Banach空间值鞅不等式与弱大数定律

本文证明了Ｂａｎａｃｈ空间值鞅的一些不等式，讨论了Ｂａｎａｃｈ空间的凸性及光滑性与某些鞅不等的式的联系，给出了Ｈｉｌｂｅｒｔ空间的一个鞅不等式刻划，同时还讨论了一致Ｐ光滑空间中鞅的弱大数定律，本文的结论推广与改进了很多熟知的定理。     

广义极限鞅的一个收敛定理

本文引进了广义极限鞅的概念,证明了 L~1有界的广义极限鞅 a.s.收敛于—可积随机变量。这样推广了通常极限鞅的相应收敛定理,并回答了 Stout 提出的问题:L~1有界的弱鞅在一定的条件下是 a.s.收敛的。     

Convexity Bias in the Pricing of Eurodollar Swaps

The traditional use of LIBOR futures prices to obtain surrogates for the Eurodollar forward rates is proved to yield a systematic bias in the pricing of Eurodollar swaps when one assumes that the yield curve is well described by the Heath-Jarrow-Morton model. The resulting theoretical inequality is consistent with the empirical observations of Burghardt and Hoskins (1995), and it provide a theoretical basis for price anomalies that are suggested by more recent empirical data.     

On the Weak Invariance Principle for Stationary Sequences under Projective Criteria

In this paper, we study the central limit theorem and its weak invariance principle for sums of a stationary sequence of random variables, via a martingale decomposition. Our conditions involve the conditional expectation of sums of random variables with respect to the distant past. The results contribute to the clarification of the central limit question for stationary sequences. Magda Peligrad is supported in part by a Charles Phelps Taft research support grant at the Univeristy of Cincinnati and the NSA grant H98230-05-1-0066.     

带干扰的多险种风险模型

由于保险公司风险经营规模不断扩大,用单一险种的模型来描述风险过程存在局限性,本文讨论了带干扰多险种风险模型,应用鞅论方法,得出伦德伯格不等式和最终破产概率公式。     

鞅差序列的Bernstein型不等式及其应用

本文将独立随机变量序列的Bernstein型不等式推广到鞅差序列情形,给出该不等式的一个应用,并在一定条件下证明了非参数回归中函数估计的强相合性.     

几类B值小指标鞅空间的原子分解

本文对几类B值小指标鞅空间建立了原子分解定理,利用原子分解讨论了它们之间的相互嵌入关系,其原子分解的存在性和它们之间的关系均与Banach空间的凸性和光滑性有密切联系.     

Optimal Investment Strategies for an Insurer with SAHARA Utility

In this paper, we consider the optimal investment strategy which maximizes the utility of the terminal wealth of an insurer with SAHARA utility functions. This class of utility functions has non-monotone absolute risk aversion, which is more flexible than the CARA and CRRA utility functions. In the case that the risk process is modeled as a Brownian motion and the stock process is modeled as a geometric Brownian motion, we get the closed-form solutions for our problem by the martingale method for both the constant threshold and when the threshold evolves dynamically according to a specific process. Finally, we show that the optimal strategy is state-dependent.     

Martingale property of empirical processes

It is shown that for a large collection of independent martingales, the martingale property is preserved on the empirical processes. Under the assumptions of independence and identical finite-dimensional distributions, it is proved that a large collection of stochastic processes are martingales essentially if and only if the empirical processes are also martingales. These two results have implications on the testability of the martingale property in scientific modeling. Extensions to submartingales and supermartingales are given.

     

障碍期权的定价问题

障碍期权是与路径相关的期权 ,因而它的定价计算是非常复杂的 .本文利用反射原理对障碍期权的定价问题进行了简化 ,从而最终给出障碍期权的定价公式 .而文中多次运用 Girsanov定理构造等价鞅测度是解决问题的关键 ,它为反射原理的使用创造了基本条件 .