基于层次分析法-直觉模糊贝叶斯网络的作战保障能力评估

对作战保障综合能力提出一种新的评估方法,对定性指标构建直觉模糊贝叶斯网络模型,通过贝叶斯推理得到静态作战保障能力;对定量指标用层次分析法确定指标权重,得到动态后勤作战保障能力.采用直觉模糊贝叶斯网络和层次分析相结合的综合评价模型,并引入决策者的偏好因子得到作战保障能力的综合评价值.通过实例分析,验证了该方法的合理性以及有效性.     

FRACTURE ASSESSMENT OF AN INTERFACE CRACK BETWEEN TWO DISSIMILAR MAGNETOELECTROELASTIC MATERIALS UNDER HEAT FLOW AND MAGNETOELECTROMECHANICAL LOADINGS

A magnetoelectrically permeable interface crack between two semi-infinite magnetoelectroelastic planes under the action of a heat flow and remote magnetoelectromechanical loadings is considered, where the assumption of frictionless contact between two dissimilar halfplanes is adopted. Not only the solutions of the interface crack problem are presented in an explicit form, but also the general condition for the transition from a perfect thermal contact of two magnetoelectroelastic bodies to their separation is given.     

Networks Emerging from the Competition of Pullulation and Decrepitude

In real-world network evolution, the aging effect is universal. We propose a microscopic model for aging networks,which suggests that the activity of a vertex is the result of the competition of two factors: pullulatlon and decrepitude. By incorporating the pullulation factor into previous models of aging networks, both the global and individual aging effect curves in our model are single peaked, which agrees with the empirical data well. This model can generate networks with scale-free degree distribution, large clustering coefficient and small average distance when the decrepitude intensity is small and the network size not very large. The results of our model show that pullulation may be one of the most important factors affecting the structure and function of aging networks and should not be neglected at all.     

蒽酮高分子复合物发光体的光老化研究

通过５５５ｎｍ单色光照射下的２小时人工老化和露天中２６个月自然老化。研究了蒽酮高分子复合物发光体的光老化性质，经过２６个月的自然老化发光峰值强度下降了４８％，树脂的光透过度下降了４０％，表明光老化的原因主要是树脂老化引起的。     

基于模糊语言评估和联系数的多属性群决策方法

对方案的属性评估信息以模糊语言形式给出的多属性群决策问题,采用集对分析理论进行处理,提出了一种基于模糊语言评估和联系数的多属性群决策方法,实例应用表明了该方法的有效性和实用性.     

形体老化与疾病的非线性主成分分析

本文把 5个形体老化指标及 13种慢性病指标分别做成两个综合指标 ,再去研究人体老化、疾病与性别及年龄的关系。文中使用非线性主成分法及指出一般线性主成分法的局限性     

应用线性回归方法对无形资产进行收益预测

无形资产评估对引导列形资产的建立和完善具有重要作用，收益法是常用的无形资产评估方法，而收益的预测是无形资产评估中的一个难题，本文以新疆某上市公司为例，尝试在无形资产评估方法中用多元线性回归进行收益预测。     

基于Bootstrap法的动态修正贝叶斯精度评估

针对工程实际中所普遍存在的小子样条件下,研究具有多阶段试验信息时的参数估计问题,提出一种结合Bootstrap方法与动态修正贝叶斯估计方法对精度评估中的弹点散布方差进行估计的方案.     

证据理论在新产品开发方案可行性评估中的应用

研究证据理论在新产品开发方案可行性评估中的应用。证据理论是一种不确定性的推理方法，能较好地反映可行性评估中客观证据和专家意见对评估结果的影响。通过对宽带可视电话开发方案可行性评估过程的分析表明，证据理论为企业新产品开发方案的可行性评估提供了客观的、操作性好的的模型和方法。