Multi-population mortality models: A factor copula approach

Modeling mortality co-movements for multiple populations have significant implications for mortality/longevity risk management. A few two-population mortality models have been proposed to date. They are typically based on the assumption that the forecasted mortality experiences of two or more related populations converge in the long run. This assumption might be justified by the long-term mortality co-integration and thus be applicable to longevity risk modeling. However, it seems too strong to model the short-term mortality dependence. In this paper, we propose a two-stage procedure based on the time series analysis and a factor copula approach to model mortality dependence for multiple populations. In the first stage, we filter the mortality dynamics of each population using an ARMA–GARCH process with heavy-tailed innovations. In the second stage, we model the residual risk using a one-factor copula model that is widely applicable to high dimension data and very flexible in terms of model specification. We then illustrate how to use our mortality model and the maximum entropy approach for mortality risk pricing and hedging. Our model generates par spreads that are very close to the actual spreads of the Vita III mortality bond. We also propose a longevity trend bond and demonstrate how to use this bond to hedge residual longevity risk of an insurer with both annuity and life books of business.     

Tighter uncertainty principles for periodic signals in terms of frequency

In this study, we propose some new uncertainty principles for periodic signals with sharper lower bounds than those in the existing ones. The improved lower bounds, in particular, are related to the frequency of the signal. Three examples are employed to demonstrate sharpness of the new uncertainty principles. Copyright © 2014 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

A stochastic control model of investment,production, and consumption on a finite horizon

In this paper, we consider a stochastic control problem on a finite time horizon. The unit price of capital obeys a logarithmic Brownian motion, and the income from production is also subject to the random Brownian fluctuations. The goal is to choose optimal investment and consumption policies to maximize the finite horizon expected discounted hyperbolic absolute risk aversion utility of consumption. A dynamic programming principle is used to derive a time‐dependent Hamilton–Jacobi–Bellman equation. The Leray–Schauder fixed point theorem is used to obtain existence of solution of the HJB equation. At last, we derive the optimal investment and consumption policies by the verification theorem. The main contribution in this paper is the use of PDE technique to the finite time problem for obtaining optimal polices. Copyright © 2014 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

复微分方程组的代数解

本文研究了一类复微分方程组的代数解的存在问题.利用最大模原理和Nevanlinna值分布理论,得到了一个结论,推广和改进了一些文献的结果,例子表明结论精确.     

Positive pseudo almost periodic solutions for a class of differential iterative equations with biological background

The article considers a class of differential iterative equations with biological background. We establish some sufficient conditions for the existence of positive pseudo almost periodic solutions by applying exponential dichotomy and contraction mapping principle. The obtained results extend some known ones.     

Positive numerical splitting method for the Hull and White 2D Black–Scholes equation

We consider the locally one‐dimensional backward Euler splitting method to solve numerically the Hull and White problem for pricing European options with stochastic volatility in the presence of a mixed derivative term. We prove the first‐order convergence of the time‐splitting. The parabolic equation degenerates on the boundary x = 0 and we apply a fitted finite volume scheme to the equation to resolve the degeneracy and derive the fully discrete problem as we also investigate the discrete maximum principle. Numerical experiments illustrate the efficiency of our difference scheme. © 2014 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Numer Methods Partial Differential Eq 31: 822–846, 2015     

Resonant equations with the Neumann p-Laplacian plus an indefinite potential

We consider a nonlinear Neumann problem driven by the p  -Laplacian plus an indefinite potential and a Carathéodory reaction which at ±∞ is resonant with respect to any nonprincipal variational eigenvalue of the differential operator. Using critical point theory and Morse theory (critical groups), we show that the problem has at least three nontrivial smooth solutions, two of which have constant sign. In the process we prove some results of independent interest concerning the unique continuation property of eigenfunctions and the critical groups at infinity of a C¹$C^1$-functionals.