中西部地区人口就近城镇化意愿的受教育程度差异研究

基于对中西部地区15个省市农业转移人口就近城镇化意愿的问卷调查数据,以社会认同度为研究视角,构建多群组结构方程模型分析中西部地区人口就近城镇化的受教育程度差异及其影响因素。研究结果表明:个人特征差异性对中西部地区不同受教育程度的农业转移人口的就近城镇化意愿影响显著;中西部地区不同受教育程度的农业转移人口的社会认同度与其就近城镇化意愿显著正相关,且社会认同度对中西部地区小学及以下学历的农业转移人口就近城镇化意愿的影响最显著,大专及以上学历的农业转移人口的就近城镇化意愿受社会认同度的影响最小。     

Surface integral analogy approaches for predicting noise from 3D high-lift low-noise wings

Three surface integral approaches of the acoustic analogies are studied to predict the noise from three concep- tual configurations of three-dimensional high-lift low-noise wings. The approaches refer to the Kirchhoff method, the Ffowcs Williams and Hawkings （FW-H） method of the permeable integral surface and the Curle method that is known as a special case of the FW-H method. The first two approaches are used to compute the noise generated by the core flow region where the energetic structures exist. The last approach is adopted to predict the noise specially from the pressure perturbation on the wall. A new way to con- struct the integral surface that encloses the core region is proposed for the first two methods. Considering the local properties of the flow around the complex object-the actual wing with high-lift devices-the integral surface based on the vorticity is constructed to follow the flow structures. The surface location is discussed for the Kirchhoff method and the FW-H method because a common surface is used for them. The noise from the core flow region is studied on the basis of the dependent integral quantities, which are indicated by the Kirchhoff formulation and by the FW-H formulation. The role of each wall component on noise contribution is analyzed using the Curle formulation. Effects of the volume integral terms of Lighthill＇s stress tensors on the noise pre-diction are then evaluated by comparing the results of the Curle method with the other two methods.     

新型扩张状态观测器及其噪声抑制的特性分析（英文）

为了提升对快变干扰的估计性能,把输出估计误差的非线性项和切换项作为反馈设计一种新型非线性扩张状态观测器.在对干扰具有相同的估计性能下,新型非线性扩张状态观测器的增益相对较小,因而该新型非线性扩张状态观测器比传统扩张状态观测器拥有更好的噪声抑制性能。仿真结果表明新型扩张状态观测器对干扰的估计误差是传统方法的1/4。     

基于非线性光纤环形镜的少模脉冲幅度调制再生器

随着网络带宽需求的快速增加,波分复用系统的容量已接近非线性香农极限.为了适应未来网络的发展,空分复用技术引起了越来越多的关注.本文首次提出基于少模非线性光纤环形镜(FM-NOLM)的脉冲幅度调制(PAM)全光再生器,描述了其工作原理和具体设计过程.采用COMSOL软件对组成FM-NOLM的硫化物高非线性光纤进行了模式特性仿真.以LP01,LP11,LP21三个光纤模式为例,确定了再生器的参数,计算出每个模式的功率转移函数曲线.仿真分析了该少模PAM-4全光再生器的噪声抑制(NRR)性能,并与单模情形进行了比较.研究表明,1)对于每个空间模式的PAM信号,所有再生电平具有一致的功率转移性能;2)当输入信噪比(SNR)约大于20 dB时,三种模式的噪声抑制比均可超过3 dB,并随着输入信噪比线性增加,其斜率约为1.2;3)在相同输入SNR条件下,三种模式的噪声抑制比相差不大,不超过1.1 dB.为了说明再生器的再生性能,当输入SNR为25 dB时,我们还给出了再生前后PAM-4信号的功率分布直方图.与现有的再生方案相比,本文方案的均匀多电平再生转移性能,使其更适合高频谱效率的长距空分复用系统和任意电平数的PAM信号再生.此外,该方案也能够扩展到波长域,有效提高光通信系统的传输容量.     

基于泰勒级数及温度因子的卡尔曼滤波模型在链子崖危岩体变形预测中的应用

考虑到链子崖危岩体的变形受温度的影响较为明显,为此,将链子崖危岩体的变形看作时间和温度的函数,利用泰勒级数建立链子崖危岩体的变形与时间和温度的函数关系,并将泰勒级数的余项及时间变化的二次方和温度变化的二次方的系数的变化量看作数学期望为0的动态噪声,建立卡尔曼滤波模型,并用于链子崖危岩体变形的预测预报.实例计算表明,模型的拟合效果和预测效果较好.     

