两个回归函数相等的Bootstrap检验

两个回归参数相等性检验一直是统计界感兴趣的问题之一．在这篇文章中，四个检验统计量被用于度量两曲线的差异，在原假设下统计量的分布采用向量数据的重复抽样来逼近，并给出了—些模拟结果．     

托卡马克能量约束及自举电流效应的初步考虑

基于Lee等人的离子温度梯度模导致的反常热能输运系数,本文研究了辅助加热托卡马克等离子体的能量约束行为,并对自举电流的效应作了初步考虑。结果表明,计算得到的能量约束时间随等离子体电流I_p和托卡马克大半径R增大而增长,随注入功率P_t、环向场B_t以及等离子体小半径α的增大而缩短。这些结果与Kaye-Goldston的经验约束定标具有相同的趋势。自举电流的存在总是导致能量约束时间的增加,当自举电流与总电流的比值γ较小时,能量约束时间的增加率约为γ/2。此外,自举电流将造成锯齿反转半径的减小。     

Weighted Kolmogrov–Smirnov type tests for grouped Rayleigh data

We consider goodness of fit tests for the Rayleigh distribution with grouped data. New Kolmogrov–Smirnov type tests are suggested and compared with the traditional chi-square and likelihood ratio tests. The results show that some of the suggested tests have a good power performance as compared with the traditional ones.     

火工品可靠性试验数据的综合分析方法

升降法试验数据和固定刺激量下的成败型试验数据,是两种最常见的火工品可靠性试验数据．我们应用Markov链,研究了升降法试验数据下,感度分布参数的极大似然估计的特性．在此基础上,应用Bootstrap方法和Bayes方法,给出了综合分析两种试验数据的方法．最后,将该方法应用于520底火的可靠性鉴定,得出了有益的结论．     

矿产品水分含量代表值Bootstrap模拟取样估计

在对矿产品水分含量基础统计学特征描述的基础上,采用内核密度估计对水分含量数据多态性进行了分析,根据双态分布的特点,使用Bootstrap模拟取样方法对试验样本值模拟重复取样,以多次Bootstrap模拟取样的均值与标准偏差作为矿产品水分含量有限样本代表值及标准偏差的稳健估计,实践证明Bootstrap模拟取样估计对矿产品水分含量代表值的估计是有效的,该项研究为矿产品水分含量代表值的准确评估提供了一种新方法.     

农残水平测试中数据多态性分析及指定值估计研究

对全国农残水平测试中毒死蜱、氯氰菊酯数据进行统计分析,在数据统计分布特征研究基础上,使用内核密度估计进行数据多态性分析,使用bootstrap模拟取样法对数据样本值重复取样,以获得稳健的水平测试样品待测物含量代表值估计、标准误差及置信区间描述,证明以bootstrap模拟取样法获取的均值与标准偏差作为有限单次样本代表值是合理、有效的,解决了四分位稳健统计方法对非正态多态分布代表值估计不稳定问题及取样理论中取样样本数限制的瓶颈,为能力验证计划指定值的获取提供了一种新方法。     

Weber Correspondence Analysis: The One-Dimensional Case

When designing programs or software for the implementation of Monte Carlo (MC) hypothesis tests, we can save computation time by using sequential stopping boundaries. Such boundaries imply stopping resampling after relatively few replications if the early replications indicate a very large or a very small p value. We study a truncated sequential probability ratio test (SPRT) boundary and provide a tractable algorithm to implement it. We review two properties desired of any MC p value, the validity of the p value and a small resampling risk, where resampling risk is the probability that the accept/reject decision will be different than the decision from complete enumeration. We show how the algorithm can be used to calculate a valid p value and confidence intervals for any truncated SPRT boundary. We show that a class of SPRT boundaries is minimax with respect to resampling risk and recommend a truncated version of boundaries in that class by comparing their resampling risk (RR) to the RR of fixed boundaries with the same maximum resample size. We study the lack of validity of some simple estimators of p values and offer a new, simple valid p value for the recommended truncated SPRT boundary. We explore the use of these methods in a practical example and provide the MChtest R package to perform the methods.     

Estimating Precision in Functional Images

Abstract

Functional imaging of biologic parameters like in vivo tissue metabolism is made possible by Positron Emission Tomography (PET). Many techniques have been suggested for extracting such images from dynamic time-course sequences of reconstructed PET scans. Quantitating the precision of these estimates is important for drawing inferences on the biologic parameters. Analytic variance formulas are not immediate owing to the nonlinear methods used in extraction. The usual resampling approach is infeasible because each image reconstruction in PET is a computationally demanding solution to a high-dimensional linear inverse problem. We suggest an alternative simulation approach that approximates the distribution of reconstructed PET scans and performs a parametric bootstrap in the imaging domain. Results on a simplified model chosen to match the characteristics of PET reconstruction are very encouraging. Mixture analysis is used to estimate functional images; however, the suggested approach is general enough to extend to other techniques or imaging methods.     

The Design and Analysis of Benchmark Experiments

The assessment of the performance of learners by means of benchmark experiments is an established exercise. In practice, benchmark studies are a tool to compare the performance of several competing algorithms for a certain learning problem. Cross-validation or resampling techniques are commonly used to derive point estimates of the performances which are compared to identify algorithms with good properties. For several benchmarking problems, test procedures taking the variability of those point estimates into account have been suggested. Most of the recently proposed inference procedures are based on special variance estimators for the cross-validated performance. We introduce a theoretical framework for inference problems in benchmark experiments and show that standard statistical test procedures can be used to test for differences in the performances. The theory is based on well-defined distributions of performance measures which can be compared with established tests. To demonstrate the usefulness in practice, the theoretical results are applied to regression and classification benchmark studies based on artificial and real world data.     

Bootstrap tests for unit roots in seasonal autoregressive models

This paper proposes bootstrap tests for the presence of unit roots in a seasonal autoregressive model. The asymptotic validity of the proposed bootstrap scheme is established, and Monte Carlo experiments are used to investigate the small-sample performance of the tests.