Normal approximation and fourth moment theorems for monochromatic triangles

Given a graph sequence denote by T₃(G_n) the number of monochromatic triangles in a uniformly random coloring of the vertices of G_n with colors. In this paper we prove a central limit theorem (CLT) for T₃(G_n) with explicit error rates, using a quantitative version of the martingale CLT. We then relate this error term to the well-known fourth-moment phenomenon, which, interestingly, holds only when the number of colors satisfies . We also show that the convergence of the fourth moment is necessary to obtain a Gaussian limit for any , which, together with the above result, implies that the fourth-moment condition characterizes the limiting normal distribution of T₃(G_n), whenever . Finally, to illustrate the promise of our approach, we include an alternative proof of the CLT for the number of monochromatic edges, which provides quantitative rates for the results obtained in [7].     

非齐次树上m重非齐次马氏链的一类强偏差定理

研究给出了非齐次树上m重非齐次马氏链的一类强偏差定理.     

Pathwise superhedging for time-dependent barrier options on càdlàg paths—Finite or infinite tradeable European,One-Touch,lookback or forward starting options

We establish pathwise duality using simple predictable trading strategies for the robust hedging problem associated with a barrier option whose payoff depends on the terminal level and the infimum of a càdlàg strictly positive stock price process, given tradeable European options at all strikes at a single maturity. The result allows for a significant dimension reduction in the computation of the superhedging cost, via an alternate lower-dimensional formulation of the primal problem as a convex optimization problem, which is qualitatively similar to the duality which was formally sketched using linear programming arguments in Duembgen and Rogers [10] for the case where we only consider continuous sample paths. The proof exploits a simplification of a classical result by Rogers (1993) which characterizes the attainable joint laws for the supremum and the drawdown of a uniformly integrable martingale (not necessarily continuous), combined with classical convex duality results from Rockefellar (1974) using paired spaces with compatible locally convex topologies and the Hahn–Banach theorem. We later adapt this result to include additional tradeable One-Touch options using the Kertz and Rösler (1990) condition. We also compute the superhedging cost when in the more realistic situation where there is only finite tradeable European options; for this case we obtain the full duality in the sense of quantile hedging as in Soner (2015), where the superhedge works with probability $1?\epsilon$ where $\epsilon$ can be arbitrarily small), and we obtain an upper bound for the true pathwise superhedging cost. In Section 5, we extend our analysis to include time-dependent barrier options using martingale coupling arguments, where we now have tradeable European options at both maturities at all strikes and tradeable forward starting options at all strikes. This set up is designed to approximate the more realistic situation where we have a finite number of tradeable Europeans at both maturities plus a finite number of tradeable forward starting options.¹     

Statistical causality,martingale problems and local uniqueness

The paper considers a statistical concept of causality in continuous time in the filtered probability spaces which is based on the Granger’s definition of causality. The given causality concept is then applied to the solution of the martingale problem (associated with the stochastic differential equation driven with semimartingales). More precisely, we show that the given causality concept is closely connected to the concept of extremality of measures for the solutions of the martingale problem, for the stopped martingale problem and for the local martingale problem. We also show the equivalence between some models of causality and local uniqueness (for the solutions of the martingale problem).     

On the martingale and free-boundary approaches in sequential detection problems with exponential penalty for delay

We study the connection between the martingale and free-boundary approaches in sequential detection problems for the drift of a Brownian motion, under the assumption of exponential penalty for the delay. By means of the solution of a suitable free-boundary problem, we show that the reward process can be decomposed into the product between a gain function of the boundary point and a positive martingale inside the continuation region.     

Approximation by walsh-kaczmarz-fejér means on the hardy space

The main aim of this paper is to find necessary and sufficient conditions for the convergence of Walsh-Kaczmarz-Fejér means in the terms of the modulus of continuity on the Hardy spaces H_p, when 0<p≤ 1/2.     

Strong approximation for ρ-mixing sequences

We establish strong invariance principles for sums of stationary ρ-mixing random variables with finite and infinite second moments under weaker mixing rates.Some earlier results are improved.As applications,some results of the law of the iterated logarithm with finite and infinite variance are obtained,also a conjecture raised by Shao in 1993 is solved.     

非齐次树上马氏链的若干强偏差定理

通过构造适当的非负鞅,将Doob鞅收敛定理应用于几乎处处收敛的研究,给出了一类非齐次树上马氏链场加权和滑动平均的若干强偏差定理.