Effect of Time Delay on Binary Signal Detection via a Bistable System

The effect of time delay on binary signal detection via a bistable system in the presence of white or colored Gaussian noise is investigated. By defining the bit error rate based on the solution of the approximated Fokker- Planck equation, the detector performance is investigated theoretically and is verified by Monte Carlo simulation. It is shown that, when the system parameter or noise intensity is optimally chosen, the increasing time delay generally improves the system performance. It is also shown that it is more difficult to accurately predict the system performance with a larger time delay and correlation time. This may inspire more thorough investigations in cooperative effects of a nonlinear system and time delay on signal processing.     

Extinction Effects of Multiplicative Non-Gaussian L′evy Noise in a Tumor Growth System with Immunization

The extinction phenomenon induced by multiplicative non-Gaussian Levy noise in a tumor growth model with immune response is discussed. Under the influence of the stochastic immune rate, the model is analyzed in terms of a stochastic differential equation with multiplicative noise. By means of the theory of the infinitesimal generator of Hunt processes, the escape probability, which is used to measure the noise-induced extinction probability of tumor cells, is explicitly expressed as a function of initial tumor cell density, stability index and noise intensity. Based on the numerical calculations, it is found that for different initial densities of tumor cells, noise parameters play opposite roles on the escape probability. The optimally selected values of the multiplicative noise intensity and the stability index are found to maximize the escape probability.     

基于大偏差理论非高斯随机动力系统离出行为研究

本文介绍了大偏差理论的基本思想及其在非高斯随机动力系统的离出问题研究中的应用.依据不同的非高斯噪声类型,本文分别评述了随机混合系统、指数轻跳跃过程和α稳定Lévy噪声驱动的随机动力系统的离出问题的主要研究方法和近期研究进展.针对随机混合系统,本文介绍了利用随机微分方程对其进行近似的拟稳态扩散近似方法,计算拟势和最优离出路径的WKB近似方法与细致平衡条件的研究,以及求解随机混合系统的简化版本(即生灭过程)的离出问题的研究进展.对于指数轻跳跃过程驱动的随机动力系统,本文介绍了其大偏差原理和中度偏差原理的泛函极值问题的建立,拟势概念的定义和平均离出时间的估计.针对具有α稳定Lévy噪声的随机动力系统,本文介绍了计算平均首次离出时间和离出概率的理论和数值方法,计算最优离出路径的Onsager-Machlup理论、机器学习方法、最大似然法和数据驱动方法.最后,给出了非高斯随机动力系统的离出现象相关的一些开放性问题.     

基于变分贝叶斯优化的近邻采样 PF-SLAM 算法

针对移动机器人同时定位与地图构建（SLAM）中观测噪声随时间变化及粒子滤波(PF)中粒子多样性易丧失问题,提出基于变分贝叶斯优化的近邻采样PF-SLAM算法。采用高斯混合模型对时变的观测噪声建模,使用变分贝叶斯方法,迭代估算出混合模型中的未知参数;同时根据粒子权重将粒子划分为保留粒子和调整粒子,通过两种粒子间的近邻位置分布关系优化调整粒子位置,在处理时变观测噪声同时,解决粒子多样性丧失问题,使得优化的粒子集更好地表示机器人位置概率分布。实验表明,改进算法与传统PF-SLAM算法相比,定位与建图误差降低76%,较期望最大化算法下的定位与建图误差降低了54%,进一步验证了所提算法的可行性与有效性,为移动机器人同时定位与建图提供一定参考。     

一种不受相位噪声影响的模态参数识别法

本文提出了一种根据幅值频响数据来识别模态参数的频域识别法.该方法首先通过识别幅值频响函数模型来得到传递函数的零点和极点.鉴于不同结构系统可以有完全相同的幅值频响函数,文中提出了由相位频响数据来判定传递函数零点的号性,以唯一确定传递函数,从而消除了相位噪声对模态参数识别结果的影响.作为例子,文中给出了计算机模拟实验例子和滚动轴承支承动态参数识别的应用实例.