computer simulation of the creep behavior of heat-resistant composites and to the optimization of the structure of such composites. By combining the experimental data with calculation results, it is possible to evaluate the heat resistance of composites and the potential of oxide-fiber/Ni-matrix composites. The composite specimens obtained and tested to date reveal their high creep resistance up to a temperature of 1150°C. The maximum operating temperature of the composites can be considerably raised by strengthening the fiber-matrix interface.     

Modeling large amplitude vibration of pretwisted hybrid composite blades containing CNTRC layers and matrix cracked FRC layers

A modeling of the large amplitude free vibration of pretwisted hybrid composite blades is studied by considering the laminated structure which is composed of carbon nanotube reinforced composite (CNTRC) layers and matrix cracked fiber reinforced composite (FRC) layers. Two assumptions are made to facilitate this vibration study of hybrid nanocomposite: (1) CNTs are distributed across the layer thickness uniformly or functionally graded, and (2) the parallel slit matrix cracks disperse in the matrix homogeneously. Based on the theory of differential geometry, a novel shell model for pretwisted hybrid nanocomposites blade is developed. The von Kármán strains are adopted to capture the geometrically nonlinear behaviors of blades. The established governing equations are solved accurately and efficiently via the IMLS-Ritz method. The proposed numerical model is verified by making comparison studies and then the influence of crack density, pretwisted angle, CNT distribution and volume fraction, aspect ratio, width-to-thickness ratio, and ply-angle on the large amplitude vibration characteristics of matrix cracked pretwisted hybrid composite blade are scrutinized systematically. The present study serves as a useful benchmark to researchers who intend do further research in this topic.     

Analysis of the neutral layer offset of bimetal composite plate in the straightening process using boundary element subfield method

In the classical straightening theory, it supposes that the geometric central layer and stress neutral layer are a coincidence. However, there is some offset in fact. This is one of the reasons why straightening force is inaccurate in the straightening process. In this paper, the boundary element subfield method is used to analyze the three-dimension elastic–plastic deformation of a bimetal composite plate in the straightening process. At first, the boundary integral equation of a bimetal composite plate is established by the boundary element subfield method. Then, through analyzing the deformation in the rolled piece straightening, it shows that the geometric central layer does not coincide with the neutral layer. The formula of the neutral layer offset is established and the change law is discussed. At the same time, the influence of the neutral layer offset on the precision of straightening force is researched. From the numerical analysis, it shows that the error of the straightening force reaches to 5% whether considering the neutral layer offset. This demonstrates that the neutral layer offset is one of the important factors to give the straightening force inaccurately. It is ought to consider the neutral layer offset when the model of straightening force is established.     

A simulation study for a class of central composite designs with nested sub-experiment

This article introduces a class of central composite designs with nested sub-experiment, which allow for the estimation of both response surface effects (fixed effects of crossed factors) and variance components arising from nested random effects. An iterated least squared method using sufficient statistics is given for obtaining maximum likelihood estimates of the parameters in a mixed model. Simulation results show that advantages for unbalanced designs are greatest when error variance is small.     

Nonlinear dynamics and dynamic instability of smart structural cross-ply laminated cantilever plates with MFC layer using zigzag theory

In this paper, a novel dynamic model for smart structural systems cross-ply laminated cantilever plate with smart material Macro fiber composites (MFC) layer is presented by using zigzag function theory. The nonlinear dynamic response and dynamic instability of the smart structural systems are studied for the first time. The plate is subjected to the uniformed static and in-plane harmonic excitation conjunction with electrically loaded under different electric boundary conditions. The partial layer-wise theory which the first shear deformation theory is expanded by introducing the zigzag function in the in-plane displacement components is adopted. The carbon fiber reinforced composite material T800/M21and macro fiber composites (MFC-d31) M8528-P3 are implemented. By Lagrangian equation and Chebyshev polynomial, the equations of motion are derived for the laminated plate. The validation and convergence are studied by comparing results with literatures. The dynamic instability regions and the critical buckling load characteristics can be obtained for different layer sequences, geometric dimensions and also the electromechanical effects are considered. Nonlinear dynamic responses of the laminated plate are studied by using numerical calculation. It can be seen that in certain state the plate will loses stability and the periodic, multiple period as well as chaotic motions of the plate are found.     

The Effect of the Size of Carbon Fibers on the Physicomechanical Properties of Fluvis Composites

The effect of the size of carbon fibers on the thermophysical and strength characteristics of a Fluvis antifrictional composite, which is based on PTFE and modified Viscum fibers, is studied. It is found that, at a carbon-fiber length of about 100 m, a jump in the coefficient of linear thermal expansion occurs in all temperature ranges. An increase in the fiber length leads to a decrease in the density, resistivity, and compression strength of the composite.