Arbitrage‐free call option surface construction using regression splines

In this work, we suggest a novel quadratic programming‐based algorithm to generate an arbitrage‐free call option surface. The empirical performance of the proposed method is evaluated using S&P 500 Index call options. Our results indicate that the proposed method provides a more precise fit to observed option prices than other alternative methodologies. Copyright © 2014 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

A model for crack formation during active solid pyrolysis of a char-forming solid: crack patterns; surface area generation; volatile mass efflux

A model is developed for the formation and propagation of cracks in a material sample that is heated at its top surface, pyrolyses, and then thermally degrades to form char. In this work the sample is heated uniformly over its entire top surface by a hypothetical flame (a heat source). The pyrolysis mechanism is described by a one-step overall reaction that is dependent nonlinearly on the temperature (Arrhenius form). Stresses develop in response to the thermal degradation of the material by means of a shrinkage strain caused by local mass loss during pyrolysis. When the principal stress exceeds a prescribed threshold value, the material forms a local crack. Cracks are found to generally originate at the surface in response to heating, but occasionally they form in the bulk, away from ever-changing material boundaries. The resulting cracks evolve and form patterns whose characteristics are described. Quantities examined in detail are: the crack spacing in the pyrolysis zone; the crack length evolution; the formation and nature of crack loops which are defined as individual cracks that have joined to form loops that are disconnected from the remaining material; the formation of enhanced pyrolysis area; and the impact of all of the former quantities on mass flux. It is determined that the mass flux from the sample can be greatly enhanced over its nominal (non-cracking) counterpart. The mass efflux profile qualitatively resembles those observed in Cone Calorimeter tests.     

Representations for conditional expectations and applications to pricing and hedging of financial products in Lévy and jump-diffusion setting

In this article, we derive expressions for conditional expectations in terms of regular expectations without conditioning but involving some weights. For this purpose, we apply two approaches: the conditional density method and the Malliavin method. We use these expressions for the numerical estimation of the price of American options and their deltas in a Lévy and jump-diffusion setting. Several examples of applications to financial and energy markets are given including numerical examples.     

基于供应方生产能力的应急物资生产模型

利用期权契约所建立的政企合作储备应急物资模式能够有效解决政府单独储备模式所造成的物资储备量过少或过多而引起的困境。然而由于应急物资的需求特性,若应急物资供应企业采用按单生产方式安排生产储备计划,势必会造成库存水平升高,引发资金周转困难等问题,对政企之间的长期合作造成不利影响。基于此,本文设计了基于供应方生产能力的应急物资生产模型。该模型在政府利用批发价格契约与期权契约采购应急物资的基础上,研究了供应方根据自身生产能力进行柔性生产时的生产与储备问题。通过推导政企双方最优决策后,重点分析了期权权利金,执行价格,加急生产成本等参数对供应方生产决策的影响,并证明与按单生产模式相比,柔性生产模式可有效降低供应方的库存量与生产成本,提高其利润,继而提高整体供应链的利润水平,有助于促进政企之间长期稳定的合作。     

基于ANP法的股权激励模式选择研究

本文对企业如何科学合理地选择股权激励模式问题进行研究探讨。不仅考虑到以往研究中的企业特征因素,同时也考虑了激励对象特征因素和外部实施环境因素,建立股权激励模式选择指标体系,并分析各指标间的依存关系,基于此构建了ANP网络结构模型,并选取两个代表性样本企业进行算例验证和应用,最终使得不同企业可根据自身的实际情况选择合适的股权激励模式,验证了该模型的合理性与可行性。     

中国国债期货与隐含择券期权定价

本文提出了一种双树拼接的改进BDT模型,在此基础上发展出两种方法为中国市场上的国债期货和择券期权定价。其中"直接定价法"直接使用双树拼接树图,"两步定价法"则是经期权调整的持有成本模型。对中国TF1403和T1603国债期货合约的实证研究表明,两种方法都是合理的,且各有优势,"两步定价法"与市场价格差异较小,"直接定价法"与市场价格同步性较高。     

Option Pricing and Hedging under a Markov Switching Lévy Process Model

In this paper,we consider a Markov switching Lévy process model in which the underlying risky assets are driven by the stochastic exponential of Markov switching Lévy process and then apply the model to option pricing and hedging.In this model,the market interest rate,the volatility of the underlying risky assets and the N-state compensator,depend on unobservable states of the economy which are modeled by a continuous-time Hidden Markov process.We use the MEMM(minimal entropy martingale measure) as the equivalent martingale measure.The option price using this model is obtained by the Fourier transform method.We obtain a closed-form solution for the hedge ratio by applying the local risk minimizing hedging.     

Unifying pricing formula for several stochastic volatility models with jumps

In this paper, we introduce a unifying approach to option pricing under continuous‐time stochastic volatility models with jumps. For European style options, a new semi‐closed pricing formula is derived using the generalized complex Fourier transform of the corresponding partial integro‐differential equation. This approach is successfully applied to models with different volatility diffusion and jump processes. We also discuss how to price options with different payoff functions in a similar way. In particular, we focus on a log‐normal and a log‐uniform jump diffusion stochastic volatility model, originally introduced by Bates and Yan and Hanson, respectively. The comparison of existing and newly proposed option pricing formulas with respect to time efficiency and precision is discussed. We also derive a representation of an option price under a new approximative fractional jump diffusion model that differs from the aforementioned models, especially for the out‐of‐the money contracts. Copyright © 2017 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

美式回望期权定价问题的有限体积法

随着金融市场的不断发展, 期权作为一种能够规避风险的金融衍生产品越来越引起投资者的青睐, 成交量呈逐年上升的趋势, 期权定价问题已经成为金融数学领域中一个重要的研究课题. 本文主要研究Black-Scholes模型下美式回望期权定价问题的数值解法. 美式回望期权定价问题是一个二维非线性抛物问题, 难以直接应用数值方法进行求解. 通过分析该问题的求解难点, 本文给出解决该困难的有效方法. 首先利用计价单位变换将定价问题转换为一维自由边值问题, 并采用Landau's变换将求解区域规范化; 而后针对问题的非线性特点,利用有限体积法和Newton法交替迭代求解期权价格和最佳实施边界, 并对数值解的非负性进行了分析. 最后, 通过与二叉树方法进行比较, 验证了本文方法的正确性和有效性, 为实际应用提供了理论基础.     

基于扩展度的复杂网络传播影响力评估算法

对网络中节点的传播影响力进行评估具有十分重要的意义, 有助于促进有益或抑制有害信息的传播. 目前, 多种中心性指标可用于对节点的传播影响力进行评估, 然而它们一般只有当传播率处于特定范围时才能取得理想的结果. 例如, 度值中心性指标在传播率较小时较为合适, 而半局部中心性和接近中心性指标则适用于稍大一些的传播率. 为了解决各种评估指标对传播率敏感的问题, 提出了一种基于扩展度的传播影响力评估算法. 算法利用邻居节点度值叠加的方式对节点度的覆盖范围进行了扩展, 使不同的扩展层次对应于不同的传播率, 并通过抽样测试确定了适合于特定传播率的层次数. 真实和模拟数据集上的实验结果表明, 通过扩展度算法得到的扩展度指标能在不同传播率下对节点的传播影响力进行有效评估, 其准确性能够达到或优于利用其他中心性指标进行评估的结果.